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HCU

Houston Christian 17 at New Mexico 27

UNM
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2021 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadHCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreHCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:10 · A.Rodriguez punts 29 yards to HB 39, Center-NM. Out of bounds.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+3.5Home team on offense+20.3Garbage-time factor+15.2Score differential+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Time remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:13: A.Rodriguez punts 39 yards to NM 44, Center-NM. T.Thompson returned punt from the NM 44. T.Thompson for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — HCU win probability +2.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:35: T.Wilson pass middle complete to HB 47. Catch made by K.Lanier at HB 47. Gain of 47 yards. K.Lanier for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNM win probability +2.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:24: A.Shelley 30 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NM, Holder-NM. — UNM win probability +2.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:11: B.Bentsen pass right complete to NM 6. Catch made by C.King at NM 6. Gain of 6 yards. C.King for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — HCU win probability +11.7 pts (now 18%) (top driver: HCU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:03: T.Wilson rushed up the middle to NM 22 for -3 yards. Tackled by B.Young at NM 22. — UNM win probability +11.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9HCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:24HCU 4th & 10 at HCU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:35HCU 4th & 5 at HCU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:09UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:13UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:44UNM 4th & 16 at UNM 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:36HCU 4th & 6 at HCU 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:24UNM 4th & 10 at HCU 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:24HCU 4th & 7 at HCU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:56UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:58HCU 4th & 10 at HCU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:32UNM 4th & 19 at HCU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:41HCU 4th & 5 at HCU 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:13UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:10UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:39UNM 4th & 3 at HCU 20, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2HCU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 12:56UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:21UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:11HCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HCUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:146% → 6%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
94.4%
B.Bentsen pass left complete to HB 7. Catch made by T.Thompson at HB 7. Gain of 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Combs at HB 20.Similar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.4%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete left intended for I.Fuller.Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
94.4%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete right intended for I.Fuller.Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-3
94.4%
B.Bentsen pass INTERCEPTED at HB 25. Intercepted by R.Leutele at HB 25. Tackled by HB at HB 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:2294% → 94%
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
94.4%
T.Hall pass right complete to HB 22. Catch made by T.Wilson at HB 22. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Miller at HB 17.Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+11
94.3%
B.Cole rushed up the middle to HB 6 for 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Miller at HB 6.Similar
Q1 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.2%
PENALTY on NM-NM, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
94.3%
T.Wilson pass right complete to HB 11. Catch made by K.Jarvis at HB 11. Gain of 11 yards. NM for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:266% → 6%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
E.Beek rushed left tackle to HB 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Combs at HB 25.Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete left intended for B.Walker.Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete left intended for B.Walker.Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+49
94.2%
B.Buell punts 49 yards to NM 26, Center-. Fair catch by M.Logan-Green.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:5794% → 94%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
94.1%
T.Wilson pass left complete to NM 26. Catch made by M.Logan-Green at NM 26. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by V.Wallis at NM 38.Similar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
94.1%
T.Wilson pass middle complete to NM 38. Catch made by A.Erickson at NM 38. Gain of 4 yards. A.Erickson ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
94.1%
B.Cole rushed right tackle to NM 49 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Ardoin, B.Young at NM 49.Similar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
94.1%
T.Wilson pass right complete to NM 49. Catch made by L.Wysong at NM 49. Gain of 15 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Kemp at HB 36.Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
94.0%
T.Wilson pass right complete to HB 36. Catch made by K.Jarvis at HB 36. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by D.Wilson at HB 32.Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
94.0%
B.Cole rushed up the middle to HB 32 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Wilson, R.Dansby at HB 32.Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+5
93.9%
PENALTY on NM-I.Gutierrez, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+11
93.8%
T.Wilson pass middle complete to HB 37. Catch made by L.Wysong at HB 37. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by C.Miller at HB 26.Similar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
93.8%
T.Wilson pass middle complete to HB 26. Catch made by L.Wysong at HB 26. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by HB at HB 4.Similar
Q1 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.4%
T.Wilson pass left complete to HB 4. Catch made by T.Bruckler at HB 4. Gain of 4 yards. T.Bruckler for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:346% → 6%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
94.1%
B.Bentsen pass left complete to HB 20. Catch made by N.Culbreath at HB 20. Gain of 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by P.Peek at HB 29.Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-1
94.1%
E.Beek rushed up the middle to HB 28 for -1 yards. Tackled by R.Leutele, T.Combs at HB 28.Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-3
94.1%
E.Beek rushed up the middle to HB 25 for -3 yards. Tackled by S.Riley at HB 25.Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+48
94.1%
B.Buell punts 48 yards to NM 27, Center-HB. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:1694% → 94%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
94.3%
T.Wilson pass right complete to NM 27. Catch made by C.Boone at NM 27. Gain of 11 yards. C.Boone ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
94.4%
L.Wysong rushed left tackle to NM 36 for -2 yards. Tackled by B.Young at NM 36.Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+8
94.3%
A.Dumas rushed left tackle to NM 44 for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Baugh at NM 44.Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
94.3%
T.Wilson rushed up the middle to NM 44 for 0 yards. Tackled by P.Kennedy at NM 44.Similar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+42
94.1%
A.Rodriguez punts 42 yards to HB 14, Center-NM. Fair catch by T.Thompson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4794% → 91%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
93.9%
B.Cole rushed up the middle to NM 4 for 3 yards. Tackled by P.Kennedy at NM 4.Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
93.9%
B.Cole rushed up the middle to NM 4 for 0 yards. Tackled by V.Wallis, B.Young at NM 4.Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+1
93.7%
A.Erickson rushed right tackle to NM 5 for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Wilson, P.Kennedy at NM 5.Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+44
91.4%
A.Rodriguez punts 39 yards to NM 44, Center-NM. T.Thompson returned punt from the NM 44. T.Thompson for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:1092% → 91%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
91.7%
T.Wilson pass right complete to NM 22. Catch made by E.Queen at NM 22. Gain of 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Miller, D.Wilson at NM 31.Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+3
91.9%
B.Cole rushed right tackle to NM 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Young, K.Baugh at NM 34.Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
91.6%
T.Wilson steps back to pass. T.Wilson sacked at NM 27 for -7 yards (D.Wilson)Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+1
91.3%
B.Cole rushed up the middle to NM 28 for 1 yards. Tackled by I.Cash, B.Young at NM 28.Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 16
OWN 28
0
91.0%
T.Wilson steps back to pass. T.Wilson pass incomplete left intended for E.Queen.Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 16
OWN 28
+46
90.7%
A.Rodriguez punts 46 yards to HB 26, Center-NM. T.Thompson returned punt from the HB 26. Tackled by J.Reed at HB 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 10INT
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:379% → 11%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.0%
B.Bentsen pass left complete to HB 25. Catch made by T.Thompson at HB 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by D.Hunter, P.Peek at HB 31.Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
90.6%
D.Minnieweather rushed up the middle to HB 37 for 6 yards. Tackled by R.Hannah, D.Hunter at HB 37.Similar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.6%
D.Minnieweather rushed up the middle to HB 37 for 0 yards. Tackled by L.Murray at HB 37.Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
90.6%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete right intended for V.Harrell.Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+11
90.9%
B.Bentsen pass middle complete to HB 37. Catch made by B.Walker at HB 37. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by P.Peek at HB 48.Similar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
90.0%
B.Bentsen pass left complete to HB 48. Catch made by B.Walker at HB 48. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by P.Peek at NM 47.Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
89.8%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass left complete to NM 47. Tackled by T.Collier at NM 47. Catch made by B.Walker at NM 47. Gain of 0 yards.Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+18
89.8%
B.Bentsen pass middle complete to NM 47. Catch made by B.Walker at NM 47. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by C.Hightower at NM 29.Similar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
89.1%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete right intended for T.Thompson.Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+13
89.2%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to NM 29. Catch made by C.King at NM 29. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by J.Reed; R.Hannah at NM 16.Similar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
88.9%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to NM 16. Catch made by V.Harrell at NM 16. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Collier at NM 12.Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
88.7%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete short right intended for C.King.Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+6
89.2%
PENALTY on NM-T.Combs, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 6 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:4591% → 93%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
90.9%
B.Cole rushed right tackle to NM 43 for 2 yards. Pushed out of bounds by I.Cash at NM 43.Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
90.8%
B.Cole rushed left tackle to NM 49 for 6 yards. Tackled by P.Ossai at NM 49.Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
90.4%
B.Cole rushed up the middle to HB 47 for 4 yards. Tackled by B.Young at HB 47.Similar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
92.6%
T.Wilson pass middle complete to HB 47. Catch made by K.Lanier at HB 47. Gain of 47 yards. K.Lanier for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:048% → 8%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.9%
X. Ford rushed up the middle to HB 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Sanders; J.Saltonstall at HB 26.Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
91.8%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to HB 26. Catch made by V.Harrell at HB 26. Gain of 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Hightower at HB 29.Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
92.0%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete left intended for T.Thompson.Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+57
92.3%
B.Buell punts 57 yards to NM 14, Center-HB. Downed by HB.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:0192% → 92%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
92.3%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to NM 20 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Ardoin; X.Toliver at NM 20.Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+12
92.3%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to NM 32 for 12 yards. Tackled by I.Cash at NM 32.Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.3%
T.Wilson steps back to pass. T.Wilson pass incomplete right intended for A.Erickson.Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-2
92.2%
T.Wilson pass right complete to NM 32. Catch made by L.Wysong at NM 32. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by I.Fuller at NM 30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:4092% → 94%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.4%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to NM 49 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Wilson; S.Ijiyera at NM 49.Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
92.3%
T.Wilson pass middle complete to NM 49. Catch made by K.Lanier at NM 49. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by J.Oliver at HB 34.Similar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
92.4%
T.Wilson rushed right tackle to HB 26 for 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by P.Kennedy at HB 26.Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+2
92.3%
A.Dumas rushed right tackle to HB 24 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Young at HB 24.Similar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
92.4%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to HB 21 for 3 yards. Tackled by I.Cash; K.Baugh at HB 21.Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+8
92.5%
T.Wilson pass left complete to HB 21. Catch made by T.Bruckler at HB 21. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by I.Cash at HB 13.Similar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
92.4%
T.Wilson pass right complete to HB 13. Catch made by L.Wysong at HB 13. Gain of -3 yards. Tackled by J.Oliver at HB 16.Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+5
92.4%
A.Dumas rushed left tackle to HB 11 for 5 yards. Tackled by B.Young at HB 11.Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-2
92.0%
T.Wilson pass left complete to HB 11. Catch made by Z.Scruggs at HB 11. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by K.Baugh at HB 6. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was down by contact and the play was overturned. T.Wilson pass left complete to HB 11. Catch made by Z.Scruggs at HB 11. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by HB at HB 13.Similar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
94.3%
A.Shelley 30 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NM, Holder-NM.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:587% → 7%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.2%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to HB 25. Catch made by B.Walker at HB 25. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by R.Hannah; A.Hunt at HB 30.Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
92.6%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to HB 30. Catch made by T.Thompson at HB 30. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Collier at HB 34.Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
92.7%
B.Bentsen rushed right tackle to HB 35 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Hunt; J.Harris at HB 35.Similar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
93.0%
D.Minnieweather rushed right tackle to HB 46 for 11 yards. Tackled by T.Combs at HB 46.Similar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
92.6%
D.Minnieweather rushed left tackle to HB 47 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Combs; R.Leutele at HB 47.Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
92.7%
B.Bentsen scrambles up the middle to HB 49 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Noble at HB 49.Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
93.0%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete middle intended for T.Thompson.Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 7
OWN 49
+51
93.4%
B.Buell punts 51 yards to NM End Zone, Center-HB. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2195% → 95%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
94.7%
T.Wilson steps back to pass. T.Wilson sacked at NM 15 for -5 yards (J.Ardoin; K.Baugh)Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+7
94.6%
T.Wilson rushed left tackle to NM 22 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Miller at NM 22.Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
95.3%
T.Wilson steps back to pass. T.Wilson pass incomplete right intended for K.Lanier.Similar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+42
95.0%
A.Rodriguez punts 42 yards to HB 36, Center-NM. T.Thompson returned punt from the HB 36. Tackled by T.Combs at HB 36. PENALTY on HB-P.Kennedy, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 13 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 23 yds · 3:506% → 6%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
93.8%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete right intended for B.Walker.Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-10
93.9%
PENALTY on HB-HB, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
93.9%
B.Bentsen pass left complete to HB 16. Catch made by I.Fuller at HB 16. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by S.Riley at HB 20.Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+7
94.0%
B.Bentsen pass middle complete to HB 20. Catch made by C.King at HB 20. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by T.Combs at HB 27.Similar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
93.6%
B.Bentsen pass middle complete to HB 27. Catch made by C.King at HB 27. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by T.Combs at HB 37.Similar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
93.4%
X. Ford rushed up the middle to HB 35 for -2 yards. Tackled by D.Sanders at HB 35.Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
94.4%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete left intended for I.Fuller.Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+14
94.5%
B.Bentsen scrambles right tackle to HB 49 for 14 yards. Tackled by D.Hunter at HB 49.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
93.6%
B.Bentsen rushed up the middle to HB 48 for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Noble at HB 48.Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+7
93.7%
B.Bentsen pass left complete to HB 48. Catch made by C.King at HB 48. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by J.Reed at NM 45.Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-6
93.6%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen sacked at HB 49 for -6 yards (J.Harris)Similar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+49
94.3%
B.Buell punts 49 yards to NM 2, Center-HB. Downed by K.Halfmann.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:2096% → 96%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
95.8%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to NM 6 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Couch at NM 6.Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+3
95.9%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to NM 9 for 3 yards. Tackled by I.Cash; V.Wallis at NM 9.Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+8
95.8%
T.Wilson pass right complete to NM 9. Catch made by K.Lanier at NM 9. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by J.Oliver at NM 17.Similar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+56
96.2%
T.Wilson rushed up the middle to HB 27 for 56 yards. T.Wilson ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
96.6%
NM rushed to HB 32 for -5 yards. NM FUMBLES, forced by. Fumble RECOVERED by NM-T.Wilson at HB 32. Tackled by HB at HB 27.Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 15
OPP 32
-4
96.5%
T.Wilson rushed to HB 36 for -4 yards. Tackled by I.Cash at HB 36. PENALTY on NM-NM, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined.Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 19
OPP 36
0
96.7%
T.Wilson steps back to pass. T.Wilson pass incomplete right intended for M.Logan-Green.Similar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 19
OPP 36
0
96.3%
G.Steinkamp 53 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-NM, Holder-NM.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:476% → 6%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.1%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete right intended for V.Harrell.Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
94.2%
B.Bentsen pass middle complete to HB 36. Catch made by V.Harrell at HB 36. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by S.Riley; D.Hunter at HB 41.Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
94.1%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete right intended for V.Harrell.Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+49
94.4%
B.Buell punts 49 yards to NM 10, Center-HB. Fair catch by M.Logan-Green.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2197% → 97%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
96.5%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to NM 10 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Young at NM 10.Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
96.5%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to NM 15 for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Baugh at NM 15.Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
96.7%
T.Wilson steps back to pass. T.Wilson pass incomplete right intended for B.Wooden.Similar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+51
96.5%
A.Rodriguez punts 51 yards to HB 34, Center-NM. T.Thompson returned punt from the HB 34. Tackled by J.Reed at NM 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:496% → 18%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
94.2%
B.Bentsen pass middle complete to NM 40. Catch made by I.Fuller at NM 40. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by D.Martin at NM 34.Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
93.8%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete middle intended for V.Harrell.Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+15
94.2%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to NM 34. Catch made by C.King at NM 34. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by R.Hannah at NM 19.Similar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
93.8%
B.Bentsen scrambles right tackle to NM 15 for 4 yards. Tackled by R.Hannah; J.Noble at NM 15.Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+6
93.8%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to NM 15. Catch made by C.King at NM 15. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by D.Martin; T.Combs at NM 9.Similar
Q4 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
93.9%
B.Bentsen pass left complete to NM 9. Catch made by T.Thompson at NM 9. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by P.Peek at NM 6.Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
82.2%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to NM 6. Catch made by C.King at NM 6. Gain of 6 yards. C.King for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5393% → 93%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
93.4%
T.Wilson rushed up the middle to NM 22 for -3 yards. Tackled by B.Young at NM 22.Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
93.0%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to NM 27 for 5 yards. Tackled by V.Wallis; C.Couch at NM 27.Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
93.3%
T.Wilson pass right complete to NM 27. Catch made by L.Wysong at NM 27. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by I.Cash at NM 32.Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+29
93.1%
A.Rodriguez punts 29 yards to HB 39, Center-NM. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2095% → 95%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
94.9%
A.Dumas rushed up the middle to HB 24 for 3 yards. Tackled by P.Kennedy at HB 24.Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
94.9%
T.Wilson rushed right tackle to HB 22 for 2 yards. T.Wilson ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+2
95.1%
C.Alexander rushed up the middle to HB 20 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Miller at HB 20.Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
95.4%
A.Shelley 37 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NM, Holder-NM.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 24INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:305% → 6%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.1%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to HB 25. Catch made by B.Walker at HB 25. Gain of 10 yards. B.Walker ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
94.6%
B.Bentsen pass right complete to HB 35. Catch made by T.Thompson at HB 35. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by T.Combs at HB 49.Similar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.0%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete right intended for V.Harrell.Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
94.0%
B.Bentsen steps back to pass. B.Bentsen pass incomplete right intended for T.Thompson.Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
94.5%
B.Bentsen pass middle INTERCEPTED at NM 19. Intercepted by T.Combs at NM 19. Tackled by HB at NM 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:11
B.Bentsen pass right complete to NM 6. Catch made by C.King at NM 6. Gain of 6 yards. C.King for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-11.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:03
T.Wilson rushed up the middle to NM 22 for -3 yards. Tackled by B.Young at NM 22.
+11.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com