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SDST

South Dakota State 42 at Colorado State 23

CSU
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2021 · Canvas Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadSDST aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreSDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:34 · H.Dustman punts 49 yards to CSU 13, Center-SDS. D.Wright returned punt from the CSU 13. Pushed out of bounds by C.Francl at CSU 22.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior+7.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:56: D.Bailey rushed to SDS End Zone for 1 yards. D.Bailey for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CSU win probability +8.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:36: C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 10. Catch made by J.Janke at CSU 10. Gain of 10 yards. J.Janke for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — SDST win probability +9.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: SDST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:55: P.Strong rushed to CSU End Zone for 12 yards. P.Strong for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — SDST win probability +10.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: SDST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:02: C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 17. Catch made by J.Janke at CSU 17. Gain of 17 yards. J.Janke for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — SDST win probability +16.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SDST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:00: T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 11. Catch made by D.Bailey at SDS 11. Gain of 11 yards. D.Bailey for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7SDST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:09CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:34SDST 4th & 7 at SDST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:00SDST 4th & 7 at CSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:19CSU 4th & 1 at SDST 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−2.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−8.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:31CSU 4th & 10 at SDST 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−7.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:19SDST 4th & 6 at SDST 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:45CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.5%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:28CSU 4th & 11 at CSU 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:50SDST 4th & 3 at SDST 11, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:04SDST 4th & 1 at CSU 3, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−3.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−11.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:45CSU 4th & 1 at SDST 44, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:04CSU 4th & 2 at SDST 10, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2SDST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 2:36SDST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:56CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:36SDST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:55SDST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:02SDST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:34SDST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:42SDST Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:38CSU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5158% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.8%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by Q.Hicks; C.Sanders at CSU 25.Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
57.8%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Gardner at CSU 25.Similar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
57.8%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for C.Butler.Similar
Q1 14:09
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+40
57.7%
R.Stonehouse punts 40 yards to SDS 35, Center-CSU. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2842% → 42%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
57.8%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for L.Wolf.Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
57.8%
P.Strong rushed to SDS 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Carter; H.Blackburn at SDS 38.Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
57.8%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for J.Janke.Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+49
57.9%
H.Dustman punts 49 yards to CSU 13, Center-SDS. D.Wright returned punt from the CSU 13. Pushed out of bounds by C.Francl at CSU 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3Uncategorized
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:1758% → 58%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
57.9%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for D.Wright.Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
57.9%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 24 for 2 yards. Tackled by R.Van Marel at CSU 24.Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+13
57.8%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 24. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 24. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by SDS at CSU 37.Similar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
58.0%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 37. Catch made by D.Wright at CSU 37. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by I.Stalbird; D.Gales at CSU 41.Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
58.2%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for D.Wright.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 4MISSED FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 5:5742% → 42%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
58.0%
P.Strong rushed to SDS 8 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Phillips at SDS 8.Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+22
58.0%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 8. Catch made by J.Janke at SDS 8. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by T.Francis at SDS 30.Similar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
57.9%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for J.Janke.Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
57.9%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 30. Catch made by T.Kraft at SDS 30. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by H.Blackburn at SDS 41.Similar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
57.6%
I.Davis rushed to SDS 41 for yards. Tackled by D.Jackson; D.Phillips at SDS 41. PENALTY on CSU-D.Phillips, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 5
OWN 46
0
57.4%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for T.Kraft.Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
57.3%
P.Strong rushed to SDS 50 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Carter at SDS 50.Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 1
OPP 0
+8
57.3%
C.Oladokun rushed to CSU 42 for 8 yards. Tackled by R.Ajayi at CSU 42.Similar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
57.1%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for SDS.Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
57.1%
I.Davis rushed to CSU 40 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Amina; M.Cameron at CSU 40.Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
57.1%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for J.Janke. PENALTY on CSU-M.Cameron, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
56.7%
I.Davis rushed to CSU 26 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Brown at CSU 26.Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+3
56.7%
P.Strong rushed to CSU 23 for 3 yards. Tackled by S.Patchan; B.Amina at CSU 23.Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+1
57.0%
C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 23. Catch made by P.Strong at CSU 23. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by C.Carter at CSU 22.Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
0
57.6%
C.Frahm 39 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-SDS, Holder-SDS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 5TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:3142% → 48%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
57.7%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 29. Catch made by J.Janke at SDS 29. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by M.Cameron at SDS 48.Similar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
56.7%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 48. Catch made by P.Strong at SDS 48. Gain of 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by R.Ajayi at CSU 48.Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+48
51.6%
P.Strong rushed to CSU End Zone for 48 yards. P.Strong for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 6TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:2653% → 61%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.9%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by L.Backhaus at CSU 29.Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
52.9%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 32 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Bock at CSU 32.Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
52.6%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 32. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 32. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by A.Bock at CSU 37.Similar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
52.9%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for A.Vivens.Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
52.8%
A.Vivens rushed to CSU 46 for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Lofton at CSU 46.Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+8
53.3%
T.Centeio rushed to SDS 46 for 8 yards. Tackled by M.Griffin at SDS 46.Similar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
53.8%
D.Bailey rushed to SDS 43 for 3 yards. Tackled by L.Backhaus at SDS 43.Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+7
53.7%
T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 43. Catch made by D.Bailey at SDS 43. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by L.Backhaus; D.Gales at SDS 36.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
53.7%
T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 36. Catch made by E.Scott at SDS 36. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by SDS at SDS 27.Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 1
OPP 27
-2
54.3%
D.Bailey rushed to SDS 29 for -2 yards. Tackled by A.Bock at SDS 29.Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
53.4%
T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 29. Catch made by T.McBride at SDS 29. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by C.Norblade at SDS 25.Similar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
54.1%
T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 25. Catch made by D.Wright at SDS 25. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by M.Griffin at SDS 12.Similar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
54.0%
A.Vivens rushed to SDS 10 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Krolikowski; I.Stalbird at SDS 10.Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
53.9%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for C.Butler.Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+7
53.0%
T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 10. Catch made by T.McBride at SDS 10. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by A.Bock at SDS 3.Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+2
52.0%
D.Bailey rushed to SDS 1 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Madison; P.Shafer at SDS 1.Similar
Q2 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.8%
D.Bailey rushed to SDS End Zone for 1 yards. D.Bailey for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1543% → 57%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.2%
I.Davis rushed to SDS 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Kamara at SDS 25.Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
57.5%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 20. Catch made by J.Janke at SDS 20. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by CSU at SDS 20.Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+15
58.2%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 20. Catch made by J.Janke at SDS 20. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by T.Francis; T.Pannunzio at SDS 35.Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.4%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 35. Catch made by J.Janke at SDS 35. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by D.Jackson at SDS 35.Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
56.7%
I.Davis rushed to SDS 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by E.Hubbard; S.Patchan at SDS 39.Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
56.3%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 39. Catch made by T.Kraft at SDS 39. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by R.Ajayi at SDS 48.Similar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
53.8%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for P.Strong.Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
54.2%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 48. Catch made by T.Kraft at SDS 48. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by T.Francis at CSU 49.Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+21
53.7%
C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 49. Catch made by J.Janke at CSU 49. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by T.Francis at CSU 28.Similar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
52.3%
P.Strong rushed to CSU 16 for 12 yards. Tackled by T.Francis; H.Blackburn at CSU 16.Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
52.2%
P.Strong rushed to CSU 10 for 6 yards. Tackled by H.Blackburn at CSU 10.Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
43.1%
C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 10. Catch made by J.Janke at CSU 10. Gain of 10 yards. J.Janke for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:5847% → 52%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.5%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Gales; X.Ward at CSU 27.Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
46.6%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 27. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 27. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by M.Griffin; A.Bock at CSU 36.Similar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
46.9%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 36. Catch made by D.Wright at CSU 36. Gain of 36 yards. Tackled by D.Gales at SDS 28.Similar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
50.2%
T.Centeio scrambles to SDS 27 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Bock at SDS 27.Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+7
50.1%
D.Bailey rushed to SDS 20 for 7 yards. Tackled by I.Stalbird; G.Spalding at SDS 20.Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
48.6%
D.Bailey rushed to SDS 17 for 3 yards. Tackled by L.Backhaus; P.Shafer at SDS 17.Similar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
49.5%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio sacked at SDS 18 for -1 yards (G.Spalding)Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+5
49.2%
PENALTY on CSU-B.Polendey, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 16
OPP 23
+6
47.8%
T.Centeio scrambles to SDS 17 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Manchigiah at SDS 17.Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
47.5%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for D.Wright.Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
51.7%
C.Camper 35 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-CSU, Holder-CSU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:3251% → 65%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.3%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for Z.Heins.Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.4%
P.Strong rushed to SDS 39 for 14 yards. Tackled by H.Blackburn; T.Francis at SDS 39.Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
47.6%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 39. Catch made by P.Strong at SDS 39. Gain of 3 yards. P.Strong ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+46
47.1%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 42. Catch made by J.Janke at SDS 42. Gain of 46 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Pannunzio at CSU 12.Similar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
44.8%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for Z.Heins.Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
34.6%
P.Strong rushed to CSU End Zone for 12 yards. P.Strong for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 0:4038% → 41%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
37.5%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 25. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by J.Manchigiah at CSU 32. PENALTY on SDS-SDS, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
38.5%
T.Centeio scrambles to CSU 38 for 6 yards. Tackled by I.Stalbird at CSU 38.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
38.4%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 38. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 38. Gain of 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by L.Backhaus at CSU 50.Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+11
41.6%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 50. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 50. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by J.Manchigiah; I.Stalbird at SDS 39.Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
39.5%
T.Centeio scrambles to SDS 39 for 0 yards. Tackled by Q.Hicks; X.Ward at SDS 39.Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+17
39.4%
T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 39. Catch made by D.Wright at SDS 39. Gain of 17 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Griffin at SDS 22.Similar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
41.0%
C.Camper 40 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-CSU, Holder-CSU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4163% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
37.2%
P.Strong rushed to SDS 20 for -5 yards. Tackled by M.Jones at SDS 20.Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
37.2%
C.Oladokun pass complete to SDS 20. Catch made by T.Kraft at SDS 20. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by H.Blackburn at SDS 29.Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
36.3%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for J.Janke. PENALTY on SDS-A.Johnson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined. PENALTY on SDS-E.Lickiss, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined.Similar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+41
37.2%
H.Dustman punts 41 yards to CSU 30, Center-SDS. D.Wright returned punt from the CSU 30. Tackled by G.Spalding at CSU 29.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2436% → 35%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
36.2%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 29 for 0 yards. Tackled by X.Ward; D.Gardner at CSU 29.Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
35.3%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 29. Catch made by D.Wright at CSU 29. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by I.Stalbird at CSU 32.Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+6
34.5%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 32. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 32. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by L.Backhaus; Q.Hicks at CSU 38.Similar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
34.5%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 38 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Manchigiah; M.Lofton at CSU 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 13TD
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:3567% → 84%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
32.7%
C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 38. Catch made by T.Kraft at CSU 38. Gain of 21 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Francis at CSU 17.Similar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
16.5%
C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 17. Catch made by J.Janke at CSU 17. Gain of 17 yards. J.Janke for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:2821% → 19%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.6%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for T.McBride.Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
20.4%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Stacker at CSU 25.Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
19.9%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 25. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 25. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by M.Lofton at CSU 42.Similar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
21.5%
D.Bailey rushed to SDS 47 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Bock at SDS 47. PENALTY on CSU-T.McBride, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
19.6%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for D.Wright.Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+2
19.4%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 32. Catch made by A.Vivens at CSU 32. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by X.Ward; G.Spalding at CSU 34.Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+7
18.7%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 34. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 34. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by M.Lofton at CSU 41.Similar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+56
18.9%
R.Stonehouse punts 56 yards to SDS 3, Center-CSU. I.Davis returned punt from the SDS 3. Tackled by T.Pannunzio at SDS 4.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:3084% → 86%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
16.0%
I.Davis rushed to SDS 10 for yards. Tackled by H.Blackburn at SDS 10. PENALTY on SDS-G.Greenfield, Offensive Holding, 2 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+8
14.0%
I.Davis rushed to SDS 10 for 8 yards. Tackled by H.Blackburn at SDS 10.Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 4
OWN 10
-3
14.9%
I.Davis rushed to SDS 7 for -3 yards. Tackled by S.Patchan at SDS 7.Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+4
14.5%
I.Davis rushed to SDS 11 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Francis; D.Jackson at SDS 11.Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 3
OWN 11
+40
13.8%
H.Dustman punts 40 yards to CSU 49, Center-SDS. Fair catch by D.Wright.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 16TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:0388% → 99%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
11.8%
P.Strong rushed to CSU 44 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Jones at CSU 44.Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+32
11.0%
P.Strong rushed to CSU 12 for 32 yards. Tackled by M.Cameron at CSU 12.Similar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
10.0%
P.Strong rushed to CSU 12 for yards. Tackled by D.Jackson; T.Brown at CSU 12. PENALTY on SDS-T.Kraft, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+3
10.0%
P.Strong rushed to CSU 19 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Jackson at CSU 19.Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 17
OPP 19
0
8.1%
C.Oladokun steps back to pass. C.Oladokun pass incomplete intended for J.Janke.Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 17
OPP 19
+16
8.2%
I.Davis rushed to CSU 3 for 16 yards. Tackled by H.Blackburn; T.Francis at CSU 3.Similar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+1
8.4%
I.Davis rushed to CSU 2 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Francis; C.Carter at CSU 2.Similar
Q3 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.4%
I.Davis rushed to CSU End Zone for 2 yards. I.Davis for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:292% → 9%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.5%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for J.Kress.Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.5%
D.Bailey rushed to CSU 33 for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Manchigiah; C.Norblade at CSU 33.Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
1.5%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 33. Catch made by D.Bailey at CSU 33. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by T.Stacker at CSU 38.Similar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
1.3%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 38. Catch made by T.McBride at CSU 38. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by G.Spalding at CSU 40.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
1.2%
A.Vivens rushed to CSU 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Krolikowski; X.Ward at CSU 40.Similar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+12
1.1%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 40. Catch made by J.Kress at CSU 40. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by L.Backhaus at SDS 48.Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
1.2%
T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 48. Catch made by T.McBride at SDS 48. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by I.Stalbird at SDS 32.Similar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
1.2%
J.McCoy pass complete to SDS 32. Catch made by T.Centeio at SDS 32. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by M.Lofton at SDS 20.Similar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
1.2%
D.Bailey rushed to SDS 11 for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Griffin; G.Spalding at SDS 11.Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
8.7%
T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 11. Catch made by D.Bailey at SDS 11. Gain of 11 yards. D.Bailey for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:1196% → 100%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.5%
I.Davis rushed to SDS 31 for 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Kamara at SDS 31.Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+32
4.3%
I.Davis rushed to CSU 37 for 32 yards. Tackled by D.Jackson; H.Blackburn at CSU 37.Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
3.6%
I.Davis rushed to CSU 27 for 10 yards. Tackled by C.Carter; H.Blackburn at CSU 27.Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
3.3%
I.Davis rushed to CSU 25 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Carter at CSU 25.Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
3.1%
I.Davis rushed to CSU 24 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Carter; S.Patchan at CSU 24.Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+13
3.0%
C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 24. Catch made by C.Bauer at CSU 24. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by CSU at CSU 11.Similar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.5%
C.Oladokun rushed to CSU End Zone for 11 yards. C.Oladokun for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:570% → 6%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for C.Butler.Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.4%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 25. Catch made by T.McCullouch at CSU 25. Gain of 15 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Norblade at CSU 40.Similar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.4%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for T.McCullouch.Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
0.4%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 40. Catch made by T.McCullouch at CSU 40. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by I.Stalbird at CSU 41.Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+20
0.3%
T.Centeio pass complete to CSU 41. Catch made by T.McCullouch at CSU 41. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by P.Shafer at SDS 39.Similar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
0.4%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for C.Butler. PENALTY on SDS-R.Keumogne, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 5
OPP 34
0
0.4%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for T.McCullouch.Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
0.4%
T.Centeio steps back to pass. T.Centeio pass incomplete intended for T.McCullouch.Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+30
0.4%
T.Centeio pass complete to SDS 34. Catch made by D.Wright at SDS 34. Gain of 30 yards. Tackled by D.Beanum at SDS 4.Similar
Q4 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.6%
J.Thomas rushed to SDS End Zone for 4 yards. J.Thomas for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20INT
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:083% → 2%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
2.5%
E.Olaes rushed to CSU 21 for 6 yards. Tackled by SDS at CSU 21.Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+7
2.4%
E.Olaes pass complete to CSU 21. Catch made by G.Williams at CSU 21. Gain of 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by SDS at CSU 28.Similar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
2.4%
M.McElroy rushed to CSU 47 for 19 yards. Pushed out of bounds by SDS at CSU 47.Similar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
2.5%
E.Olaes pass complete to CSU 47. Catch made by J.McCoy at CSU 47. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by SDS at SDS 45.Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-1
2.6%
E.Olaes rushed to SDS 46 for -1 yards. Tackled by SDS at SDS 46.Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
2.5%
J.Thomas rushed to SDS 44 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Reeder at SDS 44.Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+1
2.0%
E.Olaes scrambles to SDS 43 for 1 yards. Tackled by SDS at SDS 43.Similar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
2.0%
E.Olaes steps back to pass. E.Olaes sacked at SDS 45 for -2 yards (K.Madison)Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+16
2.0%
M.McElroy rushed to SDS 29 for 16 yards. Tackled by SDS at SDS 29.Similar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
2.4%
E.Olaes scrambles to SDS 25 for 4 yards. Tackled by SDS at SDS 25.Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
2.4%
E.Olaes pass complete to SDS 25. Catch made by G.Williams at SDS 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by SDS at SDS 18.Similar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
2.4%
E.Olaes steps back to pass. E.Olaes pass incomplete intended for T.McCullouch.Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
2.3%
E.Olaes steps back to pass. E.Olaes pass incomplete intended for B.Polendey.Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+8
2.1%
E.Olaes scrambles to SDS 10 for 8 yards. Tackled by SDS at SDS 10.Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 2
OPP 10
0
2.1%
E.Olaes pass INTERCEPTED at SDS 3. Intercepted by D.McGaughy at SDS 3. Tackled by CSU at SDS 3.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:02
C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 17. Catch made by J.Janke at CSU 17. Gain of 17 yards. J.Janke for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-16.2
TD · Q2 0:55
P.Strong rushed to CSU End Zone for 12 yards. P.Strong for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-10.1
TD · Q2 5:36
C.Oladokun pass complete to CSU 10. Catch made by J.Janke at CSU 10. Gain of 10 yards. J.Janke for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com