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BUCK

Bucknell 10 at Army 63

ARMY
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadBUCK aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreBUCK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:33 · Zach Harding punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buckn 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+47.5Home team on offense+3.4Score differential+1.8Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:15: Tyhier Tyler run for 17 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:42: Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:38: Jabari Laws pass complete to Ay'Juan Marshall for 22 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:49: Markens Pierre run for 4 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BUCK made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:44BUCK 4th & 7 at BUCK 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:20BUCK 4th & 8 at BUCK 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:33ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00BUCK 4th & 6 at BUCK 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:14BUCK 4th & 10 at BUCK 45, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:13BUCK 4th & 10 at ARMY 48, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:54ARMY 4th & 3 at BUCK 10, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:55BUCK 4th & 8 at ARMY 8, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:32BUCK 4th & 8 at BUCK 29, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 9 of 9BUCK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:51ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:20ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:15ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:42ARMY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:05ARMY Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:38ARMY Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:49ARMY Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:06BUCK Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:40ARMY Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:59ARMY Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUCKDrive 1INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Damian HarrisSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Mason Muir for 7 yds to the Buckn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.6%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Christian Spugnardi for 8 yds to the Buckn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.6%
Jared Cooper run for 3 yds to the Buckn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-17
99.6%
Ethan Grady pass intercepted Andre Carter II return for 17 yds to the Buckn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.6%
Cade Barnard run for 3 yds to the Buckn 28Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+23
99.6%
Christian Anderson run for 23 yds to the Buckn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-11
99.5%
Ethan Grady sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 11 yards to the Buckn 15Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 21
OWN 15
+14
99.5%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Adam Barakat for 14 yds to the Buckn 29Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
99.5%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Adam Barakat, broken up by Jabari MooreSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+55
99.5%
Ruben Anderson punt for 38 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 55 yds to the Buckn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.5%
Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the Buckn 8Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+2
99.5%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Buckn 6Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
99.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Damian Harris for 9 yds to the Buckn 34Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.4%
BUCKNELL Penalty, false start (Jack Wall) to the Buckn 29Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
99.4%
Jared Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buckn 27Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Mason MuirSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.5%
Ruben Anderson punt for 52 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 4 yds to the Army 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Christian Anderson run for no gain to the Army 28 Christian Anderson fumbled, recovered by Army Christian AndersonSimilar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-14
99.4%
ARMY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-14 Yards) to the Army 14Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+13
99.4%
Christian Anderson run for 13 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Zach Harding punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buckn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
99.3%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Adam Barakat for 13 yds to the Buckn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.3%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Connor Holmes for 15 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.3%
Rushawn Baker run for 5 yds to the Army 39 Rushawn Baker fumbled, forced by Malkelm Morrison, recovered by Army Cameron JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 2:5099% → 99%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+24
99.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 24 yds to the Buckn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.3%
Braheam Murphy run for 6 yds to the Buckn 29Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+12
99.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 12 yds to the Buckn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 17 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:081% → 1%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Mason Muir, broken up by Malkelm MorrisonSimilar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.4%
Jared Cooper run for 4 yds to the Buckn 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-5
99.4%
BUCKNELL Penalty, false start (Zack Tarburton) to the Buckn 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+5
99.4%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Christian Spugnardi for 5 yds to the Buckn 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+26
99.4%
Ruben Anderson punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buckn 32 , Tyrell Robinson returns for 26 yds to the Buckn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
99.5%
ANDERSON, C. pass incomplete to ALSTON, Isaiah, PENALTY BUCKNELL pass interference (Robinson, Ethan) 15 yards to the BUCKNELL17, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
99.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the Buckn 8Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+4
99.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Buckn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Christian Spugnardi for 7 yds to the Buckn 32Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Adam BarakatSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
99.7%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Adam Barakat for 13 yds to the Buckn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete, broken up by Jabari MooreSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Ethan Grady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Ethan Grady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Ruben Anderson pass incomplete to Quentin Lemon, broken up by Max DiDomenicoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.7%
Jabari Laws run for 5 yds to the Buckn 40Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
99.7%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the Buckn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
99.7%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 30 yds to the Buckn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:500% → 0%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Jared Cooper run for 4 yds to the Buckn 34Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
99.8%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Marques Owens for 8 yds to the Buckn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Christian Spugnardi for 5 yds to the Buckn 47Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Damian Harris for 5 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Christian SpugnardiSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
99.8%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Jared Cooper for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 12
50
+2
99.8%
Jared Cooper run for 2 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Ethan Grady punt for 15 yds, downed at the Army 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
99.8%
MARSHALL, A. rush for 10 yards to the BUCKNELL46 (Smith, Alex Jr), PENALTY ARMY holding (HOWARD, A.J.) 10 yards to the ARMY34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+6
99.8%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 6 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+15
99.8%
LAWS, Jabari pass incomplete to WALTERS, B., PENALTY BUCKNELL roughing passer (Rooney, Cade) 15 yards to the BUCKNELL45, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.8%
Tyson Riley run for 12 yds to the Buckn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
99.8%
Jabari Laws run for 11 yds to the Buckn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Ay'Juan Marshall for 22 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Rushawn Baker run for 3 yds to the Buckn 28Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Rushawn Baker run for 9 yds to the Buckn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the Buckn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 8:05100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.9%
Laquan Veney run for 12 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Cade Ballard run for 8 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Wilson Catoe run for 7 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Cade Ballard run for 2 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the Buckn 46Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+7
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 7 yds to the Buckn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
Cade Ballard run for 7 yds to the Buckn 32Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
Wilson Catoe run for 5 yds to the Buckn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
99.9%
Cade Ballard run for 7 yds to the Buckn 20Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Buckn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
Markens Pierre run for 5 yds to the Buckn 12Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Wilson Catoe run for no gain to the Buckn 12Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Cade Ballard run for 2 yds to the Buckn 10Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Laquan Veney run for 6 yds to the Buckn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Markens Pierre run for 4 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 17TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Jared Cooper run for 3 yds to the Buckn 38Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Damian HarrisSimilar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+20
99.9%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Marques Owens for 20 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
99.9%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Christian Spugnardi for 5 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Jared Cooper run for 3 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Jared Cooper run for 19 yds for a TD (Ryan Schatzel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 19FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q3 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Mason Muir, broken up by Isaiah MorrisSimilar
Q3 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Rushawn Baker run for 2 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Matt McCreightSimilar
Q3 2:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Ryan Schatzel 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20TD
16 plays · 97 yds · 8:11100% → 100%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.9%
Wilson Catoe run for 4 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+5
99.9%
Cade Ballard run for 5 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+10
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 10 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.9%
Justin Lescouflair run for 9 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Wilson Catoe run for 5 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Laquan VeneySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+17
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 17 yds to the Buckn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Wilson Catoe run for 3 yds to the Buckn 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+9
99.9%
Cade Ballard run for 9 yds to the Buckn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Shacori Williams run for 4 yds to the Buckn 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+19
99.9%
Markens Pierre run for 19 yds to the Buckn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Shacori Williams run for 1 yd to the Buckn 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+10
99.9%
Ay'Juan Marshall run for 10 yds to the Buckn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Shacori Williams run for no gain to the Buckn 1Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Shacori Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Jared Cooper run for 3 yds to the Buckn 30Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Christian SpugnardiSimilar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Grady, Ethan pass incomplete to Harris, Damian, PENALTY ARMY 12 men on the field 5 yards to the BUCKNELL35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-6
100.0%
Jared Cooper run for a loss of 6 yards to the Buckn 29Similar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 8
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
Ruben Anderson punt for 38 yds , Maurice Bellan returns for 2 yds to the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:51100% → 100%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
100.0%
Jemel Jones run for 17 yds to the Buckn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Shacori Williams run for 3 yds to the Buckn 45Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+14
100.0%
Jemel Jones run for 14 yds to the Buckn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
100.0%
Maurice Bellan run for 7 yds to the Buckn 24Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+9
100.0%
Shacori Williams run for 9 yds to the Buckn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
100.0%
Maurice Bellan run for 9 yds to the Buckn 6Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 23END OF GAME
9 plays · 1 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Rushawn Baker run for 3 yds to the Buckn 28Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Rushawn Baker run for 4 yds to the Buckn 32Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Adam Barakat for 4 yds to the Buckn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Marques Owens, broken up by Cole MabrySimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Rushawn Baker run for 5 yds to the Buckn 41Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-10
100.0%
Ethan Grady sacked by Cole Mabry for a loss of 10 yards to the Buckn 31Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 15
OWN 31
-5
100.0%
BUCKNELL Penalty, delay of game (Sterling Deary) to the Buckn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:42
Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 0:15
Tyhier Tyler run for 17 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)
+0.1
TD · Q2 1:38
Jabari Laws pass complete to Ay'Juan Marshall for 22 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com