Try the model
ARMY

Army 21 at Air Force 14

AF
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Dignity Health Sports Park
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:27 · Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the Army 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 57Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential−0.7Pregame prior+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:07: C. Anderson pass,to T. Robinson for 79 yds for a TD, (C. Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +15.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:23: H. Daniels pass,to D. Kinamon for 4 yds for a TD, (D. Hughes Run For Two-point Conversion) — AF win probability +20.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:24: Timeout ARMY, clock 00:24 — ARMY win probability +20.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:23: Matthew Dapore 30 yd FG GOOD — AF win probability +32.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  5. SACK · OT 0:00: Haaziq Daniels sacked by Andre Carter II for 0 yards to the Army 30 Christian Anderson pass incomplete — ARMY win probability +20.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 8 of 9ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:50AF 4th & 6 at AF 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:55ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:27AF 4th & 6 at AF 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:38ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:34ARMY 4th & 4 at AF 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.7%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:07AF 4th & 10 at AF 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:23ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:27AF 4th & 1 at ARMY 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−1.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:07ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:01AF 4th & 1 at AF 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.5%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:07AF 4th & 9 at ARMY 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−11.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:32ARMY 4th & 3 at AF 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−1.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:20ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−1.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:48AF 4th & 1 at AF 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.4%−6.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:03ARMY 4th & 10 at AF 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−3.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:03AF 4th & 10 at ARMY 39, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%
    36% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−4.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:23AF 4th & 12 at ARMY 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−26.8
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−33.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 0 of 1ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 11:06ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:07ARMY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:23AF Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    34.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AFDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.6%
Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
56.6%
Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
56.6%
Haaziq Daniels run for 7 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
56.6%
AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 29Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
56.6%
Carson Bay punt for 47 yds, downed at the Army 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5543% → 43%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
56.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
56.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+4
56.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
57.0%
Zach Harding punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:2857% → 57%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
56.9%
Brad Roberts run for 11 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
57.1%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
57.2%
Brad Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 42Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+1
56.9%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 43Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
56.8%
Carson Bay punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4MISSED FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 7:5343% → 44%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
56.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 14Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+10
56.9%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 10 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 1
OWN 24
-5
57.0%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 19Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+5
57.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+2
57.5%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+48
57.1%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 48 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
55.9%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 27Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+10
55.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the AFA 17Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
56.2%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
55.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the AFA 12Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
55.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the AFA 9Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
56.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the AFA 9Similar
Q1 0:34
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
56.1%
Cole Talley 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:5358% → 57%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
58.1%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
58.0%
Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
57.8%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
58.3%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
58.3%
Brandon Lewis run for no gain to the AFA 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
57.5%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
57.3%
Carson Bay punt for 49 yds, downed at the Army 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:4443% → 43%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
56.9%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
56.9%
Brandon Walters run for 2 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+9
57.4%
Christian Anderson run for 9 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
56.7%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 9 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
55.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
55.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
55.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the AFA 49Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-4
55.3%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 47Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
56.9%
Zach Harding punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 53 yds · 6:5659% → 59%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
58.8%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 21Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
58.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for 10 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
59.2%
DeAndre Hughes run for 10 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
60.3%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
60.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for 5 yds to the AFA 49Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+5
60.3%
Omar Fattah run for 5 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
61.2%
Omar Fattah run for 2 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+8
60.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for 8 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
60.9%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
61.6%
Omar Fattah run for 5 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
60.5%
Omar Fattah run for no gain to the Army 27Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
59.1%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the Army 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:2046% → 46%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
53.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-1
53.5%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 28Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+1
55.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 29Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 8
OWN 29
+5
56.0%
HARDING, Zach punt 40 yards to the AFA31 downed by BARNARD, Cade. PENALTY Before the snap, AFA Illegal Motion on SANFORD, Vince enforced 5 yards from the AWP29 to the AWP34. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
54.4%
Zach Harding punt for 35 yds, downed at the AFA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
57.5%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:4847% → 65%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
53.3%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+8
52.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+39
51.6%
Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 39 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
50.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the AFA 14Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+10
50.0%
A.J. Howard run for 10 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
50.0%
Braheam Murphy run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 9Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
35.2%
T. Tyler run for 9 yds for a TD, (C. Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:5441% → 48%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
40.8%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
41.1%
Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the AFA 39Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
42.6%
Omar Fattah run for no gain to the AFA 39Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+3
41.0%
Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+36
42.8%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 36 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
45.9%
Omar Fattah run for 1 yd to the Army 21Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-3
45.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 24Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+3
43.0%
Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
47.5%
M. Dapore 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:5556% → 72%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
44.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 21Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+79
28.4%
C. Anderson pass,to T. Robinson for 79 yds for a TD, (C. Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13INT
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:2929% → 31%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
28.8%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
29.1%
Dane Kinamon run for 3 yds to the AFA 35Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+4
28.6%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
29.8%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 16 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+23
31.6%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 23 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
30.7%
Dane Kinamon pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 4:0676% → 79%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
24.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 46Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
24.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 6
50
+7
24.2%
Anthony Adkins run for 7 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
23.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
20.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the AFA 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+2
20.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+2
20.6%
Brandon Walters run for 2 yds to the AFA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:0922% → 47%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
22.0%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 12 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
23.5%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 31 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
26.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for 9 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+3
26.8%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
26.8%
Omar Fattah run for 5 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
26.8%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Army 4Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
47.2%
H. Daniels pass,to D. Kinamon for 4 yds for a TD, (D. Hughes Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0363% → 62%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
37.0%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 24Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
37.4%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 10 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
35.9%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 29Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
37.9%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
38.1%
Zach Harding punt for 57 yds, downed at the AFA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:3242% → 39%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+22
41.5%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Dane Kinamon for 22 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
43.3%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
42.7%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
40.6%
AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (Everett Smalley) to the AFA 31Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+14
35.0%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 14 yds to the AFA 45Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
39.3%
run for no gain to the AFA 45 fumbled, recovered by AFA Haaziq DanielsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4573% → 72%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
27.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the AFA 45Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
27.2%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (A.J. Howard) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 15
50
0
29.5%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 15
50
+5
31.1%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the AFA 45Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
28.3%
Zach Harding punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19FG
17 plays · 78 yds · 4:4034% → 57%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
33.8%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Dane Kinamon for 17 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
36.2%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to DeAndre Hughes for 1 yd to the AFA 27Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+23
34.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Dane Kinamon for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
50
+8
41.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 8 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-1
42.8%
Omar Fattah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 43Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
41.9%
Omar Fattah run for 4 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
42.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
42.4%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+9
40.5%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete pass complete to David Cormier for 9 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+13
35.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for 13 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
45.1%
Omar Fattah run for 15 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-15
45.1%
QB Keeper DANIELS, Haaziq rush to the right for no gain to the AWP11 (MORRISON, Malkelm). PENALTY AFA Chop Block on WIMMER, Hawk enforced 15 yards from the AWP11 to the AWP26 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 25
OPP 26
+3
44.3%
Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 22
OPP 23
+4
42.0%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 18
OPP 19
+6
24.1%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+30
56.9%
Matthew Dapore 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:2152% → 56%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.6%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
48.6%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 7 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
43.9%
Christian Anderson sacked by Johnathan Youngblood for 0 yards to the Army 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 92%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
41.1%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Army 23 Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the AFA 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
20.8%
Haaziq Daniels sacked by Andre Carter II for 0 yards to the Army 30 Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+19
16.0%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 19 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST down Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 19 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST down Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 12 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
8.1%
Omar Fattah run for 2 yds to the Army 9 Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the AFA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:006% → 6%
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 25
0
5.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:23
Matthew Dapore 30 yd FG GOOD
+32.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:24
Timeout ARMY, clock 00:24
-20.6
TD · Q4 10:23
H. Daniels pass,to D. Kinamon for 4 yds for a TD, (D. Hughes Run For Two-point Conversion)
+20.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com