Try the model
IDST

Idaho State 14 at BYU 59

BYU
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:38: Tyler Allgeier run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — IDST win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:22: Jaren Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:29: Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:33: Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:20: Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Jared Scott for 6 yds for a TD, (David Allish KICK) — IDST win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6IDST made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:26IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:38BYU 4th & 2 at IDST 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:03IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:39IDST 4th & 16 at IDST 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:12IDST 4th & 8 at BYU 39, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:06IDST 4th & 9 at BYU 37, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:42BYU 4th & 2 at IDST 15, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:42BYU 4th & 2 at IDST 15, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:06IDST 4th & 4 at IDST 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:06BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 41, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:34IDST 4th & 7 at IDST 18, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:04IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 22, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:49BYU 4th & 10 at IDST 22, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:09IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:43BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 49, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:18IDST 4th & 3 at IDST 10, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:15IDST 4th & 1 at BYU 4, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7IDST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:38BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:03BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:22BYU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:29BYU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:33BYU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:20IDST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:15BYU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:46BYU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:23IDST Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:342% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.3%
Tyevin Ford run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Jared ScottSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.3%
Sagan Gronauer run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+24
98.2%
Kevin Ryan punt for 50 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 24 yds to the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:4898% → 98%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
98.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 10 yds to the IdaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 41Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+4
98.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+8
98.2%
Jaren Hall run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
98.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 10 yds to the IdaSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.2%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
98.2%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 15Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+4
98.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 4 yds to the IdaSt 11Similar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+11
97.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:352% → 2%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Benjamin Omayebu run for no gain to the IdaSt 25Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Tyevin Ford run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Jared ScottSimilar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
97.8%
Kevin Ryan punt for 57 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 7 yds to the BYU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:0098% → 98%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
97.8%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-10
97.8%
Allgeier,Tyler rush for 4 yards gain to the BYU25 (McGinnis,Jake) PENALTY BYU Holding 10 yards from BYU21 to BYU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+46
97.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 46 yds to the IdaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+35
97.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 35 yds to the IdaSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
97.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 6 yds to the IdaSt 2Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Mikey Zele pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:3398% → 99%
Q1 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 1Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Jaren Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:432% → 2%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Tyevin Ford run for no gain to the IdaSt 25Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Mikey Zele pass incomplete to Demonte HortonSimilar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
98.3%
Mikey Zele sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the IdaSt 19Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+11
98.3%
Kevin Ryan punt for 65 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 11 yds to the BYU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:1099% → 99%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
98.5%
Samson Nacua run for 10 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
98.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 9 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
98.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
98.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the IdaSt 43Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+9
98.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 9 yds to the IdaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
98.6%
Jaren Hall sacked by Will Vea for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 35Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+8
98.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds to the IdaSt 27Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
98.6%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
98.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 8 yds to the IdaSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 15
-5
98.6%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Freeland,Blake) 5 yards from ISU15 to ISU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
98.6%
Samson Nacua run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+5
98.6%
Jaren Hall run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:171% → 1%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
Tanner Conner run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
99.0%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Demonte Horton for 15 yds to the IdaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.0%
Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 48Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+11
98.9%
Tyevin Ford run for 11 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
98.9%
Tyevin Ford run for 2 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
98.9%
Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Raiden HunterSimilar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
98.9%
IDAHO ST Penalty, Illegal Shift (Josh Alford) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
99.0%
Kevin Ryan punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 2:3999% → 99%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
99.1%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+6
99.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 6 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
99.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 14 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 3 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+42
99.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 42 yds to the IdaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:271% → 0%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
Gronauer,Sagan pass complete to Conner,Tanner for 23 yards to the ISU48 (Bywater,Ben; Moore,Malik) PENALTY ISU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Collins,Devin) 5 yards from ISU25 to ISU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
99.5%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Jared Scott for 6 yds to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
99.5%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Christian Fredrickson for 23 yds to the IdaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.4%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Jared Scott for 9 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+4
99.3%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.4%
IDAHO ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Sagan Gronauer) to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 21
OPP 49
+10
99.4%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Tanner Conner for 10 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+2
99.4%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Mike Davis for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Kevin Ryan punt for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.6%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
99.6%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the BYU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:060% → 1%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
99.6%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Tanner Conner for 12 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.6%
Sagan Gronauer run for 1 yd to the BYU 6Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.3%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Jared Scott for 6 yds for a TD, (David Allish KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.5%
Neil Pau'u run for 20 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 10 yds to the IdaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Lopini KatoaSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.6%
Jackson McChesney run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+27
99.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 27 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.7%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Dallin HolkerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.6%
Katoa,Lopini rush for 2 yards gain to the BYU27 (Jones,Jacob; Trevino,Raemo) PENALTY BYU False Start (Barrington,Campbell) 5 yards from BYU25 to BYU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
99.6%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Barrington,Campbell) 5 yards from BYU20 to BYU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+8
99.6%
Lopini Katoa run for 8 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 64 yds, fair catch by Shane Dailey Jr. at the IdaSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 17INT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
99.7%
Gronauer,Sagan pass complete to Conner,Tanner for 24 yards to the ISU37 (Pyper,Morgan) PENALTY ISU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from ISU13 to ISU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+10
99.7%
Sagan Gronauer run for 10 yds to the IdaSt 18Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
99.7%
Sagan Gronauer run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 22Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+2
99.7%
Tyevin Ford run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
99.7%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Collins,Devin) 5 yards from ISU24 to ISU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 15
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Sagan Gronauer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 21Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+4
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 17Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+2
99.7%
Jackson McChesney run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 15Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 2
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Dallin HolkerSimilar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 2
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Dallin HolkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.8%
Tyevin Ford run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 20Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+7
99.8%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Demonte Horton for 7 yds to the IdaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.8%
Benjamin Omayebu run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+7
99.8%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Jared Scott for 7 yds to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Sagan Gronauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+12
99.8%
Kevin Ryan punt for 55 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 12 yds to the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.8%
Chris Jackson run for 4 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+32
99.8%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Keanu Hill for 32 yds to the IdaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Dallin HolkerSimilar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+20
99.8%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Keanu Hill for 20 yds to the IdaSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Dallin Holker for 17 yds for a TD, (Justen Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 21TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Tyevin Ford run for 7 yds for a TD, (David Allish KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 8 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 3 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Talmage GuntherSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-5
99.8%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Barrington,Campbell) 5 yards from BYU35 to BYU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+11
99.8%
Hinckley Ropati run for 11 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q3 0:06
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Shane Dailey Jr. at the IdaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:260% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Sagan Gronauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:34
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+19
99.9%
Kevin Ryan punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IdaSt 39 , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 19 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Jackson McChesney run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+10
99.9%
Chris Jackson run for 10 yds to the IdaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Carter Wheat for 5 yds Carter Wheat fumbled, forced by Oshea Trujillo, recovered by IdaSt Jacob JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Tanner ConnerSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
IDAHO ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the IdaSt 22Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+8
99.9%
Kevin Ryan punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 48 , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 8 yds to the BYU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Jackson McChesney run for no gain to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+30
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Chris Jackson for 15 yds to the IDAHOST 37 for a 1ST down IDAHO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Jones) to the IdaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Dallin HolkerSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Chris JacksonSimilar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
PENALTY ISU Offside (Payne,Todd) 5 yards from ISU22 to ISU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-5
99.9%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Keim,Braden) 5 yards from ISU17 to ISU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Chris JacksonSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Justen Smith 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Demonte HortonSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Jared Scott for 3 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Kevin Ryan punt for 39 yds , Talmage Gunther returns for 5 yds to the BYU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Chris Jackson run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+11
99.9%
Jackson McChesney run for 11 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Hinckley Ropati run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Jacob Conover pass incomplete to Chris JacksonSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Jackson McChesney run for 1 yd to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 29PUNT TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
100.0%
Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Tanner ConnerSimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+1
100.0%
Soujah Gasu run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 4Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+6
100.0%
Soujah Gasu run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 10Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Kevin Ryan punt blocked by Keanu Hill blocked by Keanu Hill for a TD, (Justen Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 30DOWNS
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:580% → 0%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
100.0%
Tyevin Ford run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 17Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+48
100.0%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Tanner Conner for 48 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
100.0%
Tyevin Ford run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
100.0%
Raiden Hunter run for 6 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
100.0%
Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Tanner Conner for 11 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
100.0%
Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
100.0%
Tyevin Ford run for 5 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
100.0%
Tyevin Ford run for 1 yd to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+1
100.0%
Tyevin Ford run for 1 yd to the BYU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
100.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:29
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 9:38
Tyler Allgeier run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
-0.3
TD · Q1 5:22
Jaren Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com