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BOIS

Boise State 26 at BYU 17

BYU
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:27 · Joel Velazquez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense−33.4Pregame prior+1.6Garbage-time factor−9.8Score differential−17.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:29: Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +11.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:34: Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +9.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:20: Jonah Dalmas 28 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +7.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:27: Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +23.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. FG · Q4 3:27: Jonah Dalmas 22 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +2.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 10:24BYU 4th & 9 at BOIS 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:15BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:25BOIS 4th & 11 at BYU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:05BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:48BOIS 4th & 4 at BYU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−1.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:03BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.4%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:01BOIS 4th & 3 at BYU 3, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%−2.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−9.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:20BOIS 4th & 4 at BYU 11, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%−0.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−9.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:44BYU 4th & 8 at BOIS 46, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    27.2%−1.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    28.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:19BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 14, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−1.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:01BYU 4th & 5 at BOIS 5, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.9%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−8.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:27BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 29, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:27BOIS 4th & 4 at BYU 4, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−11.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:55BYU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:29BOIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:34BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:27BYU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:2162% → 62%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
61.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 23 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
61.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+10
61.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
61.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 14 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
62.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 8 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+2
62.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
62.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for no gain to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
62.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-5
62.0%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
62.0%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
62.2%
Jake Oldroyd 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4538% → 37%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
62.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Octavius EvansSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
62.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-4
62.6%
Joel Velazquez punt for 50 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 16 Hobbs Nyberg fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:0562% → 65%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+37
62.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 37 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
62.7%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
62.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+4
63.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Chris Jackson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
63.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+14
65.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4FG
18 plays · 59 yds · 5:0936% → 34%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
64.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 8 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+4
64.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
64.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+10
64.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 10 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
64.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+11
64.2%
Hank Bachmeier run for 11 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+12
64.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 12 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
64.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-5
63.8%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
64.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Tyneil HopperSimilar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+13
65.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 13 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
64.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the BYU 23Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
64.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for a loss of 1 yard Stefan Cobbs fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Stefan CobbsSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
66.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Octavius EvansSimilar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+41
66.1%
Jonah Dalmas 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:1666% → 66%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.0%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
65.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
66.5%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
66.4%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
66.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+8
65.6%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 44 yds , Khalil Shakir returns for 8 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:0434% → 33%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
66.4%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+3
65.7%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
66.2%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
65.9%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+6
66.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 6 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
65.6%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
65.9%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
66.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Octavius EvansSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
67.3%
Joel Velazquez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2668% → 68%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
68.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 6 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+3
68.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+2
66.7%
Neil Pau'u run for 2 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.7%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
67.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 24 Tyler Allgeier fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Scott MatlockSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:0735% → 47%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
65.2%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+9
65.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 9 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
65.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
53.5%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:2247% → 57%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
53.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 7 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+3
53.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
53.1%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
52.7%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the BYU 2Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
52.8%
Hank Bachmeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 1Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5048% → 47%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
47.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
48.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+5
46.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 5 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
47.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11END OF HALF
11 plays · 43 yds · 1:4560% → 63%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
40.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 6 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
39.2%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
39.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
38.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 10 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
38.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 24 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
38.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 3Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Riley SmithSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
36.8%
Jonah Dalmas 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 6:0860% → 73%
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
39.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
38.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for 8 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
37.6%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
36.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+4
36.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+6
36.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 6 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+6
36.0%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 6 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
34.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 6 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
34.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
34.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
33.4%
Tyler Crowe run for 1 yd to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+5
33.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 5 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
33.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
26.6%
Jonah Dalmas 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13FUMBLE
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:3930% → 30%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
29.9%
Puka Nacua run for 16 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
29.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 17 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
30.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for no gain to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
29.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
30.9%
Jaren Hall sacked by Scott Matlock for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+3
29.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
27.9%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 8
OPP 46
+15
26.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 15 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
30.4%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+13
30.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 10 Lopini Katoa fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Alexander Teubner , return for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4781% → 81%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
19.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
18.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
19.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+2
19.4%
Joel Velazquez punt for 52 yds , Talmage Gunther returns for 2 yds to the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15DOWNS
17 plays · 59 yds · 6:5826% → 21%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
25.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+18
23.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 18 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
25.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 16 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
27.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 7 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
27.2%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+4
25.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
26.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+2
25.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+5
23.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
25.1%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+4
23.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 11
OPP 12
-5
23.9%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 16
OPP 17
+14
22.5%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the BoiSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
24.1%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
24.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
22.1%
Jaren Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
20.8%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0590% → 92%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
9.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+2
9.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+15
9.7%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
8.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-9
8.4%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Pepe Tanuvasa for a loss of 9 yards to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 17
OWN 16
+13
8.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tyler Eiguren for 13 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
8.4%
Joel Velazquez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:4812% → 41%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+59
12.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 59 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
16.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 10 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.8%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 3:5577% → 91%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
23.0%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
21.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
19.7%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
19.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
18.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+8
17.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 8 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+35
14.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 35 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
14.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the BYU 3Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
12.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
11.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q4 3:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
9.2%
Jonah Dalmas 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:2111% → 7%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.8%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
9.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 10 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
8.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 19 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
9.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 17 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
11.0%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Tyler AllgeierSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
10.4%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 20
OPP 39
0
7.9%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 20
OPP 39
0
6.8%
Jaren Hall pass intercepted Kaonohi Kaniho return for no gain to the BoiSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4996% → 96%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
4.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+4
4.2%
Tyler Crowe run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-1
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-1
4.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:27
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+23.8
TD · Q2 6:29
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q2 3:34
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com