Try the model
ARIZ

Arizona 15 at Arizona State 38

ASU
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Mountain America Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:40 · Will Plummer pass complete to Boobie Curry for 14 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+9.2Home team on offense+29.6Score differential+22.3Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:12: Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +3.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:07: Jayden Daniels run for 48 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +5.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:35: Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ARIZ win probability +8.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:50: Ricky Pearsall 14 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Jayden Daniels Pass to Curtis Hodges for Two-Point Conversion) — ASU win probability +7.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:49: Jack Jones 87 Yd Interception Return (Cristian Zendejas Kick) — ASU win probability +4.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:37ARIZ 4th & 11 at ASU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:55ARIZ 4th & 8 at ASU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:33ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:34ARIZ 4th & 17 at ARIZ 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:33ASU 4th & 5 at ARIZ 40, up 8
    Close callPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:19ARIZ 4th & 3 at ASU 14, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:13ASU 4th & 17 at ASU 29, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:12ARIZ 4th & 13 at ARIZ 36, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:02ARIZ 4th & 2 at ASU 13, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:47ASU 4th & 16 at ASU 28, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47ARIZ 4th & 1 at ASU 23, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−1.0
    70% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:40ARIZ 4th & 6 at ASU 43, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:51ARIZ 4th & 18 at ASU 25, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:04ASU 4th & 22 at ASU 29, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ARIZ made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 6:14ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:12ASU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:07ASU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:35ARIZ Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:50ASU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:49ASU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1FG
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:178% → 9%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+23
92.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 23 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+44
92.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Dorian Singer for 44 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
92.5%
Will Plummer run for no gain to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
92.5%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+7
92.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 7 yds to the ArzSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
92.5%
Will Plummer sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+1
92.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 1 yd to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
91.3%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Alex LinesSimilar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
91.2%
Tyler Loop 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2391% → 91%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.3%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
91.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 4 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
91.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
91.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 41 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bryan Thompson) to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+11
91.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+27
91.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 27 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
91.5%
Rachaad White run for 8 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+9
91.5%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 9 yds to the Ariz 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
91.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 14 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 6:199% → 12%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.8%
Will Plummer pass complete to Drake Anderson for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
90.7%
Jamarye Joiner run for 5 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
90.7%
Will Plummer run for 7 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
90.6%
BJ Casteel run for 8 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
90.5%
Jamarye Joiner run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.5%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
90.5%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+36
90.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Dorian Singer for 36 yds to the ArzSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
90.3%
Jalen John run for no gain to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
90.3%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
90.5%
PENALTY ARZ False Start (Morgan,Jordan) 5 yards from ASU01 to ASU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
88.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for 2 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
88.1%
Tyler Loop 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2289% → 88%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.6%
Rachaad White run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
88.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
88.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis HodgesSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
87.7%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · -27 yds · 1:1812% → 13%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
87.8%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
87.8%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 4 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-33
87.4%
Will Plummer sacked by Jack Jones for a loss of 33 yards to the Ariz 1 Will Plummer fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Tyler Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:3810% → 10%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
90.2%
Will Plummer pass complete to Boobie Curry for 13 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
89.9%
Jalen John run for no gain to the Ariz 38Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-12
89.9%
Will Plummer sacked by Eric Gentry for a loss of 12 yards to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 22
OWN 26
+5
90.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for 5 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 17
OWN 31
0
90.3%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:0190% → 90%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
89.8%
Rachaad White run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
90.3%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Elijhah Badger for no gain to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
90.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
90.4%
Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
90.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+3
90.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 3 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+4
89.8%
PENALTY ARZ Delay Of Game (Edwards,RJ) 4 yards from ARZ40 to ARZ36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-4
89.9%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Hatch,Case) 4 yards from ARZ36 to ARZ40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
89.7%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9FG
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:149% → 15%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
90.6%
Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 15 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
90.2%
Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 28 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
89.4%
Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 8
50
+29
89.1%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 29 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
88.6%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 4 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
88.6%
Will Plummer run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
88.1%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Dorian SingerSimilar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
85.1%
Tyler Loop 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:0686% → 88%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.0%
Rachaad White run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
86.4%
Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
86.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-9
85.9%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Mo Diallo for a loss of 9 yards to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
88.1%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:0114% → 13%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
86.4%
Plummer,Will pass incomplete to Lines,Alex PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Pierce,Deandre) 15 yards from ARZ24 to ARZ39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
85.8%
Will Plummer run for 2 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-5
85.7%
PENALTY ARZ False Start 5 yards from ARZ41 to ARZ36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+5
86.4%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 5 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-5
86.1%
PENALTY ARZ False Start (Simpson,Anthony) 5 yards from ARZ41 to ARZ36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
86.7%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+7
86.7%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 46 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 7 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:1289% → 84%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.9%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
84.0%
PENALTY ARZ UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mason,Trevon) 15 yards from ARZ35 to ARZ20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:4686% → 92%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
85.9%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+15
86.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 15 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.0%
Rachaad White run for no gain to the Ariz 48Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+48
92.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 48 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:2710% → 17%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
90.1%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 3 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
89.9%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 6
50
+29
90.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 29 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
89.1%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Alex LinesSimilar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
89.3%
Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 8 yds to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
89.7%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+4
90.0%
Jamarye Joiner run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
89.1%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 4 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.3%
Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
83.3%
PENALTY ARZ UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Singer,Dorian) 15 yards from ARZ35 to ARZ20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:3885% → 95%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
85.3%
Ricky Pearsall run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+5
86.0%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 34 Rachaad White fumbled, forced by Jalen Harris, recovered by ArzSt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
85.5%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
86.6%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+5
86.9%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 5 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
87.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 4 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
86.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 5 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+12
86.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 12 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
87.1%
Rachaad White run for 7 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+14
94.5%
Ricky Pearsall 14 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Jayden Daniels Pass to Curtis Hodges for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16SF
9 plays · -3 yds · 3:065% → 5%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
94.9%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+1
94.9%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the Ariz 8Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+9
95.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 9 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
94.7%
Jamarye Joiner pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
94.7%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-8
94.8%
Will Plummer sacked by Stanley Lambert for a loss of 8 yards to the Ariz 9Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 18
OWN 9
-5
95.0%
PENALTY ARZ Delay Of Game 5 yards from ARZ09 to ARZ04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 23
OWN 4
-4
95.5%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5196% → 96%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
96.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 19
OWN 25
+2
96.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 2 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 21
OWN 23
+5
96.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 16
OWN 28
+6
96.0%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 56 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 6 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18INT TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:585% → 1%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+34
95.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 19 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Anthonie Cooper) to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
95.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to Boobie Curry for 15 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.9%
Drake Anderson run for no gain to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
94.9%
Will Plummer run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+6
95.0%
Drake Anderson run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
94.2%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+4
94.1%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
94.6%
Jamarye Joiner run for no gain to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+1
94.6%
Clay Markoff run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-87
98.9%
Jack Jones 87 Yd Interception Return (Cristian Zendejas Kick)Similar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.2%
PENALTY ASU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jones,Jack) 15 yards from ASU35 to ASU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
99.2%
PENALTY ASU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Clark,Jordan) 10 yards from ASU20 to ASU10. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 3:491% → 1%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.1%
Will Plummer pass complete to Drake Anderson for 1 yd to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+3
99.1%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
99.1%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 6
OPP 43
+14
99.1%
Will Plummer pass complete to Boobie Curry for 14 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.9%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+12
99.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to Boobie Curry for 12 yds to the ArzSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
98.9%
Drake Anderson run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+1
98.9%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 1 yd to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 4
OPP 11
-15
99.0%
Plummer,Will pass complete to Berryhill III,Stanley for 0 yards to the ASU11 lateral to Rocker Jr.,Stevie to the ASU17 (Soelle,Kyle) PENALTY ARZ Face Mask (Rocker Jr.,Stevie) 15 yards from ASU11 to ASU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 19
OPP 26
+1
99.1%
Will Plummer run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 18
OPP 25
+13
99.4%
Will Plummer pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 13 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 17 yds · 4:4799% → 100%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.4%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+5
99.4%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+6
99.4%
Rachaad White run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.4%
Rachaad White run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+5
99.5%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Rachaad White run for no gain to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-15
99.5%
PENALTY ASU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Henderson,LaDarius) 15 yards from ASU41 to ASU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 25
OWN 26
+3
99.4%
Rachaad White run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 22
OWN 29
+5
99.6%
PENALTY ARZ Offside (Hodge Jr.,Rashie) 5 yards from ASU29 to ASU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 17
OWN 34
-5
99.6%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Trayanum,DeaMonte) 5 yards from ASU34 to ASU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 22
OWN 29
+19
99.6%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 62 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 19 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 15 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
99.6%
Jamarye Joiner run for 12 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.6%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:35
Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-8.8
TD · Q3 4:50
Ricky Pearsall 14 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Jayden Daniels Pass to Curtis Hodges for Two-Point Conversion)
+7.3
TD · Q3 13:07
Jayden Daniels run for 48 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com