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COLO

Colorado 13 at Utah 28

UTAH
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2021 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:37 · Brendon Lewis pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+0.6Home team on offense+31.4Score differential+10.7Garbage-time factor+6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+17.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+6.3
This game in five plays
  1. MISSED FG · Q1 4:15: Jadon Redding 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by — COLO win probability +2.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 8:08: Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 28 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:37: Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 38 — COLO win probability +4.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:08: Tavion Thomas 12 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick) — UTAH win probability +5.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:45: Britain Covey 13 Yd pass from Cameron Rising (Jadon Redding Kick) — UTAH win probability +4.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:32COLO 4th & 10 at UTAH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:15UTAH 4th & 6 at COLO 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:14COLO 4th & 8 at UTAH 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:47COLO 4th & 28 at COLO 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:47UTAH 4th & 2 at COLO 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:40COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:14UTAH 4th & 2 at COLO 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:11COLO 4th & 28 at COLO 8, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−2.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:05COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 42, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:13UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:40COLO 4th & 7 at UTAH 23, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:39UTAH 4th & 1 at COLO 26, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−2.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:15COLO 4th & 13 at COLO 23, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:25UTAH 4th & 7 at COLO 35, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:37COLO 4th & 13 at COLO 23, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 12:23UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:08UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:08UTAH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:45UTAH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:3193% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.5%
TJ Pledger run for 10 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
92.2%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted return for no gain to the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:578% → 8%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
92.1%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Utah 15Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
92.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
92.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
91.9%
Cole Becker 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3MISSED FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 8:1792% → 89%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.9%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
91.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 14 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
91.9%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
91.9%
TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+11
91.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 11 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
92.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 4 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
92.0%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+4
91.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 4 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+7
91.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
92.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+10
92.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 10 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
92.0%
TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-3
92.0%
TJ Pledger run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 20Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+1
91.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Colo 19Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
89.1%
Jadon Redding 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:0111% → 13%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
89.0%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
89.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+13
89.1%
Brendon Lewis run for 13 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
87.9%
Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-2
87.6%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
87.9%
UTAH Penalty, Offsides (Devin Lloyd) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
87.4%
Dimitri Stanley run for 2 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
86.2%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
86.6%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
87.0%
Cole Becker 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:5187% → 89%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.9%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
86.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+6
87.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 6 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
87.3%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+12
87.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 12 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
87.6%
TJ Pledger run for 27 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
88.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 19 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -18 yds · 1:3612% → 11%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.3%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Jake Wiley) to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
88.4%
Daniel Arias run for no gain to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
88.5%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Devin Lloyd for 0 yards to the Colo 12Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
88.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 23
OWN 12
-5
88.6%
WATTS, Josh punt 42 yards to the UU 46, fair catch by COVEY, Britain. PENALTY Before the snap, CU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the CU 12 to the CU 7. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 28
OWN 7
+16
88.6%
Josh Watts punt for 48 yds , Britain Covey returns for 16 yds to the Colo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:3988% → 91%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
88.4%
Cameron Rising run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 42 fumbled, recovered by Utah Cameron RisingSimilar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
88.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
87.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+9
88.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 9 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
91.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 28 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:229% → 9%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 4 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
90.6%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 21 fumbled, recovered by Colo Brendon LewisSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
91.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+5
91.2%
Josh Watts punt for 45 yds , Britain Covey returns for 5 yds to the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:4091% → 91%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
90.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
90.9%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+21
90.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 21 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
91.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
91.0%
Britain Covey run for 5 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 1
OPP 23
-1
90.8%
TJ Pledger run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+1
90.5%
Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:1410% → 13%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
90.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
90.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Matt Lynch for 6 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
90.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
90.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
89.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 3 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+12
90.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 12 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
89.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 7 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
90.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+56
87.4%
Cole Becker 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:2983% → 90%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
83.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+13
84.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 13 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
84.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 11 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
84.7%
Cameron Rising run for 8 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+16
85.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 16 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
85.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
90.1%
Tavion Thomas 12 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 2:5212% → 11%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
88.1%
Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the Colo 17Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+9
88.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 9 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
88.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-10
88.2%
LEWIS, Brendon scrambles to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the CU 32 (SEWELL, Nephi), out of bounds. PENALTY CU Holding on WILEY, Jake enforced 10 yards from the CU 26 to the CU 16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 20
OWN 16
0
88.3%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 20
OWN 16
0
88.8%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Mika Tafua for 0 yards to the Colo 8Similar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 28
OWN 8
+6
89.0%
Josh Watts punt for 48 yds , Britain Covey returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:2690% → 94%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
50
-1
89.6%
Britain Covey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+33
89.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 33 yds to the Colo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
89.9%
TJ Pledger run for 4 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+1
89.9%
TJ Pledger run for 1 yd to the Colo 13Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
94.3%
Britain Covey 13 Yd pass from Cameron Rising (Jadon Redding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:407% → 6%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.3%
Brendon Lewis run for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
92.7%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Dimitri Stanley) to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
93.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
92.9%
Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
92.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 5 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-4
93.5%
Deion Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 42Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
93.9%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake Wiley) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+4
94.4%
Josh Watts punt for 44 yds , Britain Covey returns for 4 yds to the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5296% → 96%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
96.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 11 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-16
96.1%
UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-16 Yards) to the Utah 13Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 25
OWN 14
+10
95.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 10 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 15
OWN 24
0
95.8%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 15
OWN 24
+14
95.6%
Michael Williams punt for 50 yds , Chase Penry returns for 14 yds to the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 4:335% → 5%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
94.8%
Deion Smith run for 16 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
94.9%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
94.9%
Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+15
95.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 15 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
94.1%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
94.1%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+1
94.8%
Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 7
OPP 23
0
95.5%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 51 yds · 4:0197% → 97%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
96.7%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 22Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+1
96.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 1 yd to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+11
96.7%
Cameron Rising run for 11 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+31
96.8%
TJ Pledger run for 31 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
97.0%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
97.0%
TJ Pledger run for 7 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+2
97.0%
TJ Pledger run for 2 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
97.3%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:243% → 3%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
96.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
96.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 6 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
96.5%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Van Fillinger for 0 yards to the Colo 23Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
97.1%
Josh Watts punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:5098% → 98%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+20
97.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 20 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
97.8%
TJ Pledger run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 9
50
+12
97.8%
TJ Pledger run for 12 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
97.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+1
98.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
98.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
98.4%
Cameron Rising punt for 20 yds, downed at the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:482% → 1%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
98.0%
Brendon Lewis run for 9 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
97.8%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Aliki Vimahi for 0 yards to the Colo 19Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 17
OWN 19
+4
99.3%
Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
99.2%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:08
Tavion Thomas 12 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick)
+5.1
TD · Q3 6:45
Britain Covey 13 Yd pass from Cameron Rising (Jadon Redding Kick)
+4.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:37
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 38
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com