Try the model
WASH

Washington 17 at Colorado 20

COLO
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFUMBLEFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 10 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Pregame prior−20.6Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:11: Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +13.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 14:35: Cole Becker 22 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +8.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:05: Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — COLO win probability +16.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:30: Dylan Morris pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 55 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +20.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:24: Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 02:24 — COLO win probability +14.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 10WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00COLO 4th & 5 at WASH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52COLO 4th & 3 at WASH 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:46WASH 4th & 12 at COLO 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−4.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:40COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:03WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:47COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:14WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 31, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:59COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:17COLO 4th & 2 at WASH 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:17WASH 4th & 7 at COLO 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−1.0
    23% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:34COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:55WASH 4th & 15 at COLO 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:08COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−2.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:35COLO 4th & 4 at WASH 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−17.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:00COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 32, up 3
    Close callPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:16WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−3.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:16WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 2:11WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:05COLO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:30WASH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.6 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%−2.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:0829% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
29.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Trent McDuffie) to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
29.4%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Casey Roddick) to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+7
29.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 7 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+2
29.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+1
29.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+10
29.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 10 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
29.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Wash 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+5
29.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+1
29.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 1 yd to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
32.4%
Cole Becker 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2FUMBLE TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 7:1568% → 61%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.2%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
32.1%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
32.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 16 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
31.9%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
32.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 2 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+21
32.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 21 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
31.6%
Kamari Pleasant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+7
31.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 7 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+14
31.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 14 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
31.6%
MCMILLAN, Jalen rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the COL9 (BLACKMON, Mekhi). PENALTY WAS Holding on CULP, Devin enforced 10 yards from the COL14 to the COL24. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+17
31.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 17 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
34.6%
Jay'Veon Sunday run for 4 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
39.1%
run for a loss of 9 yards fumbled, recovered by Colo Jack Lamb for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:4359% → 56%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
40.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 9 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
40.1%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
40.1%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
40.4%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
42.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 4 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+21
42.4%
Dylan Morris run for 21 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
41.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 7 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+10
41.4%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Holding (Mustafa Johnson) to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
41.3%
Cameron Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
41.5%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
42.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
43.9%
Peyton Henry 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0645% → 44%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.5%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.3%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
43.8%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+6
44.1%
Josh Watts punt for 47 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 6 yds to the Wash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3756% → 53%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
44.5%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Taj Davis for 1 yd to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
44.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
45.5%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Carson Wells for 0 yards to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 10
OWN 33
+23
47.5%
Race Porter punt for 57 yds , Chase Penry returns for 23 yds to the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1647% → 48%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
47.2%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
47.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Ty Robinson for 6 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
47.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+4
47.8%
Josh Watts punt for 43 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 4 yds to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3352% → 50%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
48.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 6 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+3
47.4%
Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
47.5%
Patrick O'Brien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
50.3%
Race Porter punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Chase Penry at the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:1551% → 51%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
50.5%
Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
50.5%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Jeremiah Martin for 0 yards to the Colo 12Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+7
49.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 7 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+17
50.7%
Josh Watts punt for 48 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 17 yds to the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:4851% → 64%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
49.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 1 yd to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
49.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 2 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+17
49.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 17 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
47.9%
Jalen McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
48.2%
Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+11
49.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 11 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
36.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:5444% → 45%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
43.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 20 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
45.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
45.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+8
44.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 8 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
45.3%
Josh Watts punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11END OF HALF
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:1759% → 64%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
40.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 18 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
39.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+13
39.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jack Westover for 13 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
37.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 7 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
36.6%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
37.2%
Dylan Morris sacked by Carson Wells for 0 yards to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+9
39.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
36.4%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12INT
12 plays · 39 yds · 4:5860% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.2%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
39.8%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
41.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 9 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
39.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 6 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
37.7%
Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
38.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 4 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
37.6%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
37.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+20
37.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jack Westover for 20 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
36.1%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
36.5%
Cameron Davis run for 12 yds to the Colo 16 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaxson Kirkland) to the Colo 36Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 18
OPP 36
0
40.4%
Dylan Morris pass intercepted return for no gain to the Colo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2846% → 46%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
46.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
46.0%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+5
44.1%
LEWIS, Brendon pass to the right incomplete intended for ARIAS, Daniel thrown to the WAS25. PENALTY WAS Offsides on TUNUUFI, Voi enforced 5 yards from the COL29 to the COL34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+2
45.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Ty Robinson for 2 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
45.5%
Josh Watts punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:3958% → 53%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
42.5%
Cameron Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-2
43.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+28
45.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 28 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
39.6%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+13
39.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 13 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
38.1%
Cameron Davis run for 8 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 2
OPP 18
-5
38.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offsides (Victor Curne) to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
38.1%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
40.0%
Dylan Morris sacked by Mustafa Johnson for 0 yards to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 3:55
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+49
46.6%
Peyton Henry 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4749% → 47%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
49.1%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-10
48.8%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dimitri Stanley) to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+5
48.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 5 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
47.5%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+12
46.8%
Josh Watts punt for 46 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 12 yds to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4354% → 53%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
45.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 2 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-5
46.6%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 7 fumbled, recovered by Colo Robert BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5056% → 64%
Q3 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
56.0%
Deion Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
56.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 4 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
55.1%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 14:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
63.8%
Cole Becker 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18INT
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.1%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+33
61.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 33 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
54.7%
Kamari Pleasant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 41Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+10
55.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 10 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
54.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
52.7%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
53.3%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
55.3%
Dylan Morris pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.8%
COLORADO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mekhi Blackmon) to the Colo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:2367% → 93%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.8%
COLORADO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mekhi Blackmon) to the Colo 10Similar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
66.4%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 8Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+13
65.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Matt Lynch for 13 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
66.8%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
66.5%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
69.8%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
68.6%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+15
66.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 15 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
71.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 26 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
72.1%
Brendon Lewis run for 8 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+3
76.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.5%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.5%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.5%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:359% → 31%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.1%
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
91.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 5 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
90.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 14 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
89.0%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+55
68.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 55 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2484% → 87%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.1%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
86.4%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
86.5%
Josh Watts punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4421% → 17%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
78.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 5 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
77.8%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
80.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
83.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
83.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:30
Dylan Morris pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 55 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
-20.4
TD · Q4 4:05
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)
+16.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:24
Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 02:24
+14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com