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ORE

Oregon 26 at Washington 16

WASH
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGSAFETYTDTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:52 · Race Porter punt for 43 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 6 yds to the Oregn 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Home team on offense−1.2Pregame prior−8.8Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:08: Devon Williams 31 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +11.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:38: Anthony Brown 2 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +13.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:53: Travis Dye 19 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +10.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:13: Sean McGrew 2 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick) — WASH win probability +10.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. SAFETY · Q4 1:57: TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY — ORE win probability +2.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 8:40ORE 4th & 11 at WASH 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:57WASH 4th & 1 at ORE 46, up 6
    Close callPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:49ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:20WASH 4th & 3 at midfield, up 6
    Close callPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 24, down 6
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:03ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:17WASH 4th & 1 at ORE 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−1.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−6.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:21WASH 4th & 8 at ORE 46, down 1
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:01ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 49, up 1
    Close callPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:52WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 33, down 1
    Close callPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:05WASH 4th & 4 at ORE 49, down 8
    Close callPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:44ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 47, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:28WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 4, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−4.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:14ORE 4th & 28 at WASH 32, up 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:14WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:08ORE Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:38ORE Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:53ORE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:13WASH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.3%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1INT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:5968% → 67%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
32.1%
Anthony Brown run for 11 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
32.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
32.4%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
50
+2
32.4%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-50
32.6%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Carson Bruener return for 50 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3133% → 34%
Q1 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
33.2%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.3%
Sean McGrew 1 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:1866% → 65%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
34.2%
Anthony Brown run for 9 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Dominique Hampton) to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
34.4%
Byron Cardwell run for 4 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+20
34.4%
Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Lolohea) to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
34.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis DyeSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
35.1%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-5
35.5%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Steven Jones) to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+1
36.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+46
35.5%
Camden Lewis 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0336% → 36%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
35.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
35.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
35.9%
Race Porter punt for 65 yds, downed at the Oregn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
37.5%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5338% → 40%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
38.4%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+4
38.6%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+2
39.3%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
39.5%
Race Porter punt for 44 yds, downed at the Oregn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:3961% → 58%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
39.3%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+3
39.8%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 10Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+5
40.4%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
40.3%
Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the Oregn 20Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-5
40.2%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Dawson Jaramillo) to the Oregn 15Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
40.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis DyeSimilar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
41.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis DyeSimilar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
41.7%
Tom Snee punt for 42 yds, downed at the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1543% → 43%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
42.7%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
43.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 3
50
0
43.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 3
50
+8
42.7%
Race Porter punt for 41 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 8 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:1958% → 57%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
41.8%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Spencer WebbSimilar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
42.1%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+7
42.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 7 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
42.9%
Tom Snee punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:1044% → 46%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
44.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 12 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
45.1%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
45.8%
Dylan Morris pass intercepted Jordan Happle return for no gain to the Oregn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0257% → 55%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
43.2%
Byron Cardwell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
43.3%
Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
44.0%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+21
45.0%
Tom Snee punt for 43 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 21 yds to the Wash 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:4647% → 49%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
47.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Devin Culp) to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+9
46.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 9 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
48.1%
Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Oregn 47Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+15
47.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 15 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
49.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 33Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
49.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for no gain to the Oregn 33Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+10
49.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 10 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-1
49.2%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:5252% → 65%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
47.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 22 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
45.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Moliki MatavaoSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+13
47.0%
Travis Dye run for 13 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
46.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
45.3%
Byron Cardwell run for no gain to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+4
46.6%
Byron Cardwell run for 4 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
35.4%
Devon Williams 31 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:2340% → 40%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
40.4%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+14
42.8%
Sean McGrew run for 14 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
43.6%
Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Oregn 48Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
43.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 2 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
42.8%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
40.1%
Race Porter punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 2:1261% → 61%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
38.9%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+3
38.7%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+5
39.7%
Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
38.6%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+17
38.3%
Travis Dye run for 17 yds to the Oregn 43 Travis Dye fumbled, forced by Dominique Hampton, recovered by Oregn Jaylon Redd for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
36.4%
Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
36.2%
Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the Oregn 46Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+3
38.0%
Byron Cardwell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
38.7%
Tom Snee punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
38.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5742% → 41%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.7%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
42.2%
Dylan Morris sacked by Jeffrey Bassa for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
40.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 9 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
40.9%
Race Porter punt for 43 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 6 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:5760% → 77%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
39.8%
Travis Dye run for 11 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
38.6%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
38.5%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 1
50
+45
38.3%
Travis Dye run for 45 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
36.8%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Wash 2Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.5%
Anthony Brown 2 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5530% → 28%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
29.6%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
30.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for no gain to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
29.8%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+5
27.7%
Race Porter punt for 39 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 5 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 5:0674% → 78%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
25.6%
Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+4
24.4%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
24.8%
Byron Cardwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 25Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+8
25.4%
Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+5
24.4%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
22.4%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-4
20.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Byron Cardwell for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 38Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+9
21.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
22.3%
Tom Snee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Wash 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:0723% → 21%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
23.1%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+3
22.9%
Dylan Morris run for 3 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 5
OWN 12
-5
22.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Ulumoo Ale) to the Wash 7Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 7
-3
21.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (Dylan Morris) to the Wash 4Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 13
OWN 4
0
21.5%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q3 0:28
4TH & 13
OWN 4
+33
20.8%
Race Porter punt for 51 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 33 yds to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:2082% → 92%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
18.0%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
7.6%
Travis Dye 19 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:2213% → 25%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
13.3%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
13.2%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
13.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 15 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
14.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+19
14.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Sean McGrew for 19 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
15.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
14.9%
Davis, Cameron rush for 1 yard to the OREGON25, PENALTY OREGON offside 5 yards to the OREGON21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
15.2%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Oregn 20Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+15
13.7%
Morris, Dylan pass incomplete to Bynum, Terrell, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Manning, Dontae) 15 yards to the OREGON5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
14.7%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
14.6%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the Oregn 2Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.8%
Sean McGrew 2 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24PUNT
22 plays · 43 yds · 8:4183% → 94%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.3%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
16.9%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Steven Jones) to the Oregn 24Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+28
17.1%
Travis Dye run for 28 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
14.2%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 47Similar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+4
14.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 4 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+1
13.6%
Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+13
12.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 13 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
11.2%
Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+10
9.2%
Byron Cardwell run for 10 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
8.7%
Byron Cardwell run for 1 yd to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
7.8%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
7.5%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
7.5%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
5.9%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Wash 9 OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Alex Forsyth) to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+2
5.8%
Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 18
OPP 22
-15
5.4%
OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (Mycah Pittman) to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 33
OPP 37
0
5.8%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 33
OPP 37
+5
6.2%
Byron Cardwell run for 5 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 28
OPP 32
0
5.9%
Tom Snee punt for 22 yds, downed at the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25SF
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:128% → 5%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
8.0%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
7.8%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
7.2%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 10
OWN 10
-10
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:4296% → 97%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
3.8%
Byron Cardwell run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+10
3.6%
Anthony Brown run for 10 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
3.5%
Byron Cardwell run for 5 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+2
3.5%
Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+10
3.5%
Byron Cardwell run for 10 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:38
Anthony Brown 2 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)
-13.3
TD · Q2 5:08
Devon Williams 31 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Camden Lewis Kick)
-11.2
TD · Q4 14:53
Travis Dye 19 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com