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UTAH

Utah 52 at Stanford 7

STAN
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2021 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:14 · Michael Williams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Home team on offense−41.1Score differential−21.5Pregame prior−10.8Garbage-time factor−10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:15: Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:31: Tavion Thomas run for 58 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:37: Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +5.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:10: TJ Pledger run for 96 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Jadon Redding 29 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +3.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:48STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:07STAN 4th & 22 at STAN 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:07UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.2%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:43STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:54STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:54STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:26STAN 4th & 14 at STAN 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:07STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00UTAH 4th & 2 at STAN 11, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:14UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 30, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:35STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:11UTAH 4th & 3 at STAN 3, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:11STAN 4th & 4 at UTAH 41, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:57UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:15UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:31UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:37UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:10UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:14STAN Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:11UTAH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:48UTAH Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0375% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
24.6%
Cameron Rising run for 2 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
24.6%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Tavion ThomasSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+18
24.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 18 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
24.6%
Micah Bernard run for 12 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
24.6%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
24.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
24.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
24.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
25.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0926% → 25%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.5%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
25.5%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
25.3%
Jack West run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+12
25.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 55 yds , Britain Covey returns for 12 yds to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:3375% → 77%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
25.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 14 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
25.2%
Micah Bernard run for 14 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
25.1%
Micah Bernard run for 9 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+19
25.1%
Britain Covey run for 19 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
25.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Stanf 5Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
22.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 2:0324% → 24%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
24.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 12
OWN 31
-1
24.0%
Jack West sacked by Van Fillinger for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 13
OWN 30
-9
23.8%
Jack West sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 21Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 22
OWN 21
0
23.6%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:1277% → 78%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
22.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to TJ Pledger for 7 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
22.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
22.7%
TJ Pledger run for no gain to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+4
22.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
22.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+23
22.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 23 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
22.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+10
21.8%
Cameron Rising run for 10 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1223% → 23%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
23.0%
Smith,E.J. rush for 0 yards to the STA34 (Tafua,Mika; Bishop,Cole) PENALTY STA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting UTE UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
22.8%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
22.7%
Jack West pass incomplete to Houston HeimuliSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 33
0
22.5%
Jack West pass incomplete to Houston HeimuliSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 11
OWN 33
+16
22.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds , Britain Covey returns for 16 yds to the Utah 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
14.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 58 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:3217% → 16%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
16.7%
Jack West pass complete to E.J. Smith for 9 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+8
17.0%
Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
17.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
17.4%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Jay Symonds for 2 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+1
17.4%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+8
15.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 39 yds , Britain Covey returns for 8 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+8
15.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 39 yds , Britain Covey returns for 8 yds to the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 4:1787% → 92%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
13.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 17 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
13.1%
Chris Curry run for 1 yd to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+19
13.1%
Micah Bernard run for 19 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
12.8%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
12.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+28
13.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 28 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
12.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
12.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+11
13.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 11 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
8.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:058% → 6%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
8.3%
Bryce Farrell run for 8 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
8.2%
Jack West pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 6 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
8.7%
Jack West pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
8.3%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+3
8.2%
Jack West pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 3 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
6.2%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
1 play · 96 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+96
5.2%
TJ Pledger run for 96 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 1:594% → 3%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
4.4%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
4.3%
Jack West pass complete to Austin Jones for 3 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+6
4.3%
Jack West pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 6 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
4.4%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
4.3%
Jack West sacked by Mika Tafua for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
3.1%
Jack West pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+9
2.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 49 yds , Britain Covey returns for 9 yds to the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 1:0797% → 94%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
3.5%
Cameron Rising run for 7 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+9
3.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
3.4%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to TJ PledgerSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
3.4%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to TJ PledgerSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+28
3.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 13 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Tristan Sinclair) to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
3.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
3.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to TJ Pledger for 2 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+6
2.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
5.8%
Jadon Redding 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:463% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
2.7%
Jack West pass complete to Michael Wilson for 10 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
2.0%
Jack West pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 5 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+6
1.9%
Jack West pass complete to Silas Starr for 6 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
1.9%
West,Jack pass incomplete to Farrell,Bryce, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UTE Pass Interference (Bishop,Cole), 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
2.0%
Jack West pass complete to Michael Wilson for 12 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
2.1%
Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+27
2.0%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 27 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.2%
Isaiah Sanders run for no gain to the Utah 4Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+93
2.1%
Isaiah Sanders run for 93 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 4
OWN 3
+4
1.8%
Isaiah Sanders run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0098% → 97%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
2.6%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
2.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
2.6%
Michael Williams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:392% → 1%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 9
OWN 30
+1
1.5%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
1.4%
Jack West pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 3 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
1.4%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
1.1%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 71 yds · 7:2498% → 99%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
2.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 18 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
2.3%
Micah Bernard run for 15 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
2.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Tavion Thomas for 7 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
1.9%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+3
1.9%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
2.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
1.9%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
2.1%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+14
2.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 14 yds to the Stanf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
2.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Stanf 1Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
Brant Kuithe run for 1 yd to the Stanf 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Stanf 3Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.6%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18INT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
0.4%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 7Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 7
0
0.4%
Isaiah Sanders run for no gain to the Stanf 7Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 7
-3
0.4%
PENALTY STA Delay Of Game (West,Jack) 3 yards from STA07 to STA04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 9
OWN 4
-2
0.2%
Devin Lloyd 2 Yd Interception Return (Jadon Redding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19FUMBLE
11 plays · 40 yds · 5:050% → 0%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Stanf 24Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-2
0.2%
Jack West sacked by Cole Bishop for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 22Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+19
0.2%
Austin Jones run for 19 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.2%
Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
0.2%
E.J. Smith run for 12 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.2%
E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
0.2%
Jack West pass incomplete to Bryce FarrellSimilar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+3
0.2%
Jack West pass complete to Austin Jones for 3 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+9
0.2%
Jack West pass complete to Silas Starr for 9 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
0.1%
Jack West sacked by Miki Suguturaga for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 35 Jack West fumbled, recovered by Utah Jonah Elliss , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 5:18100% → 100%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.2%
TJ Pledger run for no gain to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
0.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 10 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
0.2%
TJ Pledger run for 11 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
0.2%
Chris Curry run for 6 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+11
0.2%
Chris Curry run for 11 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
0.2%
Micah Bernard run for 10 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
0.2%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
0.2%
Chris Curry run for 2 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
0.1%
Micah Bernard run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to Bryce FarrellSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+32
0.0%
E.J. Smith run for 32 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.1%
E.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
0.1%
E.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
0.0%
Ari Patu pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 3 yds to the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:31
Tavion Thomas run for 58 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-7.8
TD · Q2 6:37
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-5
FG · Q2 0:00
Jadon Redding 29 yd FG GOOD
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com