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UCLA

UCLA 24 at Utah 44

UTAH
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:23 · Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense+14.3Score differential+5.0Pregame prior+5.3Garbage-time factor+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:51: Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 4 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +8.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:27: Tavion Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:59: Ethan Garbers pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 6 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +12.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:55: Cameron Rising run for 12 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:04: Ethan Garbers pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 9 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +11.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 4UCLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 7:15UCLA 4th & 2 at UTAH 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−0.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:48UCLA 4th & 10 at UTAH 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:10UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:06UCLA 4th & 1 at UTAH 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    24.8%−1.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:51UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−2.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:05UTAH 4th & 7 at UCLA 36, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%
    42% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:09UCLA 4th & 1 at UTAH 44, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%
    27% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:23UCLA 4th & 5 at UTAH 40, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−1.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:07UTAH 4th & 7 at UCLA 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:51UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:52UTAH 4th & 2 at UCLA 44, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:15UCLA 4th & 4 at UTAH 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−1.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:23UTAH 4th & 1 at UCLA 49, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:55UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 29, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:57UCLA 4th & 11 at UTAH 43, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:08UCLA 4th & 6 at UTAH 26, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:26UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:06UCLA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:51UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:27UTAH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:59UCLA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:55UTAH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:04UCLA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:40UTAH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1961% → 63%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
61.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 10 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
61.4%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
61.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 9 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+8
61.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
61.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
61.7%
Britain Covey run for 3 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+18
61.7%
TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
61.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 11 yds to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
63.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FG
19 plays · 65 yds · 7:2737% → 36%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
62.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
62.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
62.5%
Ethan Garbers run for 3 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
62.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 4 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
62.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
62.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 1 yd to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+4
63.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 4 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+6
64.8%
Ethan Garbers run for 6 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
64.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+12
64.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Brittain Brown for 12 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
64.3%
Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+4
64.4%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
64.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
64.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
65.6%
Ethan Garbers run for 1 yd to the Utah 10 Ethan Garbers fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
64.2%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5364% → 70%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.8%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
64.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
64.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 11 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
64.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 3
50
+6
64.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
64.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 16 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
65.3%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+14
65.3%
Cameron Rising run for 14 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
65.4%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
65.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
69.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3930% → 34%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
70.0%
Brittain Brown run for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
69.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
70.1%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+7
70.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Chase Cota for 7 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+3
70.8%
Ethan Garbers run for 3 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
70.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 4 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
69.9%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+9
70.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Brittain Brown for 9 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
70.8%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+6
71.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-5
71.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
71.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 6 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+30
65.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 30 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0465% → 77%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
64.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 24 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
66.2%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+30
65.9%
TJ Pledger run for 30 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
68.2%
TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+9
68.4%
Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
68.6%
TJ Pledger run for 2 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
76.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 4 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3324% → 24%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
75.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-13
76.0%
Ethan Garbers pass intercepted Nephi Sewell return for 13 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:1877% → 84%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
77.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 7 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
84.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:2418% → 16%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
82.2%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-5
82.6%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
83.0%
Ethan Garbers run for no gain to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
83.7%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 12
OWN 14
+6
84.0%
Luke Akers punt for 44 yds , Britain Covey returns for 6 yds to the Utah 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3585% → 85%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
85.0%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+10
85.3%
Cameron Rising run for 10 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
85.7%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
85.9%
Chris Curry run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
85.7%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
85.2%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:5716% → 13%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
83.8%
Ethan Garbers run for 3 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
84.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 1 yd to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
84.1%
Ethan Garbers run for 7 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
83.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
83.7%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+9
84.0%
Ethan Garbers run for 9 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+4
85.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kam Brown for 4 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
87.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 3 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+55
86.6%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:3715% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.2%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (5 Yards) to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+25
84.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 25 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
83.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+6
84.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
84.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
85.0%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:0890% → 91%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
89.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
90.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+19
90.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 19 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
91.3%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-4
91.3%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+7
91.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to TJ Pledger for 7 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
91.2%
Jordan Noyes 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0911% → 10%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
89.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for no gain to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
89.8%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
89.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
90.2%
Luke Akers punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:4892% → 92%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
92.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-2
92.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 8 yds to the UTAH 49 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
92.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 7 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
93.0%
TJ Pledger run for 8 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
93.0%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
92.9%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
92.4%
Cameron Rising punt for 35 yds, downed at the UCLA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 1:469% → 22%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+41
91.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Chase Cota for 41 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
50
-5
90.4%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+5
91.6%
Ethan Garbers run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
50
+17
91.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UTAH 48 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+27
90.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 27 yds to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.4%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
77.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 6 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5584% → 96%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
84.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
85.7%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
85.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+12
85.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 12 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
86.9%
TJ Pledger run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
87.1%
TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+11
86.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
88.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 17 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
96.0%
Cameron Rising run for 12 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:466% → 17%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Chase Cota for 14 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
94.4%
Brittain Brown run for 13 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
94.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Brittain Brown for 9 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-1
94.5%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-2
95.0%
Ethan Garbers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+7
95.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Brittain Brown for 7 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.3%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
95.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+11
95.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 11 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
95.3%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
83.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 9 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:3090% → 92%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
90.4%
Cameron Rising run for 8 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
91.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 2
50
-15
92.0%
UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+10
91.2%
Cameron Rising run for 10 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
91.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 6 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
91.6%
Cameron Rising punt for 43 yds, downed at the UCLA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19SF
1 play · -6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-6
93.2%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Hauati Pututau for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:2596% → 99%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
95.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
95.9%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+16
96.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 16 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
96.6%
TJ Pledger run for 4 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+12
96.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 12 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
97.0%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 24 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21DOWNS
17 plays · 49 yds · 3:270% → 0%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Brittain Brown for 9 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+18
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 18 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 4 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
99.8%
Ethan Garbers run for 7 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
99.8%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 18
50
+7
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Brittain Brown for 7 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 11
OPP 43
+13
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 13 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-5
99.8%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+9
99.8%
Ethan Garbers run for 9 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:59
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 6 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-12.8
TD · Q4 11:04
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 9 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q2 5:51
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 4 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com