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COLO

Colorado 29 at Oregon 52

ORE
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-2.8ORE 96.2%Brenden Rice 16 Yd pass from BrendonLewis (Brendon Lewis Pass to ChasePenry for Two-Point Conversion)AWAY 29 - HOME 45 · Q4 6:04
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:04 · Brenden Rice 16 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Brendon Lewis Pass to Chase Penry for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+6.7Home team on offense+22.8Score differential+9.6Garbage-time factor+6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:10: Ty Robinson 9 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Cole Becker Kick) — COLO win probability +3.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:28: Travis Dye 5 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +3.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:13: Alex Fontenot 2 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Cole Becker Kick) — COLO win probability +3.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:46: Travis Dye 2 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:04: Brenden Rice 16 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Brendon Lewis Pass to Chase Penry for Two-Point Conversion) — COLO win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:15COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:30COLO 4th & 11 at ORE 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:13COLO 4th & 2 at ORE 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:28ORE 4th & 2 at COLO 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00ORE 4th & 5 at COLO 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:54COLO 4th & 12 at COLO 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:17COLO 4th & 5 at ORE 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:10COLO 4th & 4 at ORE 20, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:36COLO 4th & 1 at ORE 1, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:29COLO 4th & 1 at ORE 14, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:47ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:04ORE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:38ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:10COLO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:28ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:13COLO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:46ORE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:21ORE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:36COLO Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:04COLO Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:50ORE Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:1395% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
94.6%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+4
94.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 4 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+20
94.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 20 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
94.6%
COLORADO Penalty, Offsides (Jalen Sami) to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+6
94.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 6 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
94.6%
BROWN, Anthony pass to the left complete for 4 yards to WILLIAMS, Devon caught at the COL28 and advanced to the COL27 (GUSTAV, Joshka). PENALTY COL Offsides on GONZALEZ, Christian enforced 5 yards from the COL31 to the COL26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 26
+3
94.6%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+3
94.6%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
94.6%
BROWN, Anthony sacked for a loss of 15 yards at the COL35 (GUSTAV, Joshka;SAMI, Jalen). PENALTY COL Holding on BARNES, Robert enforced 10 yards from the COL20 to the COL10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
94.2%
Travis Dye 10 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:326% → 6%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.1%
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
94.1%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
94.1%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Jake Wiley) to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.0%
Josh Watts punt for 53 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for no gain to the Oregn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 2:1194% → 95%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
93.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 8 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+29
94.0%
Byron Cardwell run for 29 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
94.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 7 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
94.1%
Byron Cardwell run for no gain to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+34
94.5%
Byron Cardwell 34 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:266% → 6%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
94.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 1 yd to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
94.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+9
94.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 9 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for no gain to the Oregn 47Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
94.2%
COLORADO Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-5
94.2%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Frank Fillip) to the Colo 48Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+4
94.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 4 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
94.1%
Josh Watts punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the Oregn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 4:5294% → 96%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
94.3%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 13Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+16
94.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 16 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
94.3%
Seven McGee run for 1 yd to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+18
94.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 18 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
94.5%
Seven McGee run for 9 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+4
94.4%
Seven McGee run for 4 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
94.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for 11 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
94.4%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
94.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for no gain to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
96.2%
Troy Franklin 28 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:224% → 7%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+28
96.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 28 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
95.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 9 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
95.8%
Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the Oregn 40Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+1
95.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
95.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 3 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+12
95.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 12 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
95.6%
Deion Smith run for 11 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
95.6%
Deion Smith run for 4 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
92.6%
Ty Robinson 9 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:3394% → 97%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
93.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for no gain to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
93.8%
COLORADO Penalty, Offsides (Jalen Sami) to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+10
93.9%
Travis Dye run for 10 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
94.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 12 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
94.2%
Anthony Brown run for 14 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
94.3%
COLORADO Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 5
OPP 27
+4
94.3%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+3
94.3%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
94.3%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
94.3%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+15
94.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 15 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.4%
Travis Dye 5 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:153% → 7%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
96.6%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chase Penry) to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 18
OWN 27
+26
96.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 26 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
96.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chase Penry for 8 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+36
96.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 36 yds to the Oregn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.2%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Oregn 3Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.2%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 1 yd to the Oregn 2Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.7%
Alex Fontenot 2 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 2:0694% → 95%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.6%
Travis Dye run for 9 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
93.6%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
93.4%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
93.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+6
93.9%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
93.9%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
93.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 7 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
94.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 1 yd to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+2
94.4%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+24
94.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 24 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.0%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
95.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 5 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
94.5%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
95.2%
Camden Lewis 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:065% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
94.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
94.5%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+11
94.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 11 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
94.4%
Deion Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
94.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
94.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+7
95.3%
Josh Watts punt for 42 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 7 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 3:0895% → 98%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
95.3%
Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+33
95.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 33 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+31
95.5%
Byron Cardwell run for 31 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
95.6%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Colo 2Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.6%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the Colo 2Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.2%
Travis Dye 2 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:212% → 2%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
98.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
98.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 3 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-5
98.0%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Chase Penry) to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+6
98.0%
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 5
OPP 48
+12
98.1%
Josh Watts punt for 41 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 12 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:5698% → 100%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
98.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 16 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
98.2%
Byron Cardwell run for 21 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
98.3%
COLORADO Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyrin Taylor) to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.3%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+12
98.6%
Anthony Brown run for 22 yds OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Devon Williams 25 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14TD
20 plays · 67 yds · 6:340% → 1%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
99.7%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Kary Kutsch) to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+12
99.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Ty Robinson for 12 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+12
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 12 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Matt Lynch for 3 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+19
99.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 19 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the Oregn 25Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+5
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 5 yds to the Oregn 20Similar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+5
99.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 5 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the Oregn 14Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+9
99.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 9 yds to the Oregn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.6%
Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 10Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.7%
LEWIS, Brendon pass up the middle incomplete intended for ARIAS, Daniel thrown to the ORE0. PENALTY ORE Personal Foul on WILLIAMS, Kristian enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the ORE10 to the ORE5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Oregn 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
99.8%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 6Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Alex Fontenot 1 Yd Run (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:0799% → 100%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Trey Benson run for 9 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.5%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Tevin Jeannis for 5 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+13
99.5%
Ty Thompson run for 13 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Ty Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Ty Thompson pass intercepted return for no gain to the Colo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:251% → 4%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
99.1%
Brenden Rice run for 17 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.1%
Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+22
99.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 22 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.0%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Jayson Jones and Treven Ma'ae for 0 yards to the Oregn 25Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+1
99.0%
Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the Oregn 24Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+10
99.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deion Smith for 10 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+2
99.1%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
99.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deion Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 16Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+16
96.2%
Brenden Rice 16 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Brendon Lewis Pass to Chase Penry for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 5:1398% → 100%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
98.0%
Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
98.0%
Byron Cardwell run for 10 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
98.0%
Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+15
98.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 15 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
98.0%
Seven McGee run for 5 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-5
98.6%
BROWN, Anthony pass to the left complete for 9 yards to JOHNSON, DJ caught at the COL0 and advanced to the COL0, TOUCHDOWN ORE, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY ORE Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WALK, Ryan enforced 5 yards from the COL9 to the COL14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.3%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+10
99.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for 10 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Seven McGee 1 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18END OF GAME
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:401% → 1%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.5%
Deion Smith run for 8 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:13
Alex Fontenot 2 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Cole Becker Kick)
-3.8
TD · Q2 4:28
Travis Dye 5 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)
+3.3
TD · Q2 9:10
Ty Robinson 9 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Cole Becker Kick)
-3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com