Try the model
BYU

BYU 21 at Washington State 19

WSU
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:39 · Nick Haberer punt for 41 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 21 yds to the BYU 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.5Pregame prior−3.1Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:48: Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +13.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:08: Max Borghi run for 1 yd for a TD — WSU win probability +17.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:59: Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +18.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:14: Max Borghi run for 1 yd for a TD — WSU win probability +27.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:01: Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 34 — BYU win probability +17.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 3:37BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:53WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:04BYU 4th & 12 at WSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:39WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:23BYU 4th & 1 at WSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−1.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:32WSU 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:25BYU 4th & 8 at WSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:43WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 37, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:13BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:36WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:48BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:59BYU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1345% → 49%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
45.1%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
45.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Max Borghi for 11 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
45.5%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+15
45.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 15 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
46.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 14 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
46.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 5 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+2
46.5%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+6
46.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 6 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
47.0%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
49.3%
Max Borghi run for 11 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1951% → 54%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.6%
Puka Nacua run for 9 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
48.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
48.6%
Jaren Hall run for 3 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
48.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+21
48.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 21 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
48.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+30
48.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 30 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
48.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
46.3%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:3447% → 48%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
47.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
46.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 20 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
48.2%
Max Borghi run for 19 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
48.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 15
OPP 41
0
48.2%
Jayden de Laura pass intercepted return for no gain to the BYU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4353% → 52%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
47.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
47.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
47.8%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+1
48.2%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 66 yds , Travell Harris returns for 1 yd to the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:2147% → 48%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
47.3%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the WshSt 10Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+9
47.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 9 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
48.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
48.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 12 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
48.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Joey Hobert for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+4
48.1%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+3
47.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Max Borghi for 3 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
47.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 21 yds , returns for no gain to the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:3254% → 52%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
46.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
46.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
45.9%
NACUA, Puka rush to the left for no gain to the WSU45 (JACKSON, Brennan;MEJIA, Christian). PENALTY Before the snap, BYU False Start enforced 5 yards from the WSU45 to the BYU50. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 15
50
+10
46.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 10 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
45.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+13
46.2%
Jaren Hall run for 13 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
45.2%
Jaren Hall sacked for 0 yards to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 16
OPP 32
0
46.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 16
OPP 32
+4
47.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+45
48.4%
Jake Oldroyd 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:1750% → 49%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
49.7%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+13
49.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 13 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
51.9%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Atunaisa Mahe for 0 yards to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+12
50.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Joey Hobert for 12 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-10
50.7%
DE LAURA, Jayden pass up the middle complete for 15 yards to HARRIS, Travell caught at the BYU39 and advanced to the BYU39, End of Play. PENALTY WSU Holding on RYAN, Liam enforced 10 yards from the WSU46 to the WSU36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 18
OWN 36
0
49.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 18
OWN 36
+21
48.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 41 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 21 yds to the BYU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:1155% → 54%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
45.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
45.9%
Jaren Hall run for 3 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+18
46.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 18 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
44.0%
Jaren Hall run for 1 yd to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
44.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
44.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 1
OPP 26
-7
46.0%
Dallin Holker run for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:4551% → 52%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
51.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 8 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+3
53.6%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
53.8%
DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for HOBERT, Joey thrown to the BYU28. PENALTY WSU Holding on GREENE, Brian enforced 10 yards from the WSU44 to the WSU34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 20
OWN 34
0
51.3%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 20
OWN 34
0
51.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 20
OWN 34
+16
49.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Max Borghi for 16 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 4
50
0
51.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:5652% → 51%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
47.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+3
47.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
47.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 16 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
46.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 3 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+12
45.5%
Lopini Katoa run for 12 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
44.4%
Jaren Hall sacked by Ahmir Crowder for 0 yards to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 19
OWN 43
0
47.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for no gain to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 19
OWN 43
+11
49.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 11 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
48.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 31 yds, downed at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:0251% → 69%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
48.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 17 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
46.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 11 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
45.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 5 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
45.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 7 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
44.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 21 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
44.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Masen Wake for 2 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+4
44.5%
Neil Pau'u pass complete to Jaren Hall for 4 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+4
45.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
44.5%
Jaren Hall run for no gain to the WshSt 4Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
44.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
31.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:2636% → 56%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
35.9%
Max Borghi run for 9 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+3
38.2%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
37.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Joey Hobert for 17 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
39.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
39.0%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+22
38.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 22 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
40.5%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
40.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+8
38.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.8%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:5553% → 79%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
47.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 12 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
46.3%
Puka Nacua run for 17 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
43.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+12
42.7%
Jaren Hall run for 12 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
41.7%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
41.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 5 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+7
43.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 7 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
41.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 10 yds to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
41.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
39.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
21.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:5926% → 21%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
26.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
24.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
24.3%
Jayden de Laura run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 45 fumbled, recovered by WshSt Jayden de LauraSimilar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-10
26.3%
BORGHI, Max rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU44 (PYPER, Morgan). PENALTY WSU Holding on RYAN, Liam enforced 10 yards from the WSU45 to the WSU35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+2
22.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 2 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
21.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
20.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1681% → 80%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
19.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
18.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
18.8%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
19.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 5:5022% → 49%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
21.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 11 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
22.0%
Max Borghi run for 8 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+22
23.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 22 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
26.9%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+13
27.1%
Jayden de Laura run for 13 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
25.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+1
23.6%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the BYU 10Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+3
20.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds to the BYU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
21.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
21.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Max Borghi for 6 yds to the BYU 1Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.8%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:1869% → 85%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
27.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 13 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
24.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 7
50
+9
20.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
16.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-5
15.3%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Jakob Robinson) to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+4
15.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+9
15.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:14
Max Borghi run for 1 yd for a TD
+27.7
TD · Q4 14:59
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
-18.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:01
Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 34
-17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com