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Oregon 34 at UCLA 31

UCLA
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:07 · Tom Snee punt blocked by Martell Irby blocked by Martell Irby Martell Irby return for 2 yds to the Oregn 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense+1.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:49: Travis Dye run for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +12.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:00: Travis Dye run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +13.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:53: Anthony Brown run for 43 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +16.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:35: Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +15.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:34: Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +30.6 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:36ORE 4th & 2 at UCLA 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:07ORE 4th & 20 at ORE 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:06UCLA 4th & 9 at ORE 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:20UCLA 4th & 1 at ORE 25, tied
    Close callWent for it · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.6%−0.5
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:06UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 33, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 3.3 ptsWent for it · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.7%−3.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:57UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:30UCLA 4th & 14 at UCLA 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−2.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:52UCLA 4th & 18 at ORE 38, down 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%
    38% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:52UCLA 4th & 4 at ORE 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−6.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:06UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.2%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:58UCLA 4th & 8 at ORE 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.2%−5.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:45UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:08UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:46ORE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:49ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:00ORE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:52ORE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:53ORE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:35UCLA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:34UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1052% → 55%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
51.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
51.9%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Jon Gaines II) to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+6
51.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 6 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+8
52.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 8 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
52.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
50
+10
52.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 10 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
52.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
52.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
52.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the Oregn 20Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+6
52.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 6 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
53.3%
Brittain Brown run for 13 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.2%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5245% → 44%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
54.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 25 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
54.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 7 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+3
54.2%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
54.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 3 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
54.8%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
55.0%
Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+1
55.6%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
56.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted DJ James return for no gain to the UCLA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:5245% → 43%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
55.4%
Anthony Brown sacked by Ale Kaho for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 47Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 15
OWN 47
-5
56.4%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Devon Williams) to the Oregn 42Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 20
OWN 42
0
56.5%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 20
OWN 42
0
56.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 20
OWN 42
+2
57.3%
Tom Snee punt blocked by Martell Irby blocked by Martell Irby Martell Irby return for 2 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:5558% → 63%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
58.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
58.2%
Kazmeir Allen run for 6 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+20
58.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for 20 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 4 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6TD
15 plays · 37 yds · 5:2239% → 43%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
61.2%
OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (-13 Yards) to the Oregn 12Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
61.4%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the Oregn 12Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+9
62.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 9 yds to the Oregn 21Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+2
62.7%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
63.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 8 yds Moliki Matavao fumbled, forced by Ale Kaho, recovered by Oregn Moliki MatavaoSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-1
62.8%
Byron Cardwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+19
63.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 19 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
63.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Spencer WebbSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
63.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 6 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OWN 39
0
66.0%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 14:29
4TH & GOAL
OWN 39
+32
65.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 32 yds to the OREGON 29 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Offensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
62.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.9%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Quentin Lake) to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.7%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7MISSED FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 5:3260% → 64%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
60.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
61.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
60.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+8
60.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
62.5%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 7
50
0
62.6%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 7
50
+5
62.2%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+14
63.1%
Brittain Brown run for 14 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
63.9%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
64.1%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-1
64.4%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 16Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
64.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+35
63.5%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:0837% → 52%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
62.7%
Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
62.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 6 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
62.7%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
63.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 9 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+11
61.9%
Seven McGee run for 11 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
61.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 6 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
61.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+10
62.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 10 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
60.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for 11 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
60.5%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
61.0%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+10
60.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 10 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
47.8%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9FUMBLE
20 plays · 56 yds · 2:2855% → 59%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
54.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
55.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 9 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
57.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
57.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
58.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 47 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by UCLA Zach Charbonnet Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Oregn 47Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+13
57.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 13 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-7
59.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 41Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 17
OPP 41
+11
56.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 11 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
58.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+5
55.9%
OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
56.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
59.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 12 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-8
59.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 19 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by UCLA , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:01
2ND & 18
OPP 19
+37
62.6%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5541% → 59%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 3 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
58.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 16 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
56.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for no gain to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
57.4%
OREGON Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 39Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+44
59.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 29 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
54.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 16 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.2%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:4247% → 44%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
47.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Brandon Dorlus for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
46.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
45.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 12
OWN 33
-11
44.3%
Luke Akers run for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 22 Luke Akers fumbled, recovered by Oregn Korbin WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:0459% → 70%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
40.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 2 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
41.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 5 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+10
42.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 10 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
29.8%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 18 yds · 5:0032% → 27%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.2%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
32.5%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
32.1%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
31.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
30.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
30.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
31.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-5
30.9%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 14
OWN 43
-5
29.0%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 19
OWN 38
+5
28.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
27.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
26.6%
Luke Akers punt for 27 yds, downed at the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:3274% → 77%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
25.6%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
25.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 7 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
23.6%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+7
23.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 7 yds Kris Hutson fumbled, recovered by UCLA Jay Shaw , return for 24 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:3632% → 25%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
31.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+1
31.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Oregn 30Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-8
28.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 18
OPP 38
0
24.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:4978% → 94%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
22.4%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+19
23.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 19 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
6.2%
Anthony Brown run for 43 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:0910% → 24%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
9.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
10.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
9.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+20
9.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 20 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
10.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-2
10.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 45Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+17
8.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 17 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
9.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
9.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 6 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
9.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+9
7.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 9 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
8.3%
Thompson-Robinson, Dorian pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGON pass interference 11 yards to the OREGON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4385% → 85%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.4%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
15.4%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 21Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-20
15.4%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Jordan Genmark Heath return for 20 yds to the Oregn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20TD
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4622% → 50%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
22.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
21.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+11
19.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 11 yds to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
21.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Oregn 4Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
20.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 6Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
18.9%
Thompson-Robinson, Dorian pass incomplete to Charbonnet, Zach, PENALTY OREGON holding 3 yards to the OREGON3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q4 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
19.6%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.2%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21INT
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:2068% → 84%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
32.5%
Anthony Brown run for 28 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
25.3%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
24.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 4 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
24.4%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
23.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 4 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+7
19.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 7 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
18.3%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
16.2%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted, touchback. Jay Shaw return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22INT
15 plays · 41 yds · 2:0735% → 29%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
34.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
31.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-5
31.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
29.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+16
27.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 16 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
32.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+4
34.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 4 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
34.2%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 20
OWN 39
0
29.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+12
27.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kam Brown for 12 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
29.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 8
OPP 49
+10
25.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
30.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-19
28.8%
Ethan Garbers pass intercepted DJ James return for 19 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:1595% → 94%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
5.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 15
OWN 49
-4
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:34
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+30.6
TD · Q4 13:53
Anthony Brown run for 43 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q4 10:35
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com