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WASH

Washington 21 at Arizona 16

ARIZ
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2021 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:02 · Kyle Ostendorp punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Pregame prior−23.9Home team on offense+13.0Garbage-time factor+4.2Score differential+6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:23: Lucas Havrisik 50 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +7.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:41: Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 16 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +18.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  3. TD · Q4 11:39: Cameron Davis run for 9 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +31.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:36: Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell Bynum — WASH win probability +7.4 pts (now 53%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:44: Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +34.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:49WASH 4th & 15 at WASH 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01ARIZ 4th & 3 at WASH 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:46WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:17ARIZ 4th & 22 at ARIZ 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:24WASH 4th & 23 at WASH 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:10ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:56WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 12, down 3
    Close callPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:12WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 47, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:23ARIZ 4th & 13 at WASH 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:32WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 36, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:02ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 34, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:31ARIZ 4th & 15 at WASH 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−4.9
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−14.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:50WASH 4th & 12 at WASH 23, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−5.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:01ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 34, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%−4.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:47ARIZ 4th & 15 at ARIZ 20, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:21WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 46, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 8:16ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:41WASH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:39WASH Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:44WASH Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 4:0189% → 87%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
10.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 9 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
10.8%
Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
11.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
11.3%
Giles Jackson run for 5 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
11.6%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 9
50
+1
11.8%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-7
12.2%
Dylan Morris sacked by Rashie Hodge Jr. and Mo Diallo for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 10:49
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
12.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Isaiah Taylor blocked by Isaiah Taylor recovered by Taylor at the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1913% → 14%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
13.1%
Jalen John run for 1 yd to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+3
13.4%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+3
13.7%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
13.8%
Tyler Loop 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:5986% → 84%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.9%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
14.1%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
14.3%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
14.5%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
14.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Trevon Mason) to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
14.7%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-5
15.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Luke Wattenberg) to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
15.3%
Sam Huard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+8
15.7%
Race Porter punt for 47 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 8 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 2:1816% → 17%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
15.6%
Jalen John run for no gain to the Ariz 18Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
15.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Paiton Fears) to the Ariz 13Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+5
16.1%
Will Plummer run for 5 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-12
16.4%
Will Plummer sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 12 yards to the Ariz 6Similar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 22
OWN 6
+2
16.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 52 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 2 yds to the Wash 44 WASHINGTON Penalty, Illegal Block (TEAM) to the Wash 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4583% → 81%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
17.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Treydan Stukes) to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
16.8%
Dylan Morris sacked by Jerry Roberts for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 19
OWN 40
-4
17.9%
Dylan Morris sacked by Mo Diallo for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 23
OWN 36
0
18.6%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:24
4TH & 23
OWN 36
0
18.9%
Race Porter punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:1018% → 20%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
18.1%
ARIZONA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Jordan Morgan) to the Ariz 13Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+11
18.3%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 11 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+3
18.8%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
18.8%
Jamarye Joiner run for 3 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
19.2%
Will Plummer run for 1 yd to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-4
19.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 27Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+1
19.4%
Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 1 yd to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
19.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 68 yds, downed at the Wash 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0679% → 78%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
20.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 7 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+1
20.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Wash 12Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 2
OWN 12
0
21.9%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 2
OWN 12
0
22.4%
Race Porter punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:2822% → 31%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
21.7%
Jalen John run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+34
21.8%
Stanley Berryhill III run for 34 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
23.6%
Darrius Smith run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
24.2%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Jamarye JoinerSimilar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+10
23.9%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 10 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
25.0%
Darrius Smith run for 2 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
25.2%
Jalen John run for 7 yds to the Wash 8Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+7
24.9%
Jalen John run for 7 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
25.7%
Jalen John run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.9%
Jamarye Joiner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 4:0069% → 65%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
30.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
30.9%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
31.8%
Giles Jackson run for 4 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
32.3%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+10
34.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 10 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
33.4%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
35.3%
Race Porter punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:2735% → 49%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
35.0%
Will Plummer run for 11 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+52
37.0%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 52 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
40.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 12
OPP 31
0
40.9%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+5
40.8%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III at the Wash 34. Lateral back to Stevie Rocker Jr. at the 37, advanced for 5 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+50
48.7%
Lucas Havrisik 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:4251% → 48%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
48.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
50.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 6 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
51.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 7 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
50.3%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
51.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+1
51.9%
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
52.5%
Race Porter punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
55.6%
Jalen John run for 5 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4954% → 57%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.3%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
55.0%
Jalen John run for 4 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
57.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 2 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
57.0%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:1545% → 63%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
55.1%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
56.3%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+5
56.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Offside (TEAM) to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+29
56.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 29 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
57.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
59.3%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+28
58.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 28 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
55.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
36.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 16 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 6:5446% → 66%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
46.3%
Jamarye Joiner run for 7 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
48.4%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
48.4%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 35Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+15
48.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
50
+8
52.2%
Jalen John run for 8 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+7
53.7%
Jalen John run for 7 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
55.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 6 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-1
55.8%
Jalen John run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+7
55.4%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 7 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
58.1%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 6 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+5
59.0%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 5 yds to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
59.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josh Baker) to the Wash 22Similar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 20
OPP 22
0
60.0%
Jamarye Joiner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+5
61.7%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 5 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
59.8%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+35
66.1%
Tyler Loop 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3433% → 28%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.7%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.4%
Dylan Morris run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
68.1%
Dylan Morris sacked by Trevon Mason for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
71.7%
Race Porter punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17INT
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:4469% → 77%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
69.4%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
70.5%
Jalen John run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+14
70.0%
Jamarye Joiner run for 14 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
73.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Paiton Fears) to the Ariz 39Similar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+10
72.9%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 10 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+23
75.6%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 8 yds to the ARIZONA 43 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Alphonzo Tuputala) to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
76.8%
Will Plummer pass intercepted Tuli Letuligasenoa return for no gain to the Wash 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:1128% → 58%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
72.3%
Kamari Pleasant run for 8 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
73.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+51
74.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 51 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
42.5%
Cameron Davis run for 9 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2954% → 54%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.1%
Jalen John run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
54.4%
Jalen John run for 6 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
54.6%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
54.2%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 54 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 6 yds to the Wash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:0147% → 85%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
53.3%
Cameron Davis run for 9 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+3
50.9%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
53.4%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+51
54.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 51 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
47.3%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
46.1%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Ariz 16Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+8
49.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Holding (8 Yards) to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
14.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:3424% → 19%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.8%
Will Plummer run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
24.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alex Lines) to the Ariz 18Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-5
23.0%
Will Plummer sacked by Tuli Letuligasenoa for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 13Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+7
20.3%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jalen John for 7 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
19.3%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 60 yds , Giles Jackson returns for no gain to the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 4:1984% → 93%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
16.5%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
15.5%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
13.9%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
11.5%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
11.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (TEAM) to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
7.9%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-1
7.9%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+2
6.2%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
6.9%
Race Porter punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:169% → 10%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
8.9%
Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 5 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+15
9.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Bralen Trice) to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
10.7%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
10.1%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+8
9.6%
Will Plummer pass intercepted Asa Turner return for a loss of 8 yards to the Ariz 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:44
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
-34.5
TD · Q4 11:39
Cameron Davis run for 9 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
-31.5
TD · Q3 9:41
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 16 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
-18.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com