Try the model
ASU

Arizona State 21 at Utah 35

UTAH
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:05 · Cameron Peasley punt for 43 yds, downed at the UTAH 28 UTAH Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense−5.9Score differential−1.7Garbage-time factor−1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Pregame prior−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:08: Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +8.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:52: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 15 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +6.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:21: Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +14.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:20: Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 20 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +20.7 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:49: Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +23.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 3:00ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:49UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:05UTAH 4th & 17 at UTAH 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−2.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:56ASU 4th & 16 at ASU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−2.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:20UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:15ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:33ASU 4th & 23 at UTAH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−5.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:59UTAH 4th & 2 at ASU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%−4.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:37ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:59ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:50ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:29UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:08ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:52ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:21UTAH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:20UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:49UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.7
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:39UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:5054% → 55%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
46.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 12 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
46.4%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
46.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
46.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 4 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+11
46.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 11 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
46.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-10
46.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+22
46.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 22 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
46.6%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
46.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 6 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
46.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+15
46.7%
Rachaad White run for 15 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
46.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
45.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 7 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1746% → 50%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.6%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
45.4%
TJ Pledger run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
44.9%
Cameron Rising run for 12 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
45.3%
TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+23
45.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 23 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
45.9%
Britain Covey run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+20
45.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 20 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
46.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for no gain to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
46.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+10
45.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 10 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
50.0%
Cameron Rising run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2652% → 51%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
48.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
48.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
49.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 4 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
49.2%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4049% → 48%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
49.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
49.6%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
49.0%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+4
48.4%
Cameron Peasley punt for 39 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton returns for 4 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:5152% → 53%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
48.1%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
47.3%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+7
47.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
47.1%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 3 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
47.1%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 1 yd to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-10
47.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+12
48.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 12 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
47.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 5 yds Curtis Hodges fumbled, recovered by Utah Jonah EllissSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:3351% → 53%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
50.6%
Cameron Rising run for 11 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
52.0%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
51.5%
TJ Pledger run for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+17
50.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 17 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
52.8%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
52.8%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted Darien Butler return for no gain to the ArzSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:3051% → 63%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
49.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+16
49.3%
Daniyel Ngata run for 16 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
47.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
48.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+59
49.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 59 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:5240% → 37%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
39.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
40.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-10
40.8%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 17
OWN 29
0
38.8%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 17
OWN 29
0
37.9%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+38
37.4%
Cameron Peasley punt for 43 yds, downed at the UTAH 28 UTAH Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:0063% → 60%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
37.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
37.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-5
39.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 15
OWN 28
-1
39.4%
Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 16
OWN 27
+10
39.9%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 58 yds , Britain Covey returns for 10 yds to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2939% → 37%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
38.6%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 15Similar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-1
38.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 14Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+13
38.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 13 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
37.1%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
36.6%
Cameron Peasley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the ArzSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:2065% → 76%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
35.1%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 14 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
33.2%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 6 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
32.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
31.6%
Rachaad White run for 13 yds to the Utah 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
31.3%
Rachaad White run for 12 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 0
OPP 10
-5
30.7%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Utah 15Similar
Q2 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
23.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 15 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12INT
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:2727% → 29%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
26.5%
TJ Pledger run for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
27.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to TJ Pledger for 8 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+31
28.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Theo Howard for 16 yds to the UTAH 40 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
29.0%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted Kejuan Markham return for 6 yds to the ArzSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
23.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3227% → 41%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
27.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
27.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+12
27.4%
Cameron Rising run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
27.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 11 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
26.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+19
27.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 19 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
26.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 7 yds to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
41.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5565% → 64%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
34.8%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
34.0%
Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
34.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
35.7%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:4737% → 61%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
37.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 16 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
39.8%
Britain Covey run for 20 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
42.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ArzSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
42.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+5
42.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 4
OPP 11
-9
40.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 6 yds to the ArzSt 5 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
61.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 20 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:3549% → 47%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Rachaad White run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
51.6%
Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
52.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 16 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
48.1%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
47.8%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+32
47.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 32 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
45.1%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+6
46.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 6 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 14
OPP 24
-9
46.4%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Hauati Pututau for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 23
OPP 33
0
49.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 23
OPP 33
+51
52.9%
Logan Tyler 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Devin KaufusiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:3157% → 88%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
56.8%
Cameron Rising run for 6 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
60.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
59.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
60.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Theo Howard for 11 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
61.8%
TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
61.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
61.6%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+14
59.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Theo Howard for 14 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
64.3%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+16
64.1%
Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (7 Yards) to the ArzSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0719% → 18%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
80.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 9 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.0%
Rachaad White run for no gain to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
80.5%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
80.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:37
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
81.8%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 6:4887% → 98%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
86.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 1 yd to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+1
86.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 20Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+9
86.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
88.1%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+14
89.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 14 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
90.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+15
91.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 15 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
92.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
92.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
94.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 6 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
95.1%
TJ Pledger run for 23 yds to the ArzSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.2%
TJ Pledger run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21END OF GAME
16 plays · 17 yds · 2:123% → 1%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
97.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 2 yds to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
97.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 20 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+25
97.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 25 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.3%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
97.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 5 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
97.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to DeaMonte Trayanum for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+6
97.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 6 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+9
97.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 9 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-12
97.3%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Junior Tafuna for a loss of 12 yards to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 22
OWN 43
-4
98.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 26
OWN 39
-14
98.7%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 14 yards to the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:49
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+23.4
TD · Q3 6:20
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 20 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+20.7
TD · Q3 10:21
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com