Try the model
ARIZ

Arizona 0 at Colorado 34

COLO
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:58 · Josh Watts punt for 64 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 4 yds to the Ariz 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense+0.8Score differential−0.1Pregame prior+12.9Blowout margin−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 7:14: Cole Becker 37 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +3.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 13:49: Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST down — ARIZ win probability +3.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:46: Timeout ARIZONA, clock 10:46 — COLO win probability +5.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:46: Trevor Woods 36 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Cole Becker Kick) — COLO win probability +13.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:32: Carson Wells 50 Yd Interception Return (Cole Becker Kick) — COLO win probability +8.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ARIZ made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:48ARIZ 4th & 7 at ARIZ 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26COLO 4th & 1 at ARIZ 1, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.1%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:38ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:05COLO 4th & 1 at ARIZ 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−0.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:44ARIZ 4th & 9 at COLO 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    33.0%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:58COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 4, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:06ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:14COLO 4th & 5 at ARIZ 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:14ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:41ARIZ 4th & 1 at COLO 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−8.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:40COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:39ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 44, down 6
    Close callPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:19COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 27, up 6
    Close callPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:46ARIZ 4th & 10 at COLO 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−2.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:57ARIZ 4th & 11 at ARIZ 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:34ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:29COLO 4th & 9 at ARIZ 43, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:03ARIZ 4th & 12 at COLO 20, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q3 6:46COLO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:32COLO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:42COLO Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:08COLO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1232% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.0%
Stanley Berryhill III run for 9 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
68.0%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
68.0%
Stanley Berryhill III run for no gain to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
68.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Stanley Berryhill III) to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+17
67.9%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 58 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 17 yds to the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:2268% → 68%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
67.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for no gain to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+31
67.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 31 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
68.0%
Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
68.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
68.0%
Brenden Rice run for 4 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
68.1%
LEWIS, Brendon pass up the middle incomplete dropped by STANLEY, Dimitri thrown to the ARI0. PENALTY ARI Personal Foul on DIALLO, Mo enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the ARI26 to the ARI13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
68.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 10 yds to the Ariz 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
68.1%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 4Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
68.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
68.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
68.1%
Cole Becker 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4832% → 31%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
68.0%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
68.0%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
68.3%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Drake Anderson for 1 yd to the Ariz 25Similar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
68.6%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:3368% → 68%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
67.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+25
67.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 25 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
68.5%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
68.6%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
68.3%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 4:05
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
67.9%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Ariz 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 4:2132% → 33%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
67.7%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+10
67.9%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 10 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
67.1%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
67.1%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+6
67.7%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Michael Wiley for 6 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+10
67.6%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 10 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
66.8%
Jalen Johnson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+7
66.9%
BJ Casteel run for 7 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
66.4%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
67.3%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 42 yds, downed at the Colo 3Similar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-3
66.8%
FONTENOT, Alex rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the COL6 (ROLAND-WALLACE, Christian;YOUNG, Christian). PENALTY COL Holding on MAGRI, Nico enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the COL3 to the COL1 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4667% → 66%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 11
OWN 2
-1
66.8%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 1Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+3
66.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the Colo 4Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
66.2%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+4
65.5%
Josh Watts punt for 64 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 4 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:5233% → 33%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
66.7%
Jalen John run for 9 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
65.7%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
65.8%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Clay Markoff for 9 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-10
65.4%
JOHN, Jalen rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the COL32 (WELLS, Carson;PERRY, Quinn). PENALTY ARI Holding on LINES, Alex enforced 10 yards from the COL44 to the ARI46. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+2
66.4%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
66.6%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
67.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
66.7%
LEWIS, Brendon pass to the right incomplete intended for ARIAS, Daniel thrown to the COL27. PENALTY ARI Holding on TURNER, Jaxen enforced 10 yards from the COL20 to the COL30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:5267% → 74%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
66.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-1
67.3%
Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+43
66.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 43 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
69.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
70.9%
Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
70.2%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
73.5%
Cole Becker 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9DOWNS
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:3328% → 26%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
72.4%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Stevie Rocker Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
72.5%
Jalen John run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 21Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+12
73.3%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 12 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+13
72.7%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 13 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
70.7%
JOINER, Jamarye pass to the right incomplete intended for ROCKER JR., Stevie thrown to the COL42. PENALTY COL Face mask on BLACKMON, Mekhi enforced 15 yards from the ARI46 to the COL39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
70.3%
CRUZ, Gunner pass up the middle incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Jalen thrown to the COL0. PENALTY COL Pass Interference on BLACKMON, Mekhi enforced 15 yards to the COL24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
69.4%
Jalen John run for 23 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.6%
Gunner Cruz run for no gain to the Colo 1Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.6%
Jalen John run for no gain to the Colo 1Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.1%
Jalen John run for no gain to the Colo 1Similar
Q2 2:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.3%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
74.2%
QB Keeper LEWIS, Brendon rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the COL2 (BARRS, Kyon;MASON, Trevon). PENALTY ARI Offsides enforced 5 yards from the COL1 to the COL6 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 23 yds · 13:3071% → 73%
Q2 13:49
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+6
71.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+4
74.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+2
74.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
74.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
73.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2074% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.5%
Jarek Broussard run for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
74.5%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
73.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
72.2%
Josh Watts punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:0129% → 26%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
71.2%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Michael Wiley for 8 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+4
69.4%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
70.3%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 4 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
69.0%
Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+2
72.4%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 2 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
74.3%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2075% → 75%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
74.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 8 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-1
75.8%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
74.2%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
73.5%
Josh Watts punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
74.8%
CRUZ, Gunner pass to the left incomplete intended for CUNNINGHAM, Tayvian thrown to the ARI30; QB hurried by JOHNSON, Mustafa. PENALTY COL Roughing the Passer on JOHNSON, Mustafa enforced 15 yards from the ARI25 to the ARI40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14PUNT TD
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:3327% → 13%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
73.1%
run for 5 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
72.1%
Gunner Cruz sacked by Carson Wells for 0 yards to the Ariz 43Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+11
73.7%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to BJ Casteel for 11 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
71.6%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
71.8%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
73.6%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+36
87.4%
Trevor Woods 36 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15INT TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:1413% → 4%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
87.7%
Gunner Cruz run for 14 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.6%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
86.9%
Anthony Simpson run for 7 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-50
95.8%
Carson Wells 50 Yd Interception Return (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:354% → 3%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.9%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
95.9%
Jalen John run for 19 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
95.8%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
95.7%
Will Plummer sacked for 0 yards to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
95.9%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
96.9%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:1597% → 100%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
96.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 19 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.0%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
97.0%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Trevon Mason for 0 yards to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+62
99.7%
Brenden Rice 62 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Stanley Berryhill III) to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
99.7%
Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 14 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.7%
Jalen John run for 5 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 11 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 9 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-2
99.7%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 5 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+10
99.7%
LEWIS, Brendon pass up the middle incomplete intended for ARIAS, Daniel thrown to the ARI20. PENALTY ARI Holding on RUTHERFORD, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the COL46 to the ARI44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-15
99.7%
LEWIS, Brendon pass to the right complete for 11 yards to ROBINSON, Ty caught at the ARI47 and advanced to the ARI33 (PANDY, Anthony). PENALTY COL Chop Block on RAY, Kanan enforced 15 yards from the ARI44 to the COL41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 41
+3
99.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 3 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 44
+13
99.7%
Deion Smith run for 13 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Josh Watts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20INT
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
99.9%
Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for 5 yds to the Ariz 12Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+15
99.9%
QB Keeper PLUMMER, Will rush to the left for no gain to the ARI12 (GUSTAV, Joshka). PENALTY COL Face mask on JORDAN, Janaz enforced 15 yards from the ARI12 to the ARI27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+23
99.9%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Will Plummer pass intercepted return for no gain to the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:45100% → 100%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
99.9%
Deion Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+10
99.9%
Deion Smith run for 10 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Brenden Rice run for 5 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Jayle Stacks run for 4 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+18
99.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 18 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+22
99.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 22 yds to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Ariz 11Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Dimitri Stanley 11 Yd pass from Brendon Lewis (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:050% → 0%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 6 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
100.0%
Jalen John run for 10 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
100.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 10 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+10
100.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for 10 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
100.0%
Will Plummer run for 19 yds to the Colo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-5
100.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 23Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+3
100.0%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 3 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 12
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:46
Trevor Woods 36 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Cole Becker Kick)
+13.8
TD · Q3 5:32
Carson Wells 50 Yd Interception Return (Cole Becker Kick)
+8.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 10:46
Timeout ARIZONA, clock 10:46
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com