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STAN

Stanford 31 at Washington State 34

WSU
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-20.5WSU 59.6%Tanner McKee run for 1 yd for a TD,(T. McKee Run For Two-pointConversion)AWAY 24 - HOME 27 · Q4 14:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:06 · Tanner McKee run for 1 yd for a TD, (T. McKee Run For Two-point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Home team on offense−1.0Pregame prior+1.6Garbage-time factor+1.0Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:07: Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 10 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +14.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:34: Max Borghi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +12.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:06: Tanner McKee run for 1 yd for a TD, (T. McKee Run For Two-point Conversion) — STAN win probability +20.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 7:32: Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +35.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:30: Max Borghi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +55.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 5:55WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:45STAN 4th & 6 at WSU 33, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:49WSU 4th & 28 at WSU 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.7
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:13STAN 4th & 9 at WSU 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:19STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:37STAN 4th & 9 at STAN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:19WSU 4th & 1 at STAN 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−2.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−7.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:39STAN 4th & 2 at WSU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.2
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:04WSU 4th & 4 at STAN 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−6.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:03STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−2.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:00WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:27WSU 4th & 12 at WSU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:26STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−3.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 11:10STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:24WSU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:21WSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:07WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:34WSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:06STAN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:32STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:30WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2043% → 45%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
57.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
57.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Silas Starr for 7 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
57.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+16
57.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 16 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
56.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 45Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+45
55.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 45 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 1 yds · 4:4756% → 53%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
55.7%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
55.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
55.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+5
55.1%
STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Formation (David Kasemervisz) to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-15
55.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Haberer) to the WshSt 15Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
54.4%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 11Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+7
54.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 7 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+1
53.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Max Borghi for 1 yd to the WshSt 19Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+19
53.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 48 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 19 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:1047% → 47%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
52.8%
Benjamin Yurosek run for 11 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
52.7%
Casey Filkins run for 5 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-1
52.4%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
52.5%
Tanner McKee run for no gain to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+51
52.6%
Joshua Karty 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -18 yds · 0:5153% → 52%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
52.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Jayden de Laura) to the WshSt 17Similar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 15
OWN 17
0
52.7%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+6
52.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 6 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-19
52.1%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Levani Damuni for a loss of 19 yards to the WshSt 4 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jayden de Laura) to the WshSt 4Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 28
OWN 4
0
51.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the WshSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:1949% → 54%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
51.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+15
51.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jahad Woods) to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
50.7%
Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 1
OPP 17
0
50.0%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the WshSt 17Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
49.9%
Tanner McKee run for 2 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
49.4%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Jayson RainesSimilar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
49.2%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the WshSt 14Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
49.0%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
46.0%
Joshua Karty 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:3648% → 57%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
48.2%
Max Borghi run for 25 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
49.2%
Max Borghi run for 13 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
49.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Abraham Lucas) to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+5
47.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gabe Reid) to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
56.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 32 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:3649% → 47%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
51.4%
Casey Filkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
51.9%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
52.2%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
52.8%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:5853% → 62%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
52.9%
STANFORD Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Ricky Miezan) to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
53.9%
Max Borghi run for 6 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+8
54.5%
Max Borghi run for 8 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
54.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
54.3%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+7
53.6%
Jayden de Laura run for 7 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
62.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 31 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:1043% → 43%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
56.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 10 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
56.5%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
56.0%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
56.9%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
57.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, downed at the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:5160% → 60%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
59.5%
Deon McIntosh run for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+5
60.0%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Wilfredo Aybar) to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
59.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 12 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
61.7%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
61.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 6 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+14
61.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Joey Hobert for 14 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
63.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Joey Hobert for 15 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
63.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
63.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to CJ MooreSimilar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+9
62.3%
Max Borghi run for 9 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
60.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to CJ MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
56.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Stanf 10 Nathaniel Peat fumbled, forced by Justus Rogers, recovered by WshSt Chris JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
70.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 10 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:1730% → 36%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
69.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 11 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
68.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 6 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+32
67.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 32 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
64.7%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+5
64.9%
Tanner McKee run for 5 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
66.8%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
63.6%
Joshua Karty 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:3266% → 67%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.6%
Max Borghi run for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
66.6%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:1264% → 64%
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
63.7%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+48
63.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 48 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
67.2%
Lincoln Victor run for 3 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
67.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+3
66.0%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 4
OPP 23
0
64.3%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:4337% → 32%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
63.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
62.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 5 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
64.1%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Houston Heimuli) to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-6
65.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 20Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 26
OWN 20
+4
66.1%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 22
OWN 24
+10
67.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 10 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+6
67.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 38 yds , Travell Harris returns for 6 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:1168% → 84%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
67.8%
Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+14
67.7%
Deon McIntosh run for 14 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
70.3%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
50
+23
70.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 23 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+25
72.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 25 yds to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.1%
Lincoln Victor run for no gain to the Stanf 2Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.3%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:1419% → 42%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
81.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 2 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+17
82.5%
Tanner McKee run for 17 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
81.3%
Tanner McKee sacked by Antonio Pule for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 44Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+6
82.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 5
50
+15
81.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Derrick Langford) to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
80.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 22 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
79.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 9 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
79.7%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.1%
Tanner McKee run for no gain to the WshSt 1Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.6%
Tanner McKee run for 1 yd for a TD, (T. McKee Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 0
OPP 3
+2
58.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the WshSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0269% → 67%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.1%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
68.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+56
66.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASHST 25 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Lukas Ungar) to the Stanf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 5:1433% → 76%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
67.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Silas Starr for 12 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
66.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 4 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
66.1%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+31
68.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 31 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
61.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 9 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
59.8%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
61.3%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
59.4%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+17
60.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 17 yds to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
59.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
23.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4338% → 32%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
38.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Max Borghi for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
36.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
34.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
32.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 2:3974% → 78%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
26.0%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
25.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
23.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
21.0%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
20.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-6
18.4%
Tanner McKee sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
22.3%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 25 yds, downed at the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:3028% → 91%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+41
28.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 41 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
36.4%
Max Borghi run for 8 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
37.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+2
34.2%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
36.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 17 yds to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.2%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
91.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jayden de Laura) to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5126% → 16%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
74.2%
Tanner McKee sacked by Ron Stone Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+4
79.8%
Tanner McKee run for 4 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-3
83.9%
Tanner McKee sacked by Quinn Roff for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 30 Tanner McKee fumbled, recovered by WshSt Brennan Jackson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:30
Max Borghi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)
+55.2
TD · Q4 7:32
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)
-35.6
TD · Q4 14:06
Tanner McKee run for 1 yd for a TD, (T. McKee Run For Two-point Conversion)
-20.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com