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UTAH

Utah 42 at USC 26

USC
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:04 · Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 25 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Home team on offense−48.4Score differential−29.3Pregame prior+0.3Garbage-time factor−18.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:57: Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 12 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:10: Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 37 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +13.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:41: Tavion Thomas run for 43 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +17.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:13: Cameron Rising run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +13.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:04: Vavae Malepeai 2 Yd Run (Kedon Slovis Pass to Tahj Washington for Two-Point Conversion) — USC win probability +7.9 pts (now 9%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:01USC 4th & 9 at UTAH 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:03UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:48USC 4th & 7 at UTAH 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:41USC 4th & 7 at UTAH 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:22UTAH 4th & 25 at UTAH 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−2.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:00USC 4th & 12 at USC 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:10UTAH 4th & 1 at USC 37, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%−0.2
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%
    40% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:45USC 4th & 8 at UTAH 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:43USC 4th & 6 at USC 49, down 25
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:07UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 45, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:54USC 4th & 14 at USC 47, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:44UTAH 4th & 13 at UTAH 37, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:02USC 4th & 10 at USC 5, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:54UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 42, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04USC 4th & 6 at USC 34, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 0:17UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:57UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:10UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:41UTAH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:13UTAH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:04USC Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.3%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:34UTAH Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:52USC Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:3868% → 68%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
68.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 13 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
68.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 13 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
68.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the USC 44Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
68.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
68.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 4 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
68.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
68.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for no gain to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
68.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
67.8%
Ben Griffiths punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4232% → 32%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
67.7%
TJ Pledger run for 2 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
67.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 3 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+2
67.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 2 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+1
67.9%
Cameron Peasley punt for 43 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 1 yd to the USC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:0068% → 68%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
67.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Trigg for 7 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+9
67.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 9 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
68.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Keaontay IngramSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
68.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 10 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
68.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 5 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
68.2%
Darwin Barlow run for 7 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
68.1%
Darwin Barlow run for 8 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+4
68.1%
Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
68.1%
Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+1
68.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 1 yd to the Utah 11Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
67.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
68.1%
Parker Lewis 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2132% → 38%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
68.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
50
+5
66.9%
TJ Pledger run for 5 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
66.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+13
66.6%
Cameron Rising run for 13 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
66.0%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+13
65.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 13 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
65.6%
TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the USC 11Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+11
61.9%
Brant Kuithe run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:1964% → 65%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
63.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 28 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
65.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darwin BarlowSimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
65.0%
Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+12
64.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 12 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
65.5%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Mika Tafua for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+3
63.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 18
OPP 39
+20
62.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 20 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
65.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 6 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+3
65.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
64.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Erik KrommenhoekSimilar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
64.9%
Parker Lewis 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:1437% → 36%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.1%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
63.2%
USC Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
62.1%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-15
62.2%
UTAH Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 23
OWN 24
-2
63.3%
Cameron Rising sacked by Korey Foreman for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 25
OWN 22
0
64.0%
Cameron Peasley punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:5465% → 70%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
50
+3
65.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 3 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
65.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+9
64.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 9 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
65.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 8 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+5
65.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
70.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4833% → 47%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
66.5%
TJ Pledger run for 2 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+42
68.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Theo Howard for 42 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
63.2%
(04:48) Rising,Cameron pass incomplete to Vele,Devaughn PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Pola-Mao,Isaiah) 15 yards from USC30 to USC15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
62.8%
TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
53.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 12 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 2:4958% → 52%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
57.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 10 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Dedich) to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
57.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
56.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 8 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
57.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-8
56.6%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Mika Tafua for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 22Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 18
OWN 22
+6
54.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 6 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
52.0%
Ben Griffiths punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 0:4146% → 62%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
54.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for no gain to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+13
54.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 13 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
52.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 18 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+10
52.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to TJ Pledger for 10 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
50.7%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Britain Covey run for 2 yds to the USC 46 fumbled, recovered by UtahSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
51.3%
Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the USC 47Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+37
38.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 37 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
41.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the USC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5958% → 78%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
41.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 5 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
41.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
39.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 19 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
22.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 43 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13INT
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:4226% → 25%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
25.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 11 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+25
26.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 25 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
27.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
26.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Michael TriggSimilar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
26.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+15
25.3%
Kedon Slovis pass intercepted USC Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Drake London) to the USC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:1681% → 95%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
19.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 14 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
18.1%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the USC 25Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+8
18.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+17
4.6%
Cameron Rising run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:034% → 3%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
4.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 2 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+10
3.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 10 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
3.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
3.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+6
3.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 6 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
3.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
3.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
3.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Michael TriggSimilar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
2.8%
Ben Griffiths punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:3297% → 98%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
3.2%
UTAH Penalty, Illegal Formation (Devin Lloyd) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+21
3.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 21 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
2.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+10
2.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 10 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
2.2%
UTAH Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
2.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
2.1%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Cole FotheringhamSimilar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
2.3%
Cameron Peasley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the USC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:552% → 1%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
1.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 18 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
2.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 23 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
2.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
2.0%
(02:17) Barlow,Darwin rush for 0 yards to the UTA49 (Lloyd,Devin) PENALTY USC Holding (Ford,Courtland) 10 yards from UTA49 to USC41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+6
1.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darwin Barlow for 6 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
1.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
1.4%
Ben Griffiths punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:5798% → 99%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+28
1.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 28 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
1.5%
UTAH Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 21
OWN 29
+8
1.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 8 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+1
1.4%
Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 12
OWN 38
-1
1.2%
Cameron Rising sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
1.2%
Cameron Peasley punt for 44 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for no gain to the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:221% → 9%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
0.9%
Darwin Barlow run for 2 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+11
0.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 11 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.9%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+20
0.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 20 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
0.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 7 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+5
1.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 5 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+38
0.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 38 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.9%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the Utah 2Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.8%
Vavae Malepeai 2 Yd Run (Kedon Slovis Pass to Tahj Washington for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:0993% → 99%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
7.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
6.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+15
6.6%
(08:35) Rising,Cameron pass incomplete to Bernard,Micah PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Goforth,Ralen) 15 yards from USC40 to USC25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
6.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the USC 19Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+10
5.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 10 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
5.4%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the USC 3Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
5.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the USC 1Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 1 yd for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:211% → 1%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
1.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
1.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
1.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Malcolm EppsSimilar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 10
OWN 5
+1
1.1%
Ben Griffiths punt for 71 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 25 , Britain Covey returns for 1 yd to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:5299% → 100%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
1.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 13 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
1.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
0.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+1
0.8%
Chris Curry run for 1 yd to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
0.4%
Cameron Peasley punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 0:581% → 3%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Vavae MalepeaiSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.7%
Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
0.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Vavae MalepeaiSimilar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+25
0.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 25 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
3.1%
Malcolm Epps 41 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Kedon Slovis Pass to Malcolm Epps for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:5099% → 99%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
1.4%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 48Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+23
1.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 23 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
1.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the USC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:41
Tavion Thomas run for 43 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
-17.4
TD · Q3 9:13
Cameron Rising run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q2 0:10
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 37 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com