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UCLA

UCLA 34 at Arizona 16

ARIZ
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:10 · Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Ariz 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:01: Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +6.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:30: Jamarye Joiner pass complete to Michael Wiley for 10 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +11.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:18: Lucas Havrisik 46 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +2.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q3 4:06: Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +13.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:48: Brittain Brown run for 48 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +7.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:03ARIZ 4th & 10 at UCLA 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:48UCLA 4th & 3 at ARIZ 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:02ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.0%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18ARIZ 4th & 18 at UCLA 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:32UCLA 4th & 17 at ARIZ 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:01ARIZ 4th & 1 at UCLA 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.6%−1.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:17UCLA 4th & 5 at ARIZ 5, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.8%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−7.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:18ARIZ 4th & 13 at UCLA 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−2.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−6.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:18ARIZ 4th & 17 at ARIZ 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−4.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:39UCLA 4th & 13 at ARIZ 40, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    83.6%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:05ARIZ 4th & 27 at ARIZ 3, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−5.1
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:43UCLA 4th & 10 at ARIZ 25, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:29ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:48UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:01UCLA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:30ARIZ Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:06UCLA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:48UCLA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 5:4712% → 16%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.4%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
12.7%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
12.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to BJ Casteel for 18 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
13.2%
Drake Anderson run for 7 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+5
13.3%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
13.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 7 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+6
14.0%
Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
14.1%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+7
14.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to BJ Casteel for 7 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+8
14.4%
Jordan McCloud run for 8 yds to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
14.9%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 9Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
15.3%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
15.1%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
15.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 4 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
15.6%
Tyler Loop 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:1285% → 84%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
15.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
16.0%
Thompson-Robinson, Dorian pass incomplete to Charbonnet, Zach, PENALTY ARIZONA holding 10 yards to the UCLA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
15.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
16.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 12 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
16.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
16.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Ariz 44Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+7
16.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
16.7%
Brittain Brown run for 7 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+5
16.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
16.7%
Brittain Brown run for 18 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
17.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
17.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Ariz 3Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
17.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
16.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 3 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:2717% → 19%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.7%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+16
17.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 16 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
17.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
17.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 7 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
18.0%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
17.8%
Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
18.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 15 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
19.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stevie Rocker Jr. for 14 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
19.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Stevie Rocker Jr.Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-11
19.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ArizSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 31
+3
18.7%
Jordan McCloud run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 18
OPP 28
+46
19.3%
Lucas Havrisik 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:2881% → 79%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
19.4%
Brittain Brown run for 20 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
18.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
19.1%
Brittain Brown run for 13 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
18.9%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-10
19.2%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 18
50
+1
19.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Ariz 49Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 17
OPP 49
0
20.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Zach CharbonnetSimilar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 17
OPP 49
0
21.3%
Luke Akers punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5DOWNS
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:2721% → 25%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
21.3%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Jamarye Joiner ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+6
21.5%
Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+10
21.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Michael Wiley for 10 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
22.2%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Michael WileySimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
22.2%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Ariz 27Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+13
21.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stevie Rocker Jr. for 13 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
24.3%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 9 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+3
24.9%
Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
25.2%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
25.4%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
24.8%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
25.3%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
25.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Tayvian CunninghamSimilar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+8
25.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 8 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
24.7%
Jordan McCloud run for no gain to the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:5978% → 85%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
22.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
21.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
21.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+8
21.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
21.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+17
21.9%
Brittain Brown run for 17 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
21.4%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+24
21.4%
Kazmeir Allen run for 24 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:2517% → 32%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Drake Anderson for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
17.1%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
16.6%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
18.4%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 8
50
+3
18.6%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+7
18.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 7 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
19.1%
McCloud, Jordan pass incomplete to Curry, Boobie, PENALTY UCLA pass interference 15 yards to the UCLA25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA.Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
20.0%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+15
20.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 5 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (10 Yards) to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
31.6%
Jamarye Joiner pass complete to Michael Wiley for 10 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted Gunner Maldonado return for no gain to the Ariz 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:1030% → 30%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
29.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 4
50
-5
30.4%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Bo Calvert for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:4377% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
23.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
23.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
23.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
23.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 5Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
25.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q3 13:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
23.9%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 4:5326% → 32%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Tayvian CunninghamSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
25.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Morgan) to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
25.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 5 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
24.7%
UCLA Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
27.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 11 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
29.0%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+10
29.4%
Michael Wiley run for 10 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
29.5%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+9
31.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to BJ Casteel for 9 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
31.9%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+6
32.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 6 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-15
30.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 16
OPP 30
+3
28.8%
Jordan McCloud run for 3 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+46
31.6%
Lucas Havrisik 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0969% → 85%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.2%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
31.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Brittain Brown for 14 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
29.6%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+11
29.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 11 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
29.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+10
29.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 10 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
28.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 22 yds to the Ariz 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
28.5%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
14.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 7 yds · 2:4818% → 16%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
18.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Stanley Berryhill III) to the Ariz 20Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
17.8%
Stanley Berryhill III run for 3 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
18.0%
Jordan McCloud run for 16 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
18.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
18.6%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-5
18.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Bryce Wolma) to the Ariz 38Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+4
17.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Drake Anderson for 4 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 7
OWN 42
-5
17.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 37Similar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 12
OWN 37
-5
16.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 32Similar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 17
OWN 32
0
16.4%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:1185% → 85%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
15.0%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Ezeike) to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+37
16.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 37 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
14.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
14.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+11
14.7%
Brittain Brown run for 11 yds to the Ariz 18 Brittain Brown fumbled, recovered by Ariz Treshaun HaywardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:3918% → 20%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
18.2%
Drake Anderson run for 15 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
18.8%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (JonJon Vaughns) to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
20.0%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Otito Ogbonnia for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 37 Jordan McCloud fumbled, forced by Otito Ogbonnia, recovered by UCLA Otito Ogbonnia , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2686% → 85%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
14.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Mo Diallo and Christian Roland-Wallace for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 13
OPP 40
0
13.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 13
OPP 40
0
13.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 13
OPP 40
0
15.3%
Luke Akers punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 1:3017% → 15%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
16.9%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-11
16.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh Donovan) to the Ariz 10Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 20
OWN 10
-7
16.7%
Gunner Cruz sacked by Myles Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 3Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 27
OWN 3
0
15.6%
Gunner Cruz pass incomplete to Jamarye JoinerSimilar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 27
OWN 3
+66
14.8%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 56 yds UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UCLA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 3:1286% → 96%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
14.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+6
14.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+5
13.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
12.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+7
12.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 7 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+48
4.5%
Brittain Brown run for 48 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:336% → 6%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.7%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Boobie Curry for 6 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
5.9%
Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
5.7%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Michael Wiley for 23 yds Michael Wiley fumbled, recovered by UCLA Jordan Genmark HeathSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20FG
15 plays · 35 yds · 5:1796% → 99%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
4.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+4
3.9%
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
50
+5
3.8%
Keegan Jones run for 5 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
3.4%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the Ariz 44Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+6
3.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 6 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
2.9%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
2.6%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+9
2.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for 9 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
2.2%
Keegan Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 27Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+2
1.8%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
1.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kazmeir AllenSimilar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
1.0%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
0.7%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to Drake Anderson for 13 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.7%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
0.6%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
0.7%
Gunner Cruz pass complete to BJ Casteel for 6 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+3
0.6%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.7%
Gunner Cruz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
0.7%
Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:06
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-13.9
TD · Q2 0:30
Jamarye Joiner pass complete to Michael Wiley for 10 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
+11.6
TD · Q4 7:48
Brittain Brown run for 48 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com