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ORST

Oregon State 24 at Washington State 31

WSU
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+21.0+10.50−10.5−21.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−7.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:48: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Joey Hobert for 55 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +22.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:04: Deshaun Fenwick run for 15 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +29.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:41: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 14 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +31.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:15: Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +28.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:25: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +26.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00WSU 4th & 1 at ORST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:03WSU 4th & 9 at ORST 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:36ORST 4th & 1 at WSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:37WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:53WSU 4th & 5 at ORST 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:55ORST 4th & 6 at WSU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:08WSU 4th & 3 at ORST 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−7.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:37ORST 4th & 8 at midfield, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:33ORST 4th & 19 at WSU 23, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:57ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:40WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:48WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:04ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:41WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:15ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:25WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:5742% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.2%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
42.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
42.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 18 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
42.2%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+4
42.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 4 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+6
42.2%
Max Borghi run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
42.2%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
42.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 3 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
42.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-2
42.2%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
43.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:2756% → 56%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
43.7%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 6 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
43.5%
Chance Nolan run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
43.5%
Chance Nolan run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
43.3%
B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
43.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
43.2%
run for no gain to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
44.2%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4746% → 45%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
45.5%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
45.7%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
45.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
44.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 5:3455% → 61%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
44.9%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
45.0%
B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+15
45.4%
Chance Nolan run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
45.0%
Trevon Bradford run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+13
44.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
44.3%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 23 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
43.8%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
43.8%
BAYLOR, B.J. rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the WSU30 (MEJIA, Christian). PENALTY OSU Holding on KIPPER, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the WSU31 to the WSU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+18
44.5%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 18 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+5
43.9%
B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
43.5%
B.J. Baylor run for 11 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
43.5%
Chance Nolan run for no gain to the WshSt 7Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
43.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.6%
Jack Colletto run for 2 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:5340% → 45%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
40.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 13 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
40.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 14 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
41.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
42.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 1 yd to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
41.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
42.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Donovan Ollie for no gain to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
42.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 17 yds to the OrgSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
42.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Joey Hobert for 3 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+2
42.1%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
40.7%
Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
44.7%
Dean Janikowski 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:5157% → 65%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.8%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
43.1%
B.J. Baylor run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
41.9%
B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+15
41.4%
NOLAN, Chance pass to the left incomplete intended for HARRISON, Tre'Shaun thrown to the WSU35. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on LANGFORD, Derrick enforced 15 yards to the WSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
39.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 24 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
38.6%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
38.9%
B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-1
39.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
35.2%
Everett Hayes 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 68 yds · 3:3637% → 36%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
37.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 10 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
38.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 16 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
39.5%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Andrzej Hughes-Murray for 0 yards to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+18
37.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 18 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
40.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+16
40.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 16 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
40.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
40.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 7 yds to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
39.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 3
OPP 7
0
36.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:0166% → 66%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
34.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+7
34.5%
Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 7 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+7
34.3%
Chance Nolan run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
33.4%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
33.6%
Chance Nolan pass intercepted George Hicks III return for no gain to the OrgSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:3439% → 38%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
38.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+18
38.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 18 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
40.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
40.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
38.2%
Jayden de Laura pass intercepted return for no gain to the OrgSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:0366% → 67%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
34.0%
B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+15
34.1%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 15 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
32.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+7
31.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
31.1%
B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 8
50
0
30.6%
B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 8
50
0
30.9%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 8
50
0
32.6%
Luke Loecher pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:4138% → 56%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
50
+10
38.0%
Deon McIntosh run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
38.3%
Deon McIntosh run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-10
39.8%
MCINTOSH, Deon rush up the middle for a gain of 16 yards to the OSU17 (JULIAN, Alton). PENALTY WSU Holding on KINGSTON, Jarrett enforced 10 yards from the OSU33 to the OSU43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+5
36.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 5 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+26
37.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 26 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
39.7%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+9
39.7%
Max Borghi run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 3Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
55.8%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13INT
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:5551% → 55%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.9%
Chance Nolan run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
49.1%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
50.3%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 13 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
47.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 12 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
45.2%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 16 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
44.0%
B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+16
43.6%
B.J. Baylor run for 16 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
43.6%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
43.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
44.8%
Chance Nolan pass intercepted return for no gain to the WshSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 3:1452% → 80%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
52.1%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+3
52.1%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+12
50.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 12 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
53.3%
Max Borghi run for 13 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
54.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 6 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
57.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 2 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+55
79.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Joey Hobert for 55 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:2428% → 57%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+50
72.4%
B.J. Baylor run for 50 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
43.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 15 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1954% → 84%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.0%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
54.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 2 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+58
52.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 58 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
84.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 14 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:1227% → 57%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
50
+8
72.9%
B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+17
72.6%
B.J. Baylor run for 17 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
71.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 14 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
72.0%
B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the WshSt 11Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
43.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2855% → 91%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
55.1%
Deon McIntosh run for 17 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
58.8%
Deon McIntosh run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
56.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+16
54.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 16 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
61.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+20
61.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 20 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
63.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 3 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+5
63.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 5 yds to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+7
61.2%
Deon McIntosh run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
63.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19DOWNS
19 plays · 75 yds · 4:3815% → 9%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
85.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
86.2%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 8 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
84.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, Illegal Motion (Teagan Quitoriano) to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+11
87.1%
Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
84.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+10
85.9%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
85.0%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 23 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
79.9%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
81.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
87.2%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 10
OPP 28
0
87.9%
NOLAN, Chance pass to the right incomplete intended for GOULD, Anthony thrown to the WSU0. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on MARSH, Armani enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the WSU14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
81.7%
Chance Nolan sacked by Ron Stone Jr. for 0 yards to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 18
OPP 22
-1
86.1%
Chance Nolan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 19
OPP 23
0
88.8%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 19
OPP 23
+18
91.3%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 18 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:41
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 14 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
+31.8
TD · Q3 0:04
Deshaun Fenwick run for 15 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
-29.2
TD · Q4 11:15
Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
-28.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com