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STAN

Stanford 10 at Arizona State 28

ASU
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2021 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:56 · Rachaad White run for no gain to the Stanf 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+12.7Home team on offense+15.1Score differential+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:05: Rachaad White 5 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick) — ASU win probability +2.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:24: Elijhah Badger 22 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick) — ASU win probability +4.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:05: TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 14 — ASU win probability +3.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Ryan Sanborn kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — STAN win probability +2.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:38: Jack Jones Interception, DeAndre Pierce 27 Yd Return (Cristian Zendejas Kick) — ASU win probability +6.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:32STAN 4th & 5 at ASU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    19.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:38STAN 4th & 16 at ASU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:04STAN 4th & 13 at ASU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:48STAN 4th & 10 at ASU 40, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:39ASU 4th & 11 at ASU 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:58ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:32STAN 4th & 7 at ASU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:56ASU 4th & 1 at STAN 11, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−1.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:07STAN 4th & 6 at ASU 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:17ASU 4th & 1 at STAN 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−1.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:44ASU 4th & 12 at STAN 17, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:57STAN 4th & 8 at ASU 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:54ASU 4th & 4 at STAN 44, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:59STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 16, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:12ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:09STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:05ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:24ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:38ASU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:2815% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
85.3%
Tanner McKee sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 22Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+16
85.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 16 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
84.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 18 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
84.6%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
84.5%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
84.4%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
84.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 26 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the ArzSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 4:2085% → 85%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
84.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+5
84.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.2%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
84.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
83.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 9 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
83.8%
Rachaad White run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
83.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
83.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
85.1%
Jayden Daniels 51 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0315% → 19%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Lukas UngarSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+23
84.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 23 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
84.1%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+21
84.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 21 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
83.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Jay Symonds for 21 yds to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.1%
Elijah Higgins 6 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Emmet Kenney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0482% → 85%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.3%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
82.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Andre Johnson for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
50
+9
82.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 9 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
82.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+7
82.6%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 7 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+29
82.8%
Rachaad White run for 29 yds to the Stanf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.1%
Rachaad White 5 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 3:2716% → 15%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
84.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 22 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
83.4%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+5
83.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 5 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+11
83.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 11 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
82.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
82.3%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
83.5%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 6
OPP 30
-10
84.0%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Lukas Ungar) to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 16
OPP 40
+20
84.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 15 STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1484% → 89%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
84.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
84.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-SheltonSimilar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+19
84.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 19 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
84.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+32
85.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 32 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
89.4%
Elijhah Badger 22 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:2012% → 12%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
88.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 20 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
86.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 13 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
87.5%
Tanner McKee sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 15
OPP 47
-4
88.4%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 49 Austin Jones fumbled, forced by Tyler Johnson, recovered by Stanf Tanner McKeeSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 19
OWN 49
+6
88.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 6 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
88.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 32 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the ArzSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:5389% → 90%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
88.9%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 2
OWN 21
0
88.9%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for no gain to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+17
88.7%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 17 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
89.5%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40 DeaMonte Trayanum fumbled, forced by Dalyn Wade-Perry, recovered by Stanf Ricky MiezanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2313% → 11%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
87.4%
McKee, Tanner pass complete to Peat, Nathaniel for loss of 2 yards to the ARIZONAST42, PENALTY STANFORD illegal block (Hinton, Myles) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 20
50
0
88.6%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Austin JonesSimilar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 20
50
0
88.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 20
50
+10
89.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 10 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
89.0%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 2:0990% → 91%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
89.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+8
89.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 8 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis HodgesSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
90.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 11 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
90.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 1 yd to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-2
90.5%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Tucker Fisk for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
91.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Rachaad WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
91.1%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11INT
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:3410% → 12%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
90.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 19 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
88.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 11 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
87.9%
Tanner McKee pass intercepted Keon Markham return for 2 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
91.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:0290% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
89.8%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
90.1%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
90.0%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
90.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-3
90.3%
Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+15
89.8%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 36 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 15 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:2611% → 14%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.0%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
89.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 13 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
88.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 6 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-1
88.2%
Tanner McKee run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+25
88.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 25 yds to the ArzSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
87.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-1
87.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
88.5%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+32
86.4%
Ryan Sanborn 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:3688% → 89%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
88.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 31 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
89.1%
Rachaad White run for 6 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+18
89.1%
Rachaad White run for 18 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
89.2%
Rachaad White run for 7 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-9
89.4%
Rachaad White run for 1 yd to the Stanf 12 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Henry Hattis) to the Stanf 22Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
89.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+11
89.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 11 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 1
OPP 11
0
88.6%
Rachaad White run for no gain to the Stanf 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16INT TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1811% → 5%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
88.8%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+6
89.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 6 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 2
OWN 19
-27
95.3%
Jack Jones Interception, DeAndre Pierce 27 Yd Return (Cristian Zendejas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:315% → 4%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 11 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
95.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 19 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.1%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
95.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+3
95.5%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 6
OPP 41
+4
95.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:2397% → 98%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
96.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+10
97.0%
Daniyel Ngata run for 10 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
97.3%
Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 14
50
+8
97.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 8 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+5
97.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 5 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+22
97.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Kendall Williamson) to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
97.8%
Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 16Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+2
97.7%
Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 9
OPP 14
-3
97.6%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Jacob Mangum-Farrar for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 17Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+35
97.5%
Cristian Zendejas 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:473% → 3%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
96.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+27
96.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 27 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.3%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-6
96.3%
Tanner McKee sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 16
OWN 49
+8
96.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Silas Starr for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 8
OPP 43
-7
96.6%
Tanner McKee sacked by Anthonie Cooper for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0399% → 99%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
50
0
99.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Geordon PorterSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
50
+6
99.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 6 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the Stanf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21INT
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:493% → 3%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
97.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+4
97.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 4 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
97.5%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+21
97.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 21 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
97.7%
McKee, Tanner pass incomplete to Starr, Silas, PENALTY ARIZONAST roughing passer (Green II, B.J.) 15 yards to the ARIZONAST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
97.6%
Tanner McKee sacked by DeAndre Pierce for a loss of 6 yards to the ARIZONAST 46 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Omarr Norman-Lott) to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Casey FilkinsSimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
97.6%
McKee, Tanner pass incomplete to Yurosek, Benjamin, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference (Soelle, Kyle) 8 yards to the ARIZONAST31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
97.2%
Tanner McKee pass intercepted Jordan Clark return for no gain to the ArzSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 14 yds · 4:2799% → 100%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
99.3%
Rachaad White run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+7
99.3%
Rachaad White run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+9
99.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.6%
Rachaad White run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
99.6%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
99.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 15
OWN 47
-4
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 19
OWN 43
-3
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:38
Jack Jones Interception, DeAndre Pierce 27 Yd Return (Cristian Zendejas Kick)
+6.3
TD · Q2 10:24
Elijhah Badger 22 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick)
+4.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:05
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 14
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com