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ASU

Arizona State 42 at UCLA 23

UCLA
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-0.8UCLA 1.0%Cristian Zendejas 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 42 - HOME 23 · Q4 2:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:41 · Cristian Zendejas 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense−49.8Score differential−27.0Garbage-time factor−11.0Pregame prior+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:26: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 65 yds for a TD (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +8.8 pts (now 46%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:44: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 54 yds for a TD (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +12.8 pts (now 54%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Nicholas Barr-Mira 26 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +9.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:32: Rachaad White run for 49 yds for a TD (D. Trayanum Run For Two-point Conversion) — ASU win probability +13.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:43: Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TD (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +16.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 9ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 10:40UCLA 4th & 3 at ASU 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:17ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:11ASU 4th & 7 at UCLA 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:11UCLA 4th & 4 at ASU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:10UCLA 4th & 1 at ASU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.6%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:51UCLA 4th & 3 at ASU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−6.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:14UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:38ASU 4th & 3 at UCLA 48, up 9
    Close callPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:09UCLA 4th & 4 at ASU 28, down 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%−0.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−8.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:03ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 33, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−1.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:35UCLA 4th & 1 at ASU 2, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−5.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−18.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:35UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 34, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:41ASU 4th & 10 at UCLA 14, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:09UCLA 4th & 23 at UCLA 26, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q2 14:57UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:59ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:03UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:26ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:44ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:32ASU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:43ASU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:2056% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
55.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
55.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
55.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
55.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
56.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
56.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 15 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
56.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+2
56.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
56.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+48
56.7%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1743% → 43%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
56.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 19 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
56.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
56.6%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-5
56.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+7
56.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 7 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
57.2%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4657% → 58%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
56.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
57.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
57.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-18
57.6%
run for a loss of 18 yards to the UCLA 27 fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Michael MatusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2044% → 44%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
56.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 4 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
56.0%
TRAYANUM, DeaMonte rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the UCL18 (BLAYLOCK, Stephan), out of bounds. PENALTY UCL Personal Foul on GENMARK HEATH, Jordan enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the end of the play at the UCL18 to the UCL9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
56.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
56.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 2Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
56.3%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 7Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
56.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
55.7%
Cristian Zendejas 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1456% → 63%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.3%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+26
56.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 26 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
57.6%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
57.6%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
57.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+8
56.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
57.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
57.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+21
57.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 21 yds to the ArzSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
57.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
58.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
62.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 3 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5839% → 47%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
61.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Geordon Porter for 47 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
58.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
59.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 2 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+11
60.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 11 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
58.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 5 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
58.8%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 4 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
53.4%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 6 yds for a TD (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:4857% → 66%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
57.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 24 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
58.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 35 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
59.3%
Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
59.3%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
58.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 4 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.8%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:3237% → 46%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
63.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+2
62.9%
Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+9
63.3%
Rachaad White run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
54.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 65 yds for a TD (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 4:3557% → 61%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
57.3%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
56.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
56.0%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Kam thrown to the ASU35. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on LUCAS, Chase enforced 15 yards to the UCL42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
58.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
58.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 5 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
58.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+4
56.8%
AKERS, Luke punt 39 yards to the ASU14, fair catch by TAYLOR, D.J.. PENALTY Before the snap, ASU Illegal Substitution enforced 4 yards from the UCL47 to the ASU49. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
57.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
60.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 11 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+31
60.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 31 yds to the ArzSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
60.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
60.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
59.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
61.3%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:0739% → 54%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
60.6%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
59.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
46.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 54 yds for a TD (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 2:2450% → 50%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.8%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
49.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 6 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
51.1%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-11
52.6%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian scrambles to the left for a gain of 19 yards to the ASU41, End of Play. PENALTY UCL Holding on RHYAN, Sean enforced 11 yards from the UCL40 to the UCL29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+1
50.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+11
49.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 11 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
50.0%
Luke Akers punt for 49 yds , returns for no gain to the ArzSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12FG
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
58.8%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2848% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
51.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
50.9%
DANIELS, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for THOMPSON, Bryan thrown to the ASU40. PENALTY UCL Unsportsmanlike Conduct on AGUDE, Mitchell enforced 15 yards from the end of the play at the ASU35 to the ASU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
48.8%
Rachaad White run for 1 yd to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+49
35.6%
Rachaad White run for 49 yds for a TD (D. Trayanum Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14Uncategorized
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
40.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
39.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2465% → 63%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
35.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 8 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-1
35.6%
Rachaad White run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
35.8%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 23 ydsSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-16
36.6%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian scrambles to the right for a gain of 16 yards to the UCL41 (LUCAS, Chase), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY UCL Personal Foul on MAFI, Atonio enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the UCL28 to the UCL14, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 3 yards on the play [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:2936% → 35%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 21
OWN 14
+5
36.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+8
36.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 8 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
35.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 14 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
38.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 25 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
41.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
41.3%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
39.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+47
35.1%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0668% → 67%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
32.5%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
32.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to DeaMonte Trayanum for 1 yd to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+1
33.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+1
33.0%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 34 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-9
32.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 25 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sean Rhyan) to the UCLA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 73 yds · 6:2833% → 29%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+3
32.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+12
32.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 12 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+8
32.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
33.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
36.4%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 11
50
+2
35.2%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+19
34.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 19 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
38.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+3
33.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Targeting on SOELLE, Kyle enforced half the distance from the goal (Kyle Soelle) to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
33.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
33.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
31.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-1
28.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 6:5273% → 95%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+48
26.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 48 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
23.0%
Rachaad White run for no gain to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
23.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 11 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
23.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
22.3%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+10
23.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
22.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-10
22.0%
TRAYANUM, DeaMonte rush to the left for no gain to the UCL14 (ISIBOR, Odua). PENALTY ASU Holding on HENDERSON, LaDarius enforced 10 yards from the UCL14 to the UCL24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+11
22.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+8
23.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 8 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
22.0%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.1%
Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TD (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:087% → 4%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
6.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
6.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 10 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
7.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 6 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
7.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Anthonie Cooper for 0 yards to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
7.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Anthonie Cooper for 0 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
4.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Stanley Lambert for 0 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 11 yds · 1:4197% → 99%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
3.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 7 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+4
3.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 4 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
2.8%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+1
2.9%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 1 yd to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+3
1.8%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 3 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
1.0%
Cristian Zendejas 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
0.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 14 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
0.9%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian pass to the right complete for 12 yards to COTA, Chase to the ASU49 (WILLIAMS, Macen). PENALTY UCL Pass Interference on DULCICH, Greg enforced 15 yards to the UCL24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 25
OWN 24
0
0.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for no gain to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 25
OWN 24
+5
0.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 5 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 20
OWN 29
0
0.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by B.J. Green for 0 yards to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 23
OWN 26
0
0.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
0.5%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:43
Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TD (Cristian Zendejas KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q3 13:32
Rachaad White run for 49 yds for a TD (D. Trayanum Run For Two-point Conversion)
-13.2
TD · Q2 2:44
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 54 yds for a TD (Cristian Zendejas KICK)
-12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com