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ORE

Oregon 24 at Stanford 31

STAN
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:50 · Anthony Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 89Pregame prior−14.7Home team on offense+6.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Score differential+2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:32: CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +18.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q3 0:53: Camden Lewis 22 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +11.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:32: Anthony Brown run for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +25.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:01: Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 2 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +53.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 14 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +14.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:30STAN 4th & 7 at ORE 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:14ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:36STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:37ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 48, down 10
    Close callPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:05STAN 4th & 1 at ORE 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−2.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:17ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:00STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:50ORE 4th & 1 at STAN 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−2.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−10.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:13ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:20STAN 4th & 20 at STAN 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−4.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:09STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:53ORE 4th & 4 at STAN 4, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−13.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:43STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−4.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:26STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:41ORE 4th & 1 at STAN 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−2.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−2.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:59ORE 4th & 14 at STAN 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:25STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:34ORE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:02STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:32ORE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:32ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:01STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−7.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 4:2024% → 27%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
24.0%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+14
24.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 14 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
24.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+13
24.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 13 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
25.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
25.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+15
25.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 15 yds to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
26.0%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Oregn 4Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
26.4%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Oregn 2Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
26.5%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Brycen TremayneSimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
26.4%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 7Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
26.7%
Joshua Karty 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:5473% → 72%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.8%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
26.7%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-7
27.0%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 35 OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 25Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
27.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Terrance FergusonSimilar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.8%
Tom Snee punt for 47 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 1 yd to the Stanf 29 Casey Filkins fumbled, recovered by Stanf Casey FilkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3427% → 28%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
27.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
27.3%
Tanner McKee run for 4 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-1
27.7%
Tanner McKee sacked by Keyon Ware-Hudson and Brandon Dorlus for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 32Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+11
27.8%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 44 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 11 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:1272% → 72%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
28.5%
Jaylon Redd run for 8 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
28.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-4
28.3%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Gabe Reid return for 4 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:3229% → 32%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+25
29.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 25 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
31.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 18 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:3969% → 68%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
30.9%
Travis Dye run for 17 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
30.8%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
31.1%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
31.7%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
32.3%
Tom Snee punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the Stanf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:2434% → 36%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+23
33.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 23 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
34.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 13 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
35.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
35.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
35.6%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Oregn 45Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
35.6%
Tanner McKee run for no gain to the Oregn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:1365% → 69%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
35.0%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 5
50
+9
35.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 9 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
35.3%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+11
36.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 11 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
35.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 11 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
35.4%
CJ Verdell run for 11 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
35.6%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
31.2%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1033% → 47%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
33.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 9 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
34.0%
McKee, Tanner pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGON pass interference 12 yards to the STANFORD46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
35.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 15 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
35.5%
Austin Jones run for 11 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
36.8%
Tanner McKee run for 6 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
37.4%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
37.7%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the Oregn 11Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
38.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+7
37.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
39.3%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Oregn 2Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
39.7%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Oregn 2Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.8%
Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2854% → 50%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
46.5%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
45.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 7 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
46.1%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 35Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+6
48.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-2
48.2%
Anthony Brown sacked by Ricky Miezan and Gabe Reid for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 39Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
50.4%
Tom Snee punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5950% → 49%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
50.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 21Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
50.0%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 12
OWN 21
-5
49.0%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 16Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 17
OWN 16
+9
49.2%
Tanner McKee run for 9 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 8
OWN 25
-3
49.0%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 54 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12DOWNS
15 plays · 80 yds · 2:5549% → 47%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
51.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 4 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
51.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Devon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+13
53.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 13 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
51.7%
Travis Dye run for 11 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
51.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to CJ Verdell for 13 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
51.0%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+21
50.5%
Jaylon Redd run for 21 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
47.8%
Anthony Brown run for 12 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
48.4%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Stanf 9Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
48.9%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
52.5%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
53.1%
Anthony Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:4155% → 55%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
54.7%
Tanner McKee run for 1 yd to the Stanf 3Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+4
54.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Stanf 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:2444% → 40%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
56.2%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
55.7%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:27
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
59.1%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:13
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+16
60.3%
Tom Snee punt for 57 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 16 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3861% → 61%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
61.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
61.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-10
60.3%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 20Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 18
OWN 20
-2
61.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 18Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 20
OWN 18
0
61.0%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:3039% → 54%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
61.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 13 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
60.2%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+5
60.6%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
61.3%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+14
61.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 14 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
62.9%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
64.0%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Stanf 1Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.8%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1952% → 51%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.6%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
50.6%
Tanner McKee run for 3 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+32
50.6%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 40 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 32 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18FG
14 plays · 34 yds · 6:0353% → 57%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
46.7%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+6
45.6%
CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
45.9%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+2
46.6%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+6
48.2%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
47.9%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
48.3%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
50.6%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
49.0%
OREGON Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
-4
49.8%
Anthony Brown sacked by Levani Damuni for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
+5
51.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Stanf 18Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
51.8%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Moliki MatavaoSimilar
Q3 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+14
54.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 14 yds to the Stanf 4Similar
Q3 0:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
42.9%
Camden Lewis 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 3:5850% → 50%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
49.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 7 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
52.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 9 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
53.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
55.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
56.0%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 41Similar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
52.5%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 41Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+3
52.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 3 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 17
OWN 44
-5
51.4%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
51.3%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+9
50.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 50 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 9 yds to the Oregn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1153% → 85%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
47.1%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 15Similar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+3
47.4%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+6
48.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+66
48.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 66 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
40.7%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Stanf 5Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.3%
Anthony Brown run for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3326% → 21%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-7
25.5%
Tanner McKee sacked by Noah Sewell for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 17
OWN 19
-5
23.9%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 22
OWN 14
0
23.8%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 22
OWN 14
+12
22.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 12 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
21.3%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds, downed at the Oregn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22PUNT
17 plays · 31 yds · 5:1182% → 92%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
17.9%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
17.6%
Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
15.1%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
14.0%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
12.6%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
11.8%
Byron Cardwell run for 3 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
11.2%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
9.9%
Byron Cardwell run for no gain to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+3
10.9%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
9.2%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 15
OPP 44
-5
9.4%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+2
9.3%
Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 18
OPP 47
0
8.8%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 18
OPP 47
+4
9.7%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
8.4%
Tom Snee punt for 30 yds, downed at the Stanf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23END OF GAME
19 plays · 86 yds · 1:5214% → 70%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
13.6%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
13.4%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 8Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 15
OWN 8
-4
13.1%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Stanf 4Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 19
OWN 4
+23
12.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 23 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
13.6%
McKee, Tanner pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGON personal foul 15 yards to the STANFORD42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
15.1%
Jack West run for no gain to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
13.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 13 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
14.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Bradley Archer for 13 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
18.2%
McKee, Tanner pass incomplete to Humphreys, John, PENALTY OREGON roughing passer 15 yards to the OREGON17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
20.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
19.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 14 yds to the Oregn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
23.8%
Tanner McKee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 5Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
18.1%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
17.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
15.8%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 2 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
65.6%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Jay SymondsSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
65.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 9 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
63.3%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
65.6%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 18Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+4
65.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
65.4%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+14
79.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 14 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25Uncategorized
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0020% → 9%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
82.1%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-1
86.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for a loss of 1 yard Jaylon Redd fumbled, recovered by OregnSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 23
0
91.0%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:01
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 2 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)
+53.7
TD · Q4 9:32
Anthony Brown run for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
-25.5
TD · Q3 8:32
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
-18.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com