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WSU

Washington State 21 at California 6

CAL
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD+2.1CAL 71.8%Christopher Brooks run for 11 yds fora TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)AWAY 7 - HOME 6 · Q1 7:44
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:44 · Christopher Brooks run for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense+0.4Pregame prior+20.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:46: Jr. Calvin Jackson 5 Yd pass from Jayden de Laura (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 36%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:47: De'Zhaun Stribling 8 Yd pass from Jayden de Laura (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +18.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:25: Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Donovan Ollie — WSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:45: Marcel Dancy run for 2 yds to the Cal 35 — CAL win probability +5.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:20: Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 10 — WSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 9 of 11WSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 9:43CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:02WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:46WSU 4th & 5 at CAL 5, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:10CAL 4th & 20 at CAL 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−1.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:13WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:19CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:39CAL 4th & 14 at WSU 34, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.2%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:53CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:04WSU 4th & 3 at CAL 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−1.0
    47% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:00CAL 4th & 12 at CAL 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:58CAL 4th & 9 at CAL 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:03CAL 4th & 8 at CAL 37, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:53WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 42, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:25CAL 4th & 3 at WSU 28, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%−1.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−8.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:45WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:45WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:20CAL 4th & 6 at WSU 7, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−9.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:43WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 23, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:23WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 49, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:12CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 20, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:21WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:44CAL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:46WSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2027% → 29%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
72.7%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
72.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 6 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
72.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Joey Hobert for 12 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
72.3%
Deon McIntosh run for 20 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
72.1%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+5
71.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 5 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+22
70.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 22 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:3771% → 72%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.1%
Damien Moore run for 4 yds to the Cal 29 Damien Moore fumbled, forced by Derrick Langford, recovered by Cal Jake TongesSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
70.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
70.3%
Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
70.2%
Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
69.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 9 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+44
69.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 44 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
71.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3FG
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:4529% → 36%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.1%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
70.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
71.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
71.4%
Nick Haberer punt blocked by Nick Alftin, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 36 for a 1ST down blocked by Nick Alftin for a 1ST down for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
70.7%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+10
70.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 10 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
70.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 5 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
69.8%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+20
69.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 20 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
69.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 7 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+14
68.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 14 yds to the Cal 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
68.5%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Trey Paster) to the Cal 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
67.7%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Cal 7Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
67.8%
Jayden de Laura run for 2 yds to the Cal 5Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.6%
Jr. Calvin Jackson 5 Yd pass from Jayden de Laura (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+15
64.2%
Andrew Boyle 15 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3663% → 61%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.4%
Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
63.3%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Collin MooreSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-8
62.7%
Chase Garbers sacked by Willie Taylor III for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 15Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
61.3%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5239% → 38%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
61.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Tsion NunnallySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
61.5%
Jayden de Laura run for 3 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+4
61.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Max Borghi for 4 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
61.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4861% → 58%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
61.4%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko RemigioSimilar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
61.2%
Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+7
60.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 7 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
60.4%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Christopher BrooksSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
60.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
59.9%
Chase Garbers run for no gain to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
57.7%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0542% → 43%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
57.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 7 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+3
57.4%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
56.6%
Jayden de Laura pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3560% → 56%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
60.3%
Marcel Dancy run for 1 yd to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
60.2%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Marcel DancySimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 9
OPP 29
-5
59.2%
Chase Garbers sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 14
OPP 34
0
55.5%
Chase Garbers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:1945% → 48%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
55.4%
Lincoln Victor pass incomplete to Donovan OllieSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
55.6%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-5
55.9%
PENALTY WSU False Start (Ryan,Liam) 5 yards from WSU35 to WSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+23
56.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 23 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
54.5%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
51.7%
Jayden de Laura pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2752% → 49%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
52.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 1 yd to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+2
52.3%
Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
51.5%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
49.2%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:4950% → 51%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
50.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 1 yd to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
50.4%
PENALTY CAL Offside (Saunders,Ethan) 5 yards from WSU41 to WSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
50.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+13
50.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 13 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
50.0%
Max Borghi run for 7 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
49.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
50.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
49.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jr. Calvin JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:0449% → 46%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
49.4%
Christopher Brooks run for 9 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+3
50.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
50.6%
Chase Garbers run for 5 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-10
51.3%
Brooks,Christopher rush for 0 yards to the WSU49, End Of Play PENALTY CAL Holding (Daltoso,Valentino) 10 yards from WSU49 to CAL41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
49.4%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Damien MooreSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+3
48.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 3 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
46.2%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 1:0055% → 56%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
44.7%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Luc Bequette for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 8Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+5
44.2%
Cammon Cooper run for 5 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0245% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
45.1%
Chase Garbers sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the Cal 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+7
44.7%
Damien Moore run for 7 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
43.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Justin Richard Baker for 4 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
41.0%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 4:1157% → 77%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
42.6%
Deon McIntosh run for 15 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
41.4%
Deon McIntosh run for 13 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
41.3%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the Cal 38Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
41.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+15
41.7%
Jayden de Laura run for 15 yds to the Cal 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
41.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Chau Smith-WadeSimilar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+10
41.2%
Max Borghi run for 10 yds to the Cal 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
41.1%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the Cal 8Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
22.8%
De'Zhaun Stribling 8 Yd pass from Jayden de Laura (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:4029% → 27%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
29.1%
Chris Street run for 12 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
29.7%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko RemigioSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
29.3%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
28.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 2 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+5
26.5%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 51 yds , Travell Harris returns for 5 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:1077% → 80%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
23.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 10 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
23.2%
Max Borghi run for 8 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+6
22.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 6 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
22.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jr. Calvin JacksonSimilar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
22.3%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the WshSt 41Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+1
22.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 1 yd to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
19.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:2823% → 22%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
22.6%
Chris Street run for 12 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
23.1%
Chris Street run for 10 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
25.0%
Chase Garbers run for 11 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
25.8%
Nikko Remigio run for 11 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
26.3%
Chris Street run for 2 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+7
26.4%
Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
26.1%
Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
22.1%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:4087% → 87%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
13.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Donovan OllieSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
13.0%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
13.3%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jr. Calvin JacksonSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
13.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 28Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
13.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:2519% → 17%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
19.3%
Marcel Dancy run for 2 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+20
19.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 20 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
21.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 6 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
22.2%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Marcel DancySimilar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+28
21.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 28 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
22.9%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
22.9%
Chris Street run for 7 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+3
22.4%
Chris Street run for 3 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 6
OPP 7
0
17.4%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Chris StreetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:3791% → 92%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
9.1%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+8
9.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 8 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
9.0%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
9.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+5
9.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 5 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+7
7.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 27 , Jeremiah Hunter returns for 7 yds to the Cal 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 1:1396% → 98%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
4.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 13 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
4.2%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 13
OPP 46
0
3.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jr. Calvin JacksonSimilar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 13
OPP 46
-10
3.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 18
OWN 49
0
2.8%
Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 18
OWN 49
0
2.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kekoa Crawford at the Cal 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:113% → 3%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
3.0%
PENALTY CAL False Start (Rohme,Brayden) 5 yards from CAL14 to CAL09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+5
2.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 5 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
3.0%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Christopher BrooksSimilar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+6
2.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 6 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
2.8%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Damien MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:1299% → 99%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
1.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 3 yds to the Cal 17Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+9
1.3%
Max Borghi run for 9 yds to the Cal 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
1.3%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 10Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
1.3%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 12Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-3
0.9%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:47
De'Zhaun Stribling 8 Yd pass from Jayden de Laura (Dean Janikowski Kick)
-18.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:25
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Donovan Ollie
-8.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:20
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 10
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com