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ARIZ

Arizona 19 at Oregon 41

ORE
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGSAFETYTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:24 · Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Jack Vecchi
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 185Pregame prior+0.5Home team on offense+34.0Score differential+23.8Garbage-time factor+12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+16.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+11.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:59: Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +2.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:36: Drake Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +14.1 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q4 13:37: Camden Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +6.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:26: Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 18 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +4.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:04: Jordan McCloud pass intercepted for a TD Bennett Williams return for 68 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +3.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ARIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:51ORE 4th & 3 at ARIZ 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 6:18ARIZ 4th & 2 at ORE 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:24ARIZ 4th & 8 at ORE 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:45ORE 4th & 12 at ORE 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:03ARIZ 4th & 13 at ARIZ 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:50ARIZ 4th & 5 at ORE 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:12ARIZ 4th & 1 at ORE 3, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−1.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:37ORE 4th & 7 at ARIZ 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−8.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:26ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 13, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:14ARIZ 4th & 3 at ORE 24, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:12ARIZ 4th & 11 at ORE 22, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:09ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 29, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:24ORE 4th & 8 at ARIZ 41, up 22
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ARIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:58ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:15ARIZ Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:16ORE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:59ORE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:36ARIZ Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:26ORE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:04ORE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5797% → 97%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 6 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
97.0%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
97.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 63 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
96.9%
Jordan McCloud pass intercepted Bennett Williams return for no gain to the Ariz 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:5097% → 97%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
96.9%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-5
96.9%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
96.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+19
96.8%
Anthony Brown run for 19 yds to the Ariz 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
96.8%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Terrance FergusonSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.7%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the Ariz 3Similar
Q1 10:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
96.6%
Camden Lewis 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 4:204% → 4%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
96.5%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+4
96.5%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+8
96.5%
Drake Anderson run for 8 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
96.4%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+18
96.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stevie Rocker Jr. for 18 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
96.2%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+22
96.3%
Stanley Berryhill III run for 7 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
96.2%
Jordan McCloud run for 16 yds to the Oregn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.1%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 0
OPP 6
-5
96.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 11Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
95.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 11 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5296% → 96%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.8%
Anthony Brown run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
95.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 7 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+53
95.7%
Travis Dye run for 53 yds to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.2%
CJ Verdell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6INT
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:204% → 5%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
96.1%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+8
96.1%
Jordan McCloud run for 8 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
96.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 13 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
95.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 1 yd to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+5
95.6%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+19
95.5%
Jordan McCloud run for 19 yds to the Oregn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
95.3%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the Oregn 21Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+5
95.2%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
95.3%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
95.0%
Stanley Berryhill III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 12Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
95.0%
Jordan McCloud pass intercepted, touchback. Mykael Wright return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:3695% → 97%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
95.2%
Anthony Brown run for 7 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+30
95.2%
Travis Dye run for 30 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
95.3%
Brown, Anthony pass incomplete to Johnson III, Johnny, PENALTY ARIZONA pass interference 15 yards to the ARIZONA28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
95.3%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
95.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Seven McGeeSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+14
95.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 14 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
95.3%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 11Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+2
95.2%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Ariz 9Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
97.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:253% → 5%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
96.6%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+14
96.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 14 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
96.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 14 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.2%
Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-2
96.2%
Stanley Berryhill III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+10
96.3%
Jordan McCloud run for 10 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+35
95.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 35 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
95.5%
Stanley Berryhill III run for 5 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
95.5%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Oregn 7Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-3
95.7%
Stanley Berryhill III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 10Similar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
95.1%
Lucas Havrisik 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3496% → 95%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.6%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
95.6%
Anthony Brown sacked by Kenny Hebert for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
95.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Terrance FergusonSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
95.4%
Tom Snee punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 1:355% → 4%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 20Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+11
95.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to BJ Casteel for 11 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
95.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jalen John for 7 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
95.4%
Jalen John run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 37Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
95.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-5
95.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+3
95.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Drake Anderson for 3 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
95.7%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 40 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for no gain to the Oregn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:5996% → 96%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.6%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
95.5%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
95.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 29 yds to the OREGON 48 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kris Hutson) to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
95.9%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12INT
16 plays · 68 yds · 6:215% → 6%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
95.2%
Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Ariz 15Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
95.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 13 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
94.9%
Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+10
95.0%
Drake Anderson run for 10 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
94.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Alex Lines for 19 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
94.3%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
94.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+6
94.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 6 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+7
94.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 7 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
93.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Drake AndersonSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+8
93.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 8 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+2
94.0%
Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
93.5%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Oregn 21Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
93.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Michael Wiley for 4 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-1
93.8%
Jordan McCloud pass intercepted Verone McKinley III return for 1 yd to the Oregn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13SF
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:1195% → 94%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
95.3%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 7
OWN 5
-1
95.3%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 4Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 8
OWN 4
-4
93.8%
Mo Diallo SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 5:356% → 22%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
94.1%
Camden Lewis kickoff for 71 yds , Michael Wiley returns for 20 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
93.7%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
93.4%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+15
93.3%
McCloud, Jordan pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGON roughing passer (Sewell, Noah) 15 yards to the OREGON49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA.Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
92.8%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
92.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 7 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
92.7%
Jordan McCloud run for 3 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
92.6%
McCloud, Jordan pass incomplete to Casteel, BJ, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Wright, Mykael) 15 yards to the OREGON22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA.Similar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
92.0%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+10
92.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Drake Anderson for 10 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
91.8%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
91.7%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Oregn 4Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+1
92.3%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Oregn 3Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+2
92.5%
Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.5%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 2:5985% → 92%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
84.9%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 20Similar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
84.4%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+22
84.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 22 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
85.8%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
85.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kris HutsonSimilar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+27
84.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for 27 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
86.8%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+1
86.6%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
85.8%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
92.0%
Camden Lewis 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:569% → 8%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
91.1%
Michael Wiley run for 10 yds to the Ariz 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
90.9%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
90.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
91.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 7
OWN 18
-5
91.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 13Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
91.8%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the Oregn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:5493% → 98%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
93.0%
CJ Verdell run for 13 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
93.2%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+8
92.9%
CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
93.2%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 39Similar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+5
92.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
93.4%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+11
93.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 11 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
93.3%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
97.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 18 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18INT TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:114% → 1%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
96.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 12 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
96.2%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 5
50
+6
96.1%
Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-68
99.4%
Jordan McCloud pass intercepted for a TD Bennett Williams return for 68 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19MISSED FG
17 plays · 53 yds · 4:471% → 1%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+17
99.4%
Drake Anderson run for 17 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 15
OWN 41
-1
99.5%
Stanley Berryhill III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+15
99.5%
McCloud, Jordan pass incomplete to Curry, Boobie, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Bridges, Trikweze) 15 yards to the OREGON45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA.Similar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.4%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+10
99.4%
Michael Wiley run for 10 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
99.3%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Treven Ma'ae for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 13
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+10
99.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 10 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+3
99.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Drake Anderson for 3 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.3%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
99.3%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 22Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
99.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+40
99.4%
Lucas Havrisik 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.8%
Seven McGee run for 5 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+2
99.8%
Seven McGee run for 2 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Tom Snee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21INT
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:141% → 1%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jalen John for 14 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
99.5%
Jordan McCloud pass intercepted Nate Heaukulani return for 7 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:17100% → 100%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Jack VecchiSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.8%
Ty Thompson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Ty Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Jack VecchiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.5%
Jalen John run for 4 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:36
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)
-14.1
FG · Q4 13:37
Camden Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD
+6.2
TD · Q4 8:26
Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 18 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com