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UCLA

UCLA 35 at Stanford 24

STAN
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:24 · Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 12 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior−0.6Home team on offense−35.1Score differential−11.3Garbage-time factor−12.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:31: Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 19 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +7.3 pts (now 36%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:23: Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +8.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:06: Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 46 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +26.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:10: Joshua Karty 48 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +18.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 2:30: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +7.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:12UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:13STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q3 5:40UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 14:47STAN 4th & 15 at STAN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 10:43STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 9:12UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:50UCLA 4th & 17 at STAN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:36UCLA 4th & 13 at UCLA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:08UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:40STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:44UCLA 4th & 16 at STAN 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−2.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−9.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:22UCLA 4th & 4 at STAN 46, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−5.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:10STAN 4th & 2 at UCLA 30, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%−4.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−9.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:24STAN 4th & 9 at STAN 27, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:15UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:31STAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:23UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:06STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:30UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1Uncategorized
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
35.6%
Tanner McKee run for 2 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2PUNT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 9:12
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+12
35.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 61 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 12 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3Uncategorized
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
35.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4Uncategorized
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
35.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
35.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kazmeir AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6Uncategorized
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 9:12
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+16
35.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for 16 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7Uncategorized
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 9:12
4TH & 2
OWN 17
+21
35.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 21 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
35.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Logan LoyaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9Uncategorized
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
35.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10Uncategorized
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
35.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11Uncategorized
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
34.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
34.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Stanf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13Uncategorized
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
34.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 7 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14Uncategorized
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+9
35.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15Uncategorized
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
34.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 13 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16Uncategorized
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+6
34.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the Stanf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
28.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.2%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:0230% → 30%
Q1 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
30.1%
Tanner McKee run for 5 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+10
30.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 10 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20Uncategorized
1 play · -25 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 8:36
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+25
28.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Tanner McKee for 25 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 4:0528% → 36%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
28.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+30
28.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 30 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
28.8%
PENALTY STA False Start (Miller,Barrett) 5 yards from UCL21 to UCL26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+7
28.8%
Tanner McKee run for 7 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
28.8%
Tanner McKee run for no gain to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+19
36.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 19 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:1772% → 80%
Q2 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
27.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 3 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+11
28.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 11 yds to the Stanf 2Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5885% → 84%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
15.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 4 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
15.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
15.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
15.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
15.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
15.6%
Luke Akers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 1:5432% → 58%
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+8
31.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
58.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 46 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:1335% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
35.3%
rush for 0 yards to the STA25 (Jackson,Datona; Agude,Mitchell) PENALTY STA False Start 5 yards from STA25 to STA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
35.3%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
35.3%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
35.3%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q1 14:47
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+59
35.3%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 52 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 59 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 2:3565% → 64%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
35.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the UCLA 13Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+81
35.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 81 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
35.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Stanf 1Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Stanf 1Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2936% → 37%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
36.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Bradley Archer for 6 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
36.3%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Brycen TremayneSimilar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
36.8%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 46 yds , Kyle Philips returns for no gain to the UCLA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3163% → 62%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
36.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
36.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
37.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
38.0%
Luke Akers punt for no gain , Houston Heimuli returns for no gain to the Stanf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 29Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.8%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Lukas UngarSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 30Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
37.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 32PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2360% → 58%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
40.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 12 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
39.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 19 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
38.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 21
OWN 48
+4
40.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 17
OPP 48
0
40.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Logan LoyaSimilar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 17
OPP 48
+19
41.9%
Luke Akers punt for 37 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for 19 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 33PUNT
9 plays · -85 yds · 1:5243% → 46%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
42.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 2 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+27
42.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 27 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+37
44.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 37 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+29
43.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 29 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
44.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+30
43.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 30 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+61
45.0%
Isaiah Sanders run for 61 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
45.0%
PENALTY STA False Start 5 yards from UCL21 to UCL26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 15
OPP 26
0
45.8%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 1 yd, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 34PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2258% → 56%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+4
41.9%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
42.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
44.0%
Luke Akers punt for no gain , Bryce Farrell returns for no gain to the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 35Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
46.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 2 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 36PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2358% → 57%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
42.3%
Brittain Brown run for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
40.5%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
40.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
40.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Matt SykesSimilar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
43.1%
Luke Akers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 37PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2846% → 44%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
45.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 14
-8
45.9%
Tanner McKee sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 6Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 13
OWN 6
+1
44.3%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Stanf 7Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 12
OWN 7
0
43.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 38Uncategorized
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:0060% → 62%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
40.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+11
39.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 11 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
39.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 11 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
38.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 16 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 39FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:2249% → 47%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
48.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 4 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 14
OWN 36
0
48.0%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Bradley ArcherSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+10
46.9%
Joshua Karty 10 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 40FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 6:1650% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
52.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 17 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
48.3%
Brittain Brown run for 7 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+7
47.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
47.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Brittain Brown for 6 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+8
46.9%
Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
46.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 12 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
45.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Brittain Brown for 1 yd to the Stanf 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+4
46.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-9
47.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Thomas Booker for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 25Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+53
47.5%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 41Uncategorized
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0649% → 47%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
50.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
48.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
47.3%
PENALTY STA Delay Of Game 5 yards from STA29 to STA29. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 42TD
1 play · 56 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
53.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 56 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 43PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 5:0853% → 54%
Q3 5:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
47.3%
Brittain Brown run for 7 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
47.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 5 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
45.6%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
43.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-5
42.3%
PENALTY UCL False Start (Rhyan,Sean) 5 yards from STA44 to STA49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
42.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
43.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Zach CharbonnetSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
43.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Zach CharbonnetSimilar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
46.1%
Luke Akers punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 44Uncategorized
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
52.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 45TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
48.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 75 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 46FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:4653% → 39%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
53.0%
Peat,Nathaniel rush for 0 yards to the STA25 (Johnson,Cameron) PENALTY STA Holding (Hinton,Myles) 10 yards from STA25 to STA15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+12
52.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 12 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
53.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+30
52.4%
Tanner McKee run for 30 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
58.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Jay Symonds for 2 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
58.3%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+6
57.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+6
57.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+48
38.8%
Joshua Karty 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 47TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:4072% → 96%
Q4 9:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
28.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
27.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+14
27.4%
Brittain Brown run for 14 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
26.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+17
26.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 17 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
24.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
16.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
17.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
15.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the Stanf 7Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
15.5%
Ethan Garbers run for 2 yds to the Stanf 5Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 48FG
15 plays · 38 yds · 2:205% → 7%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-8
4.6%
Tanner McKee sacked by Datona Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 18Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 18
OWN 18
0
4.4%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Nathaniel PeatSimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 18
OWN 18
+9
4.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 9 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+12
4.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 12 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
5.0%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
5.0%
Tanner McKee run for 3 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+8
4.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
50
+4
5.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 4 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
5.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+5
5.5%
PENALTY UCL Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UCL46 to UCL41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+5
6.2%
Tanner McKee run for 5 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
5.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
5.7%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+54
7.0%
Joshua Karty 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 49Uncategorized
1 play · -15 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
3.0%
PENALTY UCL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from UCL36 to UCL21. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:06
Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 46 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)
+26.4
FG · Q4 9:10
Joshua Karty 48 yd FG GOOD
-18.5
TD · Q2 0:23
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com