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CAL

California 24 at Washington 31

WASH
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:14 · Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 1 yd to the Wash 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Home team on offense+8.7Pregame prior+3.7Garbage-time factor+2.6Score differential+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Time remaining+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:59: Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 1 yd for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) — CAL win probability +3.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:14: Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 6 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +4.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:27: Sean McGrew run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +8.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:34: Peyton Henry 32 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +4.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:09: Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 26 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) — CAL win probability +12.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CAL made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:33WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:30WASH 4th & 2 at CAL 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    69.8%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:42CAL 4th & 2 at WASH 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:59CAL 4th & 1 at WASH 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:06CAL 4th & 20 at WASH 20, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.8%−1.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    26.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:50WASH 4th & 1 at CAL 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−1.8
    87% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:30CAL 4th & 14 at CAL 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:34WASH 4th & 14 at CAL 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−6.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:57WASH 4th & 18 at WASH 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−4.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:14CAL 4th & 2 at WASH 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−4.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−3.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:14CAL 4th & 2 at WASH 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−4.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:44WASH 4th & 5 at CAL 29, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.4%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−7.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:30CAL 4th & 10 at WASH 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:23WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:16WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CAL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:38WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:59CAL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:14WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:27WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:09CAL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1570% → 69%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.5%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
69.5%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
69.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+11
69.3%
Race Porter punt for 48 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 11 yds to the Cal 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:1531% → 31%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-8
69.3%
Chase Garbers sacked by Ryan Bowman for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 24Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+9
69.2%
Damien Moore run for 9 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
69.2%
Chase Garbers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:0570% → 71%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
69.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Sean McGrew for 5 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
69.5%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+3
69.4%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+8
69.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 8 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
69.5%
Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Cal 20Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
69.5%
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd to the Cal 19Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+19
71.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 19 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4TD
16 plays · 67 yds · 6:2130% → 34%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
70.5%
Damien Moore run for no gain to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
70.7%
Damien Moore run for 8 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+5
70.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 5 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
70.4%
Chase Garbers run for 8 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+6
70.1%
Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
70.3%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
70.3%
(05:57) PENALTY CAL False Start (Young,Monroe) 5 yards from UW 40 to UW 45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
70.8%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+13
71.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 13 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+23
70.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 23 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
69.8%
Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
69.8%
(03:52) PENALTY CAL False Start (Daltoso,Valentino) 5 yards from UW 06 to UW 11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
69.9%
Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Wash 5Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
70.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 4 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 1 yd for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3068% → 73%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
67.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 15 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
68.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 27 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
69.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 7 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+16
69.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 16 yds to the Cal 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
69.1%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Cal 6Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
73.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 6 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6DOWNS
16 plays · 46 yds · 6:5728% → 25%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.7%
Damien Moore run for no gain to the Cal 25Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
71.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 9 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
71.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 14 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
70.6%
Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+20
71.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 20 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
69.6%
PENALTY CAL False Start (Craig,Will) 5 yards from UW 34 to UW 39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+7
71.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+7
69.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 7 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+23
71.6%
Chase Garbers run for 16 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ryan Bowman) to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
70.7%
Chase Garbers sacked by Faatui Tuitele for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 10Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
70.7%
Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
72.5%
Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the Wash 5 Chase Garbers fumbled, forced by Mishael Powell, recovered by Cal Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q2 7:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+15
73.1%
PENALTY CAL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mettauer,McKade) 15 yards from UW 05 to UW 20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+9
74.8%
run for 9 yds to the Wash 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:2475% → 85%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
75.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 10 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
75.8%
Dylan Morris run for 15 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
76.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 26 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
77.1%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
77.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cameron Davis for 2 yds to the Cal 12Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+1
76.7%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Cal 11Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
75.0%
Dylan Morris run for 2 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
76.7%
(02:40) PENALTY UW False Start (Buelow,Julius) 5 yards from CAL09 to CAL14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
76.6%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Cal 10Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
77.1%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
76.2%
(01:40) Morris,Dylan pass incomplete PENALTY CAL Holding (Drayden,Josh) 5 yards from CAL10 to CAL05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
84.6%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 1:2717% → 21%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.7%
Chase Garbers run for 5 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
82.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 11 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
82.0%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon ClarkSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
82.3%
Chase Garbers run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 1
50
+7
81.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 7 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
80.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 6 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+17
81.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 17 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
80.3%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
80.5%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 9 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+29
78.7%
Dario Longhetto 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2220% → 18%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.0%
Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
80.0%
Chase Garbers sacked by Brendan Radley-Hiles for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 21Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
81.3%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Illegal Motion (Elijah Hicks) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
81.8%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FG
17 plays · 46 yds · 5:4782% → 88%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
82.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 9 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+8
82.6%
Kamari Pleasant run for 8 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
82.9%
(12:26) Morris,Dylan sacked for loss of 1 yard to the CAL44 (Goode,Cameron) PENALTY UW Holding (Curne,Victor) 10 yards from CAL43 to UW 47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 20
OWN 47
0
82.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 20
OWN 47
-15
82.5%
(11:58) Morris,Dylan pass incomplete to Bynum,Terrell PENALTY CAL Pass Interference (Hearns III,Lu-Magia) 15 yards from UW 47 to CAL38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
83.2%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
83.4%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
82.8%
PENALTY CAL Offside (Goode,Cameron) 5 yards from CAL34 to CAL29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+7
82.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 7 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
83.7%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
84.1%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+10
83.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 10 yds to the Cal 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
84.5%
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd to the Cal 9Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
84.7%
(08:47) McGrew,Sean rush for 6 yards gain to the CAL03 (Hicks,Elijah) PENALTY UW Holding (Redman,Mark) 10 yards from CAL09 to CAL19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
84.7%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+5
83.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Mark Redman for 5 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
88.3%
Peyton Henry 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1713% → 29%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
86.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 32 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
84.8%
Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+1
84.5%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+10
84.9%
(06:26) Garbers,Chase pass intercepted by Radley-Hiles,Brendan at UW 22 Radley-Hiles,Brendan return 10 yards to the UW 32 (Moore,Damien) PENALTY UW Holding (Radley-Hiles,Brendan) 10 yards from UW 36 to UW 26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
84.0%
Nikko Remigio run for no gain to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
71.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 26 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5980% → 78%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
79.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 16 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
81.3%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
80.7%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-12
80.6%
Dylan Morris sacked by Ethan Saunders for a loss of 12 yards to the Wash 33 Dylan Morris fumbled, recovered by Wash Dylan Morris , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
77.7%
Race Porter punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:1423% → 22%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
76.7%
Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
76.0%
Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the Cal 27Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
78.3%
Chase Garbers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:2885% → 87%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
85.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 6 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
85.4%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
85.7%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
86.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Cal 39 Kamari Pleasant fumbled, forced by Elijah Hicks, recovered by Cal Marqez BimageSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:1523% → 20%
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
77.2%
Damien Moore run for 5 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
78.4%
Chase Garbers run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
50
+4
77.7%
Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
77.8%
Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
78.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 1 yd to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+1
80.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 1 yd to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+1
80.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 1 yd to the Wash 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16FG
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:1787% → 88%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
87.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 25 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
88.6%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
88.9%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Sean McGrewSimilar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
88.1%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
87.5%
Peyton Henry 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:0811% → 10%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.7%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake TongesSimilar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
89.5%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 2 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+23
90.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 23 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.8%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Justin Richard BakerSimilar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
87.1%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
88.0%
Chase Garbers run for no gain to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
90.3%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5491% → 90%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
90.7%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 6
OWN 12
0
90.8%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
90.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+10
90.3%
Race Porter punt for 60 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 10 yds to the Cal 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:189% → 7%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
90.6%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete run for 4 yds to the Cal 38 fumbled, recovered by CalSimilar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
90.8%
Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+19
91.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 19 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
90.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 5 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+1
89.1%
Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+23
90.3%
Chase Garbers run for 23 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
89.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 4 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
91.9%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Keleki LatuSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
92.7%
C. Garbers run for 7 yds for a TD, (D. Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2694% → 95%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.0%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
95.2%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
95.3%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.1%
Race Porter punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 1:165% → 5%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
94.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 8 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-14
94.1%
(00:48) Moore,Damien rush for 5 yards gain to the CAL33 (McDonald,Cooper; Sirmon,Jackson) PENALTY CAL Face Mask (Coleman,Ben) 14 yards from CAL28 to CAL14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+9
94.1%
Damien Moore run for 9 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+22
94.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 22 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
94.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 12 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
95.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 6 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+55
95.5%
Dario Longhetto 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:09
Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 26 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q2 1:27
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
+8.5
FG · Q3 7:34
Peyton Henry 32 yd FG GOOD
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com