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USC

USC 45 at Washington State 14

WSU
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:13: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 7 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:32: Jaxson Dart pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 38 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — USC win probability +12.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:21: Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 5 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — USC win probability +13.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:16: Gary Bryant Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — USC win probability +15.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:46: Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 31 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — USC win probability +6.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:23USC 4th & 22 at USC 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:12WSU 4th & 2 at USC 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.2%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    44.7%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−3.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:16WSU 4th & 2 at USC 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−4.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:33USC 4th & 14 at USC 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:24WSU 4th & 9 at USC 35, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:32USC 4th & 9 at WSU 38, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%
    38% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:32WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:55WSU 4th & 14 at WSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−4.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:24WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:04USC 4th & 8 at WSU 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:46WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 18, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:49USC 4th & 5 at WSU 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:19WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:22WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 38, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 6:03WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:13WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32USC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:21USC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:16USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:46USC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:12USC Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 2:2272% → 71%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
28.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 8 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
28.3%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
28.6%
Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 7
50
-5
28.8%
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 45Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 12
OWN 45
-10
29.0%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Andrew Edson for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 35Similar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 22
OWN 35
+3
29.5%
Ben Griffiths punt for 57 yds , Travell Harris returns for 3 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 6:0230% → 36%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
29.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 9 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+18
29.7%
Max Borghi run for 18 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
30.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
30.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 15 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
31.0%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+6
31.3%
Max Borghi run for 6 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
31.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Donovan OllieSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
31.6%
Max Borghi run for 7 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+11
31.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 11 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
32.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 5 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+1
33.0%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the USC 12Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
36.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:4464% → 63%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
35.6%
Jaxson Dart run for 18 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
35.3%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-3
35.7%
Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 40Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+18
36.9%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 18 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
36.0%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
36.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-27
36.9%
Jaxson Dart pass intercepted Daniel Isom return for 27 yds to the USC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:2039% → 42%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
39.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 29 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
39.8%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-5
40.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 19Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+5
40.6%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+5
41.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 5 yds to the USC 9Similar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+8
40.5%
Max Borghi run for 8 yds to the USC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.1%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the USC 1Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Calvin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
42.6%
Jayden de Laura run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 2Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
42.0%
Jayden de Laura run for 1 yd to the USC 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:2758% → 54%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
41.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the USC 1Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
42.4%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the USC 1Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+11
43.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 11 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+32
43.2%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 32 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
41.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 43Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-3
42.9%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 40Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 14
OWN 40
0
45.0%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Erik KrommenhoekSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 14
OWN 40
+25
45.9%
Ben Griffiths punt for 43 yds , Travell Harris returns for 25 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:5847% → 58%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
47.2%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+17
47.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 17 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
49.6%
Deon McIntosh run for 5 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+15
50.1%
de Laura, Jayden pass incomplete to Harris, Travell, dropped pass, PENALTY USC personal foul 15 yards to the USC18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
50.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
50.5%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+7
50.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 7 yds to the USC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
58.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 7 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:1943% → 42%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
56.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 20Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+16
57.8%
Jaxson Dart run for 16 yds to the USC 36 Jaxson Dart fumbled, forced by Armani Marsh, recovered by WshSt Jaylen WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5659% → 60%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
59.3%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the USC 35Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
60.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
59.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Donovan OllieSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
59.9%
Jayden de Laura punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9TD
14 plays · 93 yds · 3:3841% → 47%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
59.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tahj Washington for 8 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+7
59.1%
Jaxson Dart run for 7 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
59.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 7 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
59.0%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+8
59.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 8 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
59.9%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 12 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
59.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 12 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
59.2%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-5
59.4%
USC Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 15
OPP 44
-3
61.1%
Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 47 Jaxson Dart fumbled, recovered by USCSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 18
OPP 47
+9
63.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 9 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+38
53.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 38 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
56.2%
Jayden de Laura run for 1 yd to the WshSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11TD
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:2751% → 63%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
49.5%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Malcolm EppsSimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
50.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 13 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
50.0%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
50.3%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for no gain to the WshSt 14Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+7
53.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (8 Yards) to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
50.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
51.3%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
37.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 5 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4144% → 45%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.0%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
44.6%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Travell Harris for no gain to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
43.2%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 4 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
45.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 49 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for no gain to the USC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:0258% → 76%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
42.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 7 yds to the USC 26Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+5
41.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for 5 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
42.3%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
43.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to John Jackson III for 7 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+9
41.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 9 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+32
40.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 32 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
38.3%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 5 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
38.5%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+10
40.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 10 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
38.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (3 Yards) to the WshSt 3Similar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
38.7%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the WshSt 3Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.7%
Gary Bryant Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1230% → 28%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.9%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Calvin Jackson Jr. for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
31.6%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-10
29.7%
Victor Gabalis sacked by Kana'i Mauga for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 21Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
27.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 37 yds, downed at the USC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:4876% → 75%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
24.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
23.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
23.8%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
24.7%
Jaxson Dart pass intercepted Armani Marsh return for no gain to the WshSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:3329% → 14%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
29.2%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the WshSt 5Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
14.1%
Victor Gabalis sacked by Drake Jackson for a loss of 5 yards Victor Gabalis fumbled, forced by Drake Jackson, recovered by USC Tuli Tuipulotu , return for 0 yards for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.4%
Jayden de Laura pass intercepted Calen Bullock return for no gain to the USC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:5890% → 98%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
10.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 6 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
9.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tahj Washington for 15 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
9.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 8 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+5
9.2%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 5 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
8.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+31
2.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 31 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:174% → 4%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
3.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
3.9%
Nick Haberer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the USC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:5798% → 98%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
2.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 12 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
1.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
1.8%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Keaontay IngramSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
1.8%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jude WolfeSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
2.0%
Ben Griffiths punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:043% → 3%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
3.0%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Travell Harris for 2 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+7
3.0%
Deon McIntosh run for 7 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 1
OWN 18
0
2.8%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+54
2.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 44 yds , K.D. Nixon returns for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 17 USC Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the USC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:4398% → 99%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
1.8%
Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 24Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+42
1.6%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 42 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
1.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+6
1.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+5
1.3%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to John Jackson III for 5 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
1.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
1.2%
USC Penalty, Illegal Touching ( Yards) to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+5
1.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 17Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
1.1%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
1.1%
Parker Lewis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:082% → 1%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
1.8%
Max Borghi run for 11 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
1.7%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+1
1.4%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 1 yd to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-5
1.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+6
1.2%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 6 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
1.1%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 24TD
1 play · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
0.2%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Kyle Ford for 36 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25INT
15 plays · 55 yds · 5:490% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
0.2%
Cammon Cooper pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 8 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
0.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-4
0.1%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 24
OWN 22
+3
0.1%
Cammon Cooper run for 3 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+13
0.1%
Cammon Cooper pass complete to Travell Harris for 13 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+17
0.1%
Cammon Cooper run for 17 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
0.1%
Cammon Cooper sacked by Jaylin Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+17
0.1%
Cammon Cooper pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 17 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
0.1%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the USC 33Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+7
0.1%
Cammon Cooper run for 7 yds to the USC 26Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+6
0.1%
Cammon Cooper pass complete to Travell Harris for 6 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-14
0.1%
Cammon Cooper pass intercepted Jayden Williams return for 14 yds to the USC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:16
Gary Bryant Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-15
TD · Q3 12:21
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Drake London for 5 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-13.9
TD · Q2 0:32
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 38 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com