Try the model
IDHO

Idaho 0 at Oregon State 42

ORST
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Reser Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:58 · Sam Vidlak pass complete to Tommy Spencer for 4 yds to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:37: Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 18 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) — IDHO win probability +0.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:36: B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +0.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:05: Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:16: Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 2 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:51: Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 30 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1IDHO made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:19IDHO 4th & 2 at ORST 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:49IDHO 4th & 13 at IDHO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:42IDHO 4th & 4 at ORST 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:11IDHO 4th & 13 at ORST 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:54IDHO 4th & 25 at IDHO 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:39IDHO 4th & 7 at ORST 44, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:41IDHO 4th & 3 at ORST 3, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:15ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 11, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:15IDHO 4th & 1 at ORST 46, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:37ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:36ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:05ORST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:16ORST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:51ORST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:39ORST Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:414% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
95.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Elisha Cummings for 7 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
95.9%
Elisha Cummings run for 17 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
95.9%
Elisha Cummings run for 1 yd to the Idaho 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+16
95.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Michael Noil for 16 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
95.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Nick Romano for 5 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
95.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
95.9%
Mike Beaudry run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 2
OPP 31
0
95.1%
Mike Beaudry pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:4295% → 95%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
95.2%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 8 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+10
95.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
95.3%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 4 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
95.3%
B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+25
95.3%
Trey Lowe run for 25 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
95.3%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
95.3%
Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
95.0%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 18 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:485% → 5%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
94.9%
Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+9
95.0%
Nick Romano run for 9 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-11
94.9%
Mike Beaudry run for a loss of 11 yards to the Idaho 13 fumbled, recovered by Idaho Mike BeaudrySimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+10
94.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 49 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 10 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
94.8%
NOLAN, Chance scrambles up the middle for no gain to the OSU39 (AKANNO, Charles). PENALTY OSU Holding on QUITORIANO, Teagan enforced 10 yards from the OSU39 to the OSU29. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 4:1395% → 95%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+3
94.7%
B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+13
94.6%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 13 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+25
94.7%
Chance Nolan run for 25 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.9%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
94.8%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+17
94.8%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 17 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
94.8%
NOLAN, Chance sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the IDA21 (MCCORMICK, Tommy). PENALTY IDA Offsides on CRAWFORD, Rahsaan enforced 5 yards from the IDA13 to the IDA8. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 5
OPP 8
+4
94.8%
B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the Idaho 4Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
95.4%
B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
Q1 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
95.4%
HAYES, Everett PAT kick attempt is good, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY OSU Holding on MUSGRAVE, Luke enforced 10 yards from the IDA3 to the IDA13. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:545% → 5%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.9%
CJ Jordan run for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
94.8%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Logan Kendall for 3 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
94.9%
CARTER, Aundre rush up the middle for no gain to the IDA37 (SPEIGHTS, Omar;ROBERTS, Avery). PENALTY OSU Personal Foul on JULIAN, Alton enforced 15 yards from the IDA37 to the OSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
94.7%
CJ Jordan run for 16 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Block below the waist enforced (Rahsaan Crawford) to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 13
OWN 49
-1
94.7%
Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+1
94.8%
CJ Jordan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+9
94.7%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Terez Traynor for 9 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
94.8%
CJ Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:3796% → 97%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.5%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+18
95.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 18 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
95.5%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 17 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
95.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
97.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7DOWNS
14 plays · 47 yds · 4:473% → 3%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
97.1%
CJ Jordan run for 14 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
97.0%
CJ Jordan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-1
97.0%
Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+15
97.1%
JORDAN, CJ sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the IDA27 (SANDBERG, Simon). PENALTY OSU Face mask on SANDBERG, Simon enforced 15 yards from the IDA35 to the IDA50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
50
+4
96.9%
Aundre Carter run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
96.9%
CJ Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-5
96.9%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+10
97.0%
run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
96.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Terez Traynor for 10 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
96.7%
CJ Jordan run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
96.7%
CJ Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-5
96.9%
Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 13
OPP 33
0
97.2%
CJ Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:5598% → 99%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
97.7%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Makiya Tongue for 24 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.7%
B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
97.7%
Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
97.7%
Sam Noyer run for 2 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
97.7%
Chance Nolan run for 5 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+3
97.7%
Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+20
97.7%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 20 yds to the Idaho 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.7%
B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 2 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:191% → 1%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Michael Noil for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
CJ Jordan pass intercepted return for no gain to the Idaho 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.4%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.5%
Chance Nolan sacked by Kayode Rufai and Fa'Avae Fa'Avae for 0 yards to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 23
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0999% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.4%
B.J. Baylor run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.4%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 4 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+14
99.4%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 14 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.4%
Chance Nolan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
99.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+5
99.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.4%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 30Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+30
99.6%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 30 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
Q3 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
99.7%
HAYES, Everett PAT kick attempt is good, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY OSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the IDA3 to the IDA13. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.6%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Elisha Cummings run for no gain to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 15
OWN 34
0
99.7%
CJ Jordan sacked by Riley Sharp for 0 yards to the Idaho 25Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 24
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 24Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 25
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 39 yds, downed at the OrgSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:15100% → 100%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
99.7%
B.J. Baylor run for 20 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.7%
B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+7
99.7%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 7 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
99.7%
Trey Lowe run for 16 yds to the Idaho 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.7%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
99.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 14 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the Idaho 2Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Aundre Carter run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.8%
Aundre Carter run for 6 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.8%
CJ Jordan run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
CJ Jordan run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
99.8%
CJ Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
99.8%
CJ Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
99.8%
Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Sam Noyer pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:380% → 0%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.8%
CJ Jordan run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+8
99.8%
Aundre Carter run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.8%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
99.8%
CJ Jordan run for no gain to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+11
99.9%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Terez Traynor for 11 yds to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+9
99.8%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Nick Romano for 9 yds to the OrgSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
Aundre Carter run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.8%
CJ Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.8%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Terez Traynor for 2 yds to the OrgSt 3Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.8%
CJ Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
99.9%
Trey Lowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
99.9%
Sam Vidlak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+9
99.9%
Trey Lowe run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 2
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Luke Loecher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the Idaho 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18INT
11 plays · 14 yds · 5:220% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Aundre Carter run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 5
50
-1
99.9%
Aundre Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 49Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Elisha Cummings run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Aundre Carter run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Michael Noil for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Terez Traynor for 6 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Aundre Carter run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
CJ Jordan sacked by Kyrei Fisher for 0 yards to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 16
OPP 38
-3
100.0%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Elisha Cummings for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 19
OPP 41
0
100.0%
CJ Jordan pass intercepted return for no gain to the Idaho 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19END OF GAME
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:55100% → 100%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Isaiah Newell run for 7 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Isaiah Newell run for 6 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Kanoa Shannon run for 3 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
Kanoa Shannon run for 1 yd to the Idaho 31Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+12
99.9%
Mikey Alfieri run for 12 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Sam Vidlak pass complete to John Dunmore for 4 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+2
100.0%
Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+4
100.0%
Sam Vidlak pass complete to Tommy Spencer for 4 yds to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:05
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 1:16
Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 2 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 1:36
B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com