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UTAH

Utah 17 at BYU 26

BYU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:37: Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +5.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:22: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 20 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:04: Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) (Jake Oldroyd PAT MISSED) — BYU win probability +7.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:38: Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +12.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:31: Micah Bernard run for 22 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +21.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:18BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:57BYU 4th & 17 at UTAH 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    35.1%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:15BYU 4th & 3 at UTAH 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.2%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:56UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:30BYU 4th & 11 at UTAH 36, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%
    42% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:35BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:14UTAH 4th & 2 at BYU 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    52.3%−1.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−7.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 34, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:31BYU 4th & 9 at BYU 45, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:35UTAH 4th & 14 at BYU 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−2.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:07UTAH 4th & 14 at BYU 29, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−3.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:46BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 28, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:17BYU 4th & 4 at UTAH 4, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−9.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:17UTAH 4th & 2 at BYU 48, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 10:37BYU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:22UTAH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:04BYU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:38BYU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:31UTAH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.7%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3632% → 32%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
32.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
32.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
32.3%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2168% → 67%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
32.5%
Micah Bernard run for 10 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
32.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
32.7%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 12
OWN 28
-4
33.2%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Chaz Ah You return for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:4434% → 33%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
33.6%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-7
33.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 37 Tyler Allgeier fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 17
OPP 37
0
33.5%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Tyler AllgeierSimilar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
33.3%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 35 yds, downed at the Utah 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:3467% → 66%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
33.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+3
33.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+5
34.2%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gabe Summers) to the Utah 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
34.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 9 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+7
34.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Micah Bernard for 7 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
34.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+2
34.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 42 Tavion Thomas fumbled, recovered by BYU Isaiah HerronSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:4036% → 38%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
35.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+8
36.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+7
36.6%
Masen Wake run for 7 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
37.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 7 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-4
37.3%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Connor Pay) to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
37.5%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
37.1%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+5
36.4%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Viane Moala) to the Utah 19Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
37.5%
Jake Oldroyd 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5162% → 61%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to TJ Pledger for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
38.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+4
39.0%
Cameron Peasley punt for 46 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 4 yds to the BYU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 7:0338% → 49%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
38.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
38.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
38.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
39.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+6
39.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
40.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 13 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
41.2%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
41.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
40.5%
Jaren Hall run for no gain to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+18
39.5%
Jaren Hall run for 18 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
42.7%
Jaren Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+15
42.9%
Hall, Jaren pass incomplete to Nacua, Samson, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Broughton, JaTravis) 15 yards to the UTAH5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
43.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the Utah 2Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
43.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 4Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
48.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:0152% → 60%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
48.5%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
49.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Micah Bernard for 6 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+15
49.0%
BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Keenan Pili) to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
48.6%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Chaz Ah You for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+32
49.9%
Micah Bernard run for 32 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
47.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 5 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
40.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 20 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3944% → 44%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.2%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
43.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+35
43.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 54 yds , Britain Covey returns for 35 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:0658% → 55%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
50
+34
42.1%
Charlie Brewer run for 19 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Max Tooley) to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
41.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 5
OPP 11
-10
41.1%
Thomas, Tavion rush for 8 yards to the BYU3, PENALTY UTAH holding 10 yards to the BYU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 15
OPP 21
0
42.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+13
45.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Theo Howard for 13 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+1
45.2%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the BYU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 2:5747% → 64%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
46.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 6Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+2
46.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+17
45.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 17 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
48.2%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
48.3%
Jaren Hall run for 14 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
50.7%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Lopini KatoaSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
50.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 9 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+8
51.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+33
52.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 33 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) (Jake Oldroyd PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
62.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3241% → 39%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
60.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Micah Bernard for 4 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
61.3%
Cameron Peasley punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:4663% → 65%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
62.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 16 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
62.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-10
64.8%
Hall, Jaren pass incomplete to Pau'u, Neil, PENALTY BYU holding (LaChance, Harris) 10 yards to the BYU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+8
62.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 8 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
65.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
67.3%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
66.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
66.0%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
64.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 5:3135% → 25%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
65.3%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 17Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+7
66.3%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+37
68.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 37 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
66.4%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+11
67.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+6
65.5%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
67.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Micah Bernard for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-5
68.3%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 14
OPP 31
0
73.1%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+49
75.1%
Jadon Redding 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:4276% → 93%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
76.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 10 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
77.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-5
77.6%
BYU Penalty, False Start (James Empey) to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
76.6%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Dallin HolkerSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+5
75.8%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mika Tafua) to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+13
77.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 13 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
79.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
80.3%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+11
77.7%
Jaren Hall run for 11 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
79.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 5 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+23
80.0%
Jaren Hall run for 23 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:1311% → 12%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
89.4%
Micah Bernard run for 50 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
86.5%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-7
86.9%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Keenan Pili for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 14
OPP 29
0
89.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+47
88.5%
Jadon Redding 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0992% → 92%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
92.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-4
92.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+27
92.1%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 54 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 27 yds to the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:599% → 31%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
90.7%
Micah Bernard run for 19 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
91.0%
Brewer, Charlie pass incomplete to Enis, Solomon, PENALTY UTAH illegal touching (Enis, Solomon) 0 yards to the BYU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
91.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Britain Covey for 6 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
90.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 5 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
90.8%
TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
69.0%
Micah Bernard run for 22 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20FG
16 plays · 71 yds · 5:5882% → 95%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
82.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+18
83.9%
Jaren Hall run for 18 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
86.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+9
87.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 9 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
88.3%
Jaren Hall run for 10 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
89.0%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+15
89.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 15 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
89.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
90.5%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Harris LaChance) to the Utah 10Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
91.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 1 yd to the Utah 9Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
90.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
95.0%
Jake Oldroyd 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:536% → 4%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Theo Howard for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
95.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Solomon Enis for 11 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
95.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 8 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
95.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Makai CopeSimilar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
95.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1296% → 98%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
96.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
97.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+9
97.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
-2
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:31
Micah Bernard run for 22 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
-21.9
TD · Q3 0:38
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+12.7
TD · Q2 7:22
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 20 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com