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UNLV

UNLV 10 at Arizona State 37

ASU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG—ASU 96.7%Daniel Gutierrez 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 4:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:40 · Daniel Gutierrez 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+44.8Home team on offense−1.2Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:46: Doug Brumfield run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +1.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:56: Daniyel Ngata run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +3.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:45: Rachaad White run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +5.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:10: Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas PAT MISSED) — ASU win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:45: Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 33 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 4:40UNLV 4th & 9 at ASU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 5:00ASU 4th & 1 at UNLV 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−2.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:35UNLV 4th & 14 at UNLV 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:55ASU 4th & 1 at UNLV 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:24ASU 4th & 3 at UNLV 26, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:05UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:50ASU 4th & 10 at UNLV 37, up 4
    Close callPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:15UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:43ASU 4th & 10 at UNLV 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:57UNLV 4th & 16 at UNLV 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:06UNLV 4th & 19 at UNLV 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:43UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:20UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:03ASU 4th & 4 at UNLV 4, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:54UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 33, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:42ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:46UNLV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:56ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:45ASU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:10ASU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:45ASU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1INT
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:2598% → 98%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
98.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 12 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
98.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 15 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
98.2%
Rachaad White run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+5
98.1%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+17
98.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 17 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.0%
Jayden Daniels pass intercepted, touchback. Nohl Williams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 7:202% → 3%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.9%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
97.9%
Doug Brumfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+11
97.9%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 11 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.8%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
97.8%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+8
97.7%
Doug Brumfield run for 8 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
97.6%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+1
97.5%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+12
97.4%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.3%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+14
97.2%
Doug Brumfield run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
97.1%
Doug Brumfield run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+2
97.0%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
96.9%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-1
96.8%
Doug Brumfield sacked by Kyle Soelle and Darien Butler for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
96.7%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
96.7%
Daniel Gutierrez 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:4397% → 96%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
96.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 23 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.6%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-4
96.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Bryan Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+14
96.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 14 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
96.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 2 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+8
96.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Andre Johnson for 8 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
96.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 7 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+12
95.9%
Rachaad White run for 12 yds to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
95.8%
Rachaad White run for 1 yd to the UNLV 4Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
95.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 3 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:444% → 8%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.8%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 14 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
95.4%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 2 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+13
95.2%
Jayvaun Wilson run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
94.9%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 15 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
94.6%
Doug Brumfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
94.6%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 6 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+14
94.5%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Face Mask (11 yards) (11 Yards) to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
94.1%
Jayvaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
94.0%
Jayvaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
92.5%
Doug Brumfield run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:2993% → 94%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
93.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 11 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
93.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+10
93.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Andre Johnson for 10 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
92.7%
Rachaad White run for 1 yd to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
92.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 4 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
92.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
91.1%
Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.7%
Rachaad White run for no gain to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
91.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 8 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+6
90.5%
Daniyel Ngata run for 6 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
93.8%
Daniyel Ngata run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:088% → 7%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
92.5%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Zyell GriffinSimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
92.5%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 13Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 10
OWN 13
-5
92.7%
UNLV Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 15
OWN 8
+1
92.7%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 9Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 14
OWN 9
+10
92.9%
Evan Silva punt for 46 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 10 yds to the ArzSt 19 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the ArzSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:5693% → 93%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
93.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 10 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
93.4%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
93.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Andre JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+5
93.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 5 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
92.7%
Rachaad White run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
93.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
93.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
92.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-SheltonSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 3
OPP 26
-4
92.5%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Jacoby Windmon and Jalen Dixon for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
91.9%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:408% → 8%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.6%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
91.1%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
91.4%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.Similar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
91.9%
Evan Silva punt for 43 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 3 yds to the ArzSt 33 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:0091% → 90%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
91.4%
Rachaad White run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
91.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
91.7%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
91.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 5 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+9
91.2%
Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
91.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (Ben Scott) to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+6
91.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-1
91.8%
Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
91.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Andre JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
90.3%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 26 yds, downed at the UNLV 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1510% → 10%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
89.9%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
89.8%
Doug Brumfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 7
OWN 14
-5
90.3%
UNLV Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 9Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+7
90.4%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 7 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 5
OWN 16
+10
90.2%
Charlton Butt punt for 45 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 10 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:5791% → 89%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
90.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+3
90.8%
Rachaad White run for 3 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-SheltonSimilar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
90.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Rachaad WhiteSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
90.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
88.8%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 32 yds, downed at the UNLV 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1812% → 12%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
88.5%
Doug Brumfield run for 13 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.0%
Doug Brumfield run for 3 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
87.8%
Jayvaun Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-6
88.3%
Doug Brumfield sacked by Darien Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+17
88.0%
Charlton Butt punt for 40 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 17 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:4589% → 94%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
89.3%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-1
89.6%
Rachaad White run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+22
88.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 22 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
89.1%
Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
88.9%
Rachaad White run for no gain to the UNLV 9Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
94.4%
Rachaad White run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:357% → 6%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
93.8%
Justin Rogers sacked by Darien Butler and B.J. Green II for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 0:06
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
94.2%
Charlton Butt punt for 36 yds, downed at the ArzSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:5095% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
94.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ARIZONAST 49 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
94.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 20 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
94.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
94.7%
Rachaad White run for 6 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+7
94.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 7 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:173% → 2%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.5%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-7
97.4%
Justin Rogers sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 32Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
97.6%
Justin Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+56
97.7%
Charlton Butt punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARIZONAST 24 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the ArzSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:4798% → 99%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
97.9%
Rachaad White run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+2
97.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Andre Johnson for 2 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
97.9%
Rachaad White run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+14
98.0%
Ricky Pearsall run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
98.1%
Daniyel Ngata run for 21 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 33 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:211% → 1%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Justin Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Kyle Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
99.3%
Justin Rogers sacked by Gharin Stansbury for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Charlton Butt punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:5799% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 9 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+17
99.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 17 yds to the UNLV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
99.5%
Daniyel Ngata run for 16 yds to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.5%
George Hart III run for 3 yds to the UNLV 2Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.5%
George Hart III run for 1 yd to the UNLV 1Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 4 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Jayden DanielsSimilar
Q4 3:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
99.9%
Cristian Zendejas 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Jayvaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
100.0%
Jayvaun Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
100.0%
Justin Rogers run for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Charlton Butt punt for 42 yds, downed at the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:45
Rachaad White run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q4 13:10
Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas PAT MISSED)
+3.7
TD · Q2 2:56
Daniyel Ngata run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com