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SJSU

San José State 7 at USC 30

USC
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:30 · W.Hart punts 43 yards to USC 12, Center-A.Gonneville. Fair catch by K.Nixon.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+31.4Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:42: P.Lewis 24 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Johnson, Holder-B.Griffiths. — USC win probability +3.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:31: T.Nevens rushed to USC End Zone for 2 yards. T.Nevens for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — SJSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  3. FG · Q4 13:07: P.Lewis 30 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Johnson, Holder-B.Griffiths. — USC win probability +3.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. INT · Q4 11:50: N.Starkel pass INTERCEPTED at SJS 37. Intercepted by G.Johnson at SJS 37. G.Johnson for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — USC win probability +6.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:13: K.Slovis pass complete to SJS 20. Catch made by E.Krommenhoek at SJS 20. Gain of 20 yards. E.Krommenhoek for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — USC win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 14:08SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:44USC 4th & 10 at SJSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:30SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:28SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:57USC 4th & 5 at USC 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:37SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:08USC 4th & 3 at USC 9, up 10
    Close callPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:13SJSU 4th & 5 at USC 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−3.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:42USC 4th & 7 at SJSU 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:25SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 47, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:13USC 4th & 7 at USC 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:53USC 4th & 1 at USC 32, up 13
    Close callPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:11USC 4th & 5 at USC 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:35SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:07USC 4th & 6 at SJSU 13, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−7.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:28SJSU 4th & 6 at USC 9, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−2.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:01SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 38, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:08USC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:31SJSU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:13USC Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5214% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.5%
PENALTY on SJS-K.Hoppe, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
86.5%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for I.Hamilton.Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
86.4%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 20. Catch made by C.Ross at SJS 20. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by C.Steele at SJS 27.Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
86.3%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for D.Deese.Similar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+38
86.3%
W.Hart punts 38 yards to USC 35, Center-A.Gonneville. Fair catch by M.Jackson. PENALTY on USC-G.Johnson, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:2486% → 85%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
86.3%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 35. Catch made by D.London at USC 35. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by B.Brown at USC 41.Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
86.2%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 41. Catch made by T.Washington at USC 41. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by N.Shelton at USC 48.Similar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
86.2%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 48. Catch made by V.Malepeai at USC 48. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by H.Darden; J.Cobbs at USC 49.Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
86.0%
V.Malepeai rushed to SJS 48 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Jenkins at SJS 48.Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+13
85.9%
K.Slovis pass complete to SJS 48. Catch made by D.London at SJS 48. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by M.Greer, J.Lenard at SJS 35.Similar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
85.9%
K.Slovis pass complete to SJS 35. Catch made by D.London at SJS 35. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by R.Johnson; J.Lenard at SJS 18.Similar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
85.9%
V.Malepeai rushed to SJS 7 for 11 yards. Tackled by T.Parker at SJS 7.Similar
Q1 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
85.7%
V.Malepeai rushed to SJS 4 for 3 yards. Tackled by S.Toia at SJS 4.Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.6%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for J.Manjack.Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
85.5%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis sacked at SJS 10 for -6 yards (T.Smith)Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
85.4%
P.Lewis 27 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Johnson, Holder-B.Griffiths.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5015% → 15%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.3%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 33 for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Williams; C.Bullock at SJS 33.Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
85.1%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 42 for 9 yards. Tackled by D.Jackson at SJS 42.Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
84.9%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 41 for -1 yards. Tackled by N.Figueroa at SJS 41.Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
84.8%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for S.Olson.Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 11
OWN 41
-9
84.9%
N.Starkel pass INTERCEPTED at SJS 39. Intercepted by D.Jackson at SJS 39. Tackled by I.Hamilton at SJS 30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:3385% → 86%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
85.2%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for K.Ingram.Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
85.2%
K.Ingram rushed to SJS 29 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Hall at SJS 29.Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+29
86.0%
K.Slovis pass complete to SJS 29. Catch made by T.Washington at SJS 29. Gain of 29 yards. T.Washington for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3114% → 15%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.6%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 25. Catch made by J.Braddock at SJS 25. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by C.Steele at SJS 36.Similar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
85.4%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 35 for -1 yards. Tackled by S.Ta'ufo'ou at SJS 35.Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
85.4%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 35. Catch made by I.Hamilton at SJS 35. Gain of yards. Tackled by G.Johnson at SJS 41. PENALTY on SJS-C.Ross, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 21
OWN 25
+19
85.5%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 25. Catch made by D.Deese at SJS 25. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by C.Williams at SJS 44.Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
85.0%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 44. Catch made by T.Nevens at SJS 44. Gain of yards. Tackled by C.Bullock at SJS 46. The Replay Official reviewed the first down and the play was overturned. N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 44. Catch made by T.Nevens at SJS 44. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by C.Bullock at SJS 45.Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+43
85.2%
W.Hart punts 43 yards to USC 12, Center-A.Gonneville. Fair catch by K.Nixon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:5586% → 86%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
85.9%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 12. Catch made by V.Malepeai at USC 12. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by N.Shelton at USC 13.Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+11
85.8%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 13. Catch made by T.Washington at USC 13. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by H.Darden at USC 24.Similar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
85.8%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 24. Catch made by M.Epps at USC 24. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by J.Lenard at USC 43.Similar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
86.2%
V.Malepeai rushed to USC 49 for 6 yards. Tackled by H.Darden; T.Parker at USC 49.Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
86.0%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 49. Catch made by E.Krommenhoek at USC 49. Gain of 6 yards. E.Krommenhoek FUMBLES, forced by J.Lenard. Fumble RECOVERED by SJS-J.Lenard at SJS 45. Tackled by USC at SJS 47. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5015% → 14%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.0%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for C.Ross.Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
85.0%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 47 for 0 yards. Tackled by R.Scott at SJS 47.Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
85.2%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for J.Braddock.Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+40
85.6%
W.Hart punts 40 yards to USC 13, Center-A.Gonneville. Fair catch by K.Nixon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:2485% → 85%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
85.4%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 25 for 12 yards. Tackled by T.Jenkins at USC 25.Similar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.4%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 25. Catch made by T.Washington at USC 25. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by R.Nixon; H.Darden at USC 34.Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
85.7%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 36 for 2 yards. Tackled by N.Shelton; T.Parker at USC 36.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
85.6%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by L.Grey; C.Hall at USC 40.Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
85.8%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 40. Catch made by D.London at USC 40. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by J.Lenard; R.Tolefree at USC 41.Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
85.4%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for K.Nixon.Similar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+49
84.9%
B.Griffiths punts 49 yards to SJS 10, Center-D.Johnson. Fair catch by S.Garrett.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1315% → 14%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
85.4%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 24 for 14 yards. Tackled by R.Scott at SJS 24.Similar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
85.3%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 26 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Mauga; C.Steele at SJS 26.Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
85.2%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for K.Robinson.Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
85.6%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for I.Hamilton.Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+72
85.8%
W.Hart punts 72 yards to USC 2, Center-A.Gonneville. Downed by C.Bostic.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1585% → 84%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
85.0%
V.Malepeai rushed to USC 9 for 7 yards. Tackled by K.Harmon at USC 9.Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 9
0
84.9%
V.Malepeai rushed to USC 9 for 0 yards. Tackled by N.Shelton at USC 9.Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
84.6%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for D.London. PENALTY on USC-D.London, Illegal Touch Kick, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 3
OWN 9
+36
84.2%
B.Griffiths punts 36 yards to USC 45, Center-D.Johnson. Fair catch by S.Garrett.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11MISSED FG
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:4816% → 15%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+29
84.2%
N.Starkel pass complete to USC 45. Catch made by D.Deese at USC 45. Gain of 29 yards. Tackled by C.Bullock at USC 16.Similar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
83.6%
K.Robinson rushed to USC 14 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Sekona; J.Lichtenstein at USC 14.Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
83.5%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for C.Ross.Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+3
84.1%
N.Starkel pass complete to USC 14. Catch made by I.Hamilton at USC 14. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by C.Bullock at USC 11.Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 5
OPP 11
0
84.7%
M.Mercurio 28 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-A.Gonneville, Holder-W.Hart.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 4:2985% → 89%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.0%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for D.London. PENALTY on SJS-N.Shelton, Defensive Pass Interference, 13 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
85.1%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 32 for -1 yards. Tackled by H.Darden at USC 32.Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+11
84.9%
K.Slovis scrambles to USC 43 for 11 yards. Tackled by A.Matau at USC 43.Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
85.9%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 42 for -1 yards. Tackled by A.Matau; V.Fehoko at USC 42.Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
85.7%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for T.Washington.Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+16
85.1%
K.Ingram rushed to SJS 42 for 16 yards. Tackled by K.Reed at SJS 42.Similar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
86.1%
K.Ingram rushed to SJS 36 for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Tago; R.Johnson at SJS 36.Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
86.1%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for M.Epps.Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+27
85.7%
V.Malepeai rushed to SJS 9 for 27 yards. Tackled by T.Jenkins at SJS 9.Similar
Q2 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
86.3%
V.Malepeai rushed to SJS 10 for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Parham at SJS 10.Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
86.3%
V.Malepeai rushed to SJS 7 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Lenard; B.Parham at SJS 7.Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
85.8%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for D.London.Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
88.9%
P.Lewis 24 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Johnson, Holder-B.Griffiths.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:1312% → 11%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
87.9%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 35. Catch made by S.Olson at SJS 35. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by H.Echols at USC 44.Similar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
87.4%
PENALTY on SJS-K.Hoppe, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
87.9%
N.Starkel pass complete to USC 49. Catch made by D.Deese at USC 49. Gain of yards. Tackled by C.Bullock at USC 36. PENALTY on SJS-J.Snyder, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 25
OWN 41
0
88.1%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for J.Braddock.Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 25
OWN 41
+1
88.2%
K.Robinson rushed to SJS 42 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Tuipulotu at SJS 42.Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 24
OWN 42
+5
88.6%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 42. Catch made by I.Hamilton at SJS 42. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by R.Goforth at SJS 47.Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 19
OWN 47
+52
88.7%
W.Hart punts 52 yards to USC 1, Center-A.Gonneville. K.Nixon returned punt from the USC 1. Tackled by R.Johnson; R.Tolefree at USC 16.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:0190% → 89%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
89.6%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 25 for 9 yards. Tackled by K.Harmon; T.Jenkins at USC 25.Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+7
90.1%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Hall at USC 32.Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
90.0%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 32. Catch made by J.Wolfe at USC 32. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by T.Jenkins at USC 35.Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
90.1%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for D.London.Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
89.7%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for T.Washington.Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+43
89.3%
B.Griffiths punts 43 yards to SJS 22, Center-D.Johnson. Fair catch by S.Garrett.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:4411% → 12%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
88.6%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 29 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Williams; T.Tuipulotu at SJS 29.Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+5
88.1%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 34 for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Mauga at SJS 34.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0390% → 90%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
89.6%
V.Malepeai rushed to USC 22 for -1 yards. Tackled by L.Grey at USC 22.Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+6
89.6%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 22. Catch made by D.London at USC 22. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by J.Lenard at USC 28.Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+4
89.7%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 28. Catch made by D.London at USC 28. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by M.Tago at USC 32.Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+42
89.6%
B.Griffiths punts 42 yards to SJS 26, Center-D.Johnson. Fair catch by S.Garrett.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:1411% → 25%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
88.8%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 29 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Bullock at SJS 29.Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
88.7%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 29. Catch made by T.Nevens at SJS 29. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by USC at SJS 31.Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+5
89.0%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 31. Catch made by S.Olson at SJS 31. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by R.Scott at SJS 36.Similar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
89.3%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Williams at SJS 38.Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
89.2%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for C.Ross.Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+8
89.5%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 38. Catch made by I.Hamilton at SJS 38. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by G.Johnson at SJS 46.Similar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.0%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for J.Braddock. PENALTY on SJS-T.Stevens, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+22
90.1%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 36. Catch made by I.Hamilton at SJS 36. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by G.Johnson; C.Bullock at USC 42.Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
88.7%
N.Starkel pass complete to USC 42. Catch made by K.Robinson at USC 42. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by I.Taylor-Stuart; C.Bullock at USC 20.Similar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.9%
PENALTY on SJS-C.Ross, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 15
OPP 25
0
88.4%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for S.Olson.Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+23
88.5%
N.Starkel pass complete to USC 25. Catch made by I.Hamilton at USC 25. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by I.Taylor-Stuart; D.Jackson at USC 2.Similar
Q3 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.9%
T.Nevens rushed to USC End Zone for 2 yards. T.Nevens for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1481% → 81%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
81.4%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 25. Catch made by D.London at USC 25. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by T.Jenkins at USC 37.Similar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
82.1%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 37. Catch made by K.Ingram at USC 37. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by K.Harmon; A.Matau at USC 42.Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
83.0%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for T.Washington.Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
82.1%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for J.Wolfe.Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+58
80.5%
B.Griffiths punts 58 yards to SJS End Zone, Center-D.Johnson. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2721% → 20%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
79.1%
N.Nash rushed to SJS 25 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Lichtenstein at SJS 25.Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
78.4%
N.Nash rushed to SJS 26 for 1 yards. N.Nash FUMBLES, forced by K.Mauga. Fumble RECOVERED by SJS-J.Navarro at SJS 26. Tackled by USC at SJS 26.Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
79.2%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for C.Ross.Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+39
80.2%
W.Hart punts 39 yards to USC 35, Center-A.Gonneville. Fair catch by K.Nixon. PENALTY on USC-J.Manjack, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 6:2181% → 88%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.2%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Pardue at USC 27.Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
81.2%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 27. Catch made by J.Wolfe at USC 27. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by T.Jenkins at USC 35.Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
82.7%
V.Malepeai rushed to USC 37 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Matau; E.Ane at USC 37.Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
83.1%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 37. Catch made by D.London at USC 37. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by N.Shelton at USC 47.Similar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
84.3%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 47. Catch made by D.London at USC 47. Gain of 24 yards. Tackled by B.Brown at SJS 29.Similar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
85.7%
V.Malepeai rushed to SJS 34 for -5 yards. Tackled by C.Hall at SJS 34.Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+8
84.8%
K.Slovis pass complete to SJS 34. Catch made by D.London at SJS 34. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by C.Hall; J.Lenard at SJS 26.Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+9
84.7%
V.Malepeai rushed to SJS 17 for 9 yards. Tackled by T.Jenkins at SJS 17.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-8
85.6%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis sacked at SJS 25 for -8 yards (V.Fehoko)Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+2
85.0%
D.London rushed to SJS 23 for 2 yards. Tackled by V.Fehoko at SJS 23.Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 16
OPP 23
+10
83.6%
K.Slovis rushed to SJS 13 for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Cobbs at SJS 13.Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
87.5%
P.Lewis 30 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Johnson, Holder-B.Griffiths.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1313% → 6%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.2%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Tuipulotu; R.Scott at SJS 30.Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
87.5%
T.Nevens rushed to SJS 33 for 3 yards. Tackled by S.Ta'ufo'ou at SJS 33.Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-37
94.2%
N.Starkel pass INTERCEPTED at SJS 37. Intercepted by G.Johnson at SJS 37. G.Johnson for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:145% → 5%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for C.Ross.Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
94.7%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 25. Catch made by D.Deese at SJS 25. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by C.Williams at SJS 40.Similar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
94.2%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 40. Catch made by S.Olson at SJS 40. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by G.Johnson at SJS 46.Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+29
94.9%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 46. Catch made by M.Miller at SJS 46. Gain of 29 yards. Tackled by C.Williams; K.Mauga at USC 25.Similar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
93.9%
N.Starkel pass complete to USC 25. Catch made by C.Ross at USC 25. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by I.Taylor-Stuart at USC 17.Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+4
94.3%
N.Starkel pass complete to USC 17. Catch made by K.Robinson at USC 17. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by R.Scott at USC 13.Similar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.3%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for J.Braddock.Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
94.3%
T.Nevens rushed to USC 13 for 0 yards. Tackled by S.Ta'ufo'ou at USC 13.Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+4
95.2%
N.Starkel pass complete to USC 13. Catch made by J.Braddock at USC 13. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by G.Johnson at USC 9.Similar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 6
OPP 9
0
95.4%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for D.Deese.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 24TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 5:0797% → 100%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
96.6%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 12 for 3 yards. Tackled by L.Grey; J.Lenard at USC 12.Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
96.7%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 12 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Lenard; V.Fehoko at USC 12. PENALTY on SJS-N.Shelton, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.1%
K.Slovis steps back to pass. K.Slovis pass incomplete intended for D.London.Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
97.0%
K.Ingram rushed to USC 34 for 7 yards. Tackled by H.Darden at USC 34.Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+34
97.4%
K.Slovis pass complete to USC 34. Catch made by D.London at USC 34. Gain of 34 yards. Tackled by B.Brown at SJS 32.Similar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
97.6%
K.Ingram rushed to SJS 13 for 19 yards. Tackled by B.Brown; J.Lenard at SJS 13.Similar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.8%
K.Ingram rushed to SJS 4 for yards. Tackled by N.Shelton at SJS 4. PENALTY on USC-B.Neilon, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+2
97.8%
K.Slovis pass complete to SJS 23. Catch made by D.London at SJS 23. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by K.Harmon at SJS 21.Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 18
OPP 21
+1
98.0%
V.Malepeai rushed to SJS 20 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Smith at SJS 20.Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 17
OPP 20
+20
99.5%
K.Slovis pass complete to SJS 20. Catch made by E.Krommenhoek at SJS 20. Gain of 20 yards. E.Krommenhoek for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:011% → 1%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 25. Catch made by K.Robinson at SJS 25. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by J.Falaniko at SJS 25.Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for C.Ross.Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.5%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 25. Catch made by I.Hamilton at SJS 25. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by C.Wright; J.Smith at SJS 38.Similar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for I.Hamilton.Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for I.Hamilton.Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for M.Miller.Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+32
99.5%
N.Starkel pass complete to SJS 38. Catch made by C.Ross at SJS 38. Gain of 32 yards. Tackled by C.Thompson at USC 30.Similar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.4%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for K.Robinson. PENALTY on USC-C.Thompson, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for C.La Chapelle. PENALTY on SJS-K.Hoppe, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
99.4%
N.Starkel steps back to pass. N.Starkel pass incomplete intended for I.Hamilton.Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+19
99.4%
N.Starkel pass complete to USC 20. Catch made by D.Mazotti at USC 20. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by X.Alford at USC 1.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:31
T.Nevens rushed to USC End Zone for 2 yards. T.Nevens for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-12.9
INT · Q4 11:50
N.Starkel pass INTERCEPTED at SJS 37. Intercepted by G.Johnson at SJS 37. G.Johnson for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+6.7
FG · Q4 13:07
P.Lewis 30 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Johnson, Holder-B.Griffiths.
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com