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USU

Utah State 26 at Washington State 23

WSU
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGSAFETYFGFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jarrett Kingston for 17 yds to the 50 yard line WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Konner Gomness) to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:54: Dean Janikowski 26 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:47: Max Borghi 64 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +9.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:01: Donovan Ollie 12 Yd pass from Jayden de Laura (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +9.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:25: Calvin Tyler Jr. 2 Yd Run (Connor Coles Kick) — USU win probability +23.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:13: Deven Thompkins 7 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Logan Bonner Pass to Derek Wright for Two-Point Conversion) — USU win probability +57.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:30WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:38USU 4th & 8 at USU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:33WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:40USU 4th & 7 at WSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:57WSU 4th & 5 at USU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:01USU 4th & 4 at WSU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−0.5
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:17WSU 4th & 6 at USU 14, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:54WSU 4th & 9 at USU 9, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:56USU 4th & 6 at WSU 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:40USU 4th & 9 at WSU 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−6.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:23USU 4th & 5 at WSU 11, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−8.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:56USU 4th & 4 at USU 32, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:11WSU 4th & 11 at USU 11, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−6.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:02WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 29, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:02USU 4th & 3 at USU 41, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.2%−7.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 10:47WSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:01WSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:25USU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:13USU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    73.7%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    75.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:1189% → 89%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.4%
Max Borghi run for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
89.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Travell Harris for 2 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
89.2%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+12
89.0%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 12 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
88.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-5
88.7%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 15
OWN 42
0
88.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 44 yds, downed at the UthSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3512% → 12%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
88.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-1
88.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 16Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
88.4%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
88.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4188% → 88%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for no gain to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
88.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Travell Harris for 5 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 5
OWN 47
-2
88.0%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 45Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
87.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 39 yds, downed at the UthSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 77 yds · 3:3513% → 14%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
87.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 5 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+1
87.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 22Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+19
87.3%
Andrew Peasley run for 19 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
86.9%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
87.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 12 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
86.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+45
86.6%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 45 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
86.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 6Similar
Q1 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
86.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 11Similar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
86.1%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
86.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the WshSt 11Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
86.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 16Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+9
86.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+23
85.8%
Connor Coles 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:2285% → 85%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.4%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
85.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
50
+7
85.6%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 7 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
85.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Travell Harris for 4 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
85.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+16
85.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 16 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
85.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 5 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
84.9%
Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the UthSt 18Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
84.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
85.0%
Dean Janikowski 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:4216% → 18%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
84.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 10 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
83.6%
Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+12
83.7%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 12 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
82.7%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+9
82.7%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 9 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
82.3%
Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
82.0%
Logan Bonner run for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
82.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
82.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 37 yds, downed at the WshSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7SF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4683% → 81%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
83.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+5
83.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 5 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
81.4%
Patrick Joyner Jr. SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:1119% → 19%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
81.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 13 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
81.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 12 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
80.2%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
80.2%
John Gentry run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+11
80.7%
Andrew Peasley run for 11 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 5:1283% → 79%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
82.5%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+13
82.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Max Borghi for 13 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
81.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+8
81.6%
run for 8 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
81.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
81.8%
Jayden de Laura run for 9 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+3
80.8%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
81.3%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-4
81.2%
Deon McIntosh run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 22Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 14
OPP 22
+8
78.9%
Jayden de Laura run for 8 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
78.8%
Dean Janikowski 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10INT
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
74.0%
Logan Bonner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11FG
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
81.0%
Dean Janikowski 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
79.3%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the UthSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13FG
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:1622% → 30%
Q3 12:56
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+13
77.7%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 13 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
75.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 1 yd to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
74.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on Q.White declined; . ( Yards) to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
75.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Josh Sterzer for no gain to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 11:40
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
70.1%
Connor Coles 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:4673% → 82%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
72.7%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+64
82.1%
Max Borghi 64 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
81.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 16 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 2:5521% → 26%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
79.4%
John Gentry run for 9 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+1
77.5%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
77.8%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
78.4%
John Gentry run for 4 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+10
77.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to John Gentry for 10 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
76.8%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+19
75.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 19 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
75.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution (5 Yards) to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 5
OPP 11
0
75.0%
John Gentry run for no gain to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
75.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
76.1%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
74.4%
Connor Coles 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:0777% → 89%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
76.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 6 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+15
78.2%
Max Borghi run for 15 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
79.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
79.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+20
78.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 20 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Dominic Tatum) to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
79.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
78.9%
Jayden de Laura run for no gain to the UthSt 12Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
88.6%
Donovan Ollie 12 Yd pass from Jayden de Laura (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5212% → 12%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
87.8%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 9 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+2
87.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
87.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+4
87.5%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 4 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
87.8%
Andrew Peasley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
88.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:3089% → 94%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
88.5%
Max Borghi run for 5 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+23
88.7%
Jayden de Laura run for 8 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Marcus Moore) to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
89.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 5 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+13
89.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jr. Calvin Jackson for 13 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
89.7%
run for 10 yds to the UthSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
89.4%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 5Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
89.7%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 6Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
89.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+27
93.8%
Dean Janikowski 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:209% → 31%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
91.0%
John Gentry run for 4 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
90.8%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+7
91.7%
John Gentry run for 7 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.6%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
92.6%
#2 J.Gentry rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the WSU44 (#42 H.Djibril), 1ST DOWN, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY USU Holding on #78 J.South enforced 10 yards from the USU45 to the USU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+12
93.5%
John Gentry run for 12 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+6
92.4%
Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.3%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
92.7%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+11
93.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 11 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
92.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 6 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+10
92.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 10 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
92.5%
Deven Thompkins run for 14 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
92.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. 2 Yd Run (Connor Coles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0387% → 87%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
86.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
87.8%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Jaylin Bannerman for 0 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
86.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 2:4121% → 90%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
78.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 8 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+4
74.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
77.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 2 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
77.2%
Logan Bonner run for 4 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+1
77.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 1 yd to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+7
78.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 7 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
75.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 12 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
71.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 11 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
67.6%
Logan Bonner run for 7 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
66.8%
#1 L.Bonner pass to the right incomplete intended for #13 D.Thompkins thrown to the WSU0, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on #4 A.Archie enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the WSU22 to the WSU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
9.8%
Deven Thompkins 7 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Logan Bonner Pass to Derek Wright for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
25.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jarrett Kingston for 17 yds to the 50 yard line WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Konner Gomness) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:13
Deven Thompkins 7 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Logan Bonner Pass to Derek Wright for Two-Point Conversion)
-57
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-25.6
TD · Q4 5:25
Calvin Tyler Jr. 2 Yd Run (Connor Coles Kick)
-23.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com