Try the model
MONT

Montana 13 at Washington 7

WASH
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadMONT aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreMONT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:08: Peyton Henry 50 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +1.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 2:54: Kevin Macias 22 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +1.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MONT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 1:12: Kevin Macias 50 yd FG GOOD — MONT win probability +9.2 pts (now 26%) (top driver: MONT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:07: pass incomplete to Devin Culp — WASH win probability +18.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 33 — MONT win probability +19.6 pts (now 26%) (top driver: MONT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 11MONT made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 7:08MONT 4th & 8 at WASH 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:27WASH 4th & 13 at MONT 32, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:27WASH 4th & 13 at MONT 32, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:58MONT 4th & 2 at MONT 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:11WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:07MONT 4th & 1 at MONT 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.7%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:36WASH 4th & 8 at MONT 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:55MONT 4th & 5 at MONT 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:08WASH 4th & 16 at MONT 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:30MONT 4th & 4 at MONT 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:25MONT 4th & 14 at MONT 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:31MONT 4th & 1 at MONT 32, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:44WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:49MONT 4th & 20 at MONT 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−2.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:49WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:12MONT 4th & 10 at MONT 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:59WASH 4th & 17 at WASH 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−4.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:54MONT 4th & 4 at WASH 4, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.6%−6.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−14.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:33WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.4%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:33WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.4%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:12MONT 4th & 8 at WASH 32, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.6%−3.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−4.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:41WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 32, up 4
    Numbers favored punt by 4.4 ptsWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%−4.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:09WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:2894% → 94%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
94.3%
pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 13 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
94.3%
run for 6 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+13
94.2%
run for 13 yds to the Mont 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
94.1%
pass complete to Devin Culp for 5 yds to the Mont 41Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+15
94.0%
(12:40) Morris,Dylan pass incomplete to Jackson,Giles PENALTY UM Roughing The Passer (Babros,Joe) 15 yards from UM41 to UM26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
94.0%
pass complete to Richard Newton for 10 yds to the Mont 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
93.9%
run for 8 yds to the Mont 8Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+1
93.7%
run for 1 yd to the Mont 9Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+8
93.6%
run for 8 yds to the Mont 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.9%
run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 2FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 2:536% → 7%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.7%
run for 1 yd to the Mont 26Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
93.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Mont 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
93.4%
Xavier Harris run for 6 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+37
93.3%
run for 37 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
93.1%
pass incomplete to Gabe SulserSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
93.1%
run for 2 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
93.1%
pass incomplete to Mitch RobertsSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
92.8%
Kevin Macias 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:1593% → 91%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
92.7%
pass complete to Cade Otton for 6 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+1
92.6%
run for 1 yd to the Wash 23Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+7
92.3%
pass complete to Giles Jackson for 7 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
92.3%
pass complete to Taj Davis for 14 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
92.4%
run for 12 yds to the WASHINGTON 44 for a 1ST down MONTANA Penalty, Block Below Waist (Robby Hauck) to the Mont 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
92.4%
run for 1 yd to the Mont 28Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
92.3%
pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-4
92.1%
sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Mont 32Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 13
OPP 32
0
91.4%
pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 13
OPP 32
0
91.4%
pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:199% → 9%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
91.4%
run for 4 yds to the Mont 36Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
91.1%
run for 4 yds to the Mont 40Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
90.8%
pass incomplete to Xavier HarrisSimilar
Q1 0:58
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
91.1%
punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3391% → 90%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
91.0%
run for 2 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+7
90.8%
pass complete to Giles Jackson for 7 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+15
90.6%
(14:55) Morris,Dylan pass incomplete to Davis,Taj broken up by Welnel,Marcus PENALTY UM Roughing The Passer (Gubner,Alex) 15 yards from UW21 to UW36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.9%
pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-9
90.8%
sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+11
90.1%
pass complete to Cameron Davis for 11 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
89.9%
punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mont 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:5910% → 10%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.1%
pass incomplete to Gabe SulserSimilar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
90.1%
run for 3 yds to the Mont 40Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-8
89.8%
(12:30) Humphrey,Cam rush for 8 yards gain to the UM48 (Gordon,Kyler) PENALTY UM Holding (Forbes,AJ) 11 yard from UM40 to UM29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+17
90.6%
pass complete to Gabe Sulser for 17 yds to the Mont 46Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
89.9%
run for 2 yds to the Mont 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1591% → 89%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
90.5%
run for 1 yd to the Mont 43Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+1
90.3%
run for 1 yd to the Mont 42Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
90.0%
pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
89.4%
punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3010% → 10%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
89.9%
run for 3 yds to the Mont 6Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
89.7%
pass incomplete to Cole GrossmanSimilar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+2
89.9%
run for 2 yds to the Mont 8Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 5
OWN 8
0
90.1%
punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9FG
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:4190% → 90%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.0%
pass incomplete to Sawyer RacanelliSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
89.9%
run for 3 yds to the Mont 42Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+16
89.2%
pass complete to Cade Otton for 16 yds to the Mont 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
90.0%
(06:49) Newton,Richard rush for 4 yards gain to the UM22 (Ford,Justin) PENALTY UW Holding (Otton,Cade) 10 yards from UM26 to UM36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+1
89.2%
pass complete to Richard Newton for 1 yd to the Mont 35Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 19
OPP 35
+2
88.8%
pass complete to Giles Jackson for 2 yds to the Mont 37Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 21
OPP 37
+5
88.2%
pass complete to Cameron Davis for 5 yds to the Mont 32Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 16
OPP 32
+50
89.6%
Peyton Henry 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2710% → 10%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
89.8%
run for 4 yds to the Mont 36Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
89.5%
run for 2 yds to the Mont 38Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
89.3%
pass incomplete to Samuel AkemSimilar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
89.8%
punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:1490% → 90%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
89.7%
pass complete to Taj Davis for 15 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
89.7%
pass complete to Taj Davis for 5 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
90.3%
run for 2 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
89.7%
pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:3011% → 10%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
88.6%
run for 1 yd to the Mont 44Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
88.5%
pass incomplete to Samuel AkemSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-5
88.9%
PENALTY UM Delay Of Game 5 yards from UM44 to UM39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 14
OWN 39
0
89.5%
Camron Humphrey pass incomplete to Mitch RobertsSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
89.8%
punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:1789% → 90%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
89.1%
pass complete to Cameron Davis for 13 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
89.2%
pass complete to Cade Otton for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+11
88.6%
pass complete to Cade Otton for 11 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
89.9%
run for 7 yds to the Wash 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0211% → 11%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
88.6%
pass complete to Gabe Sulser for 4 yds to the Mont 27Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
88.2%
pass complete to Samuel Akem for 5 yds to the Mont 32Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
88.2%
pass incomplete to Gabe SulserSimilar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
88.6%
punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:3789% → 88%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
88.7%
run for 5 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
88.5%
pass complete to Taj Davis for 6 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
88.4%
run for 9 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+2
89.0%
run for 2 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
88.4%
run for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
88.2%
run for 4 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
89.2%
pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
88.4%
punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dylan Simmons at the Mont 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:4513% → 12%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
87.3%
run for 12 yds to the Mont 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
86.8%
run for 2 yds to the Mont 35Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-10
86.6%
(08:37) Humphrey,Cam pass complete to Roberts,Mitch for 13 yards to the UM48, End Of Play PENALTY UM Holding (Cook,Dylan) 10 yards from UM35 to UM25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+8
87.1%
pass complete to Mitch Roberts for 8 yds to the Mont 33Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-10
87.3%
(07:43) Humphrey,Cam rush for 9 yards gain to the UM42 (Fabiculanan,Kamren) PENALTY UM Holding (Keintz,Colton) 10 yards from UM33 to UM23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 20
OWN 23
0
87.4%
pass incomplete to Mitch RobertsSimilar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 20
OWN 23
0
87.7%
punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:5189% → 89%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
88.9%
pass complete to Taj Davis for 12 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
89.7%
pass incomplete to Cameron DavisSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
89.3%
pass complete to Cade Otton for 6 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
89.2%
pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
88.5%
punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dylan Simmons at the Mont 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0914% → 13%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
86.2%
pass complete to Xavier Harris for no gain to the Mont 10Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
86.6%
pass complete to Cole Grossman for no gain to the Mont 10Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
87.1%
pass incomplete to Malik FlowersSimilar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
87.5%
punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19INT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:3089% → 91%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
89.0%
run for 7 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+3
89.3%
pass complete to Giles Jackson for 3 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
89.3%
run for 2 yds to the Mont 49Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-5
89.8%
PENALTY UW False Start (Jackson,Giles) 5 yards from UM49 to UW46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+7
89.0%
pass complete to Taj Davis for 7 yds to the Mont 47Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+9
90.2%
pass complete to Cade Otton for 9 yds to the Mont 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
90.8%
pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
90.7%
pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 20TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:2515% → 18%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
85.5%
run for 2 yds to the Mont 29Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+21
86.0%
pass complete to Mitch Roberts for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
50
+4
83.0%
run for 4 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+1
84.7%
run for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+12
85.0%
pass complete to Xavier Harris for 12 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
83.0%
run for 4 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+14
82.8%
pass complete to Malik Flowers for 14 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
82.6%
run for 2 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+11
82.3%
pass complete to Cole Grossman for 11 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.1%
run for 4 yds for a TD (Kevin Macias KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:2690% → 89%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
89.9%
pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-12
89.8%
sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 22
OWN 10
+5
89.0%
pass complete to Richard Newton for 5 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 17
OWN 15
0
88.5%
punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 22FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 5:4817% → 14%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
83.0%
run for 8 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+3
82.4%
run for 3 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
81.6%
run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-4
83.1%
sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+12
86.6%
run for 12 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
82.8%
run for 3 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+17
82.5%
run for 17 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+7
82.4%
run for 7 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
83.2%
pass complete to Samuel Akem for 8 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
84.7%
run for no gain to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
86.1%
Kevin Macias 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:0294% → 94%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
93.9%
run for 5 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+7
93.8%
pass complete to Richard Newton for 7 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
94.1%
pass complete to Cade Otton for 7 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+1
95.0%
run for 1 yd to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
94.8%
pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
94.3%
pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
94.3%
pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 24FG
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:1617% → 26%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
83.0%
run for 1 yd to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+1
81.2%
run for 1 yd to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
83.9%
run for no gain to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
73.7%
Kevin Macias 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:3692% → 93%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.4%
pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
92.2%
pass incomplete to Richard NewtonSimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
91.5%
pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+25
91.2%
pass complete to Cade Otton for 25 yds to the Mont 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.5%
pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
93.4%
pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
73.8%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-73.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 33
-19.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:07
pass incomplete to Devin Culp
+18.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com