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UNCO

Northern Colorado 7 at Colorado 35

COLO
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2021 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUNCO aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUNCO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:25 · Joe Davis run for 2 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:02: Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK) — COLO win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:10: Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK) — COLO win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 34 yds for a TD, (Ben Raybon KICK) — UNCO win probability +3.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:51: Brendon Lewis pass incomplete — COLO win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:29: Ashaad Clayton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK) — COLO win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UNCO made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 11:39UNCO 4th & 4 at COLO 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:30UNCO 4th & 12 at UNCO 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:11COLO 4th & 2 at UNCO 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:31UNCO 4th & 11 at UNCO 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:45UNCO 4th & 9 at UNCO 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:53COLO 4th & 5 at UNCO 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:12UNCO 4th & 3 at UNCO 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:03COLO 4th & 10 at UNCO 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:35UNCO 4th & 4 at COLO 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:22UNCO 4th & 11 at COLO 45, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:25UNCO 4th & 9 at COLO 9, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNCO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:51COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:02COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:10COLO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:00UNCO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:29COLO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:27COLO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 3:151% → 2%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
98.7%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 15 yds to the NoCol 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
98.7%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 14 yds to the NoCol 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
98.7%
Tru Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 43Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+8
98.4%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 8 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
98.4%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
98.4%
Caleb Brickhouse punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:2198% → 98%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
98.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 11Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
98.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-5
98.4%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 9Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+7
98.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 7 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
98.2%
Josh Watts punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Uryan Hudson at the NoCol 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:482% → 2%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Tru Wilson run for no gain to the NoCol 43Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.2%
run for 3 yds to the NoCol 46Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Dylan McCaffrey run for no gain to the NoCol 41Similar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 12
OWN 41
+22
97.8%
Caleb Brickhouse punt for 35 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 22 yds to the Colo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1998% → 98%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+8
97.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 8 yds to the NoCol 46Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
97.6%
Josh Watts punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Uryan Hudson at the NoCol 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:402% → 3%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
97.6%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 17 yds to the NoCol 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.6%
Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
97.6%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, False Start (Max Pierce) to the NoCol 23Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
97.6%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 1 yd to the NoCol 24Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+19
97.2%
Caleb Brickhouse punt for 38 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 19 yds to the NoCol 43 NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Caleb Brickhouse) to the NoCol 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:4097% → 97%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
97.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the NoCol 25Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
97.4%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Joe Golden for 0 yards to the NoCol 33Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 15
OPP 33
-5
97.2%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Brenden Rice) to the NoCol 38Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 20
OPP 38
+15
96.9%
#12 B.Lewis pass to the right incomplete intended for #5 L.Shenault thrown to the UNC12. PENALTY UNC Personal Foul on #95 J.Golden enforced 15 yards from the UNC38 to the UNC23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
97.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the NoCol 22Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+7
96.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 7 yds to the NoCol 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+12
96.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 12 yds to the NoCol 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the NoCol 1Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.3%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:063% → 3%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.1%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 1 yd to the NoCol 26Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+27
97.1%
Caleb Brickhouse punt for 47 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 27 yds to the NoCol 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5297% → 97%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
97.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the NoCol 43Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
97.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for no gain to the NoCol 43Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+2
97.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 2 yds to the NoCol 41Similar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
96.7%
Josh Watts punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:413% → 3%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.6%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-4
96.7%
Zain Zincola run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoCol 16Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+8
96.8%
Tru Wilson run for 8 yds to the NoCol 27Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
96.6%
Caleb Brickhouse punt for 29 yds, downed at the Colo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:1097% → 98%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
96.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 4
50
+5
96.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the NoCol 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
96.7%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (La'Vontae Shenault) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 15
50
+30
96.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 30 yds to the NoCol 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
96.7%
Ashaad Clayton run for 3 yds to the NoCol 17Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
97.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 11INT
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:533% → 4%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
97.2%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kevin Williams Jr.) to the NoCol 21Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+7
97.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Jonah Morris for 7 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+19
97.1%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 19 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
97.2%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Holding (Christian Gonzalez) to the NoCol 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
97.1%
run for 3 yds to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.1%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Dylan Thomas for no gain to the NoCol 37Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
97.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Jaren Mitchell for 6 yds to the NoCol 43Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
96.5%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 4 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
96.3%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+10
96.5%
Dylan McCaffrey run for 10 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
96.3%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Sam Flowers for 9 yds to the Colo 15Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+15
96.0%
COLORADO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mekhi Blackmon) to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 1:0997% → 97%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
97.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+2
97.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:5797% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 17 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
97.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
97.1%
Brendon Lewis run for 10 yds to the NoCol 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
97.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 11 yds to the NoCol 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
97.2%
COLORADO Penalty, Personal Foul (Kary Kutsch) to the NoCol 45Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+10
96.9%
Brendon Lewis run for 10 yds to the NoCol 35Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
96.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+53
96.6%
Cole Becker 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:284% → 4%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
96.4%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Darren DeLaCroix for 13 yds to the NoCol 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
96.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Zach Angelillo for 6 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
96.0%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
96.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
96.1%
Caleb Brickhouse punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15TD
16 plays · 90 yds · 7:2597% → 99%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
96.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 11 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
96.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+16
96.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chase Penry for 16 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
96.9%
Ashaad Clayton run for 6 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
96.9%
Ashaad Clayton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 1
50
+2
96.7%
Ashaad Clayton run for 2 yds to the NoCol 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.9%
Brendon Lewis sacked by David Hoage for 0 yards to the Colo 49Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+3
96.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the NoCol 48Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+12
96.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 12 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
96.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 9 yds to the NoCol 27Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
96.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the NoCol 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
96.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the NoCol 21Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+7
96.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the NoCol 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
96.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 11 yds to the NoCol 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:101% → 5%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 9 yds to the NoCol 34Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
98.9%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the NoCol 29Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+15
98.9%
COLORADO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Sami) to the NoCol 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
98.8%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Jaren Mitchell for 3 yds to the NoCol 47Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
98.8%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.7%
Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+34
95.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 34 yds for a TD, (Ben Raybon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:2297% → 99%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+35
97.3%
Ashaad Clayton run for 35 yds to the NoCol 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.4%
Ashaad Clayton run for no gain to the NoCol 19Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+17
97.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alec Pell for 17 yds to the NoCol 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.4%
Ashaad Clayton run for 1 yd to the NoCol 1Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Ashaad Clayton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:591% → 1%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+6
99.3%
run for 6 yds to the NoCol 39Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+17
99.3%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Darren DeLaCroix for 17 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.3%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.3%
Dylan McCaffrey sacked by Jalen Sami for 0 yards to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+3
99.3%
Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:5599% → 100%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
99.3%
Deion Smith run for 21 yds to the NoCol 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
99.3%
Deion Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 35Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
99.3%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+23
99.3%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 23 yds to the NoCol 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
99.3%
Deion Smith run for 7 yds to the NoCol 5Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Deion Smith run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 66 yds · 4:020% → 0%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 6 yds to the NoCol 31Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+23
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 23 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Zain Zincola for 7 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Dylan McCaffrey for 9 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+10
99.9%
#12 D.McCaffrey pass to the right incomplete intended for #13 J.Mitchell broken up by #42 T.Woods at the COL0; QB hurried by #4 J.Montgomery. PENALTY COL Holding on #21 K.Moore enforced 10 yards from the COL27 to the COL17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey sacked by Guy Thomas for 0 yards to the Colo 21Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+5
99.9%
COLORADO Penalty, Roughing the Passer on G.Thomas enforced half the distance from the goal (Guy Thomas) to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
100.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 9Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
99.9%
Joe Davis run for 5 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Joe Davis run for 6 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Joe Davis run for 5 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Joe Davis run for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Joe Davis run for 2 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:00
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 34 yds for a TD, (Ben Raybon KICK)
-3.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:51
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete
+2.2
TD · Q3 3:10
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com