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SUU

Southern Utah 14 at Arizona State 41

ASU
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2021 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:45 · Eddie Czaplicki punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARIZONAST 16 SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Illegal Block in Back (Dylan Flowers) to the SoUth 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Pregame prior+24.6Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+21.2Garbage-time factor+11.6Blowout margin−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:26: Judd Cockett run for 7 yds for a TD (Carson Reed KICK) — SUU win probability +0.4 pts (now 1%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 51%).
  2. TD · Q2 5:15: DeaMonte Trayanum run for 20 yds for a TD (Logan Tyler KICK) — ASU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:03: Ricky Pearsall run for 26 yds for a TD (Logan Tyler PAT MISSED) — ASU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:22: David Moore III run for 21 yds for a TD (Carson Reed KICK) — SUU win probability +0.9 pts (now 1%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:11: Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds for a TD (Logan Tyler KICK) — ASU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SUU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:42ASU 4th & 1 at SUU 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:24ASU 4th & 18 at SUU 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:32SUU 4th & 12 at SUU 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:56SUU 4th & 3 at SUU 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:56SUU 4th & 3 at SUU 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:25SUU 4th & 6 at SUU 41, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:45ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:16SUU 4th & 5 at SUU 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:31SUU 4th & 15 at SUU 20, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SUU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:36ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:42ASU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:26SUU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:15ASU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:03ASU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:22SUU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:11ASU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SUUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Lance LawsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Dayne ChristiansenSimilar
Q1 14:40
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Justin Miller pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 14:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 3 yds for a TD (Logan Tyler PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:561% → 1%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
David Moore III run for 3 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Dayne ChristiansenSimilar
Q1 14:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+9
99.4%
Justin Miller pass complete to Thomas Duckett for 9 yds to the SoUth 31Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
99.3%
Gerardi,Jake punt 44 yards to the ASU25, out of bounds PENALTY ASU Roughing The Kicker (Johnson,Andre) 15 yards from SUU31 to SUU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+28
99.3%
Justin Miller pass complete to Lance Lawson for 28 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.3%
Justin Miller pass complete to Brandon Schenks for 3 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
99.3%
Dayne Christiansen run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:5899% → 99%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
99.3%
Daniels,Jayden pass complete to Hodges,Curtis for 20 yards to the ASU44 (Stanley,AJ) PENALTY ASU Illegal Motion (Johnson,Andre) 5 yards from ASU24 to ASU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+31
99.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Andre Johnson for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.3%
Rachaad White run for 15 yds to the SoUth 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
99.3%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Francis Bemiy for a loss of 3 yards to the SoUth 38Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 13
OPP 38
-10
99.3%
Trayanum,DeaMonte rush for 0 yards to the SUU38 (Yancey,Damaje) PENALTY ASU Holding (Henderson,LaDarius) 10 yards from SUU38 to SUU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 23
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 23
OPP 48
+22
99.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 22 yds to the SoUth 26Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+26
99.2%
Rachaad White run for 26 yds for a TD Bunkley-Shelton,LV pass attempt Successful PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Pearsall,Ricky) 15 yards from SUU03 to SUU18. NO PLAY. (Logan Tyler KICK)Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
99.2%
Bunkley-Shelton,LV pass attempt Successful PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Pearsall,Ricky) 15 yards from SUU03 to SUU18. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:141% → 1%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.2%
Dayne Christiansen run for 5 yds to the SoUth 36Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+15
99.2%
Miller,Justin pass incomplete to Lawson,Lance PENALTY ASU Targeting (Johnson,Tyler) 15 yards from SUU36 to ASU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.2%
Justin Miller pass complete to David Moore III for 2 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+15
99.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (D.J. Davidson) to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Karris Davis run for no gain to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+20
99.2%
Justin Miller pass complete to Phillip Brown for 20 yds to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.2%
Dayne Christiansen run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.7%
Judd Cockett run for 7 yds for a TD (Carson Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 6INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:441% → 1%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
98.7%
Karris Davis run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
98.7%
Justin Miller pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:1799% → 99%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+36
98.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 21 yds to the ARIZONAST 49 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Mykeal White) to the SoUth 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
98.8%
Trayanum,DeaMonte rush for 11 yards gain to the SUU23, out of bounds PENALTY ASU Holding (Hodges,Curtis) 10 yards from SUU34 to SUU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+6
98.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Andre Johnson for 6 yds to the SoUth 38Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 14
OPP 38
0
98.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Andre JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 14
OPP 38
-4
98.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by La'akea Kaho'ohanohano-Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the SoUth 42Similar
Q1 1:24
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
98.5%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:522% → 2%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
98.5%
Karris Davis run for no gain to the SoUth 1Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 1
-5
98.6%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 5Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
98.5%
Lance Lawson run for 2 yds to the SoUth 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+12
98.5%
Justin Miller pass complete to Ethan Bolingbroke for 12 yds to the SoUth 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
98.5%
Dayne Christiansen run for 1 yd to the SoUth 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-3
98.5%
Justin Miller sacked by Travez Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the SoUth 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
98.5%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Judd CockettSimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
98.3%
Jake Gerardi punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:2398% → 99%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
98.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the SoUth 38Similar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 14
OPP 38
+29
98.3%
Ricky Pearsall pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 29 yds to the SoUth 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
98.4%
Rachaad White run for 8 yds to the SoUth 1 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Greg Rogers) to the SoUth 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 3:131% → 2%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.6%
Christiansen,Dayne rush for 13 yards gain to the SUU38 (Jones,Jack) PENALTY SUU Holding (Santos,Lyle) 10 yards from SUU25 to SUU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
98.6%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
98.6%
Miller,Justin pass incomplete to Christiansen,Dayne PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Butler,Darien) 5 yards from SUU15 to SUU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.6%
Dayne Christiansen run for 4 yds to the SoUth 24Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
98.6%
Justin Miller pass complete to David Moore III for 2 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+5
98.6%
Justin Miller pass complete to Brandon Schenks for 5 yds to the SoUth 27Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
98.4%
Jake Gerardi punt for 60 ydsSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
98.4%
Jake Gerardi punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4199% → 99%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
98.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 27 yds to the SoUth 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
98.6%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 6 yds to the SoUth 42Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+11
98.6%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 11 yds to the SoUth 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
98.6%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 6 yds to the SoUth 25Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
98.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 5 yds to the SoUth 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.3%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 20 yds for a TD (Logan Tyler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 12INT
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:591% → 1%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
David Moore III run for 4 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.1%
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the SoUth 33Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
99.1%
Jordan Jefferson run for 8 yds to the SoUth 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.0%
Justin Miller pass complete to Dayne Christiansen for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 1
50
+7
99.0%
Dayne Christiansen run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.0%
Judd Cockett run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+2
99.0%
Justin Miller pass complete to Dayne Christiansen for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+5
99.0%
Miller,Justin pass incomplete to Harris III,Frank broken up by Williams,Macen PENALTY ASU Offside (Moore,Joe) 5 yards from ASU40 to ASU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+6
99.0%
Justin Miller pass complete to Thomas Duckett for 6 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
99.0%
Justin Miller pass complete to David Atencio for 10 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.8%
Justin Miller pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
99.3%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:4899% → 100%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.2%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Hattis,Henry) 5 yards from ASU39 to ASU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+15
99.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the SoUth 44Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
99.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the SoUth 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.2%
Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the SoUth 38Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
99.2%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the SoUth 33Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+7
99.2%
Rachaad White run for 7 yds to the SoUth 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.8%
Ricky Pearsall run for 26 yds for a TD (Logan Tyler PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Justin Miller pass complete to Judd Cockett for 1 yd to the SoUth 26Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Karris Davis run for no gain to the SoUth 26Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
99.8%
Justin Miller pass complete to Brandon Schenks for 11 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
Dayne Christiansen run for 2 yds to the SoUth 35Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Justin Miller pass complete to Frank Harris III for 6 yds to the SoUth 41Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Brandon SchenksSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Jake Gerardi punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16FUMBLE
8 plays · 47 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
99.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 1 yd to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+7
99.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 7 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+5
99.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 5 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.8%
Daniyel Ngata run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+19
99.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 19 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.8%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Daniyel Ngata run for no gain to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 15 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:580% → 1%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
David Moore III run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Justin Miller pass complete to Frank Harris III for 6 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.9%
Justin Miller pass complete to Judd Cockett for 9 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+21
99.0%
David Moore III run for 21 yds for a TD (Carson Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
99.2%
White,Rachaad rush for 5 yards gain to the ASU32 (Stanley,AJ) PENALTY ASU Holding (Scott,Ben) 10 yards from ASU27 to ASU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 20
OWN 17
0
99.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Geordon PorterSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+16
99.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 16 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
99.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+59
99.2%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARIZONAST 16 SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Illegal Block in Back (Dylan Flowers) to the SoUth 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:291% → 1%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
99.3%
Dayne Christiansen run for 7 yds to the SoUth 15Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+5
99.3%
Dayne Christiansen run for 5 yds to the SoUth 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.2%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Brandon SchenksSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Judd CockettSimilar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.3%
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 5 yds to the SoUth 25Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Jake Gerardi punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoUth 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:0599% → 100%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.4%
Daniyel Ngata run for 5 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
99.4%
run for 6 yds to the SoUth 35Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+7
99.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 7 yds to the SoUth 28Similar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+5
99.4%
PENALTY SUU Offside (Rogers,Greg) 5 yards from SUU28 to SUU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.5%
Daniyel Ngata run for 5 yds to the SoUth 18Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+4
99.5%
Daniyel Ngata run for 4 yds to the SoUth 14Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+5
99.5%
Daniyel Ngata run for 5 yds to the SoUth 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds for a TD (Logan Tyler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass incomplete to Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Karris Davis run for 4 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore sacked by B.J. Green for a loss of 9 yards to the SoUth 20Similar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Jake Gerardi punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
11 plays · 36 yds · 6:31100% → 100%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the SoUth 39Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+6
100.0%
Daniyel Ngata run for 6 yds to the SoUth 33Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the SoUth 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
100.0%
Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
100.0%
George Hart III run for 5 yds to the SoUth 24Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
George Hart III run for 4 yds to the SoUth 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
100.0%
Deonce Elliott run for 3 yds to the SoUth 17Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+12
100.0%
Deonce Elliott run for 6 yds to the SoUth 11 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (AJ Stanley) to the SoUth 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
George Hart III run for 4 yds to the SoUth 1Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
99.9%
George Hart III run for 2 yds to the SoUth 3Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Deonce Elliott run for 3 yds to the SoUth 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:22
David Moore III run for 21 yds for a TD (Carson Reed KICK)
-0.9
TD · Q2 5:15
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 20 yds for a TD (Logan Tyler KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q3 11:03
Ricky Pearsall run for 26 yds for a TD (Logan Tyler PAT MISSED)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com