Try the model
ULM

UL Monroe 16 at Louisiana 21

UL
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Cajun Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:03 · Devyn McCormick punt for 46 yds , Eric Garror returns for 10 yds to the LaLaf 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior+22.9Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:29: Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 46 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +3.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:11: Timeout UL MONROE, clock 00:11 — UL win probability +3.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:01: Emani Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK) — UL win probability +7.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:35: Malik Jackson run for 12 yds for a TD — ULM win probability +15.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:26: Timeout UL MONROE, clock 01:26 — UL win probability +15.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ULM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 14:20ULM 4th & 1 at UL 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:33ULM 4th & 9 at UL 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:48UL 4th & 2 at ULM 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:40ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:08UL 4th & 6 at ULM 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:18UL 4th & 6 at UL 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:39ULM 4th & 9 at UL 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:11UL 4th & 7 at UL 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:16ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:06UL 4th & 7 at ULM 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:03ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:13UL 4th & 3 at ULM 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:57ULM 4th & 17 at ULM 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:06ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 39, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:06UL 4th & 1 at ULM 3, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−5.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:59ULM 4th & 5 at UL 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:49UL 4th & 2 at ULM 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−2.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:49ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:20UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:48UL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:29ULM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:01UL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4091% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
91.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 55 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
91.0%
Levi Lewis run for 20 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 6:479% → 11%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.0%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
91.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for 10 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+13
91.0%
Malik Jackson run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
90.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
90.9%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
90.9%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 14:20
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+3
91.0%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
90.9%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+24
90.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for 24 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
90.9%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
90.9%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
90.9%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
89.3%
Calum Sutherland 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4589% → 90%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
89.5%
Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
89.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 7 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
89.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 17 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
89.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
89.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 6 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
89.6%
Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+37
90.0%
Chris Smith pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 37 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0810% → 10%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.6%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
89.6%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
89.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+3
89.8%
Devyn McCormick punt for 35 yds , Eric Garror returns for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:3290% → 89%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
90.0%
Emani Bailey run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
90.2%
Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+2
90.2%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
90.2%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the LaMon 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
90.0%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
89.8%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
89.4%
Levi Lewis run for no gain to the LaMon 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:3911% → 14%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
89.1%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 6 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+8
88.9%
Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
88.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
88.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for 2 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+46
85.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 46 yds for a TD (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1186% → 85%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.3%
Levi Lewis sacked by Sir'Darrius Ellis and Myles Cole for 0 yards to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 18
OWN 17
-5
86.2%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+17
86.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 17 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
86.1%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
84.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8Uncategorized
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5615% → 15%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
85.5%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
85.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+15
85.2%
RODRIGUEZ, Rhett pass to the right intercepted by MCCASKILL, Lorenzo at the LA 47 intended for KNIGHT, Boogie. McCaskill return for 7 yards to the ULM46 (JACKSON, Malik). PENALTY LA Roughing the Passer on GARDNER, Ferrod enforced 15 yards from the ULM34 to the ULM49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4316% → 15%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
84.1%
Malik Jackson run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
84.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
84.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
84.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
84.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2886% → 84%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
85.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+4
85.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
85.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
84.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:5516% → 16%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
84.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 16Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+6
84.5%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+10
84.8%
ROGERS, Chandler sacked for a loss of 5 yards at the ULM17 (MANAC, Chauncey). PENALTY LA Holding on AMOS, Trey enforced 10 yards from the ULM22 to the ULM32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
84.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Peyton Dunn) to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+6
84.3%
Malik Jackson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
84.2%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
84.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
84.1%
Devyn McCormick punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1084% → 83%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
84.1%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+14
84.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 14 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
85.1%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
85.3%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
84.8%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
82.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:5517% → 18%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
82.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+6
82.8%
Malik Jackson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
82.3%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14MISSED FG
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1186% → 85%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
85.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+39
85.4%
Nate Snyder 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5718% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.3%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
82.1%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+6
83.3%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 6 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
82.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 46 yds , Eric Garror returns for 10 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:5083% → 83%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
82.6%
Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
83.5%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
83.5%
Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+13
83.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 13 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
84.2%
Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
84.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
83.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 3
OPP 28
-3
83.0%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 31 fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Chris SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:1619% → 19%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
81.2%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
81.5%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+18
81.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 18 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
78.9%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+2
81.0%
Abraham Alce run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 12
50
0
81.0%
Rhett Rodriguez sacked by Andre Jones and Sonny Hazard for 0 yards to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 17
OWN 45
0
81.5%
Devyn McCormick punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:5681% → 91%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+42
81.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 42 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
83.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 27 yds to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
84.2%
Montrell Johnson run for 12 yds to the LaMon 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
84.2%
JOHNSON, Montrell rush to the right for no gain to the ULM4 (ELLIS, Sir'Darrius;COLE, Myles). PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the ULM4 to the ULM2. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.3%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:5511% → 9%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
89.3%
Malik Jackson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
88.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 4 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
88.7%
Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-1
88.0%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
88.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 1 yd to the LaMon 44Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 2
OWN 44
-5
89.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Devyn McCormick) to the LaMon 39Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
90.7%
Devyn McCormick pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:0092% → 93%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
91.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 5 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+2
91.8%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+8
91.4%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
91.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+16
92.2%
Chris Smith run for 16 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
92.3%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+10
92.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 10 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
92.9%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaMon 3Similar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
92.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:078% → 7%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
92.2%
Malik Jackson run for 9 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+5
91.9%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
91.7%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 18Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
91.9%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Chauncey Manac for 0 yards to the LaMon 17Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+15
92.3%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on MANAC, Chauncey enforced (Chauncey Manac) to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
90.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 8 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+8
89.7%
Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
89.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
89.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
90.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
92.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 5:1095% → 96%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.5%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
94.4%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+11
94.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 11 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
94.6%
Emani Bailey run for 9 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+1
94.7%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
94.6%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-6
94.7%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+7
94.1%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+5
95.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, Offsides (Traveion Webster) to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 2
OPP 28
-1
95.8%
Levi Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 2:144% → 20%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.1%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Malik Jackson for no gain to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 6 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
96.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+6
96.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
95.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Malik Jackson for 20 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+15
95.4%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
94.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+12
95.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Will Derrick for 12 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
79.8%
Malik Jackson run for 12 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
95.4%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:35
Malik Jackson run for 12 yds for a TD
-15.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:26
Timeout UL MONROE, clock 01:26
+15
TD · Q3 5:01
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com