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CCU

Coastal Carolina 27 at South Alabama 21

USA
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2021 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
OT 0:00 · Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 6 yds to the CCaro 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:24: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +6.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 14:49: Shermari Jones run for 75 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +27.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:24: Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 57 yds for a TD, (Jake Bentley pass to Caullin Lacy for Two-Point Conversion) — USA win probability +47.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:39: Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +35.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 6 yds to the CCaro 19 — USA win probability +9.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00CCU 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:47USA 4th & 6 at CCU 49, tied
    Close callWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:42USA 4th & 5 at CCU 8, tied
    Close callWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:40CCU 4th & 1 at USA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:14USA 4th & 11 at CCU 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:14CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:34USA 4th & 4 at USA 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:15CCU 4th & 18 at USA 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    51.9%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:26USA 4th & 11 at USA 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:43CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:51CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.2%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:29USA 4th & 1 at CCU 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%−5.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−20.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:14USA 4th & 14 at CCU 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−4.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−11.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:27USA 4th & 3 at USA 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.6%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:24CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−6.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:42USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:24CCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:49CCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:24USA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    76.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.2%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:39CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.0%−5.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.8%
Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
14.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 11 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
14.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
50
0
14.8%
Grayson McCall run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
50
0
14.8%
Shermari Jones run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
50
0
14.8%
Charles Ouverson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 5:0516% → 21%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
16.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 16 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
16.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 19 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
16.6%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
16.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+2
16.4%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 6
OPP 49
+8
16.4%
Jake Bentley run for 8 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
16.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 7 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+6
16.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 6 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
16.7%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to Sutherland,Cade, PENALTY CCU pass interference (Fletcher, T.) 15 yards to the CCU13, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
16.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
16.7%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+2
16.6%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the CCaro 8Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+8
21.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 8 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3DOWNS
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:5179% → 75%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
21.1%
Grayson McCall sacked by Chris Henderson for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 19Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 14
OWN 19
0
21.2%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+15
21.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 15 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
21.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
21.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 11 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
20.8%
Shermari Jones run for 17 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
20.5%
Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 30
-10
20.2%
Jones, S. rush for 2 yards to the USA28 (Gallmon, Keith), PENALTY CCU holding (Loper, A.) 10 yards to the USA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+3
20.7%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+8
20.7%
Shermari Jones run for 8 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-1
25.1%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:2026% → 32%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
26.2%
Terrion Avery run for no gain to the SAlab 30Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
26.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 18 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
26.9%
Kareem Walker run for 9 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+21
28.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 21 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
29.0%
Kareem Walker run for 1 yd to the CCaro 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+10
29.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 10 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
29.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-1
29.0%
Kareem Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
28.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Lincoln SefcikSimilar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
31.7%
Diego Guajardo 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
31.7%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
31.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Shermari Jones for 3 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
31.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
32.0%
Charles Ouverson punt for 35 yds, downed at the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
34.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Caullin LacySimilar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
34.0%
Kareem Walker run for 6 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+5
33.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
34.4%
Kareem Walker run for no gain to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
34.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-3
34.8%
Kareem Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
33.6%
Jack Brooks punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:5660% → 54%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
39.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 29 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
37.7%
Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
37.3%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
37.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 2 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+8
37.5%
Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
36.7%
Grayson McCall sacked by Charles Coleman III for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 14
OPP 34
0
37.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Keith Gallmon Jr.Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 14
OPP 34
-4
45.0%
McCall, G. pass complete to Latushko, G. for 34 yards to the USA0, clock 03:15, PENALTY CCU illegal forward pass (McCall, G.) 4 yards to the USA38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 18
OPP 38
0
46.3%
Charles Ouverson punt for 31 yds, downed at the SAlab 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 1:3746% → 47%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
46.0%
Hill, Bryan rush for loss of 2 yards to the USA5 (Brewer, C.), PENALTY CCU face mask (Brewer, C.) 15 yards to the USA22, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
46.4%
Bryan Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+6
46.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 6 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+9
45.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 9 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Lincoln SefcikSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
46.6%
Bryan Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+3
48.0%
Bryan Hill run for 3 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
47.4%
Jack Brooks punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:3550% → 48%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
50.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 7 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+10
49.3%
Grayson McCall run for 10 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
49.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-7
50.0%
Grayson McCall sacked by A.J. DeShazor Jr. and CJ Rias for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+12
51.5%
Shermari Jones run for 12 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
51.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 23 yds, downed at the SAlab 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
51.2%
Jake Bentley sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11INT
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:0050% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.4%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
50.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 5 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
49.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 3 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
50.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kareem Walker for 7 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+31
52.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 31 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
52.7%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Silas Kelly return for no gain to the CCaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12TD
19 plays · 95 yds · 9:2744% → 56%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
55.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+5
56.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 15 yds to the CCaro 20 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Josaiah Stewart) to the CCaro 10Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+5
55.6%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
55.3%
Shermari Jones run for 9 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 1
OWN 24
-2
54.1%
Grayson McCall sacked by Christian Bell and Jamall Hickbottom for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 22Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+2
56.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+9
57.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 9 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
54.4%
Shermari Jones run for 9 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
52.9%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
53.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 5
50
+6
52.3%
Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
52.2%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
51.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 7 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
50.9%
Grayson McCall sacked by Yam Banks and Charles Coleman III for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
51.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+14
53.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 14 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
50.3%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+7
50.3%
Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
43.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0051% → 54%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
50.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 17 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
53.7%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Alex Spillum return for no gain to the CCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
51.5%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCaro 19 Braydon Bennett fumbled, recovered by SAlab Wy'Kevious ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0057% → 53%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
57.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 2 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+7
57.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 7 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
55.3%
Kareem Walker run for no gain to the CCaro 10Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+15
53.1%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Alex Spillum return for no gain to the CCaro 10 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Lincoln Sefcik) to the CCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 82 yds · 0:1747% → 74%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
53.1%
Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+75
26.0%
Shermari Jones run for 75 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:3531% → 38%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
31.1%
Kareem Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 34Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+15
30.8%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to Tolbert, Jalen, QB hurry by Pinckney, D., PENALTY CCU pass interference (Strong, D.) 15 yards to the USA49, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
34.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kareem Walker for 9 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+31
35.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 31 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
37.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kareem Walker for 5 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
37.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-9
34.8%
Jake Bentley sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 9 yards to the CCaro 15Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+33
38.4%
Diego Guajardo 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18INT
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0062% → 66%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
38.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 9 yds Isaiah Likely fumbled, forced by Brock Higdon, recovered by CCaro Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
36.2%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
36.1%
Shermari Jones run for 20 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
34.2%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
34.1%
Grayson McCall pass intercepted Davyn Flenord return for no gain to the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0042% → 44%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
42.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 16 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
44.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne, broken up by Myles OlufemiSimilar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
44.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-2
46.5%
Kareem Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 3
OWN 46
-7
43.5%
Jake Bentley sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
31.8%
Shermari Jones run for no gain to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
31.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+7
32.4%
Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the SAlab 25 Grayson McCall fumbled, forced by Chris Henderson, recovered by SAlab Yam BanksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:2444% → 92%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
44.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 18 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
91.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 57 yds for a TD, (Jake Bentley pass to Caullin Lacy for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 3:4515% → 60%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+22
84.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Shermari Jones for 22 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
81.9%
Shermari Jones run for 9 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
78.9%
Shermari Jones run for no gain to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
80.4%
Shermari Jones run for no gain to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+3
82.0%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
80.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 18 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
77.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 6 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
76.9%
McCall, G. pass incomplete to Heiligh, J., PENALTY USA pass interference (Flenord, Davyn) 9 yards to the USA15, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
76.9%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+10
76.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds to the SAlab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 0
OPP 5
+3
75.3%
McCall, G. pass incomplete to Likely, I. (Brooks, Jamal), PENALTY USA pass interference (Brooks, Jamal) 3 yards to the USA2, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.9%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 15:3958% → 33%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
57.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 25Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 0
OPP 19
0
61.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy, broken up by Myles OlufemiSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 19
-6
23.6%
Jake Bentley sacked by Silas Kelly for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 25Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 0
OPP 25
+6
33.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 6 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:24
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 57 yds for a TD, (Jake Bentley pass to Caullin Lacy for Two-Point Conversion)
+47.4
TD · Q4 0:39
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-35.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-33.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com