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GASO

Georgia Southern 3 at App State 27

APP
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:53 · Connor Cigelske sacked by Nick Hampton for 0 yards to the GeoSo 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+9.7Home team on offense+29.3Score differential+21.9Garbage-time factor+7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:55: Chase Brice pass incomplete — APP win probability +2.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:31: Chase Brice pass incomplete — APP win probability +2.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:53: Britton Williams 38 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +2.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 20 — APP win probability +8.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:50: Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 68 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +4.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 10GASO made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 10:53GASO 4th & 1 at APP 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:24GASO 4th & 13 at APP 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:18APP 4th & 9 at GASO 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:12GASO 4th & 20 at APP 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:40APP 4th & 1 at APP 19, up 7
    Close callPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:28GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:15APP 4th & 7 at APP 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:45GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:24APP 4th & 1 at GASO 31, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:26APP 4th & 6 at APP 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:12GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 8, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:12APP 4th & 4 at GASO 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:31GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:19APP 4th & 10 at GASO 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−4.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:13GASO 4th & 5 at APP 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:53GASO 4th & 10 at APP 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−4.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:00GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:35GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:08APP 4th & 10 at APP 6, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:53GASO 4th & 5 at APP 49, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:27APP 4th & 6 at GASO 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.6
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:11GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 44, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  23. Q4 4:11APP 4th & 1 at GASO 33, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:18APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:50APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 11 yds · 4:075% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.7%
Logan Wright run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
94.7%
Connor Cigelske run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
94.7%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
94.7%
Connor Cigelske run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
94.7%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
94.7%
Connor Cigelske run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.7%
Connor Cigelske sacked for 0 yards to the GeoSo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 5:296% → 8%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
93.7%
Khaleb Hood run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+4
93.7%
Amare Jones run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
93.7%
Connor Cigelske run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 13
OWN 42
-1
93.7%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+13
93.8%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Amare Jones for 13 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+5
93.7%
Amare Jones run for 5 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
93.6%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Darius Lewis for 7 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
93.6%
Connor Cigelske sacked by Brendan Harrington for 0 yards to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 8
OPP 39
-5
93.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 13
OPP 44
0
93.7%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
92.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:0692% → 93%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
92.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 18 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
92.4%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+2
92.3%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+25
92.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 25 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.6%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
92.6%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+1
92.5%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+36
92.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 36 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 5:587% → 8%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
92.6%
Amare Jones run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+15
92.6%
Jalen White run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
92.5%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
91.9%
Connor Cigelske run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
91.8%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-2
91.7%
Connor Cigelske run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+11
91.9%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Amare Jones for 11 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
91.7%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.7%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
91.7%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-5
91.9%
Logan Wright run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 42
-5
92.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Delay Of Game (Darrell Baker Jr.) to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 20
OPP 47
0
91.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3292% → 91%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
91.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 1
OWN 19
0
91.6%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
91.3%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 19Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
90.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:129% → 9%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
90.9%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
91.0%
Connor Cigelske run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+2
91.1%
Connor Cigelske run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
90.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1391% → 90%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
91.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kaiden Smith) to the AppSt 14Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+18
91.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 18 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
91.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 5 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-2
91.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 35Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
90.9%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
90.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:3010% → 10%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
90.2%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+7
89.9%
Amare Jones run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
89.8%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-2
89.6%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
90.2%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
90.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 52 yds, downed at the AppSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:2190% → 90%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+36
89.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 36 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
90.7%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+15
90.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Mike Evans for 15 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
90.5%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
90.4%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
90.2%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-7
89.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:2412% → 13%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.2%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+26
88.9%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 26 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
87.3%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Amare Jones for 2 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+51
86.6%
Alex Raynor 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:2990% → 89%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
89.5%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
89.3%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+5
89.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 5 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
90.0%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
90.1%
Chase Brice run for 2 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
89.8%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
88.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 57 yds, downed at the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
88.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offsides (Jordon Earle) to the GeoSo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:1412% → 11%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+2
88.5%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+2
88.7%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 1
OWN 10
-2
89.0%
Logan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 3
OWN 8
+5
89.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 53 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 5 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0088% → 89%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
88.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
88.7%
Chase Brice sacked by Justin Ellis for 0 yards to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+10
87.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Offsides on DEVINE, Parker enforced (10 Yards) to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
89.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.5%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
89.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
89.1%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
89.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4113% → 12%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
87.1%
Connor Cigelske run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 3
OWN 15
0
86.9%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 3
OWN 15
-5
87.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Beau Johnson) to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
87.7%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+26
87.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds , Malik Williams returns for 26 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1290% → 90%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
90.4%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-15
90.4%
HARRINGTON, Daetrich rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the GSO20 (JACKSON, Khadry). PENALTY APP Chop Block on HODGES, Cooper enforced 15 yards from the GSO23 to the GSO38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 25
OPP 38
0
89.7%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 25
OPP 38
+15
89.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
90.3%
Chandler Staton 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:2010% → 14%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
90.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HAMPTON, Nick enforced (Nick Hampton) to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
89.3%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Amare Jones for 15 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
88.5%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
88.7%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Darius Lewis for 5 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
88.8%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+6
89.5%
Connor Cigelske run for 6 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
87.9%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 13 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
87.6%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-2
87.6%
Connor Cigelske run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 21Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
88.7%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:53
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
86.1%
Britton Williams 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:006% → 5%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.4%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
94.5%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
94.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Connor Cigelske sacked by Nick Hampton for 0 yards to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+10
94.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 57 yds , Malik Williams returns for 10 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
99.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 68 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.0%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Connor Cigelske run for no gain to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.0%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+14
99.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 57 yds , Malik Williams returns for 14 yds to the AppSt 45 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Milan Tucker) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:2799% → 99%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.0%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 6Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
98.9%
Chase Brice sacked for 0 yards to the AppSt 1Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 15
OWN 1
+5
98.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the AppSt 6Similar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 10
OWN 6
0
98.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.1%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Connor Cigelske sacked by Nick Hampton for 0 yards to the GeoSo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2699% → 99%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+13
99.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 13 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
99.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
99.3%
Chandler Staton 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:161% → 1%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.4%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.4%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-2
99.5%
Jalen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 31 yds · 4:1199% → 100%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.4%
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
99.4%
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+5
99.4%
Anderson Castle run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.4%
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+5
99.4%
Anderson Castle run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+10
99.6%
Anderson Castle run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 20
+8.3
TD · Q4 13:50
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 68 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
+4.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:55
Chase Brice pass incomplete
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com