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BYU

BYU 34 at Georgia Southern 17

GASO
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:07 · Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior−27.2Home team on offense−3.1Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:14: Alex Raynor 38 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +3.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:17: Logan Wright run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +6.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 6:25: Logan Wright run for 11 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +6.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:03: Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +5.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:38: Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 29 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +10.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:14GASO 4th & 9 at BYU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:13BYU 4th & 1 at GASO 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:21GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:32BYU 4th & 2 at GASO 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:56BYU 4th & 4 at GASO 22, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:40GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:46BYU 4th & 11 at GASO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07GASO 4th & 17 at GASO 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:15GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:01BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−2.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:38BYU 4th & 9 at BYU 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:45GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:45BYU 4th & 1 at GASO 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−1.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:15BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:17GASO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:25GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:03BYU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:38BYU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 7:469% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
9.2%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for 13 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
9.2%
run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+8
9.2%
Connor Cigelske run for 8 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
9.2%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+1
9.2%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
9.2%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
9.2%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+6
9.2%
Connor Cigelske run for 6 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+7
9.2%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
9.2%
Jalen White run for no gain to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
9.2%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
-1
9.2%
Connor Cigelske run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
13.0%
Alex Raynor 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 3:5887% → 87%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
13.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 14 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
13.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+6
12.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 6 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
12.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 25 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
12.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
12.6%
Gunner Romney run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
12.7%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+5
12.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
12.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+7
12.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
12.5%
Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
12.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5414% → 14%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.5%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
13.9%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
13.7%
Logan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
14.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2586% → 88%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
14.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 42 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
13.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 14 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
14.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
11.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 4:3412% → 19%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
12.3%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Amare Jones for 12 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
12.5%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
12.6%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+15
12.4%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 15 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
12.9%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for 19 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
13.2%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for 10 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
13.2%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the BYU 3Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
19.2%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4584% → 82%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
16.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+4
16.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
16.2%
Jaren Hall run for no gain to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
17.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:0719% → 27%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
19.2%
CIGELSKE, Connor pass to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Logan thrown to the BYU30. PENALTY BYU Targeting on TOOLEY, Max enforced 15 yards from the GS 43 to the BYU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
19.6%
Connor Cigelske run for 5 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+8
19.7%
Logan Wright run for 8 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
20.2%
run for 18 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
26.9%
Logan Wright run for 11 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8FG
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:2976% → 79%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
24.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 47 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
21.7%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
21.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+1
22.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
21.0%
Jake Oldroyd 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1024% → 24%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
23.9%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+2
24.0%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 5
OWN 28
-2
23.3%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
23.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:5478% → 79%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+44
22.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 44 yds to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
20.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+7
20.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Masen Wake for 7 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+5
20.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+2
20.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 2 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
21.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
20.9%
Jake Oldroyd 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:2022% → 20%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
21.7%
Connor Cigelske run for no gain to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
21.5%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
20.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 15
OWN 30
-2
20.6%
Jalen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
20.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
21.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 13 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:3978% → 86%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
21.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Anthony Wilson) to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
21.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
21.3%
Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 14:42
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+21
21.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 21 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
20.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 9 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+6
19.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
19.3%
Puka Nacua run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+17
19.3%
Puka Nacua run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
19.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:3915% → 15%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
15.0%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Amare Jones for 10 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
15.3%
run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+2
15.3%
Khaleb Hood run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+1
14.9%
Connor Cigelske run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
15.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:1484% → 85%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
15.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
15.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+7
15.7%
Jaren Hall run for 7 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
14.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
14.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
15.4%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 10
OWN 33
+3
15.3%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 63 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 3 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16INT
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:5015% → 20%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-15
15.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
15.5%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+28
15.3%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Beau Johnson for 28 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
17.1%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 16 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
17.6%
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
19.6%
Amare Jones pass intercepted return for no gain to the BYU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:3385% → 83%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
15.0%
Jaren Hall run for 10 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
14.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
14.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
15.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offsides (Dillon Springer) to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
14.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
15.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
15.4%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+9
16.7%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 44 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:5916% → 16%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
16.3%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+11
16.9%
run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
17.4%
Connor Cigelske pass intercepted return for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
15.5%
HALL, Jaren pass to the left complete for 32 yards to NACUA, Samson caught at the BYU41 and advanced to the BYU41 (BIRDSONG, Justin), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY BYU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on NACUA, Puka GS Unsportsmanlike Conduct on EDWARDS III, Michael , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:0185% → 97%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
15.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 29 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
13.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
13.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+6
13.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
13.4%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+29
3.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 29 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:474% → 4%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
4.3%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
4.2%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
4.3%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
4.4%
Connor Cigelske run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
4.2%
Connor Cigelske run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
4.3%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
4.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:5897% → 99%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
3.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+7
2.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
2.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-10
2.8%
HALL, Jaren pass to the left complete for 20 yards to KATOA, Lopini caught at the BYU41 and advanced to the GS 32 (ROBINSON II, Eldrick). PENALTY BYU Illegal Block in the Back on TUKUAFU, Joe enforced 10 yards from the BYU48 to the BYU38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+24
2.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 24 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
2.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
2.8%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+3
2.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
3.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
1.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
0.9%
Kneel down by BYU at GS 0 (team loss of 3). PENALTY GS Unsportsmanlike Conduct on SPRINGER, Dillon enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards GS Unsportsmanlike Conduct on ELLIS, Justin enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the end of the play at the GS 26 to the GS 0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:38
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 29 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
-10.4
TD · Q2 6:25
Logan Wright run for 11 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 10:17
Logan Wright run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com