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USA

South Alabama 7 at App State 31

APP
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kareem Walker run for 1 yd to the SAlab 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:50: Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 27 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +6.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:50: Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29 — APP win probability +2.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:20: Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 7 — APP win probability +3.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:23: Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 14 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:37: Desmond Trotter pass intercepted for a TD return for no gain for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 8 of 9USA made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 13:20APP 4th & 8 at APP 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:57USA 4th & 15 at USA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:47USA 4th & 3 at APP 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:48USA 4th & 1 at APP 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:48APP 4th & 1 at USA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:39APP 4th & 2 at USA 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:48USA 4th & 8 at USA 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:31APP 4th & 16 at APP 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:31USA 4th & 3 at APP 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:52USA 4th & 1 at APP 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:06APP 4th & 1 at USA 48, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:59USA 4th & 12 at USA 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:30USA 4th & 5 at APP 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:01USA 4th & 15 at USA 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:50APP 4th & 14 at APP 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−1.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:20USA 4th & 3 at APP 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    16.2%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−8.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:18APP 4th & 8 at USA 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−6.0
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:09USA 4th & 5 at USA 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:30USA 4th & 2 at USA 14, down 10
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:23APP 4th & 3 at USA 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−4.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:20USA 4th & 16 at USA 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:33APP 4th & 6 at APP 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4USA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:39APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:43APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:50USA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:23APP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:37APP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3392% → 91%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.8%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
91.8%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
91.8%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+8
91.4%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 51 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 8 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:239% → 9%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
91.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-3
91.4%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 15
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
91.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
91.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:599% → 10%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
90.9%
Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
90.8%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
90.9%
Terrion Avery run for no gain to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+4
91.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 4 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
90.8%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
90.8%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+4
90.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 4 yds to the AppSt 14Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 1
OPP 14
-1
89.6%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 15 fumbled, recovered by SAlab Terrion AverySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 5:0990% → 90%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+40
89.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 40 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
90.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 17 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
90.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
90.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Mike Evans for 3 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+4
90.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 4 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+5
90.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
90.2%
Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the SAlab 10Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
90.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the SAlab 6Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
88.6%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+6
90.0%
Chase Brice run for 6 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1610% → 10%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Desmond Trotter pass intercepted return for no gain to the SAlab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:4090% → 92%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
90.3%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+17
91.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 17 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:559% → 9%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
91.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 13 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
91.0%
Bryan Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 36Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-1
91.2%
Bryan Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 35Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+5
91.3%
TROTTER, Desmond pass to the left incomplete intended for SEFCIK, Lincoln thrown to the USA45. PENALTY APP Offsides on MCLEOD, Jalen enforced 5 yards from the USA35 to the USA40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
91.0%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+20
91.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 54 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 20 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
91.5%
BRICE, Chase pass to the left incomplete intended for SUTTON, Corey thrown to the USA45. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on SUTTON, Corey enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards to the APP13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:1791% → 91%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 23
OWN 13
+1
91.4%
Chase Brice run for 1 yd to the AppSt 14Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 22
OWN 14
0
91.4%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 14Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 22
OWN 14
+11
91.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Camerun Peoples for 11 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 11
OWN 25
-5
91.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 20Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
91.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:3910% → 10%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.5%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
90.6%
Bryan Hill run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+4
90.5%
Bryan Hill run for 4 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+9
90.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Bryan Hill for 9 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
90.2%
Bryan Hill run for 7 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
89.9%
Bryan Hill run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
90.1%
Bryan Hill run for no gain to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-2
90.1%
Bryan Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4691% → 91%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
91.3%
Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
91.7%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
91.4%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
91.8%
Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
91.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
91.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+18
90.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 33 yds APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Kick Catch Interference on DOUBLIN, Logan enforced at the deadball spot for (Logan Doublin) to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
90.5%
WALKER, Kareem rush to the left for a gain of 16 yards to the USA46 (ROOF, T.D.). PENALTY USA Holding on HOPPER, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the USA30 to the USA20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:079% → 9%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+8
90.8%
Kareem Walker run for 8 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
90.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
90.9%
PENALTY USA Unsportsmanlike Conduct on GRAY, Anterrious APP Unsportsmanlike Conduct on SPURLIN, Caleb , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
90.9%
Desmond Trotter run for no gain to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
91.0%
Jack Brooks punt for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
84.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 27 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2088% → 88%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
87.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 10 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
88.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
88.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
88.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
50
0
88.3%
Chase Brice pass intercepted Darrell Luter Jr. return for no gain to the SAlab 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:0013% → 14%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+24
87.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 24 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
86.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 7 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
85.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 4 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
85.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 22 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
84.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
84.6%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+5
85.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 5 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
86.1%
Diego Guajardo 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
86.9%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5914% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.5%
Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
86.5%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
86.7%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Demetrius Taylor for 0 yards to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+8
87.2%
Jack Brooks punt for 48 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 8 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1188% → 85%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
87.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
87.4%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-5
86.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
86.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
85.4%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:3015% → 17%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
85.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 19 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
84.0%
Kareem Walker run for 2 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
84.0%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+11
84.7%
Desmond Trotter run for 11 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
84.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 19 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
82.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 7 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on BROWN, KeSean enforced half the distance from the goal ( Yards) to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.8%
Desmond Trotter run for no gain to the AppSt 5Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
83.8%
Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the AppSt 3Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
83.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20FG
12 plays · 88 yds · 5:0287% → 89%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
87.1%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+3
87.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+7
86.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 7 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
87.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+2
87.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
86.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+50
87.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 50 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
89.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 13 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
89.0%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
89.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the SAlab 8Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
88.4%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
89.0%
Chandler Staton 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0012% → 11%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
88.2%
Desmond Trotter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
87.6%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
88.2%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
89.2%
Jack Brooks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:1690% → 91%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
90.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
90.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 8 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
90.9%
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.7%
Chase Brice pass intercepted return for no gain to the SAlab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2310% → 9%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
90.1%
Terrion Avery run for 8 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 2
OWN 14
-8
89.9%
TROTTER, Desmond pass up the middle complete for 8 yards to TOLBERT, Jalen caught at the USA15 and advanced to the USA22 (ROOF, T.D.). PENALTY USA Pass Interference on SEFCIK, Lincoln enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards to the USA7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+7
90.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 7 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 2
OWN 14
0
90.5%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
90.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:0791% → 98%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
91.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
50
0
91.0%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 9
50
+14
90.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 14 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
91.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+12
91.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 12 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
91.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
91.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+3
92.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+14
97.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 14 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:553% → 3%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
96.9%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Ronald Clarke for 0 yards to the SAlab 15Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 16
OWN 15
0
97.0%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 16
OWN 15
0
97.1%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 16
OWN 15
0
97.2%
Jack Brooks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4798% → 98%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.9%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+1
97.9%
Anderson Castle run for 1 yd to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
98.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 47 yds, downed at the SAlab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 27INT TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 2:563% → 1%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
97.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 7 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+1
97.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Terrion Avery for 1 yd to the SAlab 17Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+4
97.4%
Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
97.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 15 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offsides (Hansky Paillant) to the SAlab 41Similar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+20
97.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 20 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
97.0%
TROTTER, Desmond pass to the left incomplete intended for WAYNE, Jalen thrown to the APP24. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on CONE, Madison enforced 15 yards to the APP24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
96.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 15 yds to the AppSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
Desmond Trotter pass intercepted for a TD return for no gain for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:291% → 1%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.4%
Kareem Walker run for 1 yd to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-1
99.4%
Kareem Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 21Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+12
99.4%
Kareem Walker run for 12 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
99.4%
Kareem Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+1
99.4%
Kareem Walker run for 1 yd to the SAlab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:50
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 27 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q4 8:23
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 14 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
+5.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:20
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 7
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com