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CCU

Coastal Carolina 28 at Georgia Southern 8

GASO
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:13 · Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Beau Johnson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense−51.5Pregame prior−1.0Score differential−27.7Garbage-time factor−19.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:54: Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 12 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +3.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:35: Shermari Jones run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST down — CCU win probability +2.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:23: Bryce Carpenter run for 23 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +4.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Mason Shelton 33 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Massimo Biscardi Kick) — CCU win probability +5.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:17: Shermari Jones run for 7 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 8
  1. Q1 12:31CCU 4th & 3 at GASO 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:57GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:57CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 45, tied
    Close callWent for it · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:06GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 21, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:34CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:00GASO 4th & 9 at CCU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:34CCU 4th & 15 at CCU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00GASO 4th & 16 at GASO 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:06GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:54GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:18CCU 4th & 26 at CCU 3, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.3
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:57CCU 4th & 13 at GASO 33, up 20
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:45GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:37CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 35, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:37CCU 4th & 12 at GASO 18, up 20
    Close callWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:13GASO 4th & 20 at CCU 24, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 8:54CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:23CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:00CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:17CCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:56GASO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:2188% → 87%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
12.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
12.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
12.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+1
12.0%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
13.0%
Charles Ouverson punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3413% → 14%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
13.1%
Justin Tomlin run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+3
13.1%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+1
13.0%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
13.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5586% → 86%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
13.6%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the CCaro 26Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 24
OWN 26
+14
13.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 14 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
13.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 5 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
13.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
14.5%
Charles Ouverson punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5615% → 15%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
14.8%
PENALTY GSO False Start 5 yards from GSO12 to GSO07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+5
14.8%
Tomlin,Justin rush for 0 yards to the GSO07 (Clark,Jerrod) PENALTY CCU Offside 5 yards from GSO07 to GSO12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
14.8%
Justin Tomlin run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
14.7%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Logan WrightSimilar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+12
14.6%
Justin Tomlin run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
15.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3285% → 84%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
15.3%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
15.2%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
15.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Shermari JonesSimilar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
16.4%
Charles Ouverson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:3417% → 19%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
16.5%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+6
16.6%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
16.6%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Logan WrightSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+10
16.5%
Justin Tomlin run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
16.8%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
17.1%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 11
50
+6
16.8%
Justin Tomlin run for 6 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+1
17.0%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 43Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-5
16.7%
PENALTY GSO Delay Of Game 5 yards from CCU43 to CCU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
19.1%
punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 5:2681% → 77%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
18.7%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 11Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+8
19.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-9
19.6%
Carpenter,Bryce rush for 0 yards to the CCU19 (Robertson,Seth; Wilson,Anthony) PENALTY CCU Holding (Bedosky,Steven) 9 yards from CCU19 to CCU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+13
19.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 13 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
19.2%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
19.3%
Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
20.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 5 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
20.3%
Shermari Jones run for 13 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
19.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Braydon BennettSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
19.7%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 11
OWN 47
-5
20.3%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
22.8%
Charles Ouverson punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+25
23.5%
Justin Tomlin run for 25 yds to the GeoSo 36 Justin Tomlin fumbled, forced by Jeffrey Gunter, recovered by CCaro Enock MakonzoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:2879% → 83%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
20.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 11 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
20.5%
Shermari Jones run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
16.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 12 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FUMBLE
10 plays · 26 yds · 4:1118% → 20%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
18.1%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+1
18.1%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+12
17.6%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 12 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.2%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
18.2%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for no gain to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+25
17.7%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Amare Jones for 25 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
19.7%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-5
19.7%
PENALTY GSO False Start (Langemeier,Logan) 5 yards from CCU45 to CCU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 11
50
+10
20.0%
run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:1283% → 88%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
17.0%
Shermari Jones run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
16.8%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+23
11.9%
Bryce Carpenter run for 23 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT TD
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:1613% → 8%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
13.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+16
12.9%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 16 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
13.3%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
14.0%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
13.9%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
14.1%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
14.0%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-6
13.5%
Justin Tomlin sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 40 Justin Tomlin fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Khalil Crowder , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 16
OWN 40
+33
7.7%
Mason Shelton 33 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Massimo Biscardi Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:458% → 8%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
7.9%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+9
8.1%
Gerald Green run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
8.6%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
8.6%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
8.4%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
7.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 92 yds · 6:4995% → 99%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+33
5.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 33 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
4.8%
Shermari Jones run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
4.7%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+5
4.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+13
4.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
4.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
4.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+11
4.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
4.5%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
4.5%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
4.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
1.2%
Shermari Jones run for 7 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:161% → 1%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+20
1.4%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Amare Jones for 20 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
1.5%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Logan WrightSimilar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
1.4%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+3
1.4%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
0.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:3899% → 99%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
1.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 11 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
1.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 15 yds Tyson Mobley fumbled, forced by Justin Ellis, recovered by GeoSo Brandon WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
1.0%
Justin Tomlin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 3:4899% → 99%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
1.4%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 8Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+4
1.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+7
1.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Greg Latushko for 7 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
0.6%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+1
0.6%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-22
0.6%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Reid Dedman for a loss of 22 yards to the CCaro 3Similar
Q4 13:18
4TH & 26
OWN 3
0
0.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the CCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:221% → 3%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
0.5%
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+11
0.5%
Cam Ransom pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
0.6%
Cam Ransom pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 19 yds to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
0.7%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 6Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
3.0%
Beau Johnson 6 Yd pass from Cam Ransom (Cam Ransom Pass to Derwin Burgess Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5998% → 98%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
1.9%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 13
OPP 33
0
1.9%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 13
OPP 33
0
1.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 13
OPP 33
0
1.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:122% → 2%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
2.1%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+6
2.0%
Cam Ransom run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-3
2.0%
Cam Ransom sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+2
1.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 56 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0899% → 99%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
1.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 4 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+4
1.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Greg Latushko for 4 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+8
1.4%
Shermari Jones run for 8 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q4 6:37
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
1.2%
Charles Ouverson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
1.0%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+12
1.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
1.0%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+1
1.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
0.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Xavier Gravette for no gain to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+1
0.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 59 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
0.4%
Ransom,Cam pass complete to Lewis,Darius for 0 yards to the GSO17 PENALTY CCU Roughing The Passer (Steele,Charles) 15 yards from GSO17 to GSO32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.4%
Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Beau JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+19
0.4%
Cam Ransom pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 19 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
0.4%
Cam Ransom pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 9 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
0.4%
Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Darius LewisSimilar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+11
0.4%
Logan Wright run for 11 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
0.5%
Cam Ransom pass incomplete for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Josaiah Stewart) to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-6
0.5%
Cam Ransom sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 16
OPP 20
0
0.5%
Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 16
OPP 20
-4
0.5%
Cam Ransom sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 24 Cam Ransom fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Griffin Carder , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 20
OPP 24
0
0.3%
Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Beau JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
0.5%
Christian Malloy run for 4 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
0.5%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:00
Mason Shelton 33 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Massimo Biscardi Kick)
-5.9
TD · Q2 3:23
Bryce Carpenter run for 23 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-4.9
TD · Q2 8:54
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 12 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com