Try the model
CCU

Coastal Carolina 27 at App State 30

APP
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2021 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:49 · Xavier Subotsch punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior−11.0Home team on offense−2.4Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:20: Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 47 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +6.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:39: Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 28 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +21.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:36: Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +21.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:43: Camerun Peoples run for 43 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — APP win probability +17.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Chandler Staton 24 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +29.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:35APP 4th & 3 at CCU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    41.1%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:49APP 4th & 10 at APP 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:57CCU 4th & 20 at CCU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:22APP 4th & 1 at CCU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.5%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:23CCU 4th & 13 at APP 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:53CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 38, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−3.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:14CCU 4th & 18 at CCU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−7.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:34APP 4th & 8 at APP 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−2.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:40CCU 4th & 13 at CCU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−7.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:53CCU 4th & 12 at CCU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−10.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:46CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:11CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:02APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:20APP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:39APP Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:36CCU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:43APP Touchdown, tied before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    52.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:1137% → 38%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
36.5%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+39
36.6%
Nate Noel run for 39 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
36.8%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+7
37.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 7 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
37.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
37.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+2
37.8%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
38.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:4562% → 65%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
37.7%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
37.9%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Greg LatushkoSimilar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+28
38.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 28 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
37.7%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+15
38.0%
McCall, Grayson pass incomplete to Heiligh, Jaivon, PENALTY APP STATE pass interference (Cone, Madison) 15 yards to the APP STATE26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
37.8%
Shermari Jones run for 12 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
37.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 7 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+6
37.9%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the AppSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.0%
Shermari Jones run for no gain to the AppSt 1Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.4%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:5436% → 36%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
36.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
36.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 9 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-13
36.7%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 42 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Baer Hunter) to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 23
OWN 27
+5
36.3%
Chase Brice run for 5 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+8
35.9%
Chase Brice run for 8 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
35.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 1:3464% → 69%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
36.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 9 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-2
35.3%
Grayson McCall sacked by Caleb Spurlin for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 26Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+74
30.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 74 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:0131% → 38%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
31.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
31.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+45
30.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 45 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+32
32.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 32 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
32.6%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 0:3738% → 44%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
37.7%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
37.6%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+47
43.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 47 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 4:1458% → 56%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
41.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 21 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
40.4%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 6
50
+5
40.3%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
40.4%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
40.6%
Shermari Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
41.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 12
OPP 45
-5
42.1%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 17
50
-15
42.5%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 32
OWN 35
+12
43.5%
Reese White run for 12 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 20
OWN 47
0
43.8%
Charles Ouverson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:3145% → 47%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
44.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+23
44.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 23 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
47.0%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Baer Hunter) to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 17
OWN 37
+1
45.5%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 38Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+7
45.8%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+8
45.9%
Chase Brice run for 8 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-1
46.8%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:5159% → 59%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
40.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 26 yds to the APP STATE 26 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
40.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 11 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
39.7%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-2
39.5%
Reese White run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-3
41.1%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 13
OPP 33
+50
41.5%
Massimo Biscardi 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10FUMBLE
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:0041% → 43%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
40.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+5
41.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
41.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 3 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
41.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 2 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+5
40.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 5 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
40.7%
Chase Brice run for 8 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+15
42.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for no gain Corey Sutton fumbled, forced by Teddy Gallagher, recovered by CCaro Manny Stokes Jr. , return for 15 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0466% → 71%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
33.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Shermari JonesSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+46
28.7%
Massimo Biscardi 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5867% → 65%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
33.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 19 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
31.5%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
31.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 5 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-15
31.0%
McCall, Grayson pass complete to Ivy Jr., Turon for 3 yards to the APP STATE46, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Heiligh, Jaivon) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+2
34.2%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
35.0%
Charles Ouverson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0436% → 58%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
35.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 40 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
40.9%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 36Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
39.3%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+6
38.3%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+2
37.4%
Brice, Chase pass incomplete to Sutton, Corey, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Boykin, Lance) 2 yards to the COASTALCAR28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.Similar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
58.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 28 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 4:5047% → 73%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
52.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 11 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
52.8%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+11
52.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 11 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
50.7%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+7
50.4%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+32
50.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 32 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
48.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 14 yds to the AppSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
48.7%
White, Reese rush for 1 yard to the APP STATE1, PENALTY APP STATE offside (Jones Jr., Steven) 1 yards to the APP STATE1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Reese WhiteSimilar
Q3 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.8%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:4135% → 57%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
34.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 11 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
35.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
37.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
37.7%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 4
50
+7
39.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
56.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 43 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 3:2652% → 48%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.9%
Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
46.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 5 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
46.8%
Grayson McCall sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-8
48.8%
Grayson McCall sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 23Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 23
OWN 23
+5
50.7%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 18
OWN 28
0
52.5%
Charles Ouverson punt for 41 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for no gain to the AppSt 28 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the AppSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:3753% → 53%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
53.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 17Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+26
53.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 26 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
57.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-1
58.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
55.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
52.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5151% → 46%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
49.4%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 17Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
50.5%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
52.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
54.0%
Charles Ouverson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:4159% → 63%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
58.7%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
57.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 6 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+32
58.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 32 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
62.5%
Malik Williams run for 8 yds to the CCaro 11Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+5
62.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.7%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Henry PearsonSimilar
Q4 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
62.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 7 Daetrich Harrington fumbled, recovered by CCaro C.J. BrewerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:5650% → 45%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
50.3%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 8Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+18
50.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 18 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
49.2%
Reese White run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-5
50.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Reese White) to the CCaro 19Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+5
51.2%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
53.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
54.8%
Charles Ouverson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 3:5061% → 96%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
60.8%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+16
62.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 16 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
64.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 19 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
67.1%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+8
68.5%
Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the CCaro 16Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+5
64.5%
Chase Brice run for 5 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
68.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-1
68.4%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+24
95.8%
Chandler Staton 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Chandler Staton 24 yd FG GOOD
+29.9
TD · Q3 4:36
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-21.6
TD · Q3 9:39
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 28 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+21
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com