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UL

Louisiana 20 at South Alabama 18

USA
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:56 · J.Brooks punts 46 yards to ULL 29, Center-T.Drosos. E.Garror returned punt from the ULL 29. Tackled by D.Gamble at ULL 31.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior−25.1Home team on offense−4.5Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:30: E.Bailey rushed to SAB End Zone for 15 yards. E.Bailey for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UL win probability +6.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:25: B.Hill rushed to ULL End Zone for 2 yards. B.Hill for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — USA win probability +11.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:55: J.Bentley rushed to ULL End Zone for 1 yards. J.Bentley for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — USA win probability +20.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:20: E.Bailey rushed to ULL 17 for 13 yards. Tackled by T.Young at ULL 17. — UL win probability +10.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:20: B.Hill rushed to SAB 43 for 8 yards. Tackled by A.Jones at SAB 43. — USA win probability +10.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 3:56USA 4th & 19 at USA 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:51UL 4th & 1 at USA 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.5%−1.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:48UL 4th & 9 at USA 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:11USA 4th & 2 at USA 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:35USA 4th & 4 at USA 45, down 20
    Close callPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:55UL 4th & 2 at UL 18, up 20
    Close callPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:38USA 4th & 4 at UL 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.7%−1.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:06UL 4th & 2 at UL 24, up 14
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:16USA 4th & 6 at USA 49, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:55USA 4th & 1 at UL 1, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−4.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−17.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:12UL 4th & 10 at UL 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−5.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:27USA 4th & 1 at UL 4, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.5%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−22.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:30UL 4th & 15 at UL 27, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−10.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:11USA 4th & 6 at UL 19, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−25.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−41.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:11UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:18UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:3679% → 79%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
21.1%
C.Smith rushed to SAB 10 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Luter at SAB 10.Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
21.3%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for N.Johnson.Similar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
21.2%
C.Smith rushed to SAB End Zone for 10 yards. C.Smith for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:1679% → 79%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
21.5%
E.Bailey rushed to SAB 44 for 13 yards. Tackled by K.Gallmon at SAB 44.Similar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
21.5%
L.Lewis rushed to SAB 36 for 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by SAB at SAB 36.Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+14
21.6%
E.Bailey rushed to SAB 22 for 14 yards. Tackled by K.Gallmon at SAB 22.Similar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
21.0%
L.Lewis rushed to SAB End Zone for 22 yards. L.Lewis for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 3:1721% → 21%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
21.0%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for J.Tolbert.Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
21.0%
B.Hill rushed to SAB 27 for 5 yards. Tackled by ULL at SAB 27.Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+6
20.9%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 27. Catch made by C.Lacy at SAB 27. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by ULL at SAB 33.Similar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
21.0%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for SAB.Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
20.9%
C.Lacy rushed to SAB 33 for 1 yards. Tackled by ULL at SAB 33. PENALTY on SAB-J.Baker, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 19
OWN 24
+4
20.8%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 24. Catch made by J.Wayne at SAB 24. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by B.Trahan at SAB 28.Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 15
OWN 28
0
20.7%
PENALTY on SAB-J.Baker, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 20
OWN 23
+2
20.7%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 23. Catch made by B.Hill at SAB 23. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by ULL at SAB 25.Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 19
OWN 25
+46
20.7%
J.Brooks punts 46 yards to ULL 29, Center-T.Drosos. E.Garror returned punt from the ULL 29. Tackled by D.Gamble at ULL 31.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 4:5180% → 81%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
20.0%
C.Smith rushed to ULL 31 for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Johnson at ULL 31.Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+13
19.9%
L.Lewis scrambles to ULL 44 for 13 yards. Tackled by J.Brooks, B.Higdon at ULL 44.Similar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
19.5%
C.Fields pass complete to ULL 44. Catch made by D.Fleming at ULL 44. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by D.Luter at SAB 47.Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
19.3%
C.Smith rushed to SAB 42 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Luter, C.Daniels at SAB 42.Similar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
19.4%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. pass incomplete intended for ULL.Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
19.4%
L.Lewis pass complete to SAB 42. Catch made by E.Rogers at SAB 42. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by K.Brown at SAB 38.Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
19.4%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for ULL. PENALTY on SAB-C.Henderson, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+6
19.7%
L.Lewis rushed to SAB 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by W.Thomas, G.Johnson at SAB 27.Similar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
19.1%
C.Smith rushed to SAB 23 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Flenord, B.Higdon at SAB 23.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-2
19.0%
C.Smith rushed to SAB 25 for -2 yards. Tackled by K.Gallmon at SAB 25.Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-1
19.2%
L.Lewis scrambles to SAB 26 for -1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Brooks at SAB 26.Similar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 9
OPP 26
0
19.2%
N.Snyder 43 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-O.Pierce, Holder-R.Byrns.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3120% → 20%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
20.1%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for J.Wayne.Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
19.9%
C.Lacy rushed to SAB 29 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Manac, T.Humphrey at SAB 29.Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+5
19.9%
T.Avery rushed to SAB 34 for 5 yards. Tackled by E.Garror at SAB 34.Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 2
OWN 34
-3
19.9%
J.Brooks rushed to SAB 31 for -3 yards. Tackled by A.Riley, P.Mensah at SAB 31.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:3582% → 88%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
18.4%
E.Bailey rushed to SAB 15 for 16 yards. Tackled by C.Henderson at SAB 15.Similar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
12.1%
E.Bailey rushed to SAB End Zone for 15 yards. E.Bailey for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:4815% → 15%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
15.2%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 25. Catch made by J.Tolbert at SAB 25. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by ULL at SAB 23.Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
14.7%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for J.Tolbert.Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+16
14.6%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 23. Catch made by C.Lacy at SAB 23. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by ULL at SAB 39.Similar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
15.3%
T.Avery rushed to SAB 41 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Pedescleaux at SAB 41.Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
15.3%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for J.Tolbert.Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+4
14.9%
T.Avery rushed to SAB 45 for 4 yards. Tackled by L.McCaskill at SAB 45.Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+45
15.0%
J.Brooks punts 45 yards to ULL 10, Center-T.Drosos. Fair catch by E.Garror.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3389% → 88%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
11.2%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for ULL.Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
11.2%
ULL rushed to ULL 15 for 5 yards. Tackled by S.Jennings, K.Brown at ULL 15.Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+3
12.0%
L.Lewis rushed to ULL 18 for 3 yards. Tackled by W.Thomas at ULL 18.Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 2
OWN 18
+52
11.8%
R.Byrns punts 52 yards to SAB 30, Center-O.Pierce. C.Lacy returned punt from the SAB 30. Tackled by J.Kibodi at SAB 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:0815% → 19%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
15.0%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 40. Catch made by J.Tolbert at SAB 40. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at SAB 45.Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
15.1%
B.Hill rushed to SAB 48 for 3 yards. Tackled by L.McCaskill at SAB 48.Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+20
14.8%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 32 for 20 yards. Tackled by K.Pedescleaux at ULL 32.Similar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
14.9%
J.Bentley pass complete to ULL 32. Catch made by J.Wayne at ULL 32. Gain of 3 yards. ULL ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+10
14.9%
J.Bentley pass complete to ULL 29. Catch made by J.Wayne at ULL 29. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by C.Solomon at ULL 19.Similar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
14.9%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 19 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Humphrey at ULL 19.Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
14.6%
J.Bentley scrambles to ULL 18 for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ULL at ULL 18.Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
14.1%
PENALTY on SAB-SAB, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+20
13.4%
J.Bentley pass complete to ULL 23. Catch made by J.Tolbert at ULL 23. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by F.Gardner at ULL 3.Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
15.4%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 1 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Manac, Z.Hill at ULL 1.Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
15.1%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by L.McCaskill, F.Gardner at ULL 1.Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.6%
B.Hill rushed to ULL End Zone for 1 yards. B.Hill for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 1:2284% → 86%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
16.3%
C.Smith rushed to ULL 39 for 9 yards. Tackled by C.Henderson at ULL 39.Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
15.6%
L.Lewis pass complete to ULL 39. Catch made by M.Jefferson at ULL 39. Gain of 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Flenord at ULL 45.Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
15.3%
L.Lewis pass complete to ULL 45. Catch made by E.Rogers at ULL 45. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by B.Higdon, Q.Wilfawn at SAB 47.Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+9
15.1%
C.Smith rushed to SAB 38 for 9 yards. Tackled by SAB at SAB 38.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
15.0%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for ULL.Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
14.7%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for ULL. PENALTY on ULL-S.Vallot, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+18
14.7%
L.Lewis pass complete to SAB 48. Catch made by N.Johnson at SAB 48. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by S.Steele at SAB 30.Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
13.9%
PENALTY on SAB-SAB, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
13.6%
N.Snyder 42 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-O.Pierce, Holder-R.Byrns.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 4:2617% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
16.8%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 25. Catch made by J.Tolbert at SAB 25. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by F.Gardner at SAB 35.Similar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
17.1%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 35. Catch made by B.Crum at SAB 35. Gain of 15 yards. Pushed out of bounds by L.McCaskill at SAB 50.Similar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
18.9%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for J.Wayne.Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
18.9%
T.Avery rushed to SAB 50 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Bishop, L.McCaskill at SAB 50.Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 10
OPP 0
+6
18.3%
J.Bentley scrambles to ULL 44 for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Jones at ULL 44.Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+5
17.2%
J.Bentley pass complete to ULL 44. Catch made by C.Lacy at ULL 44. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by B.Bishop at ULL 39.Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
17.7%
J.Bentley pass complete to ULL 39. Catch made by C.Lacy at ULL 39. Gain of -3 yards. Tackled by P.Butler at ULL 42.Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
17.0%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for J.Wayne.Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 13
OPP 42
-8
16.6%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley sacked at SAB 50 for -8 yards (C.Manac)Similar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 21
OPP 0
+34
16.3%
J.Brooks punts 34 yards to ULL 16, Center-T.Drosos. Fair catch by E.Garror.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2085% → 86%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
14.7%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for K.Lacy.Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
14.8%
E.Bailey rushed to ULL 19 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Brooks at ULL 19.Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+5
13.9%
L.Lewis pass complete to ULL 19. Catch made by J.Bernard at ULL 19. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Luter at ULL 24.Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 2
OWN 24
+55
14.1%
R.Byrns punts 55 yards to SAB 21, Center-O.Pierce. Downed by A.McDaniel.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:2815% → 26%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
14.8%
B.Hill rushed to SAB 28 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Nelson at SAB 28.Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+49
14.9%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 28. Catch made by J.Tolbert at SAB 28. Gain of 49 yards. Tackled by B.Bishop at ULL 23.Similar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
16.9%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 17 for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Riley, B.Trahan at ULL 17.Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
16.8%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 17 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Hutchinson at ULL 17.Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+8
16.2%
J.Bentley pass complete to ULL 17. Catch made by B.Crum at ULL 17. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Moncrief at ULL 9.Similar
Q3 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
16.5%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 7 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Pedescleaux at ULL 7.Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
16.5%
J.Bentley rushed to ULL 7 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Hutchinson, A.Washington at ULL 7.Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
15.1%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for J.Tolbert. PENALTY on ULL-L.McCaskill, Defensive Pass Interference, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.0%
B.Hill rushed to ULL End Zone for 2 yards. B.Hill for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:1679% → 82%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+20
21.1%
M.Johnson rushed to ULL 30 for 20 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Young at ULL 30.Similar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
19.3%
L.Lewis scrambles to ULL 31 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Bell at ULL 31.Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+18
19.3%
M.Johnson rushed to ULL 49 for 18 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Rockette at ULL 49.Similar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
17.9%
M.Johnson rushed to SAB 45 for 6 yards. M.Johnson FUMBLES, forced by K.Brown. Fumble RECOVERED by SAB-C.Henderson at SAB 45. Tackled by ULL at SAB 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:2223% → 21%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
23.0%
T.Avery rushed to SAB 46 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Wilkerson, D.Hutchinson at SAB 46.Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
22.9%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for T.Avery.Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+3
21.1%
T.Avery rushed to SAB 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by S.Hazard, L.McCaskill at SAB 49.Similar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+38
20.7%
K.Gallmon rushed to ULL 13 for 38 yards. Tackled by ULL at ULL 13.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16TD
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4326% → 44%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
26.0%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 8 for 5 yards. Tackled by B.Trahan, F.Gardner at ULL 8.Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+6
26.1%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 2 for 6 yards. Tackled by F.Gardner, B.Trahan at ULL 2.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
26.1%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 4 for -2 yards. Tackled by C.Manac at ULL 4.Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
26.2%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 1 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Trahan, D.Hutchinson at ULL 1.Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
22.8%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Jones, J.Quibodeaux at ULL 1.Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.5%
J.Bentley rushed to ULL End Zone for 1 yards. J.Bentley for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3464% → 60%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
35.7%
C.Smith rushed to ULL 13 for 2 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Bell at ULL 13.Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+5
36.2%
L.Lewis pass complete to ULL 13. Catch made by D.Fleming at ULL 13. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by D.Rockette, T.Young at ULL 18.Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+7
37.3%
L.Lewis pass complete to ULL 18. Catch made by M.Jefferson at ULL 18. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by D.Rockette at ULL 25.Similar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.8%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for D.Fleming.Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
36.1%
L.Lewis pass complete to ULL 25. Catch made by D.Pauley at ULL 25. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by J.Brooks, C.Coleman at ULL 25.Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
38.0%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for J.Stephens.Similar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+55
39.9%
R.Byrns punts 55 yards to SAB 20, Center-O.Pierce. Downed by A.McDaniel.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 76 yds · 3:3144% → 48%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
43.5%
B.Hill rushed to SAB 26 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson, F.Gardner at SAB 26.Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+61
44.6%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 26. Catch made by J.Tolbert at SAB 26. Gain of 61 yards. Tackled by K.Pedescleaux at ULL 13.Similar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
52.6%
T.Avery rushed to ULL 9 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Wilkerson at ULL 9.Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
53.5%
T.Avery rushed to ULL 8 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Riley, D.Hutchinson at ULL 8.Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+4
50.1%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 4 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Jones at ULL 4.Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 1
OPP 4
0
47.6%
J.Bentley steps back to pass. J.Bentley pass incomplete intended for L.Sefcik.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:5063% → 68%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+13
36.8%
E.Bailey rushed to ULL 17 for 13 yards. Tackled by T.Young at ULL 17.Similar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
35.5%
E.Bailey rushed to ULL 24 for 7 yards. Tackled by A.Dailey at ULL 24.Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 3
OWN 24
0
32.6%
PENALTY on ULL-O.Torrence, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+12
31.6%
L.Lewis scrambles to ULL 31 for 12 yards. L.Lewis ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
28.6%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for P.LeBlanc.Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
29.4%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis pass incomplete intended for ULL.Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-4
31.2%
L.Lewis steps back to pass. L.Lewis sacked at ULL 27 for -4 yards (W.Thomas)Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 15
OWN 27
+50
31.7%
R.Byrns punts 50 yards to SAB 23, Center-O.Pierce. C.Lacy returned punt from the SAB 23. Tackled by ULL at SAB 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:0942% → 41%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
41.9%
B.Hill rushed to SAB 43 for 8 yards. Tackled by A.Jones at SAB 43.Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+34
46.3%
J.Bentley pass complete to SAB 43. Catch made by J.Wayne at SAB 43. Gain of 34 yards. Tackled by E.Garror at ULL 23.Similar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
49.7%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 20 for 3 yards. Tackled by Z.Hill at ULL 20.Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
50.9%
B.Hill rushed to ULL 20 for 0 yards. Tackled by Z.Hill at ULL 20.Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+1
49.8%
T.Avery rushed to ULL 19 for 1 yards. Tackled by L.McCaskill at ULL 19.Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 6
OPP 19
0
41.0%
D.Guajardo 36 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-T.Drosos, Holder-J.Brooks.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-41
TD · Q4 12:55
J.Bentley rushed to ULL End Zone for 1 yards. J.Bentley for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+20.7
TD · Q3 4:25
B.Hill rushed to ULL End Zone for 2 yards. B.Hill for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com