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2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Christian Malloy run for 2 yds to the CCaro 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:06: Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 5 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK) — ULM win probability +0.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:55: Calum Sutherland 40 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +0.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:50: Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 30 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK) — CCU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:32: Braydon Bennett run for 29 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK) — CCU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:31: Calum Sutherland 30 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ULM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:34ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:55ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:53ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:55ULM 4th & 10 at CCU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:19ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:01ULM 4th & 7 at CCU 44, down 25
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:23ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 44, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:55CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 32, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:31ULM 4th & 13 at CCU 13, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:53ULM 4th & 14 at ULM 40, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:20ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 24, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:06CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:46CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:50CCU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:32CCU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:28CCU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:56CCU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:34CCU Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:262% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
97.7%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Teddy Gallagher for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+19
97.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 19 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
97.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jared Sparks for 3 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
97.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
97.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Andrew HenrySimilar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+25
97.4%
Devyn McCormick punt for 32 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 25 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:2897% → 97%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
97.4%
McCall,Grayson rush for 11 yards gain to the ULM44 (Woodard,Zack; Swinney,Keilos) PENALTY CCU Holding (Carter,Trey) 10 yards from CCU45 to CCU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+12
97.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 12 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+33
97.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 33 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
97.5%
Reese White run for 10 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
97.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.5%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 5 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:113% → 3%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.1%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
97.1%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, Chop Block (Andrew Henry) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Devyn McCormick punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 3:0997% → 97%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
97.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+7
97.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 7 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+27
97.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 27 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
97.1%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+13
97.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 13 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
97.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 10 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:533% → 3%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
97.1%
Chandler Rogers sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
97.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jared Sparks for 7 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
97.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 5 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.0%
Devyn McCormick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:4697% → 97%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.1%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
97.0%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:123% → 4%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.6%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the CCaro 22Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
96.6%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the CCaro 22Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
96.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
96.3%
Calum Sutherland 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:5796% → 97%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
96.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 17 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.3%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+24
96.2%
Reese White run for 24 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
96.4%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+3
96.4%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+4
96.3%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
97.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 30 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
Q2 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
97.3%
PENALTY CCU False Start (Wilson,Donnell) 5 yards from ULM03 to ULM08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT TD
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:233% → 4%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Dariyan WileySimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
97.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 4 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+2
97.2%
Colby Suits run for 2 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 4
OWN 37
-5
97.2%
PENALTY ULM Delay Of Game 5 yards from ULM37 to ULM32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+9
96.2%
Devyn McCormick punt blocked by CJ Beasley blocked by CJ Beasley for a TD , Aaron Bedgood returns for 9 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:143% → 3%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.1%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.1%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+14
97.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 14 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
96.9%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
96.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
96.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for 4 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
96.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
96.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Boogie KnightSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
96.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q2 8:01
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
97.0%
Devyn McCormick punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 4:2998% → 99%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
98.0%
Grayson McCall run for 11 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Reese White run for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
98.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 20 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
98.1%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+10
98.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 10 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+17
98.0%
Reese White run for 17 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 29 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:031% → 1%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Andrew Henry for 3 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+17
99.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Zach Jackson for 17 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jared Sparks for 7 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
99.2%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Will DerrickSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
99.2%
Colby Suits run for no gain to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Devyn McCormick punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 1:2399% → 100%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 12 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 6 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Grayson McCall run for no gain to the CCaro 38Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+11
99.4%
Reese White run for 11 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
99.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 20 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.5%
PENALTY CCU False Start (Likely,Isaiah) 5 yards from ULM31 to ULM36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+8
99.5%
Reese White run for 8 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+46
99.5%
Liam Gray 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+4
99.5%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+11
99.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 11 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:240% → 1%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.7%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
99.7%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+17
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 17 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+3
99.6%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.7%
Kadyn Roach run for 1 yd to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+20
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 20 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
99.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 12 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.6%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the CCaro 3Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.5%
PENALTY ULM False Start (Davis,Aries) 5 yards from CCU03 to CCU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.6%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Andrew HenrySimilar
Q3 7:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
99.4%
Calum Sutherland 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 8:03100% → 100%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.8%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+6
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 6 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 48Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+15
99.8%
Carpenter,Bryce pass incomplete to Mobley,Tyson PENALTY ULM Pass Interference (Williams,Mark) 15 yards from CCU48 to ULM37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Tyson MobleySimilar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+10
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 10 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
99.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 1 yd to the LaMon 23Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+18
99.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 18 yds to the LaMon 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
99.8%
Carpenter,Bryce rush for 4 yards gain to the ULM01 (Newton,Josh) PENALTY CCU Holding (McSweeney,Patrick) 10 yards from ULM05 to ULM15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
CJ Beasley run for 15 yds for a TD, (Kieran Colahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 20 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Fred Lloyd Jr.Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Chandler Rogers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Isaiah Connelly run for 8 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+32
99.9%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Chris Rhone for 32 yds for a TD, (Kieran Colahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:030% → 0%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Kadyn Roach run for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
99.9%
Kadyn Roach run for 13 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Jiya Wright run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 4
50
+10
99.9%
Jiya Wright run for 10 yds to the LaMon 40 Jiya Wright fumbled, forced by JT Killen, recovered by LaMon Aries DavisSimilar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Devyn McCormick punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 6:19100% → 100%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.9%
Christian Malloy run for 17 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
Connelly,Isaiah rush for 6 yards gain to the CCU48 (Calligan,Keydrain) PENALTY CCU Illegal Formation 5 yards from CCU42 to CCU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Christian Malloy for 10 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+23
99.9%
Isaiah Connelly run for 23 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Christian Malloy for 1 yd to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Isaiah Connelly run for 4 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to DJ Johnson for 8 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Nate Hope II run for 4 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+10
99.9%
Christian Malloy run for 10 yds to the LaMon 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Zachary Stevens pass complete to Jared Brown for 5 yds for a TD, (Kieran Colahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Jiya Wright run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Jiya Wright run for 2 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Dariyan WileySimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Devyn McCormick punt for 48 yds , Jacob Proche returns for no gain to the CCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Christian Malloy run for 4 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Christian Malloy run for 3 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Christian Malloy run for 2 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:32
Braydon Bennett run for 29 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 12:50
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 30 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)
+1.1
FG · Q1 0:55
Calum Sutherland 40 yd FG GOOD
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com