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TROY

Troy 16 at UL Monroe 29

ULM
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:34 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Pregame prior−16.3Home team on offense+12.9Score differential+4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Garbage-time factor+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:56: Andrew Henry run for 40 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +17.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:57: Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 49 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK) — TROY win probability +11.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:19: Calum Sutherland 32 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +9.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. SAFETY · Q4 13:52: Team Safety — ULM win probability +6.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:40: Ja'Cquez Williams 96 Yd Interception Return (Calum Sutherland Kick) — ULM win probability +11.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TROY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:58TROY 4th & 8 at ULM 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:26TROY 4th & 17 at TROY 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:25ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55TROY 4th & 7 at ULM 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:14ULM 4th & 9 at TROY 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:34TROY 4th & 7 at TROY 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:43ULM 4th & 2 at TROY 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:16TROY 4th & 9 at TROY 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:31TROY 4th & 3 at ULM 15, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−6.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:41ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:56ULM 4th & 1 at TROY 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−4.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:19ULM 4th & 4 at TROY 15, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−10.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:50TROY 4th & 4 at TROY 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−1.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:13ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−2.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:34TROY 4th & 4 at TROY 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:36ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:40TROY 4th & 26 at TROY 23, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:21ULM 4th & 21 at TROY 47, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TROY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:03ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:56ULM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:57TROY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:40ULM Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:36TROY Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:0293% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
7.4%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
7.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 10 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
7.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+12
7.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 12 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
7.4%
Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
7.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 2 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
7.4%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
8.5%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:559% → 11%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
8.5%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+31
8.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Zach Jackson for 31 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
8.6%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the Troy 43Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
8.6%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-5
8.6%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 44Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+18
8.5%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Troy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
8.6%
Abraham Alce run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 27Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+4
8.6%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the Troy 23Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+23
11.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Zach Jackson for 23 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:3789% → 86%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.0%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.0%
Taylor Powell run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+26
11.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 26 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
10.7%
VIDAL, Kimani rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the ULM39 (WOODARD, Zack;WILLIAMS, Mark). PENALTY Before the snap, TRY Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ULM47 to the TRY48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+6
10.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-10
10.7%
VIDAL, Kimani rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the ULM43 (SPARKS, Adam;WEBSTER, Traveion). PENALTY TRY Holding on BUTLER, Deandre enforced 10 yards from the ULM46 to the TRY44 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 19
OWN 44
+7
11.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 7 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 12
OPP 49
-5
10.9%
TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 46Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 17
OWN 46
0
11.1%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
13.7%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0114% → 15%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
13.7%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+8
13.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jevin Frett for 8 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
13.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Andrew Henry for 2 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+8
14.5%
Devyn McCormick punt for 44 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 8 yds to the Troy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:3086% → 84%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
14.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 23 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
13.9%
B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
13.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 2 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-2
15.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
16.4%
Taylor Powell sacked by Traveion Webster and Caleb Thomas for 0 yards to the LaMon 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:4118% → 22%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
17.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-5
17.8%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left complete for 4 yards to HENRY, Andrew caught at the TRY50 and advanced to the TRY43 (WILLIAMS, Zion;HARRIS, TJ). PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TRY47 to the ULM48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-15
17.5%
UL MONROE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Troy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
17.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 11 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
17.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 4 yds to the Troy 15Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+7
17.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the Troy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
17.9%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 9Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
17.9%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the Troy 8Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
17.6%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Javon Solomon for 0 yards to the Troy 9Similar
Q2 10:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
22.2%
Calum Sutherland 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3578% → 74%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
22.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
22.5%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-5
23.0%
TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 16Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+5
23.2%
Taylor Powell run for 5 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
25.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5125% → 26%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
25.0%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
24.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
24.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
25.5%
Devyn McCormick punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:2774% → 65%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
25.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the Troy 19Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+3
27.5%
Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 22Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+6
28.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the Troy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
28.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-2
28.2%
B.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 29Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
29.4%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+5
33.2%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 46 yds , Boogie Knight returns for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
35.3%
UL MONROE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Chandler Rogers) to the LaMon 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:3235% → 36%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 15
OWN 25
0
35.0%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 15
OWN 25
0
35.7%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 22 fumbled, recovered by Troy Javon Solomon , return for no gain to the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1371% → 70%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
29.4%
B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
29.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 4 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 3
OPP 15
-5
30.3%
TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+5
30.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 5 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
30.5%
Brooks Buce 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:5035% → 37%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.2%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
35.8%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
35.4%
Andrew Henry run for 6 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
37.3%
Devyn McCormick punt for 41 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 7 yds to the Troy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4163% → 61%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
37.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 7 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
34.8%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-5
35.1%
TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+5
38.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 5 yds to the Troy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5537% → 53%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.5%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
35.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Zach Jackson for 11 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
36.1%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 36Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+15
34.6%
RODRIGUEZ, Rhett pass to the left incomplete intended for FRETT, Jevin thrown to the TRY30. PENALTY TRY Pass Interference on FLETCHER, O'shai enforced 15 yards to the TRY49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
38.3%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
38.3%
Rhett Rodriguez sacked by Javon Solomon for 0 yards to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+15
35.1%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for 15 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+40
52.8%
Andrew Henry run for 40 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:5646% → 60%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
54.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
52.2%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 31Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
52.6%
Kimani Vidal run for 9 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
51.9%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
52.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 7 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
50.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 4 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
39.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 49 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:3846% → 59%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
46.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Andrew Henry for 10 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
46.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Zach Jackson for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
50
+15
49.8%
RODRIGUEZ, Rhett pass to the left incomplete intended for FRETT, Jevin broken up by SLOCUM, Craig at the TRY30. PENALTY TRY Pass Interference on SLOCUM, Craig enforced 15 yards to the TRY35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
50.4%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the Troy 32Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+11
50.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for 11 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
50.3%
Kadyn Roach run for 1 yd to the Troy 20Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
50.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+5
48.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Kadyn Roach for 5 yds to the Troy 15Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
58.8%
Calum Sutherland 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2943% → 38%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.5%
Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
57.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to AJ Lewis for 4 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
57.7%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
62.2%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:3761% → 62%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
61.4%
Malik Jackson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+3
62.0%
Abraham Alce run for 3 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
61.9%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
61.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
60.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
61.8%
Devyn McCormick punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3936% → 28%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.8%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
64.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 3 yds to the Troy 23Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
65.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
72.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 40Similar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
72.0%
RODRIGUEZ, Rhett pass to the right incomplete intended for JACKSON, Zach thrown to the TRY49. PENALTY ULM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the ULM40 to the ULM35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2471% → 70%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+6
71.4%
Andrew Henry run for 6 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
73.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
72.0%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:36
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
69.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 55 yds, downed at the Troy 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 21SF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:4428% → 22%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
72.2%
Jamontez Woods run for 3 yds to the Troy 7Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 7
OWN 7
0
78.2%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
80.7%
Abraham Alce run for no gain to the LaMon 18Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
80.5%
Rhett Rodriguez run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 13Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+3
79.6%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 23INT TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:0117% → 8%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
82.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 9 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+7
81.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 7 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.0%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
82.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 10 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
80.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 29 yds to the LaMon 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-96
92.0%
Ja'Cquez Williams 96 Yd Interception Return (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 3:006% → 4%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jamontez Woods for 6 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
93.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 8 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.4%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-10
93.5%
TROY Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Troy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 20
OWN 29
0
94.0%
Taylor Powell sacked by KeyShawn Johnson for 0 yards to the Troy 22Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 27
OWN 22
+1
94.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jamontez Woods for 1 yd to the Troy 23Similar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 26
OWN 23
+9
95.7%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 51 yds , Boogie Knight returns for 9 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:1999% → 100%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.9%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
99.1%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 38Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+26
99.3%
Andrew Henry run for 26 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.4%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-10
99.5%
run for a loss of 10 yards to the Troy 43 fumbled, recovered by LaMon Rhett RodriguezSimilar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 17
OPP 43
+1
99.6%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the Troy 42Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 16
OPP 42
-5
99.5%
UL MONROE Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Troy 47Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 21
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 26TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:451% → 2%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 4 yds to the Troy 24Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
99.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 7 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
99.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 11 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jamontez Woods for 4 yds to the Troy 46Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+6
99.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 6 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 7 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+5
98.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 5 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
99.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
98.9%
Jamontez Woods run for 15 yds to the LaMon 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.0%
Jamontez Woods 4 Yd pass from Taylor Powell (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:56
Andrew Henry run for 40 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)
+17.7
TD · Q4 9:40
Ja'Cquez Williams 96 Yd Interception Return (Calum Sutherland Kick)
+11.3
TD · Q3 8:57
Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 49 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com