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UL

Louisiana 28 at Georgia Southern 20

GASO
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:29 · Rhys Byrns punt for 51 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior−7.6Home team on offense+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:39: Gerald Green run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +5.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:52: Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 48 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +4.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:01: Emani Bailey run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +6.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:21: Gerald Green run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor PAT BLOCKED) — GASO win probability +8.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:57: Nate Snyder kickoff for 58 yds , NaJee Thompson return for 13 yds to the GeoSo 25 — GASO win probability +4.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:51UL 4th & 4 at UL 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:18UL 4th & 5 at UL 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:59GASO 4th & 16 at GASO 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:22GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:26GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:40UL 4th & 1 at UL 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.0%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:14UL 4th & 15 at UL 41, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:33GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:57GASO 4th & 3 at UL 34, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    47.8%−2.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:40UL 4th & 5 at UL 39, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:13GASO 4th & 3 at UL 37, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    50.7%−3.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:52UL 4th & 5 at GASO 48, down 2
    Close callPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:29UL 4th & 8 at UL 49, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:19GASO 4th & 6 at UL 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    63.6%−4.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:40UL 4th & 14 at UL 36, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−3.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:40GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.6%−7.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:44GASO 4th & 15 at UL 38, up 2
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.4 ptsWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%−5.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−5.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:39GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:01UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:21GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0985% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
14.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Johnny LumpkinSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
14.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 17 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
14.7%
Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
14.7%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
14.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+9
15.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
16 plays · 83 yds · 6:1216% → 22%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
15.7%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+7
15.7%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Logan Wright for 7 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
15.7%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
15.7%
Justin Tomlin run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+11
15.7%
Logan Wright run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
15.8%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Sam KenersonSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
15.8%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+8
15.7%
Justin Tomlin run for 8 yds to the GASOUTHERN 45 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kam Pedescleaux) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
15.9%
Justin Tomlin run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
15.9%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
15.9%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
15.9%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
15.9%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+17
15.9%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Sam Kenerson for 17 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
15.9%
Gerald Green run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
21.6%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:1279% → 77%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
21.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jr. Errol Rogers for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
20.9%
Levi Lewis run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 42 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Shane Vallot) to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+8
21.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 8 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+1
21.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
23.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1923% → 24%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
23.2%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Logan Wright for 13 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
23.7%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
23.8%
Justin Tomlin run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+1
23.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+6
24.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 54 yds , Eric Garror returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 2:0775% → 79%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
24.8%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+7
24.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 7 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.7%
Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
24.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 19 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
25.8%
Montrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+48
21.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 48 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3023% → 23%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
23.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
22.8%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
22.4%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Beau JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
22.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:2178% → 82%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
22.2%
PENALTY GAS Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
22.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 14 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
21.9%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+18
21.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 18 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
21.4%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+3
21.4%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+3
21.9%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+5
22.5%
PENALTY GAS Offside (Adcock,Gavin) 5 yards from GAS17 to GAS12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
21.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 2 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+4
21.4%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+1
21.9%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+4
24.6%
Almendares,Kenneth field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD nullified by penalty, clock 08:07 PENALTY GAS Leaping (Robinson II,Eldrick) 4 yards from GAS07 to GAS03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
17.9%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3520% → 19%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.8%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.7%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-1
19.1%
Justin Tomlin sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
19.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4681% → 81%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
19.5%
Montrell Johnson run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
18.9%
Montrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
18.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
18.7%
Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
19.5%
Montrell Johnson run for no gain to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:1923% → 32%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+30
22.7%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Beau Johnson for 30 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
23.4%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
23.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Mekhi Garner) to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
31.8%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 1:5973% → 72%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
26.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
26.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+5
26.7%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
26.1%
Chris Smith run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
25.0%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 6
50
0
24.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Devon PauleySimilar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 6
50
+9
25.1%
Chris Smith run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 15
OWN 41
+14
28.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 14 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 1:1429% → 34%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
29.0%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
28.9%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
31.2%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+10
31.9%
Justin Tomlin run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
32.3%
Justin Tomlin run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 21
OWN 47
+18
29.7%
Justin Tomlin run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 35 Justin Tomlin fumbled, forced by Mekhi Garner, recovered by GeoSo Beau JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+52
33.7%
Alex Raynor 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:2337% → 37%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
36.7%
Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+18
36.5%
Gerald Green run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
37.6%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
38.4%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
36.8%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Gerald GreenSimilar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+18
37.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds , Eric Garror returns for 18 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:3263% → 66%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
37.1%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+10
37.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 10 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
35.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+35
36.0%
Emani Bailey run for 35 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
34.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 22 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16INT
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:1540% → 46%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
40.2%
Justin Tomlin run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
41.9%
Gerald Green run for 20 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
43.6%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
46.2%
Justin Tomlin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 1:5058% → 61%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 9
OWN 8
0
41.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+3
42.1%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+5
43.1%
Lewis,Levi pass incomplete to Johnson,Neal PENALTY GAS Offside (Wright,C.J.) 5 yards from ULL11 to ULL16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+15
42.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 15 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
40.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
38.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 46 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:5544% → 48%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.4%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
44.0%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to J.D. King for 13 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
47.4%
J.D. King run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
48.2%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
48.1%
Justin Tomlin run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
47.6%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
47.6%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1756% → 53%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
43.8%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+6
44.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 6 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
42.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse MiglSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
46.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:2748% → 51%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+39
47.6%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Logan Wright for 39 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
52.4%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
52.4%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+3
51.6%
Dexter Carter Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 3
OPP 37
-10
51.4%
Justin Tomlin sacked by Kendall Wilkerson for a loss of 10 yards to the LaLaf 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2157% → 52%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
43.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
43.9%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+5
47.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 5 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
47.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 1:2651% → 51%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
50.9%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
51.0%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to J.D. King for 4 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+76
51.4%
Gerald Green run for 76 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:5751% → 46%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
49.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
46.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
46.0%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 7
50
+4
45.5%
Montrell Johnson run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-5
46.1%
Levi Lewis sacked by Tyler Bride for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
54.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 4:1058% → 67%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
57.5%
Gerald Green run for 24 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
61.1%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
61.2%
Justin Tomlin run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+5
61.2%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
62.6%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
62.4%
Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+1
61.7%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
67.3%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Sam KenersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3944% → 35%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
56.2%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+8
58.7%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
54.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Neal JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 4
OWN 46
-5
58.5%
PENALTY ULL Delay Of Game 5 yards from ULL46 to ULL41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 9
OWN 41
-5
61.3%
PENALTY ULL False Start (Washington,Asjlin) 5 yards from ULL41 to ULL36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
64.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 37 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GeoSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26DOWNS
15 plays · 44 yds · 3:5669% → 86%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
69.4%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+8
69.6%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
70.0%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Logan WrightSimilar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
69.5%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Jjay McafeeSimilar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+5
67.3%
Tomlin,Justin pass intercepted by Garror,Eric at Garror,Eric return 0 yards to the GAS18 (Hood,Khaleb) PENALTY ULL Offside (Jones,Andre) 5 yards from GAS31 to GAS36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+4
69.5%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
69.2%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
72.3%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+26
70.9%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Logan Wright for 26 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
75.0%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-8
91.0%
Justin Tomlin sacked by Montrell Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 15
OPP 38
0
86.7%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Jjay McafeeSimilar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 15
OPP 38
0
86.1%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 27END OF HALF
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:4430% → 18%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
70.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-3
71.2%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 34
-1
82.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-82
TD · Q2 3:21
Gerald Green run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor PAT BLOCKED)
+8.3
TD · Q2 8:01
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com