Try the model
JKST

Jackson State 7 at UL Monroe 12

ULM
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Malone Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadJKST aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreJKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGEnd of GameFG+9.8ULM 88.1%C.Sutherland 49 yard field goalattempt is good, Center-A.Wells,Holder-D.McCormick.AWAY 7 - HOME 12 · Q4 2:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:24 · C.Sutherland 49 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior+0.4Home team on offense+18.5Garbage-time factor+11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score differential+1.4Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:30: S.Sanders pass complete to ULM 24. Catch made by J.Lanier at ULM 24. Gain of 24 yards. J.Lanier for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — JKST win probability +7.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 11:42: C.Sutherland 42 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick. — ULM win probability +13.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:52: A.Henry rushed to JST 35 for 11 yards. Tackled by A.Miller at JST 35. — ULM win probability +17.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:24: C.Sutherland 49 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick. — ULM win probability +9.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:26: S.Sanders scrambles to JST 40 for yards. Tackled by S.Mason at JST 40. PENALTY on JST-C.Dunbar, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play. — JKST win probability +13.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 8 of 13JKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 12:45JKST 4th & 2 at ULM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:22ULM 4th & 8 at JKST 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22ULM 4th & 2 at JKST 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:15JKST 4th & 6 at JKST 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:47ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:38JKST 4th & 9 at JKST 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:54ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:11JKST 4th & 6 at ULM 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q1 0:44JKST 4th & 8 at ULM 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:17ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:24JKST 4th & 1 at JKST 44, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 8:31ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:20ULM 4th & 5 at JKST 26, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:03ULM 4th & 5 at JKST 34, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.8%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:59ULM 4th & 17 at ULM 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−2.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:57JKST 4th & 8 at JKST 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−3.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:19ULM 4th & 9 at JKST 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−9.4
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:05JKST 4th & 1 at JKST 42, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.9 ptsPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−3.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:42ULM 4th & 5 at JKST 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−14.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:46JKST 4th & 8 at ULM 42, down 2
    Close callPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    34.2%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%−0.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:24ULM 4th & 7 at JKST 32, up 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.0%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−6.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:51ULM 4th & 16 at JKST 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 6:30JKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JKSTDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:0739% → 39%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
61.1%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 38. Catch made by W.Newman at JST 38. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by M.Williams; K.Swinney at JST 48.Similar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
61.0%
P.Pickett rushed to ULM 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by Q.Ledet at ULM 49.Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-1
60.9%
S.Sanders pass complete to ULM 49. Catch made by W.Newman at ULM 49. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by M.Williams at JST 50.Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 8
OPP 0
+6
60.9%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 50. Catch made by J.Lanier at JST 50. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by M.Williams at ULM 44.Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+1
60.9%
P.Pickett rushed to ULM 43 for 1 yards. Tackled by Z.Woodard; T.Webster at ULM 43.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 2:5861% → 62%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
61.3%
K.Roach rushed to ULM 42 for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Houston; A.Miller at ULM 42.Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+9
61.2%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to ULM 42. Catch made by K.Roach at ULM 42. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by J.Lanier; D.Warren at JST 49.Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
61.4%
K.Roach rushed to JST 44 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Owens; J.Houston at JST 44.Similar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
61.5%
R.Rodriguez rushed to JST 41 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Miller; N.Gaddy at JST 41.Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
61.6%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for ULM.Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+22
61.4%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to JST 41. Catch made by J.Knight at JST 41. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by C.Holmes at JST 19.Similar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
61.7%
I.Phillips rushed to JST 18 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Miller at JST 18.Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+1
61.7%
I.Phillips rushed to JST 17 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Houston; N.Gaddy at JST 17.Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
61.6%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Knight.Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 8
OPP 17
0
61.4%
C.Sutherland yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick. PENALTY on JST-A.Owens, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
61.9%
C.Sutherland 29 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5639% → 38%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
61.3%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for W.Newman.Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
61.5%
S.Sanders scrambles to JST 49 for 4 yards. Tackled by Q.Ledet; J.Williams at JST 49.Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
61.2%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for P.Pickett.Similar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+45
61.8%
M.O'Neal punts 45 yards to ULM 6, Center-J.Polite. Downed by JST.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1961% → 61%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
61.3%
K.Roach rushed to ULM 3 for -3 yards. Tackled by C.Miller; A.Miller at ULM 3.Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 13
OWN 3
0
61.4%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Sparks. PENALTY on JST-J.Houston, Defensive Targeting, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
61.6%
A.Henry rushed to ULM 23 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.McClain at ULM 23.Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
61.6%
A.Henry rushed to ULM 24 for 1 yards. Tackled by N.Gaddy; A.Owens at ULM 24.Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
61.4%
R.Rodriguez scrambles to ULM 24 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Hampton; A.Owens at ULM 24.Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+48
61.1%
D.McCormick punts 48 yards to JST 28, Center-A.Wells. Fair catch by W.Newman.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0338% → 38%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
62.0%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for K.Corbin.Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
62.2%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 28. Catch made by P.Pickett at JST 28. Gain of 6 yards. P.Pickett ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+13
62.1%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 34. Catch made by W.Newman at JST 34. Gain of 13 yards. W.Newman ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
61.2%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for S.Hooks.Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
61.4%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for K.Corbin.Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+1
61.8%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 47. Catch made by P.Pickett at JST 47. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by T.Shelby at JST 48.Similar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+30
62.5%
M.O'Neal punts 30 yards to ULM 22, Center-J.Polite. Fair catch by J.Knight.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3562% → 61%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
61.9%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Knight.Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
61.8%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to ULM 22. Catch made by A.Henry at ULM 22. Gain of 1 yards. A.Henry ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
61.3%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Knight.Similar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+54
60.9%
D.McCormick punts 54 yards to JST 23, Center-A.Wells. Fair catch by W.Newman.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:2538% → 39%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
62.0%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 23. Catch made by W.Newman at JST 23. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by N.Roberts at JST 32.Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+3
61.3%
S. Marshall rushed to JST 35 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson; T.Williams at JST 35.Similar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
61.7%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 35. Catch made by W.Newman at JST 35. Gain of 21 yards. Pushed out of bounds by N.Roberts at ULM 44.Similar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
60.7%
S.Sanders pass complete to ULM 44. Catch made by S. Marshall at ULM 44. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by M.Williams; K.Johnson at ULM 40.Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
60.5%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for S.Hooks.Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
60.8%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for W.Newman.Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+40
61.5%
M.O'Neal punts 40 yards to ULM End Zone, Center-J.Polite. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 8FUMBLE
10 plays · 28 yds · 14:5938% → 40%
Q1 0:44
4TH & 8
OPP 36
-10
61.8%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders sacked at ULM 36 for yards (T.Shelby) S.Sanders FUMBLES, forced by T.Shelby. Fumble RECOVERED by ULM-T.Shelby at ULM 36. T.Shelby for yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was overturned. S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders sacked at ULM 46 for -10 yards (T.Shelby)Similar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
63.0%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 26. Catch made by J.Lanier at JST 26. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by ULM at JST 37.Similar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
62.3%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 37. Catch made by J.Lanier at JST 37. Gain of 11 yards. J.Lanier ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
60.5%
S.Sanders scrambles to ULM 43 for 9 yards. Tackled by A.Sparks at ULM 43.Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+5
59.4%
S.Sanders pass complete to ULM 43. Catch made by W.Newman at ULM 43. Gain of 5 yards. W.Newman ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
59.5%
S.Sanders pass complete to ULM 38. Catch made by W.Newman at ULM 38. Gain of 2 yards. ULM ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
59.5%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for S.Hooks.Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
59.9%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for S.Hooks.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:4362% → 62%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
61.8%
I.Phillips rushed to ULM 21 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Miller at ULM 21.Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
61.7%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to ULM 21. Catch made by I.Phillips at ULM 21. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by S.Sanders at ULM 25.Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+19
61.3%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to ULM 25. Catch made by J.Knight at ULM 25. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by C.Holmes at ULM 44.Similar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
63.2%
R.Rodriguez rushed to ULM 48 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.McClain at ULM 48.Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+1
63.3%
R.Rodriguez rushed to ULM 49 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Miller at ULM 49.Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
62.8%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Knight.Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 5
OWN 49
+40
61.9%
D.McCormick punts 40 yards to JST 11, Center-A.Wells. Fair catch by W.Newman.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:4538% → 38%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+24
62.5%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 11. Catch made by K.Richey at JST 11. Gain of 24 yards. Tackled by A.Hawley at JST 35.Similar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
62.0%
S. Marshall rushed to JST 32 for -3 yards. Tackled by T.Webster; S.Ellis at JST 32.Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+7
62.6%
S.Sanders scrambles to JST 39 for 7 yards. Tackled by A.Hawley at JST 39.Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
61.9%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 39. Catch made by W.Newman at JST 39. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by K.Swinney at JST 44.Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+44
61.6%
M.O'Neal punts 44 yards to ULM 12, Center-J.Polite. Fair catch by J.Knight.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4662% → 61%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
62.1%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for Z.Jackson.Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
61.9%
C.Rogers rushed to ULM 16 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Miller; K.Hampton at ULM 16.Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
61.3%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Sparks.Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 6
OWN 16
+34
60.6%
D.McCormick punts 34 yards to JST 50, Center-A.Wells. Downed by J.Williams.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 12TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:4441% → 48%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 0
-10
59.4%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for W.Newman. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was down by contact and the play was overturned. S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders sacked at JST 40 for -10 yards (Q.Drake)Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+16
62.3%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 40. Catch made by K.Corbin at JST 40. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by N.Roberts at ULM 44. PENALTY on ULM-N.Roberts, Defensive Targeting, 15 yards, accepted. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was upheld.Similar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
59.4%
S.Sanders pass complete to ULM 29. Catch made by W.Newman at ULM 29. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by Z.Woodard at ULM 28.Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+4
59.5%
S.Sanders pass complete to ULM 28. Catch made by W.Newman at ULM 28. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Webster at ULM 24.Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+24
52.0%
S.Sanders pass complete to ULM 24. Catch made by J.Lanier at ULM 24. Gain of 24 yards. J.Lanier for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:3254% → 54%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.3%
C.Rogers rushed to ULM 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Huggins; A.Miller at ULM 31.Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
55.7%
C.Rogers rushed to ULM 31 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Miller; J.Huggins at ULM 31.Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+21
53.6%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to ULM 31. Catch made by J.Sparks at ULM 31. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by D.Warren at JST 48.Similar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
57.0%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to JST 48. Catch made by J.Knight at JST 48. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by C.Holmes at JST 40.Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+9
57.0%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to JST 40. Catch made by D.Wiley at JST 40. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by S.Hooks at JST 31.Similar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
57.9%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to JST 31. Catch made by J.Sparks at JST 31. Gain of 0 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Huggins at JST 31.Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
57.7%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Knight.Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+5
55.7%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to JST 31. Catch made by J.Knight at JST 31. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by JST at JST 26.Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 5
OPP 26
0
54.3%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Frett.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:2955% → 54%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
54.8%
C.Rogers rushed to ULM 45 for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Huggins at ULM 45.Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+16
53.1%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to ULM 45. Catch made by J.Frett at ULM 45. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by A.Young at JST 39.Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
55.6%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to JST 39. Catch made by D.Wiley at JST 39. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by S.Sanders at JST 34.Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
53.5%
C.Sutherland 51 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:0152% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
52.2%
A.Henry rushed to ULM 34 for 9 yards. Tackled by A.McClain at ULM 34.Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
54.3%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to ULM 34. Catch made by J.Sparks at ULM 34. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by A.Miller at ULM 40.Similar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
54.3%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to ULM 40. Catch made by J.Knight at ULM 40. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by C.Holmes at JST 42.Similar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
55.4%
A.Henry rushed to JST 46 for -4 yards. Tackled by C.Miller; A.Owens at JST 46.Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 14
OPP 46
0
52.9%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Sparks.Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 14
OPP 46
-5
51.2%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez sacked at ULM 49 for -5 yards (N.Gaddy)Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 17
OWN 49
+51
49.5%
D.McCormick punts 51 yards to JST End Zone, Center-A.Wells. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:4150% → 53%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
49.7%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 20. Catch made by J.Lanier at JST 20. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by J.Newton at JST 34.Similar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
48.8%
P.Pickett rushed to JST 36 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Webster; A.Sparks at JST 36.Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+8
48.3%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 36. Catch made by T.Rucker at JST 36. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by T.Williams at JST 44.Similar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
46.7%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 44. Catch made by J.Lanier at JST 44. Gain of 10 yards. J.Lanier FUMBLES, forced by K.Swinney. Fumble RECOVERED by ULM-A.Sparks at ULM 46. A.Sparks ran out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:1251% → 51%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
49.2%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for T.Rucker. PENALTY on ULM-Z.Woodard, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 5
OWN 13
+6
48.5%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 13. Catch made by K.Corbin at JST 13. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by M.Williams at JST 19.Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
48.3%
P.Pickett rushed to JST 23 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Lee at JST 23.Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
46.0%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for JST.Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
47.5%
PENALTY on JST-S.Sanders, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+3
48.2%
S.Sanders scrambles to JST 21 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Webster at JST 21.Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+37
49.2%
L.McGregor punts 37 yards to ULM 42, Center-J.Polite. J.Knight returned punt from the ULM 42. Tackled by K.Richey at ULM 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:2151% → 55%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
51.1%
R.Rodriguez pass complete to ULM 45. Catch made by Z.Jackson at ULM 45. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by A.Young at JST 50.Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 0
0
54.6%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Knight.Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 5
OPP 0
0
52.2%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Sparks. PENALTY on JST-S.Sanders, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
51.4%
K.Roach rushed to JST 34 for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Carr at JST 34.Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+5
53.4%
K.Roach rushed to JST 29 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Miller at JST 29.Similar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
53.3%
K.Roach rushed to JST 28 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Owens; K.Evans at JST 28.Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
51.2%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Frett.Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
48.9%
R.Rodriguez steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Sparks.Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 9
OPP 28
0
55.0%
C.Sutherland 45 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4649% → 49%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
50.9%
S. Marshall rushed to JST 35 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Newton; Q.Ledet at JST 35.Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-8
50.9%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders sacked at JST 27 for -8 yards (T.Shelby) S.Sanders FUMBLES, forced by T.Shelby. Fumble RECOVERED by JST-K.Richey at JST 27. Tackled by J.Williams at JST 42. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was upheld.Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
48.8%
P.Pickett rushed to JST 42 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Sparks at JST 42.Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+38
51.2%
M.O'Neal punts 38 yards to ULM 20, Center-J.Polite. Fair catch by J.Knight.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 4:1452% → 68%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
52.2%
C.Rogers steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez pass incomplete intended for J.Sparks.Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
51.7%
C.Rogers rushed to ULM 26 for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Miller at ULM 26.Similar
Q3 0:18
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
50.7%
C.Rogers rushed to ULM 35 for 9 yards. Tackled by K.Hampton at ULM 35.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.5%
PENALTY on ULM-E.Henry, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
51.7%
C.Rogers steps back to pass. C.Rogers pass incomplete intended for J.Knight.Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
51.5%
C.Rogers steps back to pass. R.Rodriguez sacked at ULM 25 for yards (A.McClain) PENALTY on JST-A.McClain, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
56.0%
K.Roach rushed to JST 47 for 8 yards. Tackled by A.Miller at JST 47.Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
57.4%
C.Rogers rushed to JST 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Crain; C.Miller at JST 44.Similar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
56.8%
A.Henry rushed to JST 30 for 14 yards. Tackled by A.Young at JST 30.Similar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
58.5%
C.Rogers steps back to pass. C.Rogers sacked at JST 31 for -1 yards (C.Miller; K.Evans)Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
57.8%
C.Rogers steps back to pass. C.Rogers pass incomplete intended for ULM.Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
54.5%
C.Rogers steps back to pass. C.Rogers pass incomplete intended for ULM. PENALTY on JST-C.Silmon, Defensive Targeting, 15 yards, accepted. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was overturned. C.Rogers steps back to pass. C.Rogers pass incomplete intended for ULM.Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+6
54.4%
C.Rogers pass complete to JST 31. Catch made by J.Knight at JST 31. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by J.Huggins at JST 25.Similar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
67.6%
C.Sutherland 42 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:4936% → 35%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.9%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for K.Corbin.Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
64.2%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 25. Catch made by J.Lanier at JST 25. Gain of -4 yards. Tackled by J.Newton at JST 21.Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+24
66.3%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 21. Catch made by K.Corbin at JST 21. Gain of 24 yards. Tackled by S.Ellis; J.Lee at JST 45.Similar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
60.0%
S.Sanders scrambles to JST 47 for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Ellis; J.Lee at JST 47.Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
59.4%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for K.Corbin.Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+9
61.3%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 47. Catch made by P.Pickett at JST 47. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by A.Sparks at ULM 44.Similar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
58.9%
S.Sanders steps back to pass. S.Sanders pass incomplete intended for J.Lanier.Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
58.9%
S.Sanders scrambles to ULM 33 for yards. Tackled by J.Newton at ULM 33. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was in bounds and the play was overturned. S.Sanders scrambles to ULM 42 for 2 yards. S.Sanders ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
59.6%
S.Sanders pass complete to ULM 42. Catch made by S.Hooks at ULM 42. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by T.Odom at ULM 42.Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 8
OPP 42
+27
65.3%
M.O'Neal punts 27 yards to ULM 15, Center-J.Polite. Fair catch by J.Knight.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
58.6%
S.Sanders pass INTERCEPTED at ULM 31. Intercepted by Z.Woodard at ULM 31. Tackled by JST at JST 46.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:2876% → 88%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
76.1%
A.Henry rushed to JST 35 for 11 yards. Tackled by A.Miller at JST 35.Similar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
78.1%
C.Rogers rushed to JST 32 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Hampton at JST 32.Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-2
79.3%
A.Henry rushed to JST 34 for -2 yards. Tackled by D.Davis; A.Miller at JST 34.Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+2
78.3%
C.Rogers rushed to JST 32 for 2 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Silmon at JST 32.Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
88.1%
C.Sutherland 49 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24MISSED FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:2691% → 91%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
91.1%
A.Henry rushed to JST 25 for 19 yards. Tackled by N.Gaddy at JST 25.Similar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
94.0%
A.Henry rushed to JST 26 for -1 yards. Tackled by C.Miller; T.Carr at JST 26.Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 11
OPP 26
-1
94.0%
K.Roach rushed to JST 27 for -1 yards. Tackled by K.Hampton at JST 27.Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 12
OPP 27
-4
93.0%
C.Rogers rushed to JST 31 for -4 yards. Tackled by D.Dunn at JST 31.Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 16
OPP 31
0
91.2%
C.Sutherland 48 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-A.Wells, Holder-D.McCormick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+20
79.1%
S.Sanders pass complete to JST 21. Catch made by K.Corbin at JST 21. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by Q.Drake at JST 41.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+20.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:52
A.Henry rushed to JST 35 for 11 yards. Tackled by A.Miller at JST 35.
+17.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:26
S.Sanders scrambles to JST 40 for yards. Tackled by S.Mason at JST 40. PENALTY on JST-C.Dunbar, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.
-13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com